Business
Rupee continues to fall! Currency drops 4 paise in early trade; reaches 90.24 against US dollar – The Times of India
Rupee opened the week on a weak note, slipping 4 paise to 90.24 against US dollar in early trade on Monday, extending its downward momentum from 2025. The decline was triggered by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty as US intervention in Venezuela boosted demand for the American currency.Last week on Friday, the currency had fallen below the 90-mark, closing 22 paise lower at 90.20 against the dollar. The decline came amid disappointing macroeconomic data and a strengthening US currency in overseas markets. According to traders, this muted sentiment was due to continuous withdrawal of foreign fund and strong dollar demand from importers, which dragged rupee down. However, softer crude oil prices and a sharp rise in domestic equities helped limit the downside, they added. Furthermore, any intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) could provide support to the rupee at lower levels.In 2025, the currency depreciated almost 5% against the US dollar, marking its weakest annual performance since 2022. Despite a softer dollar and most global currencies registering gains, rupee still lagged behind. According to a recent report by SBI Funds Management, the underperformance was fueled by “muted foreign portfolio investor (FPI) inflows, weak export momentum and heightened hedging demand from importers.” Foreign investors withdrew close to $18 billion from Indian equities, citing earnings downgrades, limited exposure to AI-led global growth, and more attractive opportunities in other emerging markets. Looking ahead, the bank expects the rupee to decline by around 2% in the next financial year, with the exchange rate hovering near 92 against the US dollar.
Business
Trump tariffs: The uncertainties facing businesses and consumers after tariff changes
Businesses say questions remain after US President Donald Trump announced he will impose global tariffs of 15%.
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Business
‘Buy America’ to ‘bye America’: Why investors are looking beyond US stocks – The Times of India
US investors are increasingly moving money out of domestic equities and into overseas markets, signalling a shift away from the long-dominant “buy America” trade as returns from Big Tech moderate and global markets outperform.Data from LSEG/Lipper shows US-domiciled investors have withdrawn about $75 billion from US equity products over the past six months, including $52 billion since the start of 2026 — the largest outflow in the first eight weeks of a year since at least 2010, news agency Reuters reported.The trend reflects growing diversification by American investors, even as a weaker dollar makes overseas investments more expensive. Analysts say the shift mirrors earlier moves by global investors who had already begun reducing exposure to US assets.Since the global financial crisis in 2009, strong economic growth and technology-sector dominance helped US equities deliver outsized gains, reinforcing the “buy America” investment strategy. More recently, the artificial intelligence boom pushed the S&P 500 to record highs last year, cushioning markets despite policy uncertainty linked to President Donald Trump’s trade and diplomatic approach.
Investors look beyond US tech dominance
Rising concerns over AI-related risks and elevated valuations of megacap technology stocks have prompted investors to reassess opportunities abroad. Bank of America’s February fund manager survey showed investors rotating from US equities into emerging markets at the fastest pace in five years.“I’ve had lots of conversations with our wealth business in the U.S. this year,” said Gerry Fowler, UBS’s head of European equity strategy and global derivatives strategy. “They’re all talking about investing more offshore because at the end of the year, they looked at the performance of foreign markets in dollars and they’re like, wow, I’m missing out.”So far this year, US investors have invested about $26 billion into emerging-market equities, with South Korea attracting $2.8 billion and Brazil $1.2 billion, according to LSEG/Lipper data.The dollar has declined roughly 10% against a basket of currencies since last January, partly reflecting policy developments under the Trump administration. While this raises the cost of overseas investments, stronger foreign market performance can enhance dollar-denominated returns.Over the past 12 months, the S&P 500 has gained around 14%, compared with a 43% rise in Tokyo’s Nikkei index, a 26% jump in Europe’s STOXX 600, a 23% return from Shanghai’s CSI 300 and a doubling in South Korea’s KOSPI index.
Valuation gap drives global rotation
Investors are increasingly rotating away from high-growth technology stocks towards industrial and defensive sectors, which are more prominent in markets such as Germany, the UK, Switzerland and Japan.Laura Cooper, global investment strategist at Nuveen, told Reuters that the shift reflects a broader reassessment of valuations. “Increasingly we are seeing U.S. investors look at the global landscape from a valuation perspective,” she said, highlighting cyclical growth momentum in Europe and Japan.European banking stocks surged 67% last year and have risen another 4% so far in 2026, illustrating renewed interest in cyclical sectors.US equities continue to trade at higher valuations, with the S&P 500 valued at roughly 21.8 times expected earnings, compared with about 15 times in Europe, 17 times in Japan and 13.5 times in China.Kevin Thozet, portfolio adviser at Carmignac, said flows of US capital into Europe have accelerated since mid-2025. Since Trump’s inauguration last January, US investors have channelled nearly $7 billion into European equity funds, reversing earlier outflows recorded during his first term.“If I’m taking a very long-term view, it’s, maybe, this idea of a great global rotation,” Thozet said.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)
Business
Haryana Govt bars IDFC First Bank, AU Small Finance Bank over alleged Rs 590 crore fraud
New Delhi: The Haryana Government on Sunday de-empanelled IDFC First Bank and AU Small Finance Bank from handling government business with immediate effect after an alleged fraud of around Rs 590 crore came to light.
In an official circular, the state government said both banks have been barred from carrying out any government-related transactions in Haryana until further orders.
It directed all departments, boards, corporations and public sector undertakings to stop using these banks for deposits, investments or any other financial dealings.
Authorities have also been asked to immediately transfer existing balances and close accounts maintained with the two lenders.
The Finance Department pointed out lapses in following fixed deposit instructions. It noted that in some cases, funds that were supposed to be placed in flexible deposits or higher-interest fixed deposit schemes were allegedly kept in savings accounts, leading to lower returns and financial loss to the state.
Departments have been instructed to strictly follow approved deposit terms, regularly verify compliance by banks, conduct monthly reconciliations and report any discrepancies.
All reconciliations must be completed by March 31, 2026, and a certified compliance report has to be submitted by April 4, 2026.
The action comes after IDFC First Bank disclosed in a regulatory filing that it had detected a fraud of about Rs 590 crore involving certain Haryana government-linked accounts operated through its Chandigarh branch.
The bank said there were prima facie unauthorised and fraudulent activities carried out by some employees at the branch, possibly involving other individuals or entities.
According to the bank, the issue surfaced when a Haryana government department requested closure and transfer of its account balance to another bank.
During the process, discrepancies were found between the amount mentioned and the actual balance in the account.
Similar discrepancies were later identified in other government-linked accounts from February 18 onwards.
IDFC First Bank clarified that its preliminary internal review suggests the matter is limited to a specific group of Haryana government-linked accounts handled by the Chandigarh branch and does not affect other customers.
The total amount under reconciliation across the identified accounts is estimated at around Rs 590 crore, and the final figure will be determined after further validation and possible recoveries.
Four bank officials have been suspended pending investigation. The bank said it will take strict disciplinary, civil and criminal action against those found responsible.
It has also issued recall requests to certain beneficiary banks to lien-mark balances in suspicious accounts as part of recovery efforts. The statutory auditors have been informed and an independent external agency will carry out a forensic audit.
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