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Mutual funds’ share in household savings jumps 6x in decade on inclusion, low rates & confidence boost – The Times of India

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Mutual funds’ share in household savings jumps 6x in decade on inclusion, low rates & confidence boost – The Times of India


MUMBAI: The share of mutual funds in the household sector’s gross financial savings increased from 0.9% in 2011-12 to 6% in 2022-23. Assets under management have grown at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.1%. This has made mutual funds a stabilising force in equities and helped cushion the equity market against volatility triggered by FPI outflows according to a report by RBI. The central bank has called for enhanced investor education and protection to maintain the faith and trust of new entrants.For decades, Indian households preferred the safety of fixed deposits and gold. That is changing. A recent report, Equity Mutual Funds: Transforming India’s Savings Landscape, documents how equity mutual funds have “emerged as the preferred vehicle for household investors to invest in equity markets.” The shift, it says, is driven by rising incomes, growing financial literacy and the spread of digital technology.Their clout as shareholders has also increased sharply, with “the shareholding of MFs in companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) rising from 3.7% at end-March 2010 to 10.4% at end-March 2025.”The report identifies three main factors shaping flows into equity funds: “increasing financial inclusion (proxied by demat accounts), fixed deposit rates, and business confidence.” The expansion of demat accounts, it notes, “should lead to additional flows to equity-oriented products.” Persistently low deposit rates have had the opposite effect—pushing savers to seek higher returns elsewhere. “A persistently low fixed deposit rate for an extended period might eventually lead people to search for other asset classes that offer higher returns, thereby increasing equity MF flows.” The business confidence index, meanwhile, “is expected to impact flows, as it is an indicator of future growth.”Economic growth remains the ultimate driver. “Real GDP growth does help forecast flows” while “equity MF flows do not predict real GDP growth.” Stronger growth, in other words, “enhances investor’s financial capacity and confidence, enabling greater participation in equity markets.”Yet the success of the industry also poses risks. With millions of retail investors now involved, the report urges “more efforts toward investor education and protection to maintain the faith and trust of these new entrants.” It also calls for vigilance: “A constant monitoring of risks emanating from their operations would need greater attention.” These concerns are most acute in small and midcap funds, where “MFs could be subject to large liquidity risks from redemption pressures in case of sharp downward adjustments.” Regulators have already intervened, mandating “liquidity stress tests for these equity schemes” and asking fund houses to adopt measures such as “moderating inflows” to protect investors.





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Britain ‘mustn’t cut ourselves off from China trade opportunities’, CBI chief warns

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Britain ‘mustn’t cut ourselves off from China trade opportunities’, CBI chief warns


The UK must not “cut ourselves off” from trade opportunities in China despite security and business risks, the head of the Confederation for British Industry has warned.

CBI chief Rain Newton-Smith highlighted that British businesses see increased trade with Chinese firms as an opportunity to drive growth.

Her remarks came as business leaders were questioned by MPs on Parliament’s Business and Trade Select Committee regarding the UK’s economic relationship with China.

Last December, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer admitted China poses security threats to the UK but urged for greater business ties.

Ms Newton-Smith, chief executive of one of the UK’s largest business groups, was positive about the Government’s engagement with China.

“You can’t have a growth strategy without a strategy for China,” she said.

Starmer admitted China poses security threats to the UK but urged for greater business ties (Ben Whitley/PA)

“China has the biggest contribution to global growth, is the third largest trading partner, and the world’s largest consumer market.

“The UK is second largest exporter of trade and services.

“We are mindful as all businesses are of security risks but it is really important that we have a strategy towards China.

“This Government has increased the economic engagement with China and including business within this does help us as a country.”

She added: “If we think about the future economy, there is a huge market in China and I think we mustn’t cut ourselves off from some of the opportunities there, even if in some areas there are difficult conversations and negotiations that need to be had.”

Peter Burnett, chief executive of the China-Britain Business Council, told the committee: “There are risks associated with technology advancement, AI, industrial development that they need to assess.

“Increasingly you will find them saying that they need to engage more in China to understand those risks and to develop some of the technologies along some of those risks themselves.”



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Trump says he’d be disappointed if Fed pick doesn’t cut rates; Warsh vows to be ‘independent actor’ – The Times of India

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Trump says he’d be disappointed if Fed pick doesn’t cut rates; Warsh vows to be ‘independent actor’ – The Times of India


Donald Trump, left, and Kevin Warsh

US President Donald Trump on Tuesday said he would be disappointed if his nominee for Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh, does not cut interest rates right away after taking office if confirmed by the Senate. Trump, during an interview with CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” also said “we have to find out” about the construction costs of the new Federal Reserve building.Warsh, a former Federal Reserve official and financier, is currently facing Senate confirmation hearings where he has stressed his independence from political pressure.“The president never once asked me to commit to any particular interest rate decision, and nor would I agree to it if he had,” Kevin Warsh said under questioning by the Senate Banking Committee, as quoted by LA Times. “I will be an independent actor if confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve.”Warsh told lawmakers that fighting inflation would be one of his main priorities if confirmed.“Congress tasked the Fed with the mission to ensure price stability, without excuse or equivocation, argument or anguish,” Warsh said. “Inflation is a choice, and the Fed must take responsibility for it.”The comments come as investors closely watch his confirmation hearing, with inflation remaining at 3.3% annually and global tensions, including the war in Iran pushing up gas prices, adding pressure on the economy. Higher inflation typically leads the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady or raise them rather than cut them, as rate changes affect mortgages, auto loans, and business borrowing.Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee accused Warsh of shifting his stance on interest rates over time, supporting higher rates under Democratic presidents and lower rates during Trump’s presidency.Warsh, if confirmed, would take over at a time when inflation pressures make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, even as Trump continues to push for lower borrowing costs. Trump has repeatedly urged rate cuts and has long clashed with current Fed chair Jerome Powell over monetary policy. Powell has also been the subject of a Department of Justice criminal probe after refusing Trump’s requests for faster rate cuts. Trump told CNBC that he does not plan to pressure the Justice Department to end that probe.



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Air fares soar by nearly a quarter, research shows

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Air fares soar by nearly a quarter, research shows



The consultancy Teneo says airspace restrictions caused by the conflict have forced airlines to reroute many flights.



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