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India’s shrimp exports set to fall 15-18% amid Trump tariff hike; $5 billion trade at risk: Crisil – The Times of India

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India’s shrimp exports set to fall 15-18% amid Trump tariff hike;  billion trade at risk: Crisil – The Times of India


Indian shrimp exports are expected to decline by 15-18 per cent this fiscal year after a steep hike in US import tariffs, according to a Crisil Ratings report. The increase, which took effect on August 27, has raised the overall duty burden on Indian shrimp entering the US to 58.26 per cent. The ratings agency said the development will weigh on pricing power, even as exporters attempt to diversify their product portfolio and expand into other markets, as quoted by news agency ANI. Prior to the hike, Indian shipments were already subject to a 50 per cent reciprocal tariff, along with a 5.77 per cent countervailing duty and a 2.49 per cent anti-dumping duty. Exporters had front-loaded shipments in the first quarter of FY26 to beat the tariff deadline, but revenues — which have been flat for four years — are now projected to drop 18-20 per cent year-on-year. India’s shrimp exports were valued at around $5 billion in FY25, with the US accounting for nearly 48 per cent. Crisil also said that exporters’ operating profit margins will narrow by 150-200 basis points, as higher costs cannot be fully passed on to customers. Margins are likely to fall to 5.0-5.5 per cent this fiscal, a ten-year low, due to tariff pressures, lower capacity utilisation and reduced sales of premium shrimp varieties that typically go to the US. The report, based on an analysis of 63 rated exporters representing 55 per cent of industry revenues, warned that weaker earnings and slimmer margins will hurt debt protection metrics and credit profiles. The US has long been the most attractive market for Indian shrimp, offering stable demand and profitable margins. Exporters had continued supplying despite existing duties and even a 10 per cent reciprocal tariff imposed in April 2025, with American buyers absorbing part of the cost. However, the latest sharp increase places India at a marked disadvantage compared to rivals such as Ecuador, Vietnam, Indonesia and Thailand, which face lower US tariff barriers.





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Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire

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Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire



Brent crude sinks by a tenth after Iran says the key waterway is open for commercial ships for the rest of the ceasefire.



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Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV

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Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV



Oil prices tumbled on Friday after Iranian officials said they would allow commercial traffic to resume in the Strait of Hormuz. This lifted equity markets in Europe and New York, where major indices hit new records.

Citing the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would lift its blockade on shipping through the key Gulf energy trade route.

“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire,” Araghchi said.

Traffic in the strategic waterway, through which one-fifth of the world’s crude oil normally flows, has been disrupted by Iran since the US-Israeli offensive began on Feb. 28. At one point, this sent oil prices to a peak of nearly $120 a barrel and roiled the global economy.

Both Brent, the benchmark international contract, and its US equivalent WTI fell below $90 per barrel following Tehran’s announcement. Brent later cut its losses and finished at $90.38 a barrel, down 9.1%.

‘Immediate impact’

“This news is having an immediate impact on markets,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.

The move also sent a jolt through equity markets, extending a rally in New York. There, equities have pushed ever higher since late March in anticipation of a breakthrough in the Middle East crisis.

“We had seen a big move the last two weeks, and now it’s just really pricing completely out the worst-case scenario, said Angelo Kourkafas, from Edward Jones.

Kourkafas also pointed to underlying strength in the US economy that should get more attention in the coming period as geopolitical concerns ebb.

“Geopolitical developments are moving in the right direction, and at the same time, the earning strength is hard to ignore,” Kourkafas said.

The broad-based S&P 500 finished at 7,126.06, up 1.2% for the day and 4.5% for the week.

‘Good news’

Earlier, European stocks closed higher, with both Frankfurt and Paris gaining 2%.

US President Donald Trump cheered the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in an interview with AFP.

“We’re very close to having a deal,” Trump said in a brief telephone call with AFP from Las Vegas. He added there were “no sticking points at all” left with Tehran.

But Iran quickly pushed back on one key point.

Iran’s foreign ministry said Friday that its stockpile of enriched uranium would not be transferred “anywhere.” It rejected an earlier claim by Trump that the Islamic Republic had agreed to hand it over.

Shipping industry figures, meanwhile, gave a cautious welcome to Iran’s announcement.

A spokesman for German transportation giant Hapag-Lloyd, which has ships stuck in the Gulf, told AFP by phone that the reopening was “in general… good news.”

But he cautioned that shippers still needed details of what route vessels could take and in what order, citing fears of mines.

“One thousand ships cannot just go now to the entrance of the strait, that will be chaos. They (the Iranians) need to give clear orders,” said the spokesman, Nils Haupt.

“We would be ready to go very soon if some of these open questions can be solved within the weekend.”



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Iran war causing staycation spike – Suffolk holiday firms

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Iran war causing staycation spike – Suffolk holiday firms



One man says he cancelled his holiday to Spain due to the rising costs and uncertainty.



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