Fashion
Is anybody fighting back in this trade war?
By
Bloomberg
Published
August 15, 2025
William Clayton, a businessman who served successive US presidents and became one of the chief architects of the Marshall Plan, was no fan of tariffs. He rated the barriers erected during the Great Depression as one of the great crimes of the century. It’s hard to imagine that Clayton, who believed that free trade was as important to prosperity as American aid and security guarantees, would remotely approve of Donald Trump‘s efforts to reshape commerce.
This White House-engineered upheaval, which pushed tariffs to levels unseen since the Smoot-Hawley law of 1930, will be costly — even if the full price isn’t immediately apparent. The global economy hasn’t suffered some of the direst consequences that were predicted in April. Demand for US assets has held up, despite the superficial allure of the “sell America” narrative. The International Monetary Fund doubts growth will suddenly crater, and inflation hasn’t taken off. Has a bullet been dodged or is shock delaying the pain?
It’s notable that countries aren’t exactly lining up to fire back. With the exception of China, which has escalated and retreated to match the White House rhythms, there’s been little by way of reprisals. “It’s not a war when only one side fights,” JPMorgan Chase & Co. economists said in a recent note. “The primary drag from the trade war will come from US tariff hikes, but we also looked for broad retaliation by US trading partners.” The counterattack “has not materialised; in fact, barriers to US exports have been lowered,” they wrote.
By no means does the firm anticipate zero harm. Business confidence is down but not collapsing. Capital spending will be constrained. And while chances of recession are still high, a better outcome remains very plausible.
This sort of guarded optimism — or qualified pessimism — is a break from the dark warnings. Christine Lagarde, head of the European Central Bank, told leaders to prepare for a worst-case scenario in which an antagonistic US drags the world into destructive economic conflict. The prime minister of Singapore, a city-state that thrived during the heyday of free trade, couldn’t hide his dismay: Tariffs aren’t the actions of friends, Lawrence Wong noted. His Canadian counterpart, Mark Carney, declared that relations with the US would be changed forever. Chinese President Xi Jinping has studiously matched American moves but also toned down his rhetoric and actions when appropriate. Washington and Beijing this week extended a pause on higher tariffs for 90 days, the latest in a series of suspensions.
India, which has been the subject of some bullish projections as China’s economy has slowed, is one of the few economies of significance that hasn’t cut a deal with Trump. But Prime Minister Narendra Modi also hasn’t gone measure for measure or shown a desire to get even with American businesses. Yes, there has been indignity and hurt feelings. The governor of the Reserve Bank of India dismissed Trump’s claim that commerce was dead there. He touted India’s contribution to global growth — about 18% compared to around 11% for the US — and insisted the local economy was doing well. This is in the ballpark, based on IMF projections. It also misses the point that in pure size, America dwarfs India.
Brazil, a comer that struggles to make good on its potential, is also refusing to bend. President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva loathes dependence on the US and wants to be treated as an equal. But Trump doesn’t like a court case against Lula’s predecessor for allegedly plotting a coup. Brazil is trying to develop an alternative to the dollar and places great store in commercial ties to the BRICS group of emerging economies. Many of those nations, and aspiring members of the bloc, have cut deals with Trump, or are likely to do so. Brazil will come to some arrangement.
So has Trump got away with it? His aides reckoned that access to the American market is too lucrative to pass up, and they may have been right. It would also be naive to conclude there won’t be any cost. The global economy has slowed but hasn’t crashed, foreigners still purchase US Treasuries and it’s a safe bet that the greenback will be at the centre of the financial system for years.
But the nations humiliated won’t forget this experience. Asia’s economies will only get bigger and the siren call of greater integration with China will get louder. Trump’s efforts to destroy the existing order may yet prove an own goal. Just not this year.
Clayton, who became the top economic official at the State Department, believed that robust trade among the shattered nations of Western Europe was as important as physical rebuilding. The economic dislocation wrought by the conflagration had been underestimated; capitalism could revive the continent and prevent the political implosion of key countries. According to Benn Steil’s book The Marshall Plan: Dawn of the Cold War, Clayton insisted that the US “must run this show.”
Trump’s team brag about reconfiguring the system that grew from the ideals of the post-war era. The hubris may ultimately prove misplaced.
Fashion
UK GDP expected to grow 1.4% in 2026: Goldman Sachs Research

They predict that the labour market will keep weakening, but also anticipate a boost to the economy from a significant cooling of inflation and further rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE).
Goldman Sachs Research expects ‘another mixed year’ for the UK economy, which is expected to grow at 1.4 per cent in 2026—up from around 1 per cent in 2025.
It expects the unemployment rate to rise to 5.3 per cent by March, and then stabilising.
Consumption is expected to grow at 1.3 per cent in 2026 versus 0.7 per cent in 2025.
The fiscal position looks less vulnerable than some other European nations.
The UK labour market weakened significantly in 2025 as slow economic growth and the increase in national insurance contributions weighed on employment. A recent rise in layoffs points to ‘further labour market softening ahead’, according to Moberly and Stehn.
Goldman Sachs Research expects the unemployment rate to rise to 5.3 per cent by March. But as growth picks up towards potential, it sees the unemployment rate stabilising for the remainder of this year, the report says.
Given rising slack in the job market, lower headline inflation, and a smaller increase in the national living wage, the company’s economists expect wage growth to normalise this year. Private sector regular pay growth slowed to 3.8 per cent from around 6 per cent over the last 12 months, and the team forecasts further cooling to 3.1 per cent by the end of 2026.
Consumer spending in the UK is low, and the household savings rate is elevated. “Real disposable income growth is likely to remain weak in coming quarters given wage growth moderation, elevated mortgage rates, and a larger fiscal drag on household incomes,” Moberly and Stehn write.
The team’s models suggest that the savings rate will likely decline this year as interest rates fall and consumption catches up with recent increases in real inflation-adjusted incomes.
Consumption is expected to grow at 1.3 per cent in 2026 versus 0.7 per cent last year.
The team anticipates further progress on inflation in the coming months given unwinding base effects. Goldman Sachs Research projects headline inflation to decelerate to 2.1 per cent in the second quarter this year.
The fiscal trajectory, political risk, and efforts to boost economic growth are likely to be key areas of focus this year, according to the company.
“Our analysis suggests that the UK’s fiscal position looks less vulnerable than some other European countries, notably France,” Moberly and Stehn add.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
Japan’s Fast Retailing names Francesco Risso as GU creative director
Alongside his appointment at GU, Risso, who helmed the UNIQLO and Marni collection in 2022, will develop a new collaboration line with UNIQLO, set to launch in 2026.
Further details on both initiatives will be announced at a later date.
Fast Retailing has appointed Francesco Risso as creative director of GU to strengthen the brand’s global presence.
Risso will lead GU’s creative direction, with his debut collection set for fall/winter 2026.
He will also develop a new collaboration line with Uniqlo launching in 2026, following his earlier Uniqlo and Marni project.
Italian-born designer Francesco Risso studied fashion in Florence, New York, and London. He spent a decade at Prada, developing a rigorous approach to narrative and craft while gaining extensive design experience. From 2016 to 2025 he served as Creative Director at Marni, shaping a boldly original vision for the house inspired by music, art, and cultural exploration. A passionate educator, Risso has held guest positions at the world’s top art and design schools.
Note: The headline, insights, and image of this press release may have been refined by the Fibre2Fashion staff; the rest of the content remains unchanged.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (RM)
Fashion
Saks bonds worth just 1 cent hand hedge funds a painful lesson
By
Bloomberg
Published
January 16, 2026
At first glance, Saks looked like exactly the kind of mess hedge funds love. Just months after the company borrowed $2.2 billion to finance its takeover of rival Neiman Marcus, the newly formed luxury retail powerhouse was already running short on cash. Creditors spooked by the pace of the slide rushed for the exits, offering the bonds for less than 40 cents on the dollar.
Bargain hunting hedge funds gleefully took the debt off their hands. This was, after all, a marquee name with valuable brands, prime real estate, big-name backers, and a business that executives said just needed a bit more time to steady itself. Firms including Pentwater Capital Management and Bracebridge Capital jumped in, chasing the promise of eye-popping returns.
Much is still to be determined in the wake of Saks’ bankruptcy this week, including any recovery for its creditors. Yet in the meantime, the episode is shaping up to be a painful lesson in the dangers of trying to catch a falling knife. The bonds that distressed-debt shops snapped up on the cheap are now being bid at less than 1 cent, according to broker runs. The hundreds of millions in extra financing they provided, which sits higher in the repayment pecking order, isn’t faring much better, changing hands around 10 cents.
Through Saks’ Chapter 11 filing, a clearer picture has emerged of a company that quickly veered off plan. Targets were missed, savings failed to materialise, cash drained at a rapid clip, and fixes meant to stop the bleeding never did. Bonds with roughly $486 million of face value held by Pentwater are now quoted at pennies on the dollar, as are about $257 million held by Bracebridge.
“This was a ticking time bomb, and the fuse was lit the day the merger was consummated,” said Mark Cohen, the former director of retail studies at Columbia Business School. “I’ve never seen anything go bad this fast; I don’t know that anyone has.”
A representative for Saks declined to comment beyond the company’s bankruptcy filing. Pentwater and Bracebridge declined to comment. Even after the staggering declines, Saks’ biggest creditors aren’t ready to throw in the towel.
In its bankruptcy filing, the company said it had secured roughly $1.75 billion in post-petition financing, including $1.5 billion from a group of senior secured bondholders betting a second act could yet salvage the retailer- and their own fortunes, possibly by converting battered debt positions into significant equity stakes.
Some will also collect fees for helping arrange the financing. What’s more, the structure of the post-bankruptcy financing Saks has lined up could allow certain debtholders to realise better returns on the company’s outstanding bonds than where they’re currently trading, some investors suggested.
Pentwater and Bracebridge are among those putting up more money, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Whether it’s enough to turn around a company that burned through more cash than it generated last year remains to be seen. Perennially late payments have “damaged trust” with Saks’ suppliers, the retailer said in bankruptcy documents, and while new management is working to repair those relationships, some vendors may decide to take their business elsewhere.
The company is also facing stiff objections from unsecured creditors, including Amazon.com Inc., that are seeking to block access to the new financing package. The tech giant, which previously acquired a $475 million preferred equity stake in the luxury retailer, recently called its investment in Saks “presumptively worthless.” Other equity holders including Rhone Capital and Insight Partners also suffered significant losses, separate people familiar with the situation said.
Representatives for Amazon and Insight Partners didn’t respond to requests for comment. Rhone Capital declined to comment.
Some investors who opted not to participate in the latest debtor-in-possession financing were concerned that the rescue could echo other recent misfires. They pointed to First Brands Group, the bankrupt auto-parts supplier whose lenders put up more than $1 billion post bankruptcy, only to watch their super-senior bonds crater in value as the company burned through the cash and signalled it would need even more money.
With rescue financing, “you get a lot of structuring fees, an above-market interest rate, liens on the best collateral, an equity cushion below you, with the added upside that you’re in control as the restructuring process plays out,” said Rishi Goel, the global head of distressed debt at Aegon Asset Management.
“But it’s got to be structured correctly. The equity value below you has to be real,” Goel said. “If you’re misled, or the business is worth less than you thought or becomes worse than you thought, the value can dry up quickly.”
For now, Saks has said that stores under all its brands are open. A number of creditors say they are confident that new management, led by former Neiman Marcus Chief Executive Officer Geoffroy van Raemdonck, can steer the company through bankruptcy and, once it emerges, make its portfolio of luxury department stores profitable.
Not everyone is convinced. “The rationale for putting these two businesses together made no sense form the get go, and it’s hard to believe that these deep-pocketed masters of the universe fell for it,” Cohen said.
-
Politics1 week agoUK says provided assistance in US-led tanker seizure
-
Entertainment1 week agoDoes new US food pyramid put too much steak on your plate?
-
Entertainment1 week agoWhy did Nick Reiner’s lawyer Alan Jackson withdraw from case?
-
Sports6 days agoClock is ticking for Frank at Spurs, with dwindling evidence he deserves extra time
-
Business1 week agoTrump moves to ban home purchases by institutional investors
-
Sports1 week agoPGA of America CEO steps down after one year to take care of mother and mother-in-law
-
Tech4 days agoNew Proposed Legislation Would Let Self-Driving Cars Operate in New York State
-
Sports7 days ago
Commanders go young, promote David Blough to be offensive coordinator
