Business
Pakistan to repay $3.5b UAE debt this month | The Express Tribune
Senior govt officials say discussions are taking place to convert a portion of the amount into investment
ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan has decided to return the $3.5 billion debt of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) this month, a senior cabinet minister said in a background briefing on Friday, ending speculations about the fate of the debt that Abu Dhabi had started rolling over only for a month.
The political leadership has decided to pay back the entire UAE debt, said one of the senior cabinet ministers while briefing the anchorpersons in his office.
Out of the $3.5b, a $450 million loan was taken in 1996-97 for one year, which Pakistan would be returning next week after 30 years, according to another government official.
While the cabinet minister said that the money was being returned, some senior government officials said that the discussions were taking place to convert a portion of the amount into investment.
It is believed that while the UAE was earlier reluctant to rollover the debt, the US-Israel-Iran war expedited the entire process, which has now culminated in the preparations to repay the debt.
The Express Tribune had reported in January that the UAE rolled over two loans of $1b each, which matured on January 16 and 22, only for a month. Pakistan had sought a two-year rollover and an interest rate of around 3%. But the UAE rolled it over then at the old terms of 6.5% interest rate.
Under the $7b International Monetary Fund programme (IMF), the UAE, Saudi Arabia and China had committed to maintaining their combined $12.5b in cash deposits with the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) at least until the programme expires in September next year.
In December, SBP Governor Jameel Ahmad requested the UAE government to roll over the $2.5b in debt for two years and cut the interest rate by almost half. Subsequently, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif also requested the UAE president to extend the repayment period. The prime minister said the UAE had agreed to roll over the debt, but did not provide further details.
The UAE provided $2b to Pakistan in 2018 for one year, but Pakistan was unable to repay the amount and has sought rollovers annually since then. Later, the UAE extended another loan of $1b in 2023 to help Pakistan meet external financing requirements for an IMF bailout.
Early last month, Ahmad said that the UAE was not demanding repayment of the $2b loan, but had instead shifted it to a monthly rollover. But it has now emerged that the UAE asked Pakistan to pay back its money, which had originally been given only for one year.
The Pakistani authorities said that the government would return $450 million on April 11, $2b on April 17th and another $1b on April 23rd. They said that they were making arrangements to pay the debt.
However, there was a possibility that the money would be paid out of the $16.4b foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank.
Cumulatively, Pakistan will pay back $4.8b debt in April, including $1.3b Eurobond on April 8th.
The cabinet minister said that the official foreign exchange reserves remained at comfortable levels and the country in the past had survived with as few reserves as one week’s worth of imports.
While addressing leading exporters and industrialists early this year, PM Shehbaz had acknowledged that central bank reserves had increased, but said this was largely due to $12b in cash deposits from friendly countries.
He also said that when he travelled the world seeking financial assistance, he felt embarrassed. “Our self-respect suffers greatly when we take on debt,” he said, adding that such countries sometimes ask for concessions in return and “we cannot say too many things they want us to do”.
The government is struggling to boost exports, which have fallen 8% during the first nine months of the current fiscal year.
The government is also struggling to formulate a viable plan to double exports from $32b over the next three years to exit the IMF programme. Foreign investment has failed to pick up despite efforts and instead sharply fell during this fiscal year.
In 2018, the UAE charged an interest rate of 3% on the debt, but last year increased it to 6.5%. Pakistan has requested the UAE to reduce the rate to around 3%, citing improvements in its credit rating and lower global interest rates.
The government’s plan to float $250m worth of Panda Bond in January this year has hit a snag due to mismanagement of the entire issue.
Business
Pets at Home hoping for boost under new boss despite consumer pressure
Pets at Home investors will be hoping the retailer’s new boss can lay out a strategy to return it to profit growth despite a challenging consumer backdrop.
Shares in the company currently sit close to its lowest level for almost seven years following a recent downturn in the group’s retail arm.
The dip in the group’s performance contributed to the departure of previous chief executive Lyssa McGowan late last year.
In March, former Waitrose boss James Bailey took the reins in a bid to drive a turnaround in performance.
Shareholders will be hoping the new boss can show early signs of improvement and a long-term strategy to drive growth in Pets at Home’s update on Wednesday May 27.
The pet products retailer and vet chain is expected to report an underlying pre-tax profit of around £93 million for the year to March, according to analysts.
It would represent a roughly 30% fall from last year, after the company came under pressure from weak demand for discretionary products.
Analysts have said investors will be looking at early trading in the current financial year to see how consumer spending is holding up.
AJ Bell’s investment director Russ Mould said: “Pets at Home could badly do with some renewed pep.
“Under executive chair Ian Burke, who has returned to a non-executive role after leading the business on an interim basis, Pets at Home laid out a plan to fix a retail business which has been badly affected by a reduction in discretionary spend on toys and treats for Britons’ furry and feathered friends.
“The country may have a reputation for loving their animal companions but in an environment where households are having to watch their pennies, these nice-to-have items were off the list.”
The group has also seen sales of pet food and similar products face fierce pricing competition from non-specialist retailers, such as supermarkets.
It has since cut prices among around 1,000 products in order to help drive activity, with cash-strapped shoppers looking for value.
Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that UK retail sales volumes dropped to an 11-month low in April, with a 1.3% fall for the month.
Pets at Home is predicted to report revenues of £1.47 billion for the past year, just marginally lower than £1.482 billion reported last year.
Business
India’s fuel demand growth may slow sharply in H2 2026 amid price hikes, austerity push: Report
India’s transportation fuel demand growth is expected to slow sharply in the second half of 2026 as higher fuel prices, government-led conservation measures and a weakening rupee weigh on mobility and consumption trends, according to a report.The report by Kpler’s lead analyst (modelling), Elif Binici, revised down India’s 2026 refined products demand growth forecast by around 77,000 barrels per day (kbd), or 39 per cent, to nearly 78 kbd from an earlier estimate of 128 kbd.As per news agency PTI, the downgrade reflects weaker expected growth in petrol and diesel demand due to elevated fuel costs, softer mobility trends and official efforts to conserve fuel amid the ongoing West Asia crisis.Petrol and diesel prices have been increased by around Rs 5 per litre in three instalments since May 15, after oil marketing companies passed on part of the burden of soaring global crude oil prices to consumers.
Petrol demand faces steepest downside risk
The report said petrol demand is likely to see the sharpest slowdown, with projected growth revised down by 25 kbd, from 63 kbd to 38 kbd.Petrol consumption is now estimated at 1,010 kbd, compared to the earlier estimate of 1,035 kbd.According to the report, weaker commuting activity, slower discretionary travel and government fuel-saving campaigns are expected to curb fuel consumption.Annual diesel demand growth was also cut by around 20 kbd, while jet fuel demand growth was nearly halved to about 6 kbd from 11 kbd earlier due to expectations of reduced air travel and tighter spending patterns.“The revisions primarily reflect weaker expected growth in gasoline and diesel demand as higher costs, weaker mobility trends, and recent government-led fuel conservation efforts increasingly feed into domestic transportation activity,” the report said, as quoted by PTI.
Rupee weakness, crude surge add pressure
The report noted that India’s macroeconomic environment has deteriorated since the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, with rising crude import costs, refinery expenses and rupee depreciation increasing inflationary pressure.The rupee has weakened by around 6 per cent since the conflict began and nearly 10 per cent over the past year. Foreign exchange reserves have also reportedly declined by about 4.3 per cent since late February as authorities attempted to stabilise the currency and contain imported inflation.The report said the current average petrol price of around Rs 103 per litre remains well below the estimated breakeven level of nearly Rs 125 per litre.Diesel prices near Rs 94 per litre are also below the estimated breakeven range of Rs 115-120 per litre.Before the recent price revisions, state-run fuel retailers were reportedly losing nearly Rs 1,000 crore daily because rising crude procurement costs and currency weakness outpaced retail fuel prices.“The key issue is the inability of state-run retailers to pass through rising import costs quickly enough to restore profitability,” the report said.
Russian crude continues to support supply security
The report added that India’s dependence on discounted Russian crude imports, estimated at around 1.9-2 million barrels per day, continues to provide stability to the domestic fuel market amid geopolitical uncertainty in West Asia.Policymakers now appear to be prioritising macroeconomic stability, inflation management, foreign exchange preservation and fuel supply security over near-term fuel demand growth.The report warned that unless crude prices ease significantly, the rupee stabilises or additional fiscal support measures are introduced, further fuel price hikes and stricter fuel-conservation measures may become difficult to avoid.
Business
Scottish Government will be ‘bold, innovative and ambitious’ on industry – Flynn
The Scottish Government will be “bold, innovative and ambitious” in shaping Scotland’s industrial future, new Economy Secretary Stephen Flynn has said.
In his first official engagement in the role, Mr Flynn met former workers of the Grangemouth refinery and ExxonMobil Mossmorran ethylene plant, alongside Unite the union.
Last year, Grangemouth – Scotland’s only oil refinery – stopped processing crude oil after a century of operations.
Its closure meant the the loss of 430 of the 2,000 jobs based at the industrial complex.
In February, oil giant ExxonMobil closed its Mossmorran plastics plant in Fife with the loss of 400 jobs.
Mr Flynn said: “It has been heartening to hear more about the work that has been undertaken by a wide range of partners to support affected workers at Grangemouth and Mossmorran and drive positive outcomes for them and their families.”
He also visited the Grangemouth Industrial Complex to tour the facilities of Celtic Renewables, a biorefinery which has secured £11 million of Scottish Government and Scottish Enterprise funding.
The company is projected to create nearly 150 jobs by 2030.
He continued: “I was also pleased to visit Celtic Renewables, a growing success story which illustrates that there can – and must – be an incredibly bright and positive future for our industrial heartlands and the communities they support.
“It is imperative that we are bold, innovative and ambitious in collectively shaping Scotland’s industrial future. I will work to ensure strong, vibrant and indispensable industries – which have been let down by successive UK governments – are at the heart of Scotland’s economy.”
Scottish Enterprise chief executive Adrian Gillespie said: “It was great to join the Cabinet Secretary at Celtic Renewables and show first hand Scottish Enterprise’s continuing commitment to Grangemouth.
“Celtic Renewables is a strong example of an innovative, scaling company that has benefitted from Grangemouth’s excellent connectivity and skills, enabled by funding and support from Scottish Enterprise and our partners.
“We’ve worked with the company since its start-up in 2011 and continue to do so as it accelerates plans for a full-scale biorefinery creating more high-quality jobs.”
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