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Procter & Gamble beats earnings estimates but reveals waning demand in some categories

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Procter & Gamble beats earnings estimates but reveals waning demand in some categories


Procter & Gamble on Friday reported fiscal first-quarter earnings and revenue that beat analysts’ expectations, lifted by higher demand for its beauty and grooming products.

Despite higher costs from tariffs and what CEO Jon Moeller called a “challenging consumer and geopolitical environment,” P&G reiterated its forecast for all-in sales and earnings for the fiscal year, which began in July.

Here’s what the company reported for the quarter that ended on Sept. 30 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: $1.99 adjusted vs. $1.90 expected
  • Revenue: $22.39 billion vs. $22.18 billion expected

P&G reported fiscal first-quarter net income attributable to the company of $4.75 billion, or $1.95 per share, up from $3.96 billion, or $1.61 per share, a year earlier.

Excluding certain items, including costs associated with incremental restructuring, the consumer giant earned $1.99 per share.

Net sales rose 3% to $22.39 billion. Organic sales — which strips out the impact of acquisitions, divestitures and foreign currency — increased 2% in the quarter.

Though revenue metrics were higher, P&G’s volume was flat compared with the year-ago period. Volume excludes pricing, which makes it a more accurate reflection of demand than sales. Like many consumer companies, P&G has seen demand for some of its products fall as inflation-weary consumers seek out deals.

‘K-shaped’ shopping

“The consumer environment is not great, but stable,” CFO Andre Schulten said on a call with media, adding that shoppers have behaved similarly in the last few quarters.

In the United States, the company’s largest market, consumption across P&G’s broad swath of products has slowed “a little bit,” according to Schulten. Like Coca-Cola, P&G is seeing a bifurcation in how consumers are shopping based on their incomes, often described as a “K-shaped” economy.

Shoppers who are less cash constrained are buying bigger pack sizes from club and online retailers, Schulten said.

“That’s their way to look for value,” he said.

But U.S. consumers living paycheck to paycheck are looking to stretch their money further by using every bottle of detergent or shampoo to the last drop and exhausting their pantry inventory before shopping for more, according to Schulten.

At the same time, private label brands are losing market share, bucking previous shopping trends during economic downturns, executives said on the company’s conference call. After the recession in 2008, P&G shifted its strategy to create more premium products that couldn’t be easily substituted with cheaper private label versions.

Boxes of Tide Pods dishwasher detergent are displayed at a Costco Wholesale store on July 12, 2025 in San Diego, California.

Kevin Carter | Getty Images News | Getty Images

P&G reported Friday that volume for both its health care and fabric and home care divisions, which include Tide and Swiffer, fell 2% during the quarter.

The company is seeing “heightened competition” in those categories, fueled by promotions and discounting from rivals, executives said on the conference call. To win back customers, P&G is focusing on innovation that can justify higher prices and convince shoppers that its products are superior. For example, Schulten said that Tide is starting shipments of its “biggest upgrade to liquid detergent in 20 years.”

The company’s baby, feminine and family care segment reported flat volume for the quarter. That division includes brands like Pampers and Tampax.

P&G’s beauty business was a bright spot. The division, which includes Olay and SK-II, reported volume growth of 4% and overall sales growth of 6%. Olay’s Super Serum line was the brand’s top performer, showing that customers were willing to pay more for premium skincare.

And P&G’s grooming business, which includes Gillette and Venus razors, saw volume rise 1% in the quarter for a sales increase of 5%.

For fiscal 2026, the company is now projecting that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will result in $400 million in after-tax costs, down from its prior outlook of $800 million. When P&G originally formulated its forecast, it included retaliatory tariffs on Canada, which have since been rescinded. As a result, the company is now planning a smaller raise in prices than it expected, Moeller said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Friday morning.

However, Trump said on Thursday evening that he is terminating all trade talks with Canada over a TV ad, which could mean higher costs ahead for P&G.

P&G also reiterated its fiscal 2026 forecast of sales growth between 1% and 5% and earnings per share in the range of $6.83 to $7.09.



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EBay rejects £41.4 billion GameStop takeover offer

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EBay rejects £41.4 billion GameStop takeover offer



EBay has turned down a 56 billion US dollar (£41.4 billion) takeover move from GameStop, labelling the proposal as “neither credible or attractive”.

GameStop boss Ryan Cohen launched an unsolicited offer of 125 dollars (£92.40) per share – half in cash and half in GameStop stock – to eBay shareholders last week.

However, the online marketplace’s board confirmed on Tuesday that it had now rejected the move.

In a letter, eBay chairman Paul Pressler said it reviewed the offer but believes that eBay is a “strong, resilient business”.

He added: “We have sharpened our strategic focus, strengthened execution, enhanced our marketplace and seller experience, and consistently returned capital to shareholders.

“With its differentiated global marketplace and a clear strategy, eBay’s board is confident that the company, under its current management team, is well-positioned to continue to drive sustainable growth, execute with discipline, and deliver long-term value for our shareholders.”

GameStop, which runs around 1,600 shops around the US, said it started accumulating eBay shares earlier this year and currently has a 5% stake.

Mr Cohen had previously indicated he would take his proposal directly to eBay shareholders if the company’s board rejected the deal.



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India’s retail inflation jumps to over one-year high at 3.48 per cent in April – The Times of India

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India’s retail inflation jumps to over one-year high at 3.48 per cent in April – The Times of India


India’s retail inflation rose to a more than one-year high of 3.48 per cent in April from 3.40 per cent in March, driven mainly by higher food prices, according to data released by ministry of statistics & programme implementation on Monday. Food inflation, measured by the Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI), also accelerated to 4.20 per cent in April from 3.87 per cent last month, indicating broader price pressures across household essentials. Meanwhile, inflation in rural areas stood at 3.74 per cent, higher than the 3.16 per cent recorded in urban India.Among key items, silver jewellery recorded the sharpest inflation at 144.34 per cent in April, though slightly lower than 148.42 per cent in March. Gold, diamond and platinum jewellery inflation also remained elevated at 40.72 per cent. Among key food items, tomato prices surged 35.28 per cent year-on-year in April, while potato and onion prices remained in deflation at minus 23.69 per cent and minus 17.67 per cent, respectively. The personal care and miscellaneous goods category recorded the sharpest inflation at 17.66 per cent, while transport inflation remained largely flat at minus 0.01 per cent. India’s retail inflation has now risen for the second consecutive month, inching closer to the Reserve Bank of India’s 4 per cent medium-term target. The RBI last month projected CPI inflation for 2026-27 at 4.6 per cent and warned that elevated global energy prices due to the Middle East conflict, along with possible El Niño conditions affecting the monsoon, could pose upside risks to inflation.



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From buying less gold to cashing in old reserves: How bullion industry plans to cut India’s import bill – The Times of India

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From buying less gold to cashing in old reserves: How bullion industry plans to cut India’s import bill – The Times of India


As rupee continues to breach multiple record lows, pressure on India’s balance of payments is growing. To protect foreign exchange reserves and help stabilise trade balance, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has urged people to cut down on gold purchases.But if not buying new gold, could household gold be turned into working capital instead?PM Modi’s call has brought fresh attention to an old issue, with major bullion and jewellery bodies once again suggesting steps to the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to reduce gold imports, use more household gold, and better manage how imported gold is used.Their proposals include limiting imported gold mainly for jewellery exports, bringing jewellers into gold monetisation schemes, making gold metal loans (GML) work more like bank cash credit, and reducing tax on interest earned from gold deposits, ET reported.Meanwhile, India’s gold imports jumped 24% to a record $71.9 billion in 2025-26, with more than 721 tonnes imported during the financial year.What are the proposals:Under the system proposed by the Precious Metals Refineries Forum (PMRF), imported gold would be channelled as one-year gold metal loans (GML) for jewellery exporters, while gold collected from household deposits, once refined locally, would be used to meet domestic demand through jewellers and retailers.The model suggests that depositors could earn 2-2.5%, with GML interest rates set at around 3-4%.Industry players cited by ET have pointed out that some tax changes will be needed to make this work, especially when physical gold is converted into electronic gold receipts (EGR).“The 3% notional loss of GST amount on conversion puts off customers. The government can always recover the tax when EGR is converted back into physical gold for selling. Concessions on capital gains when deposit is encashed on maturity along with income tax relief on accrued interest could be considered,” James Jose, president of PMRF told the financial daily.Why past gold schemes failed Many in the industry believe earlier gold monetisation schemes did not succeed because jewellers were not properly included and because gold deposits and loans did not work together like a banking system. Without that, institutions accepting gold deposits face major risks from price swings and currency changes.This is why trade bodies are calling for a more complete system with bank support, secure vaults in multiple locations, renewable GMLs like working capital, and proper collateral safeguards.Indian households are estimated to hold over 30,000 tonnes of gold, but despite repeated discussions during times of trade deficit and capital outflows, there is still no strong institutional system to bring this gold into the formal economy.Commenting on why earlier schemes did not work, Rajesh Rokde, chairman of All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC) said, “I feel the schemes did not take off because jewellers were not part of them. About 10-20% of the gold with families would be in bullion form. Most don’t sell, expecting prices to rise. If some gold can be tapped, if necessary purified and converted into digital gold in a system where jewellers are involved, imports would dip significantly,” According to one representation, collection and purity testing centres (Cptcs) and related agencies have said that collected gold can be processed within 48 hours before being moved by logistics firms to secure bank-approved vaults.Sources said members of the Indian Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA) held discussions with central bank officials last week on exports and monetisation, though the IBJA spokesman declined to share details.



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