Sports
Ranking each NHL team’s top prospect: Hagens, Iginla, more
Every NHL franchise has a prospect pool. Some, usually the perennial contenders, have thinner prospect pools because of a lack of draft capital. However, each team usually has one guy about whom the organization and fan base are excited.
Some of those players are polished and NHL-ready, producing at high rates in other leagues, while others are early in their development with a high ceiling. Each represents hope, a possible answer to a roster hole, or, in the best-case scenario, a foundational piece of a Stanley Cup contender.
To be considered a prospect for this list, the player must be under 23 and not an established NHL player. Generally, that means fewer than 50 games in the current season. But in the case of someone like Michael Misa, who has played only 30 games but very clearly has an established roster spot with the Sharks, those players would be ineligible for this list.
Here is a look at the top prospect in each team’s pipeline, what they do well, where they need to grow, and a look at reasonable NHL timelines and expectations.


Roger McQueen, F
2025-26 team: Providence (NCAA)
McQueen is a 6-foot-5, right-shot center with the handling skill of a first-line playmaker, a sniper’s release, and defensive instincts among the best outside the NHL. The toolkit is undeniable and has been tested against tougher competition this season at Providence College.
McQueen attacks with a wonderful skating posture, full-wingspan dekes that bait defenders before beating them, cross-body wristers, and passes through layers to teammates in space. All of this from a player who throws hits on the forecheck and battles with genuine aggression.
After a wonderful freshman season at Providence, McQueen earned Hockey East Rookie of the Year honors with 11 goals and 16 assists, and he continued to demonstrate projectable two-way play. If McQueen stays healthy and continues to develop the way he has in his first college season, he has a real chance to be a star in the NHL.
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Roger Mcqueen finds the back of the net
Roger Mcqueen finds the back of the net

James Hagens, F
2025-26 team: Boston College (NCAA)
The Bruins have their center of the future in the Boston College sophomore.
He plays at high pace and has a game built on elite processing and edge work. He floats through neutral-zone traffic with effortless crossovers and weight shifts, creating time and space. He’s a dual-threat offensive center, with high-end playmaking and a shot that has taken a real step forward this season, doubling his goal output and winning the Hockey East scoring title.
What separates Hagens from other undersized pivots is the professional detail in his two-way game. He patrols passing lanes, anticipates breakouts and supports the puck in positions that allow for quick-strike offense without cheating the defensive side.
Hagen’s motor, intelligence and ability to drive play project him as a legitimate top-six center in Boston as soon as next season. The B’s signed him to an AHL deal Monday.

Radim Mrtka, D
2025-26 team: Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL)
Mrtka is going to fit perfectly on Buffalo’s talented blue line.
The physical profile alone is rare, standing 6-foot-6, 216 pounds, and being a right-handed shot. But what makes Mrtka special is how well he moves around the ice with that frame. His first step is quick, his pivots are clean and he escapes pressure with poise. Defensively, his reach allows him to funnel attackers wide, kill plays in transition and maneuver with high-end awareness. With the puck, Mrtka is a transporter, joining the rush with purpose and threading passes to the middle of the ice off retrievals.
The offensive ceiling has room to grow, but the defensive floor is already high. Buffalo will have a minutes-eating defender with a combination of size, skating, and high-end defensive capability who will likely be ready for the 2027-28 season. As a righty, Mrtka also helps an imbalanced Buffalo blue line and should allow either Owen Power or Rasmus Dahlin to move back to their natural side.

Zayne Parekh, D
2025-26 team: Calgary Flames/Wranglers (NHL/AHL)
This was a lost season for Parekh, and he would benefit from playing a major role in the AHL, where he can run the power play. His offensive toolkit remains arguably the best among all defensive prospects in the game.
Parekh’s entire game is built on deception, four-way mobility, elite edgework, head fakes, look-offs and a release that catches goalies by surprise. The professional reality has been harder, which isn’t surprising for a 19-year-old defenseman. Parekh has yet to find his offensive game in the NHL while playing sheltered minutes on Calgary’s third pairing, a far cry from the dynamic offensive creator who put up 107 points in the OHL. The offensive instincts have yet to translate, with Parekh giving up more high-danger chances than he creates.
The IIHF World Junior Championship offered a reminder of his capabilities, with five goals and 13 points, shattering the Canadian record for points by a defenseman at the event. The ceiling remains a power-play quarterback and top-four dynamo who can be a game changer. But the Flames cannot afford to keep mismanaging his development the way they did this season.

Bradly Nadeau, F
2025-26 team: Chicago Wolves (AHL)
Nadeau is built to be a scoring winger at the NHL level. His shot is a combination of power, deception and accuracy, combined with a release that goalies have trouble picking up. That shot has seen him average more than half a goal per game in his first two seasons in the AHL with the Chicago Wolves.
Adding to his threatening offensive profile is his high-end awareness. He picks apart defensive structures, scans the ice and exploits passing lanes. His two-way game has taken a massive developmental step forward, and he has become a consistent penalty killer and is trusted in high-leverage situations.
At 5-foot-10, 172 pounds, the physical limitations see him lose board battles and get muscled off 50/50 pucks, and he lacks net-front presence against bigger defenders.
The good news is Carolina doesn’t need him to be a power forward; they need a difference-making goal scorer. If he continues to develop his two-way game and find the open space in the offensive zone, Nadeau projects as a top-six scoring winger — exactly the type of player the Hurricanes need — as soon as the 2026 playoffs.

Anton Frondell, F
2025-26 team: Djurgardens IF (SHL)
Get ready, Chicago!
Frondell is built like a tank and shoots like a sniper. At 6-foot-1, 205 pounds, he is physically mature for his age (he’ll turn 19 in May), leaning on opponents, throwing reverse hits, and winning position at the net front with a physicality that will serve him well in the NHL.
He’s a quality off-puck player, which has only improved with his experience in the SHL, Sweden’s top league. He reads the play, pushes pace to beat defensemen to rebounds and deflections and gets himself to the quiet areas, where he only needs a moment to beat goaltenders. His shot is versatile, blending power, accuracy, a good one-timer from the flank and impressive hand-eye coordination for tip-ins.
Frondell scored 20 goals for Djurgårdens IF in 43 SHL games as an 18-year-old, which is fourth all time for a player at that age. After a dominant performance at the World Juniors, he made significant development strides offensively, scoring 10 goals in his final 18 SHL games and showing improved playmaking ability.
He played mostly on the wing, which is the best spot for him to start in the NHL while his skating develops. Frondell is not particularly explosive or elusive, and adding that will give him more space to make plays. At his floor, he’s a top-six scoring winger and power-play weapon who rides shotgun with Connor Bedard. At his ceiling, he’s a force up the middle of the ice in Chicago’s top six and takes the rebuild to the next level.

Gavin Brindley, F
2025-26 team: Colorado Avalanche (NHL)
Brindley is 5-foot-9 — and plays like he doesn’t know it or doesn’t care.
His motor is relentless, his forechecking eliminates space, and his defensive engagement is the kind that makes coaches trust a 21-year-old in an NHL lineup. The offensive numbers don’t jump off the page, but the impact transcends the scoresheet. Brindley is exceptional at pressuring puck carriers and winning races to loose pucks, and he is reliable in his own end. His skating and agility are strengths because of quick feet and good edge work, and he has the ability to make plays under duress in tight spaces.
He’s unlikely to become a top-six driver, but the tenacity, two-way detail, and compete level project a middle-six, all-situations forward who elevates every line on which he plays. In a league that increasingly values players who do the hard things right, Brindley’s game translates, though he’ll likely be a fourth-line player at least to start.

Sergei Ivanov, G
2025-26 team: SKA St. Petersburg (KHL)
We could’ve picked a number of Blue Jackets prospects here, but it is rare that a 21-year-old goaltender puts up the numbers that Ivanov is registering in the KHL. He has exceptional post-to-post movement, a quick glove hand and an unconventional “just make the save” competitiveness blended with modern technique.
After posting a .911 save percentage with HC Sochi last season, Ivanov moved to SKA St. Petersburg this season and has taken another step. He posted a .927 save percentage and three shutouts across 29 games and was named to the KHL All-Star Game at 21 years old.
Ivanov studies Igor Shesterkin and Sergei Bobrovsky, and if you’re going to emulate goaltenders, there are certainly worse ones than those two.
Blue Jackets GM Don Waddell said the organization believes Ivanov is ready, and he confirmed his intention to come to North America when his KHL contract expires after this season. His size (6-foot) will always invite skepticism, but Ivanov covers ground he has no business reaching via anticipation and sheer will. He has genuine starting potential in the NHL once he adjusts to the North American game.

Emil Hemming, F
2025-26 team: Barrie Colts (OHL)
At 6-foot-1, 200 pounds, Hemming plays a prototypical power forward’s game. He drives the net, absorbs contact, links up with linemates on breakouts and backchecks with purpose rather than going through the motions.
Hemming’s shot is high-end, with the ability to fire off either leg and the ability to shoot through defenders’ triangles off the rush. Dallas gave him a brief AHL look to open the season before reassigning him to Barrie, where the OHL version of Hemming reemerged immediately. He produced 62 points in 45 games, with his shot volume jumping to nearly four shots per game and his playmaking emerging as a secondary weapon.
The Stars’ pipeline is thin due to limited draft capital, which makes Hemming’s development all the more critical. He represents their best chance at a homegrown middle-six forward if the shot translates as expected and the two-way habits keep maturing.

Nate Danielson, F
2025-26 team: Grand Rapids Griffins (AHL)
Danielson is one of the better skaters among center prospects in the NHL pipeline. He possesses a long, smooth stride with good edgework and agility.
His two-way play is the foundation of his game. He competes hard everywhere, supports the play, reads passing lanes and has been effective on both the penalty kill and power play with the Grand Rapids Griffins in the AHL. Danielson is a smart, connective playmaker rather than a dynamic one, and his impact tends to show up in the details of his game.
The offensive ceiling is the biggest question, but his statistical profile projects him to become a middle-six forward whose two-way play sees him play tough matchups. There’s a path to becoming a legitimate second-line center who anchors both ends of the ice and makes the players around him better. He has the skating ability to become an offensive play driver.

Isaac Howard, F
2025-26 team: Bakersfield Condors (AHL)
The Hobey Baker winner parlayed his dominant college career into a trade from Tampa Bay to Edmonton, where the Oilers’ development staff immediately identified what makes him special: the ability to find soft ice in the offensive zone and finish.
Howard has split this season between the NHL (five points in 28 games) and AHL Bakersfield (38 points in 36 games), showing the kind of shoot-first mentality and transitional intelligence that suggest he can be a 30-goal scorer with the Oilers. Howard’s skating helps him get to spots to shoot, especially with his ability to deftly stickhandle at full speed.
The concern is defensive responsibility, but if Howard can show he deserves a role next to Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl, he will be buoyed by their play. His puck skills are high-end, his creativity at speed is rare, and his willingness to try things other players wouldn’t attempt makes him a dynamic offensive weapon. The adjustment to NHL pace is ongoing, but he’s exactly the type of winger who should be given time to develop chemistry with one of Edmonton’s elite centers.

Jack Devine, F
2025-26 team: Charlotte Checkers (AHL)
Devine has spent his entire development arc proving that the teams who drafted 220 players ahead of him in 2022 missed something.
At the University of Denver, he was one of the most productive players in college hockey, winning the national scoring title as a senior with 57 points in 44 games, and he helped the Pioneers win two NCAA championships. His ability to adapt to his linemates has translated seamlessly to pro hockey, immediately becoming an impact AHL scorer with the Charlotte Checkers.
He drives play with tenacious playmaking, keeps plays alive and wins battles. He hangs on to pucks between checks, blending effort with above-average skill and has developed into a dual-threat passer and shooter. His motor is relentless, his reads are high-end and his speed has improved to complement his game.
At 5-foot-10, he’s still not viewed as a surefire NHL forward, but his feel for the game and hockey sense are there. It is more likely than not that Devine figures it out and becomes an everyday NHL contributor who outworks opponents and makes a difference in the bottom six.

Carter George, G
2025-26 team: Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds (OHL)
George is the most intriguing goaltending prospect in the Kings’ pipeline, and that’s saying something for an organization that has three netminders with legitimate NHL futures.
At 6-foot-1, George doesn’t have the imposing frame of a modern goaltender, but his crease movement is quick and poised, his positioning is mature and his puckhandling is as confident as that of any goalie prospect in the game. He reads the play early, tracks through traffic easily and fills the net with an upright stance that maximizes his coverage.
After making his AHL debut with the Ontario Reign last spring — winning both of his starts, including a shutout — George returned to the OHL this season and posted a .908 save percentage across 45 games including four shutouts and 23 wins. George’s anticipation, lateral quickness and ability to launch breakouts with stretch passes project him as a starting-caliber goaltender at the NHL level. He and Hampton Slukynsky could become L.A.’s future tandem in goal.

Charlie Stramel, F
2025-26 team: Michigan State (NCAA)
Stramel is a 6-foot-3, 216-pound center who has finally started looking like the player Minnesota believed it was drafting 21st in 2023.
After a quiet first two college seasons, Stramel broke out as a junior after transferring to Michigan State. He’s physically imposing and plays like it, punishing forecheckers, containing cycles and using his reach to cut off skating lanes and read passing options. The skating stride remains awkward, and his first step lacks explosiveness, but his top-end speed is legitimate and his balance through contact is a real asset at his size.
The offensive development has been the revelation. Soft hands, improved playmaking vision and the confidence to hold on to pucks and attack make him a scoring threat. Stramel’s floor is a reliable bottom-six center who wins battles and defends well. His ceiling, if the offensive game keeps trending, is a second-line, two-way force, something Minnesota really needs.
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Charlie Stramel scores goal
Charlie Stramel scores goal

Michael Hage, F
2025-26 team: Michigan (NCAA)
Simply put, Hage is a well-rounded player without a glaring flaw. His sophomore season at Michigan has been spectacular; he’s among the NCAA scoring leaders and firmly in the Hobey Baker conversation.
He’s a dynamic rush attacker who drives the middle and processes the play at lightning-quick pace, allowing him to make give-and-go plays at full speed to leave defenders scrambling. Hage reads defensive coverage, creates passing lanes and delivers pucks in prime scoring areas. A dual threat, his shot fools goaltenders with a toe drag snap that catches them on their heels. He’s creative, intelligent and has no significant weaknesses, and he’s capable of elevating a line.
Hage’s two-way game has matured; he’s a 200-foot player with the strength to win battles against tough competition. His development trajectory suggests he may be ready to play behind Nick Suzuki as a potential second-line center as soon as next season. If Hage signs his entry-level deal this spring, he could step in and play meaningful playoff minutes, too.

Brady Martin, F
2025-26 team: Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds (OHL)
Martin is a one-of-a-kind blend of manipulative playmaking and bone-crushing physicality, a forward who can fake a pass on his first touch, thread a no-look feed across the slot, and then immediately try to send someone through the boards. His motor is relentless, his hits are punishing and devastatingly timed and his forechecking generates more turnovers than many forwards I can remember.
Nashville saw enough to give him an NHL look out of training camp, and he was impactful for Canada at the World Juniors. Unfortunately, he has struggled since returning from injury in February.
The skating needs to take another step, but the intelligence, physicality and scoring tools are all top-six caliber. If his speed and pace of play improve, Martin becomes a unique power playmaker who elevates when the games matter most. If it doesn’t, he’s still a middle-six player whom teams will hate to play against.

Anton Silayev, D
2025-26 team: Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod (KHL)
Silayev is a physical anomaly. At 6-foot-7, 207 pounds, he’s a mammoth right-shot defenseman with the skating ability to cross the neutral zone in three or four strides; he moves like a player who has no right to be that big and that fluid simultaneously.
His defensive game is built on reach, aggression and an ability to close gaps, making opposing forwards feel like the ice is shrinking. His decisions with the puck are quick and sound. Becoming a shutdown defender who thrives in physical battles and denies space with suffocating range is the floor. The ceiling, if the offensive game develops, is a minutes-munching, top-four presence who can move pucks, kill plays and physically dominate.
Silayev’s KHL contract with Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod runs through May, at which point he’s expected to come to North America and be ready for NHL action next season.

Victor Eklund, F
2025-26 team: Djurgardens IF (SHL)
Eklund is the kind of prospect who people point to and say, “Size does not matter when the skill and motor are that good.”
At 5-foot-11, 170 pounds, he has no business winning board battles against men who outweigh him by 40 pounds, but he does so consistently by attacking their hands, getting underneath and leveraging his body to gain a positioning advantage. His forechecking is elite and is going to be a nightmare for every defenseman he plays against. The skating isn’t a standout tool on its own, but paired with that seemingly bottomless motor, it creates a pace that suffocates defenders and drives transition.
Playing full-time for Djurgårdens IF (the same team as the Blackhawks’ Frondell), he scored 24 points in 43 SHL games as a teenager. He has been on a tear of late and owns a statistical profile that lends very well to an NHL player. He’s not going to be an elite offensive creator in the NHL, but his vision below the goal line, his ability to turn steals off the forecheck into chances and his willingness to do everything the hard way will endear himself to any coach.
Eklund projects as a top-six winger who elevates every line he plays on. The Isles got a real good one 16th overall last summer, and there is a good chance other teams will regret passing on him.

Liam Greentree, F
2025-26 team: Windsor Spitfires (OHL)
Greentree solves problems with the puck on his stick. At 6-foot-3, 215 pounds, he has an NHL-ready frame and uses it to power through checks, protect possession and navigate traffic. He manipulates space off the rush with look-offs and give-and-goes, while forcing defenders and goalies to respect a high-end shot.
Greentree has been on a 14-goal, 25-point tear for the OHL’s Windsor Spitfires since being acquired by the Rangers as the centerpiece of the Artemi Panarin trade. He’s a crafty, powerful forward who racks up points through playmaking and finishing in equal measure.
His skating is the legitimate concern; his first step and acceleration need meaningful improvement to project as more than a middle-six contributor at the NHL level. The offensive intelligence, size and production profile suggest a player who will find ways to score even if the footspeed never becomes a strength. New York got a prospect with middle-six tools and a frame built for playoff hockey.

Carter Yakemchuk, D
2025-26 team: Belleville Senators (AHL)
Yakemchuk’s offensive instincts from the back end are rare, and he’s producing at a high-end rate on the Senators’ AHL squad (Belleville). He jumps into rushes aggressively, gets shots through from the point and has the power to score from range.
At 6-3, right-handed, with a booming point shot and dynamic puck skills, the power-play upside is clearly there. The majority of his growth has been on the defensive side, including improved gap control, better consistency in the corners, and a willingness to play within structure that Ottawa’s development staff has prioritized.
The forward skating is strong, but lateral and backward mobility remain hurdles to full-time NHL play. If the defensive details keep trending upward alongside the offensive firepower, Yakemchuk projects as a middle-pair defenseman who can anchor a power play and change games with his shot. Ottawa is rightfully being patient, and giving Yakemchuk a steady defensive partner when he steps into the NHL will help him.

Porter Martone, F
2025-26 team: Michigan State (NCAA)
Martone is one of the smartest prospects in an NHL pipeline. He constantly scans, anticipates defenders’ movements, manipulates coverage and delivers passes that are translatable to the NHL. His dual-threat shot is a violent power transfer through his entire body, and he also has the deception to rip a no-look short-side wrister that freezes goaltenders.
After moving to Michigan State, Martone performed well against bigger, stronger competition, and his skating continued to improve. Questions remain around pace of play and physical engagement, as he’s currently a soft-skill player in a power forward’s body.
But if his skating and willingness to use his powerful body continue to improve, at 6-3, 208 pounds, Philadelphia has a potential top-line winger and elite power-play weapon. Philadelphia is the perfect place for a power forward to thrive, and Martone has all the tools to be a dominant NHL winger.
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Porter Martone finds the back of the net
Porter Martone scores goal

Will Horcoff, F
2025-26 team: Michigan (NCAA)
Horcoff towers over most everyone on the ice. At 6-5, 200 pounds, the son of longtime NHLer Shawn has an NHL frame, and he has developed offensively during his sophomore season at Michigan.
Horcoff’s defensive play is a real asset. He’s fueled by proactive reads, physical disruption and a backcheck that suffocates puck carriers with his range and positioning. The playmaking has emerged as a legitimate weapon, including one-touch passes, area feeds, deft wall plays and delays for teammates to jump into lanes.
His ability to be a play driver remains a question, largely related to his skating. His edge work needs work, and he can slow the game down too much when he’s hunting the perfect play. If the pace and mobility improve as the body fills out, Horcoff has the hockey sense, defensive detail and skill to become more than a bottom-six center. His ability to become a play driver and support the play will ultimately determine how high he plays in the lineup.

Igor Chernyshov, F
2025-26 team: San Jose Sharks/Barracuda (NHL/AHL)
Chernyshov’s combination of size, skating and skill makes him one of the more intriguing young wingers. At 6-2 with pro-caliber speed and high-end puck handling, he has been a reliable point producer at every level. With the Barracuda, he produced 33 points in 41 AHL games, and when San Jose recalled him, Chernyshov didn’t look out of place, posting 22 points in 31 NHL games while skating alongside Macklin Celebrini and Will Smith.
His playmaking is more refined than the power-forward archetype suggests. He sees the ice well, shows poise with the puck and is creative with his rush play. Chernyshov is a dynamic transition threat with the size, speed and skill to become a top-six winger who can score and facilitate.
San Jose’s rebuild has a centerpiece forward group forming, and Chernyshov looks like a core piece of it.

Jake O’Brien, F
2025-26 team: Brantford Bulldogs (OHL)
Passing is O’Brien’s first, second and third play, which is a major reason he is the owner of the most points in Brantford Bulldogs history. When he can’t find a lane, he creates one by shifting defenders or selling a shot fake before slipping a feed through multiple defenders. He passes through sticks, under skates, behind his own back, and spots teammates at the far post before anyone recognizes the threat.
He’s a forward who is likely to be a quarterback for an NHL power play because of his vision, deceptive releases and cross-slot passing. Back with Brantford this season as captain, O’Brien led the OHL in assists and scored 1.75 points per game, answering questions about whether he can drive a team on his own.
He needs to fill out his frame, but at 6-foot-2 and 177 pounds, the physical runway is enormous, and the playmaking ceiling makes the bet worthwhile. If the skating and strength develop alongside the creativity, Seattle has a top-line, play-driving center. At worst, O’Brien is a play-driving winger in the top six who will pile up the assists.

Justin Carbonneau, F
2025-26 team: Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (QMJHL)
The 6-foot-1 winger can fly while keeping tight control over the puck, slipping it around skates, under sticks and behind defenders. His scoring tools are elite, with an excellent release he can fire from uncomfortable positions, deceptive passing that draws multiple defenders before threading feeds through coverage and the off-puck instincts to time himself into pockets to catch-and-release.
The decision-making remains the primary area of development. When everything clicks, he looks like a first-line play driver; when it doesn’t, the turnovers multiply and his impact vanishes. Those turnovers will hold him back from earning trust at the NHL level right now. However, the tools, self-confidence and adaptability suggest the processing will catch up. Carbonneau’s ceiling is a first-line, dual-threat winger.

Conor Geekie, F
2025-26 team: Syracuse Crunch (AHL)
The younger brother of Boston’s Morgan Geekie, the 21-year-old is the most complete prospect in Tampa Bay’s system — and the foundation for whatever comes after the Golden Years.
At 6-4, his combination of size, reach, hands and offensive IQ is rare. He handles pucks through tight spaces, protects possession and is a dual-threat playmaker and shooter with a release that punishes goalies who cheat to his passing lanes.
Tampa Bay sent him to Syracuse this season with a specific prescription: play as the first-line center, on the top power play and the penalty kill. He has responded with 54 points in 40 AHL games.
The skating remains the primary development requirement. His stride is upright and lacks explosiveness out of turns; at the NHL level, that limits his ability to separate and win races he should win with that frame. But his defensive play is already strong, he tracks well in transition and takes good routes to the puck.
If the skating improves to even league-average level, Geekie has the toolkit of a 60-point, two-way center. If it doesn’t, he’s a bottom-six guy who can contribute offensively.

Ben Danford, D
2025-26 team: Brantford Bulldogs (OHL)
With the graduation of Easton Cowan, Danford reigns as the top Leafs prospect.
For all the talk about the Leafs needing to add some physicality and a mean streak to their lineup, Danford has no shortage of either. He delivers thunderous body checks, is reliable in the defensive zone, wins the majority of his puck battles and plays in key situations. His skating is slightly above average, allowing him to have good gap control and disrupt passes with a well-placed stick.
His offensive capabilities have grown over the past couple of seasons, beating the first layer of pressure and getting shots through. He’s unlikely to be an offensive producer in the NHL, as his strengths are suited to a shutdown role with heavy penalty-killing minutes. Danford makes a good first pass under pressure and has shown more patience.
His decision making and execution with the puck will determine whether he becomes a middle-pairing defender or a bottom-pair player.

Tij Iginla, F
2025-26 team: Kelowna Rockets (WHL)
Iginla is a tour de force and seems destined to become a top-six point producer in the NHL.
Through 47 WHL games this season, he led the league in points per game (1.93) while driving a Kelowna team preparing to host the Memorial Cup.
His shot is his calling card. It is quick and deceptive, and when combined with the ability to create his own time and space, it is a game changer. Iginla’s details are well-rounded. His wall game is high-end, and he wins the vast majority of puck battles. His habits away from the puck are an equal strength, with constant threat identification, an active stick and hard-nosed backchecking.
Simply put, he’s one of the best prospects outside the NHL. The dual-threat offensive ability, the compete level, and the rapidly improving all-around game project a player who can impact an NHL lineup in every situation and make impactful plays in the playoffs.
In Iginla, Utah has the type of player that many in the industry say “you win with.”

Braeden Cootes, F
2025-26 team: Prince Albert Raiders (WHL)
Cootes is a one-man forechecking machine who already looks like an NHL player at age 19. His motor and energy are undeniably elite. His feet never stop moving, and he makes plays while absorbing hits, which separates him from other prospects.
Vancouver believed enough to put him on their opening night roster this season, before sending him back to the WHL to develop. Now with Prince Albert after a midseason trade, Cootes is leading the Raiders in scoring and driving a Memorial Cup contender. His playmaking is above average and his rush game is dynamic. He dangles with his feet moving, attacks the middle and skates through back pressure.
Cootes’ defensive detail is already projectable, which is largely why he got to the NHL look to start the season. Vancouver — perhaps more than any other franchise — is starved for centers, and Cootes’ floor is a high-energy, third-line pivot. The ceiling is a matchup second-line center with 65-point upside. He’d benefit from a full AHL season, where he can further develop both sides of his game and adjust to the speed of professional hockey.

Trevor Connelly, F
2025-26 team: Henderson Silver Knights (AHL)
Connelly is a brilliantly skilled forward with the creativity and pace to score and make plays at the NHL level.
His skating is among the fastest and most agile outside of the NHL, making him a monster in transition. He has the ability to change direction at full speed, leaving defenders flat-footed. Combine that with quick hands, jaw-dropping deception and the ability to make difficult plays look easy, and the offensive toolkit is undeniable.
Connelly made his AHL debut with Henderson this season and quickly showed why Vegas believes in the top-six projection. The development path requires patience as his decision-making consistency needs to improve. When the processing catches up to the raw offensive tools, Connelly has the ceiling of a dynamic, top-six winger who makes everyone around him more dangerous.

Cole Hutson, D
2025-26 team: Boston University (NCAA)
The emergence of Cole Hutson is likely why the Capitals moved off John Carlson at the trade deadline — and the freshly signed 19-year-old scored his first NHL goal into an empty net last week.
His offensive creativity from the blue line is otherworldly and already impactful in the NHL. His edgework is elite; a combination of lateral slides, hesitation moves and the kind of confidence while carrying the puck that lets him walk the line and break defensive coverage.
In his sophomore season at Boston University, Hutson led the Terriers in scoring with 32 points in 35 games and averaged over 25 minutes of ice time per game, earning All-Hockey East first-team honors for a second consecutive season. The offensive toolkit projects him as a power-play quarterback and transition weapon. The defensive game will develop as he plays more in the NHL, including gap control, defending against the cycle and shoulder checking for threats.
Washington didn’t use the No. 43 pick in 2024 on him to be a shutdown defender; the Caps drafted him to be an offensive catalyst. If the defensive details sharpen, the offensive upside makes him a legitimate top-four option with game-breaking ability.
0:47
Cole Hutson lights the lamp
Cole Hutson tallies goal vs. Senators

Brayden Yager, F
2025-26 team: Manitoba Moose (AHL)
Yager is one of the smartest players at the AHL level. His shot is his offensive calling card, whether he’s ripping a wrister or loading up a one-timer; it’s NHL-caliber already.
Yager provides defensive value across all three zones, competes on retrievals, supports the play and does not cheat for offense. In his first professional season with Manitoba, he has earned middle-six center duties and time on both the power play and penalty kill. He is producing at a respectable clip while adjusting to the AHL’s pace and physicality. The hockey sense and puck skills are evident.
The areas for growth are strength and quickness. Yager still has time to develop on both sides of the puck, but the foundation of a middle-six secondary point producer who brings reliable two-way play is there. He is the kind of center Winnipeg can slide onto its third line once the physical tools catch up to the hockey IQ.
Sports
NBA Power Rankings: The Thunder reign while East teams rise
Where do all 30 teams stand in the final March edition of ESPN’s NBA Power Rankings? So far, 10 teams have clinched at least a postseason berth, with the full playoff picture beginning to take shape. And with the pool of top 20 teams nearly set, the next few weeks are all about jockeying for position.
In the Western Conference, the Los Angeles Lakers are making the loudest statement among the logjam of teams behind the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs. The 3-seeded Lakers, healthy again and settling into an offensive hierarchy between Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Austin Reaves, have won nine of 10 games in their pursuit of home court in the first round.
The Atlanta Hawks have made their own push as an attempt to break free from the Eastern Conference play-in picture. Atlanta is 13-1 over the past month, albeit during a weaker portion of its schedule. Things get tougher starting Wednesday, when the 6-seeded Hawks face the East-leading Detroit Pistons and Boston Celtics three times in six days.
Which playoff contenders and lottery-bound teams are making moves up and down our latest rankings? Check out our updated 1-30 list and what lies ahead for each team as the regular season winds down.
Note: Team rankings are based on where members of our panel (ESPN’s Anthony Slater, Dave McMenamin, Jamal Collier, Michael C. Wright, Bobby Marks, Tim Bontemps, Tim MacMahon, Vincent Goodwill and Zach Kram) think teams belong.
Previous rankings: Preseason | Oct. 29 | Nov. 5 | Nov. 12 | Nov. 19 | Nov. 26 | Dec. 3 | Dec. 10 | Dec. 17 | Dec. 24 | Dec. 31 | Jan. 7 | Jan. 14 | Jan. 21 | Jan. 28 | Feb. 4 | Feb. 11 | Feb. 25 | Mar. 4 | Mar. 11 | Mar. 18
Jump to a team:
ATL | BOS | BKN | CHA | CHI | CLE
DAL | DEN | DET | GS | HOU | IND
LAC | LAL | MEM | MIA | MIL | MIN
NO | NY | OKC | ORL | PHI | PHX
POR | SAC | SA | TOR | UTAH | WAS
1:04
OKC looking to young talent for repeat championship run
Zach Kram breaks down Ajay Mitchell and Jared McCain’s impact in the Thunder’s pursuit of another chip this season.
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2025-26 record: 54-15
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Previous ranking: 1

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Next games: @ BOS (Mar. 25), vs. CHI (Mar. 27), vs. NYK (Mar. 29), vs. DET (Mar. 30)
In his return to the lineup, Jalen Williams had 18 points and six assists over only 20 minutes in Philadelphia on Monday night. There’s little unknown about the defending champions entering the playoffs. They’ve won 12 straight and appear poised to grab home court throughout the postseason. But their ultimate ceiling will be based on whether Williams can shake off an injury-riddled season and find his best version in the next two months. Monday was a positive start. — Anthony Slater
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2025-26 record: 52-19
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Previous ranking: 3

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Next games: vs. ATL (Mar. 25), vs. NO (Mar. 26), @ MIN (Mar. 28), @ OKC (Mar. 30), vs. TOR (Mar. 31)
Seven days ago, the top of the East appeared to be open with news of Cade Cunningham’s punctured lung, seemingly leaving the Pistons vulnerable. But many Pistons staffers believed a hard reset was needed to get back to their defensive identity, which had experienced slippage over the last few weeks. Four wins later, they sit firmly back atop the standings with 11 games left and back to second in defense. And from a two-way player to a two-year deal revelation, Daniss Jenkins has rediscovered his mojo after a monthlong slump, averaging 26 on 60% shooting in wins over the Warriors and Lakers. — Vincent Goodwill
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2025-26 record: 47-24

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Previous ranking: 4
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Next games: vs. OKC (Mar. 25), vs. ATL (Mar. 27), @ CHA (Mar. 29), @ ATL (Mar. 30)
It’s been an up-and-down first couple of weeks for Jayson Tatum since returning to the lineup for the Celtics on March 6. One thing that has been consistent, however, is Tatum’s usage rate, which entering Wednesday’s showdown with Oklahoma City is 30.8 — right in line with where it has been each of the past five seasons. — Tim Bontemps
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Victor Wembanyama became the fifth player to reach 4,000 points and 600 blocks in his first three seasons since blocks became an official stat in 1973-74, according to ESPN Research. The Frenchman joins the company of Shaquille O’Neal, Alonzo Mourning, David Robinson and Hakeem Olajuwon as the only players to achieve the feat.
San Antonio enters Wednesday’s clash with Memphis on a six-game winning streak, including victories in 22 of the past 24 since Feb. 1, with an opportunity to finish with its first 60-win campaign since the 2016-17 season. The toughest portion of the remaining schedule starts April 1 at Golden State, followed by road outings against the Clippers and Nuggets. — Michael C. Wright
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2025-26 record: 46-26
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Previous ranking: 6

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Next games: @ IND (Mar. 25), vs. BKN (Mar. 27), vs. WSH (Mar. 30), vs. CLE (Mar. 31)
After L.A.’s nine-game winning streak was snapped in Detroit on Monday, coach JJ Redick reflected on what he took from the hot stretch.
“We’re a good basketball team,” he said. “I believe that we’re a good basketball team. I thought we could be a good basketball team the entire season. We saw flashes of it. We saw short stretches of it, but we’re a good basketball team.”
Two out of the Lakers’ final 10 games are against a great basketball team in the Oklahoma City Thunder, which L.A. should treat like playoff games before the real thing begins. — Dave McMenamin
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While the Celtics were looking up at the 1-seed, the Knicks were eyeing the Celtics in that second spot in the East, and the two playoff combatants are eye-to-eye following a six-game winning streak. It’s a break in the schedule the Knicks have been waiting for, with the combined record of 104-255 (.289 winning percentage), and short of a scare against the Nets, the Knicks have taken care of business. Getting Mikal Bridges back on track is an objective before the playoffs. Since scoring 25 against the Spurs on March 1, he’s averaging 8.9 points on 37% shooting in his last 11 games — not a sustainable playoff formula. — Vincent Goodwill
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2025-26 record: 45-27
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Previous ranking: 7

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Next games: vs. MIA (Mar. 25), vs. MIA (Mar. 27), @ UTAH (Mar. 30), @ LAL (Mar. 31)
The Cavs have some cushion as the No. 4 seed in the East, and they could also have an impact on their potential first-round opponent. After Tuesday’s 136-131 win over Orlando — the team’s fourth straight — Cleveland still has two games each remaining with both Miami and Atlanta, two of the other teams chasing the Raptors for the No. 5 slot in the East and a likely first-round date with the Cavs. — Jamal Collier
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Forward Peyton Watson returned Sunday after missing more than six weeks due to a hamstring strain, scoring 14 points in 20 minutes off the bench in a win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Watson is in the midst of a breakout season as he approaches restricted free agency, averaging career bests of 14.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 1.0 steals per game for a Nuggets team that needs to get healthy. — Tim MacMahon
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Minnesota is trying to claim a top-four seed in the Western Conference while missing Anthony Edwards (knee) for an extended period. If Edwards misses three more games he will be ineligible for All-NBA honors at season’s end due to the 65-game rule. The Nuggets, Rockets and Timberwolves are all vying for home court in the first round of the playoffs. — Bontemps
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2025-26 record: 43-28
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Previous ranking: 9

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Next games: @ MIN (Mar. 25), @ MEM (Mar. 27), @ NO (Mar. 29), @ NYK (Mar. 31)
The loss at Chicago marked Houston’s 12th to a team with a losing record, tying the Hornets for the most of any team this season with a winning record. Houston owns a 23-12 mark against teams currently below .500 with a crucial matchup on deck Wednesday at Minnesota.
Despite the team’s overall inconsistency recently, center Alperen Sengun is rounding into postseason form with four straight double-doubles. The rest of the supporting cast needs to step up for the Rockets to salvage a season soured by injuries to key leaders on the team. — Wright
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2025-26 record: 40-32
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Previous ranking: 14

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Next games: @ DET (Mar. 25), @ BOS (Mar. 27), vs. SAC (Mar. 28), vs. BOS (Mar. 30)
The Hawks continue to play their best basketball at the right time of the season. Despite the loss at Houston last Friday that snapped an 11-game winning streak, Atlanta has won 13 out of 15 and trails only Oklahoma City for the league’s top offense. Twelve of those wins have come by double digits. In two wins against Golden State and Memphis, Atlanta won by a combined 55 points. Against the Grizzlies, the Hawks set a franchise record with 25 3-pointers. — Bobby Marks
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After Phoenix followed a tough 2-4 road trip with a home loss to the struggling Milwaukee Bucks, the Suns got back on track with a 22-point win over the Toronto Raptors this past weekend. Six of their final 10 games are on the road, where they’re 17-18. But seeing as they’re 3.5 games back of Houston for No. 6 and four games up on the L.A. Clippers in No. 8, their No. 7 spot is likely secure. — McMenamin
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2025-26 record: 40-31
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Previous ranking: 15

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Next games: @ LAC (Mar. 25), vs. NO (Mar. 27), vs. ORL (Mar. 29), @ DET (Mar. 31)
With one game to go on their last big road trip of the season, the Raptors are 2-2 on their current stretch away from home. They beat the teams with losing records (Chicago and Utah) and lost to the teams with winning records (Denver and Phoenix), continuing a seasonlong trend. With important upcoming games against Orlando and Miami (twice), who are rivals with the Raptors for playoff seeding, Toronto must hope it can eke out a few wins against upper-tier competition. — Zach Kram
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2025-26 record: 38-34
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Previous ranking: 17

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Next games: vs. NYK (Mar. 26), vs. PHI (Mar. 28), vs. BOS (Mar. 29), @ BKN (Mar. 31)
Blowout wins over Miami and Orlando have Charlotte still in the running for the first division title in franchise history. With a few weeks to go in the regular season, the Southeast Division hosts a four-team race: As of Tuesday, Atlanta has 32 losses, Orlando has 33, and Miami and Charlotte both have 34. Even better: With Philadelphia sitting at 33 losses as well, there’s a chance the East’s play-in tournament is an all-Southeast affair. — Kram
1:40
Paul George apologizes for suspension, looks forward to return
Paul George speaks about his suspension and his mindset going into the rest of the season.
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After weeks with several players sidelined due to injury and suspension, Philadelphia is finally getting back to normal again. Paul George is returning from a 25-game suspension Wednesday, Joel Embiid (knee) is questionable to play and Tyrese Maxey (finger) might not be far behind, as well. They’ll need all hands on deck for the home stretch of the season after falling to No. 7 in the Eastern Conference and into the play-in. — Bontemps
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2025-26 record: 38-34
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Previous ranking: 13

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Next games: @ CLE (Mar. 25), @ CLE (Mar. 27), @ IND (Mar. 29), vs. PHI (Mar. 30)
A late-March skid — the Heat have followed a season-high seven-game winning streak with five consecutive losses — has derailed Miami’s push to avoid a fourth consecutive trip to the play-in. In all five losses, the Heat allowed at least 120 points, the longest streak in franchise history. Miami trails only Milwaukee, Washington and Indiana for the worst defense in that stretch. — Bobby Marks
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The Magic have lost a season-high six games in a row and are now tied with Charlotte and Miami in the East play-in field. The schedule does not get easier, as five out of their next eight opponents have a record above .500. A bright spot in the losing streak is the play of Jamal Cain, however. Signed to a two-way contract in the offseason, Cain had his contract converted on March 20. He has scored double-digit points in three out of the past four games, including a season-high 17 points against Cleveland. — Marks
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2025-26 record: 36-36
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Previous ranking: 16

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Next games: vs. TOR (Mar. 25), @ IND (Mar. 27), @ MIL (Mar. 29), vs. POR (Mar. 31)
Darius Garland has found his shooting stroke with the Clippers, averaging 20.8 points on 50% from the field and 50.7% from 3 in his first 10 games with the franchise. The two-time All-Star exploded for 41 points on 15-for-24 shooting (8-for-12 from 3) in an overtime win over the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday and the Clippers are firmly in the playoff picture, two games up on No. 10 Golden State with 10 games left. — McMenamin
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2025-26 record: 36-37
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Previous ranking: 20

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Next games: vs. MIL (Mar. 25), vs. DAL (Mar. 27), vs. WSH (Mar. 29), @ LAC (Mar. 31)
A recent Clippers skid has cracked open the door for the Blazers to sneak into the eighth seed, which provides a much more realistic path for them to get into the playoffs through the play-in bracket. Portland is one back in the loss column, but faces the Clippers twice in the final three weeks of the season and has five lottery teams on the schedule over the last nine games. Even if the Blazers have little chance to upset the Spurs or Thunder, they’d benefit from some first-round playoff experience for their young core. — Slater
0:37
Kerr: Warriors will play Curry in play-in tourney if healthy
Steve Kerr provides an update on Stephen Curry’s availability for the Warriors this season.
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An adverse Warriors season continues to turn catastrophic. Starting wing Moses Moody — having a career season in his fifth year — suffered a gruesome noncontact leg injury late in overtime Monday night in Dallas. The timing and severity put all of next season in jeopardy for Moody, who is in the first season of a three-year, $39 million extension. The Warriors already anticipate that Jimmy Butler III, rehabbing from a torn ACL, will miss a chunk of next season. Tough times in San Francisco. — Slater
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Following wins in five of their last seven contests, the Pelicans start a three-game road trip Tuesday against the Knicks, followed by matchups at Detroit and Toronto. The team’s performance over that stretch could ultimately determine interim coach James Borrego’s future.
Zion Williamson is now up to 132 career 25-point games after Saturday’s loss to Cleveland, which ranks third in New Orleans history behind Anthony Davis (220) and Brandon Ingram (133), according to ESPN Research. The defeat to the Cavs was the Pelicans’ sixth this season after leading by 15 points or more. — Wright
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2025-26 record: 29-42
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Previous ranking: 21

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Next games: @ POR (Mar. 25), vs. SAS (Mar. 28), vs. LAC (Mar. 29), vs. DAL (Mar. 31)
When the Bucks signed Cam Thomas shortly after the trade deadline, they believed they were adding a player who could help them make a playoff push. Doc Rivers went so far as comparing Thomas to great bench scorers he’s coached in the past, such as three-time Sixth Man of the Year Jamal Crawford with the Clippers. But less than two months later, Thomas was released after struggling to score efficiently and providing little else to a Bucks team sputtering toward the finish line. — Collier
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2025-26 record: 29-42
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Previous ranking: 22

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Next games: @ PHI (Mar. 25), @ OKC (Mar. 27), @ MEM (Mar. 28), @ SAS (Mar. 30)
The Bulls dismantled their roster at the trade deadline because, as team vice president Arturas Karnisovas explained, they didn’t want to remain in the middle. At that point, Chicago had the 21st-best record in the league at 24-31. Fast forward to this week, and the Bulls still have the 21st-best record in the league at 29-42. Chicago will almost certainly require some lottery luck to change its immediate future. — Collier
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2025-26 record: 24-47
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Previous ranking: 24

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Next games: vs. SAS (Mar. 25), vs. HOU (Mar. 27), vs. CHI (Mar. 28), vs. PHX (Mar. 30)
The losses continue to pile up along with the team’s injury update announcements. Star guard Ja Morant hasn’t played since Jan. 21 and missed his 29th consecutive game Monday in Atlanta for a squad that is now 6-23 in his absence. The 36-point setback against the Hawks on Monday registered as Memphis’ largest margin of loss this season. The Grizzlies host San Antonio on Wednesday to tip off a six-game homestand that closes out April 3 against Toronto. — Wright
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2025-26 record: 23-49
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Previous ranking: 25

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Next games: @ DEN (Mar. 25), @ POR (Mar. 27), vs. MIN (Mar. 30), @ MIL (Mar. 31)
It has been more than two months since the Mavericks won a home game, losing 12 consecutive games at the American Airlines Center since a Jan. 22 win over the Warriors. The home losing streak was extended with Monday’s overtime loss to the Warriors, when rookie Cooper Flagg recorded his eighth 30-point performance, trailing only LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony for the most ever in a season by a teenager. — MacMahon
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2025-26 record: 21-51
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Previous ranking: 26

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Next games: vs. WSH (Mar. 25), @ DEN (Mar. 27), @ PHX (Mar. 28), vs. CLE (Mar. 30)
Rookie Ace Bailey, the fifth overall pick in the 2025 draft, has been a bright spot as the Jazz head toward securing another high lottery pick. He’s scored at least 25 points in the last three games, becoming the fifth-youngest player ever to record such a streak. His 95 points in that span is the most by a Jazz rookie over a three-game stretch since Darrell Griffith during the 1980-81 season. Bailey, 19, scored a career-high 37 in Monday’s loss to the Raptors. — MacMahon
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Arkansas coach John Calipari sat courtside in Sacramento on Sunday afternoon, catching a Kings game between NCAA tournament stops in Portland and San Jose. The appearance was notable.
Calipari coaches Darius Acuff Jr., an electric scoring guard for the Razorbacks who is rising into the top-five conversation for June’s draft. League sources confirm the Kings have a growing level of interest in Acuff, and he will be a real option for them near the top of the draft. — Slater
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2025-26 record: 17-55
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Previous ranking: 28

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Next games: @ GS (Mar. 25), @ LAL (Mar. 27), vs. SAC (Mar. 29), vs. CHA (Mar. 31)
It’s been miserable and stays that way for the Nets, who are waiting for May 10, lottery night, to see if all this losing is worth the pain. It wasn’t a surprise to see them compete in a cross-borough Knicks matchup on Friday, taking double-digit leads and almost squeaking out a win. The spiciest note of the night came from Josh Minott, who hit six triples in a game for the first time this season, calling out former teammate Karl-Anthony Towns, “I love KAT, but he don’t like physicality. That’s my boy, too. I hope this angers him.” — Goodwill
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2025-26 record: 16-55
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Previous ranking: 29

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Next games: @ UTAH (Mar. 25), @ GS (Mar. 27), @ POR (Mar. 29), @ LAL (Mar. 30)
With 15 consecutive losses, Washington has fallen into a tie with Indiana for the fewest wins in the NBA. At this point, the Wizards have more than guaranteed they’ll keep their top-eight-protected pick; now, they’re on the verge of finishing with the NBA’s worst record and landing the No. 1 spot entering lottery night. — Kram
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With a 37-point effort from Pascal Siakam, the Pacers snapped a 16-game losing streak in Orlando on Monday — their first win since the All-Star break.
The victory gave Indiana 16 wins on the season, tying them with Washington for the fewest in the league — but if the Pacers finish with the No. 1, 2, or 3 positions in the lottery, they’ll have identical 52.1% odds of keeping their pick, which will go to the Clippers if it lands outside the top four. — Kram
Sports
Three bets and two Eliminator picks for the men’s tournament round of 16
The 2026 men’s basketball tournament round of 16 is here and for my money, it’s college basketball nirvana.
The trade-off for very few upsets early on is premium games for four straight days to decide who advances to the Final Four. This is the best, most competitive basketball you will see all year. Whether your brackets are busted or not, you’re still going to be treated to some high-level hoops.
Throughout the tourney, I will provide my best bets for each round as well as my picks for the new ESPN Men’s Tournament Challenge Eliminator game.
Here are my selections for the round of 16.
Note: Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook at time of Wednesday’s publication and subject to change.
Thursday’s games
(2) Purdue team total OVER 77.5 (-127) vs. (11) Texas
Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET (CBS)
I had my sights set on the Boilermakers minus the points here, but early money coming on Texas has forced me off. I’ll look to an alternate market here with the team total. Purdue is the most efficient offense in the country, and the Longhorns don’t really have a defense that matches up well, especially at the 3-point line where Purdue is eighth in the nation in 3-point shooting and the Longhorns are 253rd in 3-point shooting defense.
Sharp bettors believe Texas can hang in this game, and if the Longhorns do, it’s because of their scoring and facing an average Purdue defense. Texas is unlikely to win a game that stays under the total. That favors Purdue mostly because of its pace, which is a diabolically slow 324th in the country. The Boilermakers make you work extra hard on defense and then take your soul by finishing off with a bucket or a 3. It’s that pace, which will slow even more if Texas isn’t scoring, and that’s how Purdue doesn’t get there. But I believe that the Longhorns’ offense has found a real rhythm in the tournament so far and will help push Purdue over this number.
(2) Houston -3.5 (-105) vs. (3) Illinois
Game time: 10:05 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV)
I missed the best of the number here at the open when it was -2.5, but it only confirms my feeling about Houston being the better team here, especially on defense. Illinois is the second-most efficient offense in the country, but this will be a game of limited possessions as both teams are in the bottom 100 in adjusted tempo, with Houston being in the bottom 15. Both teams force opponents into long possessions on offense and bad shots.
Where the Cougars will decide this game is at the 3-point line. Illinois gets more than 50% of its points from 3-pointers. Five of the eight Illini losses come against teams in the top 100 in 3-point shooting defense. Houston is 44th in the country in that category. The Cougars offense should do enough here and they will have the benefit of a very heavy home crowd with the game in Houston.
Eliminator pick: (2) Purdue
The Longhorns’ run has been impressive, but here’s where it comes to an end. Texas doesn’t have the shooting to keep up with Purdue … and its shooting has gone up in each of the tournament games. There’s likely some regression coming here.
How to play ESPN Eliminator Challenge.
Friday’s games
(1) Duke vs. (5) St. John’s +6.5 (-108)
Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET (CBS)
The Red Storm have advanced to the second week of tourney play for the first time since 1999 and in just the third season under Rick Pitino. Surprisingly enough, they are here because of their defense, which is ranked in the top 10 in adjusted efficiency for the first time since their last round of 16 appearance. The Johnnies can match Duke defensively and their athleticism can contain Duke’s Cameron Boozer. They held Kansas star Darryn Peterson to 5-of-15 shooting. I see a similar result here for Boozer.
The total for this game is 142.5. Duke has seen just 10 totals this low all season. It has gone over this number just twice, and one of them was because it scored 100 points against Notre Dame. The correlation here is that if Duke is limited in scoring, that favors the Johnnies as a three-possession underdog. Rick Pitino is also 6-2 against the spread in the NCAA tournament as an underdog of five points or more; that includes 3-0 as a No. 6 seed or better. This is a game I think St. John’s can win outright, so it’s worth it to sprinkle a little on the moneyline as well.
Eliminator pick: (6) Tennessee
Iowa State was able to get past Kentucky without its best player, but I’ll bet against it happening two times against high-level opponents. Even if Joshua Jefferson does play, Iowa State’s offense won’t do much against the Volunteers’ defense. All of the Cyclones’ losses except one have been to teams with an adjusted defensive efficiency ranking in the top 35. Tennessee is 14th.
Sports
Who’s next at UNC? Potential candidates to replace Hubert Davis, their priorities
Hubert Davis is out at North Carolina, just five days after the Tar Heels’ catastrophic collapse against VCU. After entering the season on the hot seat, a signature win against Duke in February and a 24-8 record seemed to have kept Davis safe from dismissal after entering the NCAA tournament as a 6-seed.
Especially given the season-ending injury to star forward Caleb Wilson, all signs pointed to Davis returning to Chapel Hill regardless of what happened in March. Then the Tar Heels blew a 19-point lead to 11-seed VCU in the second half of their first-round game, with Davis mismanaging down the stretch of regulation.
Davis’ head coaching tenure at Carolina comes to an end after five seasons, a stretch that included a national championship game appearance in 2022 and an ACC regular-season championship in 2024.
So what’s next in Chapel Hill?
When Roy Williams retired in 2021, the job was perceived to be among the best in the entire sport. After an up-and-down half decade, the question is whether that’s still the case. Industry sources still consider Carolina to be the same elite, blue-blood destination it was when Davis took the helm in 2021.
“I think there’s plenty of money if they want,” one source told ESPN. “The history, the tradition, the facilities. No doubt it’s still [at the top]. It’s North Carolina.”
“It’s still Carolina, man,” another said. “It’s the brand.”
The position comes with challenges this time, though. Longtime athletic director Bubba Cunningham is leaving his post this summer and will be succeeded by former NASCAR executive Steve Newmark. The department also faces the question of whether to renovate the Dean Smith Center or move the basketball team elsewhere. And with Bill Belichick in town, the football program is getting its fair share of resources — and attention.
Let’s take a look at which candidates could be on the radar, plus what they would be inheriting.
Who is up next?
When Williams retired, North Carolina opted to keep it in the family, promoting Davis to the top job after nine seasons on Williams’ staff. Davis, of course, also played for the program under Dean Smith from 1988 to 1992. It’s unlikely the school will select another former Tar Heel this time.
Expect Carolina to take some massive swings.
Billy Donovan is expected to be at or near the top of the list. The Chicago Bulls head coach hasn’t coached at the college level since 2015, spending the past 11 years with the Oklahoma City Thunder (2015-20) and Bulls (since 2020). He has rejected opportunities to return to college before, but he could be more open to the idea now that the Bulls are going to miss the playoffs. He led Florida to two national championships (2006 and 2007) and took the Gators to two additional Final Fours (2000 and 2014). One complicating issue with Donovan would be timing; the Bulls’ last game is April 12.
Brad Stevens also wouldn’t be a surprising target. The Boston Celtics president of operations hasn’t coached at the college level since 2013, or in any capacity since 2021. But he led Butler to back-to-back national title game appearances in 2010 and 2011, then made seven trips to the NBA playoffs at the helm of the Celtics before transitioning into the front office in 2021.
Industry insiders also believe the best of the best in the college ranks are likely on the short list: Arizona’s Tommy Lloyd, Michigan’s Dusty May, Iowa State’s TJ. Otzelberger, Florida’s Todd Golden and Alabama’s Nate Oats. Texas Tech’s Grant McCasland could also be in the conversation. The Tar Heels could even gauge interest from UConn’s Dan Hurley, like Kentucky (and the Lakers) did a couple of years ago.
A few of those coaches come with massive buyouts: Lloyd’s would be between $9 million and $12 million, depending on timing; Golden’s would cost $16 million; and Oats’ would cost $18 million until April 1, when it drops to $10 million. McCasland’s buyout is just north of $10 million as well. May and Otzelberger have smaller buyouts, with May’s believed to be around $7 million and Otzelberger’s around $4 million.
What this means for incoming recruits
No. 9 Dylan Mingo
No. 21 Maximo Adams
NR Malloy Smith
North Carolina has a top-10 recruiting class, headlined by a pair of top-25 recruits: Mingo and Adams. Mingo gave Davis a top-15 recruit for the fourth straight recruiting class, and he is one of the class’s elite backcourt players when healthy. Mingo’s recruitment didn’t end until February, with the Tar Heels ultimately beating out Baylor for his commitment. Could he rethink his decision? It’s worth noting that his brother, Kayden Mingo, was one of the best freshman guards in the Big Ten at Penn State this season.
Adams surged as a breakout player last spring and summer, rising all the way into the top 25 of the rankings. He also considered Michigan State, Kentucky and Texas before picking Carolina. His brother, Marcus Adams Jr., recently announced he planned to enter the transfer portal following the firing of Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley.
Retention priorities
Henri Veesaar
Jarin Stevenson
Derek Dixon
Keeping Veesaar in Chapel Hill was at the top of Davis’ priority list entering the offseason, and the second-team All-ACC selection will undoubtedly be the focus of whichever coach replaces Davis. Veesaar was terrific after transferring from Arizona, averaging 17.0 points and 8.7 rebounds before ending the season with a 26-point, 10-rebound performance against VCU. He was a projected second-round pick in ESPN’s most recent NBA mock draft and would likely have lucrative offers from elsewhere if he opts to reenter the transfer portal when it opens April 7.
Stevenson became a real factor for Carolina down the stretch of the season, especially following Wilson’s injury, averaging 10.7 points and 6.4 boards per game over his final 10 games. He should also be a priority for the new coach, second to Veesaar.
On the perimeter, expect Dixon to be a focus, regardless of what Mingo opts to do with his commitment. Dixon showed plenty of promise as a freshman, especially late in the season: 17 points vs. Duke, 16 points vs. Clemson, 11 points and six assists vs. VCU.
Other potential returnees include Luka Bogavac, Jonathan Powell and Jaydon Young.
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