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Pakistan to repay $3.5b UAE debt this month | The Express Tribune

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Pakistan to repay .5b UAE debt this month | The Express Tribune


Senior govt officials say discussions are taking place to convert a portion of the amount into investment


ISLAMABAD:

Pakistan has decided to return the $3.5 billion debt of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) this month, a senior cabinet minister said in a background briefing on Friday, ending speculations about the fate of the debt that Abu Dhabi had started rolling over only for a month.

The political leadership has decided to pay back the entire UAE debt, said one of the senior cabinet ministers while briefing the anchorpersons in his office.

Out of the $3.5b, a $450 million loan was taken in 1996-97 for one year, which Pakistan would be returning next week after 30 years, according to another government official.

While the cabinet minister said that the money was being returned, some senior government officials said that the discussions were taking place to convert a portion of the amount into investment.

It is believed that while the UAE was earlier reluctant to rollover the debt, the US-Israel-Iran war expedited the entire process, which has now culminated in the preparations to repay the debt.

The Express Tribune had reported in January that the UAE rolled over two loans of $1b each, which matured on January 16 and 22, only for a month. Pakistan had sought a two-year rollover and an interest rate of around 3%. But the UAE rolled it over then at the old terms of 6.5% interest rate.

Under the $7b International Monetary Fund programme (IMF), the UAE, Saudi Arabia and China had committed to maintaining their combined $12.5b in cash deposits with the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) at least until the programme expires in September next year.

In December, SBP Governor Jameel Ahmad requested the UAE government to roll over the $2.5b in debt for two years and cut the interest rate by almost half. Subsequently, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif also requested the UAE president to extend the repayment period. The prime minister said the UAE had agreed to roll over the debt, but did not provide further details.

The UAE provided $2b to Pakistan in 2018 for one year, but Pakistan was unable to repay the amount and has sought rollovers annually since then. Later, the UAE extended another loan of $1b in 2023 to help Pakistan meet external financing requirements for an IMF bailout.

Early last month, Ahmad said that the UAE was not demanding repayment of the $2b loan, but had instead shifted it to a monthly rollover. But it has now emerged that the UAE asked Pakistan to pay back its money, which had originally been given only for one year.

The Pakistani authorities said that the government would return $450 million on April 11, $2b on April 17th and another $1b on April 23rd. They said that they were making arrangements to pay the debt.

However, there was a possibility that the money would be paid out of the $16.4b foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank.

Cumulatively, Pakistan will pay back $4.8b debt in April, including $1.3b Eurobond on April 8th.

The cabinet minister said that the official foreign exchange reserves remained at comfortable levels and the country in the past had survived with as few reserves as one week’s worth of imports.

While addressing leading exporters and industrialists early this year, PM Shehbaz had acknowledged that central bank reserves had increased, but said this was largely due to $12b in cash deposits from friendly countries.

He also said that when he travelled the world seeking financial assistance, he felt embarrassed. “Our self-respect suffers greatly when we take on debt,” he said, adding that such countries sometimes ask for concessions in return and “we cannot say too many things they want us to do”.

The government is struggling to boost exports, which have fallen 8% during the first nine months of the current fiscal year.

The government is also struggling to formulate a viable plan to double exports from $32b over the next three years to exit the IMF programme. Foreign investment has failed to pick up despite efforts and instead sharply fell during this fiscal year.

In 2018, the UAE charged an interest rate of 3% on the debt, but last year increased it to 6.5%. Pakistan has requested the UAE to reduce the rate to around 3%, citing improvements in its credit rating and lower global interest rates.

The government’s plan to float $250m worth of Panda Bond in January this year has hit a snag due to mismanagement of the entire issue.



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Indians cut overseas travel spending to $1.9 billion in March: RBI

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Indians cut overseas travel spending to .9 billion in March: RBI


Indians sharply cut back on overseas travel spending in March, with remittances for foreign trips dropping by more than $212 million from the previous month, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The fall in outbound travel expenditure came amid rising oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on rupee, even as travel remained the single largest component of outward remittances under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).In March, travel-related remittances fell to $1.09 billion from $1.3 billion in February and $1.65 billion in January. The decline came at a time when the West Asia conflict pushed oil prices higher and weakened rupee to record lows. Amid the situation, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens to cut down on foreign travel and adopt measures such as carpooling. Lower overseas travel spending could reduce foreign exchange outflows and help ease pressure on rupee.According to the RBI’s data on outward remittances by resident individuals, travel continued to account for the largest share of money sent abroad under the LRS in March. Total remittances during the month stood at $2.59 billion.The RBI tracks overseas spending across categories including travel, studies abroad, maintenance of close relatives, overseas investments, and property purchases. Under the LRS framework, resident individuals, including minors, can remit up to $250,000 in a financial year for permitted current or capital account transactions.Within the travel segment, the biggest component remained the ‘other travel’ category, which covers holiday spending and international credit card settlements. Indians spent $623.05 million under this category in March, accounting for nearly 57 per cent of total travel-related remittances during the month.Expenditure linked to education travel, including hostel and fee payments, stood at $450.16 million. Business travel, pilgrimage, and overseas medical treatment together accounted for $21.39 million.The data also showed a rise in remittances meant for the maintenance of close relatives abroad. Such transfers increased to $389.78 million in March from $266.18 million in February.At the same time, spending under the ‘studies abroad’ category declined. This category includes payments made for educational services accessed remotely without travelling overseas, such as correspondence courses. Remittances under this head stood at $151.71 million in March, compared to $175.68 million in February and $267.42 million in January.For the financial year 2024-25, Indians remitted a total of $29.56 billion under the LRS. Travel made up the largest portion of this amount at $16.96 billion.The RBI figures further showed that investments by Indians in overseas equity and debt instruments rose significantly to $440.22 million in March from $265.99 million in February.Meanwhile, outward remittances for the purchase of immovable property overseas declined to $38.68 million in March, down from $51.36 million a month earlier.



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Stock market this week: Middle East tensions, oil prices, FII flows & more — what will guide Dalal Street

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Stock market this week: Middle East tensions, oil prices, FII flows & more — what will guide Dalal Street


Dalal Street is heading into the new trading week with global uncertainty firmly in focus, as investors keep a close watch on the evolving situation in the Middle East, fluctuations in crude oil prices and the behaviour of foreign investors. Analysts said that sentiment is likely to remain fragile and heavily influenced by developments in negotiations between the United States and Iran, while movements in the rupee, global equities and the US dollar are also expected to shape market direction in the days ahead.Trading activity during the week is also expected to be shaped by the rupee’s movement against the US dollar, while investors continue to assess the impact of global uncertainty on risk appetite. Markets will remain closed on Thursday for Bakri Id.A key trigger for sentiment emerged over the weekend after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said negotiations between Washington and Tehran had shown some progress, raising expectations that the ongoing conflict in West Asia could move closer to resolution.Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research at Religare Broking Ltd, said investors would closely track developments tied to crude oil, global currencies and bond markets. “This week is expected to remain highly sensitive to global macroeconomic developments and currency movements. Investors will also monitor crude oil prices, developments in US-Iran negotiations, and the trajectory of the US dollar and bond yields, all of which are expected to influence foreign flows and overall risk appetite,” he said.Apart from geopolitical developments, the Reserve Bank’s decision to transfer a record Rs 2.87 lakh crore dividend to the government for the year ended March 2026 is also expected to remain in focus. The announcement comes at a time when rising import costs and supply chain pressures linked to the West Asia conflict continue to weigh on the economy.According to Mishra, market participants are expected to evaluate how the RBI payout could affect liquidity conditions, fiscal flexibility and government spending in the months ahead.Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said market behaviour in the coming sessions is expected to remain sensitive to fresh headlines surrounding diplomatic negotiations and oil prices. “Markets are expected to remain volatile and heavily headline-driven in the coming week, with investor attention firmly focused on developments surrounding the US–Iran situation, broader diplomatic negotiations and movements in crude oil prices,” he said.“While hopes of a diplomatic breakthrough and easing geopolitical tensions have improved sentiment modestly, investors continue to remain cautious as uncertainty surrounding the final outcome of the negotiations remains elevated,” Ponmudi added.He further said investors are expected to watch institutional flows, global equity trends, macroeconomic indicators and the rupee for further market cues. “With global uncertainty still elevated, market participants are likely to remain selective and cautious despite the recent improvement in sentiment,” he said.Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Limited, said markets would require stronger support factors to build a more constructive setup. According to him, a meaningful decline in crude oil prices, steady foreign institutional investor flows and stable Q1FY27 earnings expectations without major downgrades would be important for sustained momentum.In the previous week, the BSE benchmark index rose 177.36 points, or 0.23%, while the NSE Nifty advanced 75.8 points, or 0.32%.



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‘Shameful’ more spent on benefits than jobs for young people, says adviser Alan Milburn

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‘Shameful’ more spent on benefits than jobs for young people, says adviser Alan Milburn



Reforms are needed of the welfare system to tackle the high numbers of young people not in work or education, says Alan Milburn.



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