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Reeves’ ‘mansion tax’ makes ‘no sense’, former IFS director warns

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Reeves’ ‘mansion tax’ makes ‘no sense’, former IFS director warns


Rachel Reeves’s plans to levy a “mansion tax” on high-value properties make no sense and could cause the Treasury to lose money, one of Britain’s leading economists has warned.

Paul Johnson, the former director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), told The Independent he was “staggered” at reports that the Treasury is considering such a move, saying it could “block up the entire housing market”.

His intervention came as mortgage brokers and financial planners rounded on the chancellor after reports that she is considering hitting the owners of expensive properties when they sell to plug a £40bn hole in the public purse.

The mooted plans would mean higher-rate taxpayers paying 24 per cent of any gain in the value of their home, while basic rate taxpayers would be hit with an 18 per cent levy. Currently, capital gains tax is not paid on the sale of primary residences.

Rachel Reeves is believed to be planning a raid on high-value home sales (PA)

The threshold is still under consideration, sources told The Times, but a £1.5m starting point would hit around 120,000 homeowners who are higher-rate taxpayers. with capital gains tax bills of £199,973.

Mr Johnson called for a major overhaul of housing taxation as a whole, warning that levying capital gains tax on high-value properties at the same time as stamp duty would mean “no one would ever sell their properties”.

“I think there are all sorts of practical problems with it. It would gum up the housing market at the top end hopelessly. So I think, personally, it’s a non-runner. I think it would be very hard to design in a way that would raise significant money, and indeed, it could lose the Treasury money. Because, you know, you could lose the money you’re currently getting in stamp duty.

“I just can’t believe that they’re considering it. I’m staggered that they’re flying this flag. It, to me, makes no sense.”

Calling for an overhaul of housing taxation, Mr Johnson said council tax was “far too low on expensive properties” while stamp duty is a “disaster area”. But he said that “talking about [levying] capital gains tax when you’ve still got stamp duty would clearly be hopeless. You need to think about these in conjunction with one another. It’s just not sensible in any world to be talking about these things individually.”

Mr Johnson said the stagnation in the property market would be made even worse if the Conservatives pledged to reverse any such policy. “That would guarantee that nobody would move. People would hope that someone else would win the next election and wait to sell. So there’s a huge practical problem there.”

Property experts also warned that such a plan would stall housing sales and add to the exodus of the super-rich from the UK.

Financial adviser Scott Gallacher, a director at Rowley Turton wealth management, said a level of £1.5m would prevent most older homeowners, particularly those who bought properties in the 1980s and 90s, from selling houses.

He added that this would “kill off the upper end of the property market” and be difficult to implement. Mr Gallacher said: “It would be insane if it creates a cliff edge in that properties over £1.5m are subject to capital gains tax on the entire gain, as properties sold at £1.49m would incur no CGT, whereas £1.5m might be a six-figure bill. If it’s only on gains above £1.5m, then the CGT raised would be minimal, as potentially you’d be exempting six or even seven-figure gains.”

He added: “Homeowners, especially older ones, who perhaps bought their houses in the 1970s or 1980s, would be daft to sell and incur a huge CGT liability. Instead, they would be incentivised to hold on to the home until they die and pay no CGT.”

Simon Gerrard, chairman of Martyn Gerrard Estate Agents, warned that a mansion tax plan would leave families who bought homes in London more than a decade ago facing “eye-watering” tax bills. “Meanwhile, those who are actually wealthy know how to bypass these moves and won’t pay it,” he said.

He told The Independent: “After the deadline passes, people will simply not sell their homes. The property market above the threshold will die until Labour are voted out and the policy is repealed under a more sensible government.”

High-value homes could be hit by a capital gains shake-up

High-value homes could be hit by a capital gains shake-up (PA)

Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at AJ Bell, said the tax-free nature of primary residences was “deeply embedded in the psyche of homeowners”.

He warned: “A mansion tax set at high level would naturally cause people to worry it was just the thin end of the wedge, and the next time the government needs a bit of money they could just lower the threshold.

“It would also be an impediment to mobility in the housing market, as those with properties which might fall foul of the tax would be inclined to sit on them for longer, leaving a log jam in the housing ladder below them.”

And critics warned the tax change would add to the reported exodus of super-rich individuals fleeing Britain. Stephen Perkins, managing director of Yellow Brick Mortgages, said: “I can see a lot of families in London being caught with this higher tax bill, and it may push more wealthy tax contributors to exodus the UK, which is already a problem following the Chancellor’s last budget.”

A Treasury spokesman said: “The best way to strengthen public finances is by growing the economy, which is our focus. Changes to tax-and-spend policy are not the only ways of doing this, as seen with our planning reforms, which are expected to grow the economy by £6.8bn and cut borrowing by £3.4bn

“We are committed to keeping taxes for working people as low as possible, which is why at last autumn’s Budget we protected working people’s payslips and kept our promise not to raise the basic, higher or additional rates of income tax, employee national insurance, or VAT.”



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Petrol and diesel prices may rise if Middle East crisis persists, says RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra – The Times of India

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Petrol and diesel prices may rise if Middle East crisis persists, says RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra – The Times of India


Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra has said the government may eventually have to raise petrol and diesel prices if the ongoing Middle East crisis continues for a prolonged period, PTI reported on Wednesday.Speaking at a conference in Switzerland on Tuesday, Malhotra said the disruption in oil and gas supplies due to the conflict and blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has begun impacting India, which remains heavily dependent on energy and fertiliser imports.Referring to the crisis, the RBI governor said if it continues for a longer duration, it is a “matter of time that the government will actually pass on some of these price increases”.The government has so far not increased retail petrol and diesel prices despite the conflict in West Asia that began on February 28.Malhotra also said the government has remained fiscally prudent and continues on the path of fiscal consolidation.The comments come amid rising pressure on India’s external sector due to elevated crude oil prices and a weakening rupee, which has slipped below the 95 mark against the US dollar.Prime Minister Narendra Modi had earlier called for measures such as reducing fuel consumption and lowering edible oil usage to help conserve foreign exchange reserves.As global crude oil prices surge amid the prolonged Middle East conflict and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, India has so far avoided major increases in petrol and diesel prices, choosing instead to absorb the pressure through state-run oil marketing companies (OMCs), tax adjustments and supply management measures.The Centre has repeatedly asserted that there is no fuel shortage in the country and no plan to introduce rationing of petrol, diesel or LPG despite disruptions in global energy shipments linked to the Iran conflict and the Strait of Hormuz crisis.“There is no need to panic. There are sufficient supplies. There is no rationing in place. It’s not going to happen,” Oil Secretary Neeraj Mittal said recently at the CII Annual Business Summit.Officials said India currently maintains around 60 days of fuel stocks and nearly 45 days of LPG inventories despite continuing volatility in global energy markets.

OMC losses mount as crude prices surge

The government’s decision to hold retail fuel prices steady despite rising international crude rates has increased pressure on state-run oil companies.According to official discussions reviewed during recent government briefings, OMCs are estimated to be losing between Rs 1,000 crore and Rs 1,200 crore every day because of elevated crude prices and unchanged pump rates.Under-recoveries are estimated to have approached nearly Rs 2 lakh crore during the first quarter of 2026.The current crisis intensified after shipping movement through the Strait of Hormuz — a key global oil transit route handling nearly one-fifth of global crude flows — came under severe disruption during the Iran conflict.Brent crude prices surged above $110 per barrel during the latest phase of the crisis, sharply increasing import costs for major oil-consuming countries like India. India imports nearly 90 per cent of its crude oil requirements, making the economy highly vulnerable to global energy price shocks.

Govt focuses on supply stability, inflation control

The Centre has simultaneously attempted to prevent inflationary shocks and avoid panic in domestic fuel markets.Officials said India has increased procurement from alternate suppliers and secured additional energy cargoes to maintain uninterrupted supplies.“We have procured from other sources. We have procured from other countries. We have increased procurement from existing countries and that has kept us going in terms of supply management in the short run,” Mittal said.The government has also absorbed part of the global price shock through excise duty adjustments on petrol and diesel. Officials estimate the revenue impact of fuel-related tax reductions at nearly Rs 1.6 lakh crore.Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Sunday (May 10) urged citizens to conserve fuel, reduce unnecessary imports and avoid wasteful consumption as rising oil prices increase pressure on India’s import bill and foreign exchange reserves. The Prime Minister also encouraged greater use of public transport, carpooling, electric vehicles and work-from-home arrangements wherever possible. The government has described these as precautionary steps rather than emergency restrictions.

Pressure likely to continue

Fuel prices remain among the most politically sensitive economic issues in India because increases in petrol and diesel rates directly affect transport costs, food prices and household budgets.While the Centre has so far avoided large retail fuel price increases, analysts say prolonged suppression of prices could further strain OMC finances if crude prices remain elevated for a longer period.



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Companies start getting tariff refunds after Supreme Court decision

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Companies start getting tariff refunds after Supreme Court decision


Containers at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, California, US, on Thursday, March 26, 2026.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Months after the Supreme Court ruled some tariffs were unconstitutional, the first round of tariff refunds has begun flowing in.

Oshkosh Corporation CFO Matt Field confirmed to CNBC that the company has started receiving tariff refunds as of Tuesday.

“Following acceptance of our initial filing, we have begun receiving payments on our tariff refund claims, representing an initial portion of our total claims submitted,” Field said.

The company has not yet verified its total refund amount, Field added.

Basic Fun, the company behind Care Bears and Tonka trucks, also told CNBC it began receiving tariff refunds on Tuesday.

CEO Jay Foreman said the refunds so far have only represented 5% of the company’s total claim on its early invoices.

“We will utilize the refund dollars to help support our 2026 cash flow and invest in our team. This is the toughest time of the year for toy companies,” Foreman said in a statement. “We’ll also be announcing to our staff that we will be increasing salaries to help offset cost of living increase, announcing promotions and larger merit increases. We are reinvesting the funds in our business and people.”

Logistics companies UPS, FedEx and DHL have previously said that they will file for tariff refunds on behalf of their customers, requiring no further action from them. The first phase of tariff refunds only covers requests for entries that CBP finalized within the past 80 days, though that process could take months to reach customers.

The U.S. Customs and Border Protection said in a court filing that it anticipated paying refunds of $35.46 billion on 8.3 million shipments, as of Monday morning.

In February, the Supreme Court invalidated President Donald Trump‘s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. In the months that followed, companies began filing for tariff refunds in a portal, called the Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries.

In a radio interview with WABC on Tuesday morning, Trump called the tariff refund situation “crazy.”

“In theory, you have to pay the tariffs back. We’ll fight that,” Trump said. “We were taking in fortunes from people that hate us, countries and companies that hate us.”

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WhatsApp launches AI private chat feature

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WhatsApp launches AI private chat feature



A cyber security expert says deleting chat history could lead to a lack of accountability if things go wrong.



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