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Stocks retreat as oil surge raises inflation fear

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Stocks retreat as oil surge raises inflation fear



The FTSE 100’s decline accelerated on Tuesday, alongside European peers, amid fears that soaring energy prices will reignite inflationary pressures and hamper economic growth.

“European markets are being hit hard, as the full inflationary impact of the war in Iran truly comes home to roost,” said Joshua Mahony at Scope Markets.

The FTSE 100 index ended down 295.98 points, or 2.8%, at 10,484.13.

The FTSE 250 ended down 729.43 points, 3.1%, at 22,694.21 and the AIM All-Share closed 29.46 points lower, 3.6%, at 786.43.

New strikes were reported Tuesday across the Middle East, including Israeli bombardment on Lebanon and a drone attack on the US embassy in Saudi Arabia’s capital Riyadh.

The conflict started with US and Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend, which sparked retaliatory Iranian attacks and showed no sign of abating as it entered its fourth day.

Iran has unleashed missiles and drones across the Middle East, including at Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Dubai, while threatening explicitly to drive up global energy costs.

A general in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards threatened to “burn any ship” seeking to navigate the Strait of Hormuz.

In European equities on Tuesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 3.5%, as did the DAX 40 in Frankfurt.

On Wall Street, markets also fell heavily. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1.7%, the S&P 500 index was 1.6% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.7%.

Brent oil traded higher at 83.06 dollars a barrel on Tuesday afternoon, up from 77.92 dollars at same time on Monday.

“The longer oil and natural gas prices remain elevated, the greater the risk of a meaningful impact on inflation which could mean higher interest rates, an event that’s typically negative for equity markets,” said Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell.

Mr Mahony at Scope Markets explained the recent removal of insurance coverage for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz provided an effective closure of the key shipping lane.

“While the US claims that the Strait of Hormuz remains open following the destruction of much of the Iranian navy, the cancellation of insurance coverage and Iranian threats that ships will be set ablaze for passing through the passage mean that journeys have slowed to a trickle,” he said.

“This means that oil prices are likely to rise as long as this conflict rages on, with this key bottleneck proving to be one of Iran’s most important points of leverage as they seek to pressure the US president through higher inflation and destruction of key facilities for US allies in the region.”

The dollar extended recent gains. The pound was lower at 1.3305 dollars on Tuesday afternoon, from 1.3360 dollars at the equities close on Monday.

The euro stood lower at 1.1585 dollars, from 1.1672 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading slightly higher at 157.80 yen, compared with 157.73 yen.

In Europe, eurozone consumer price inflation surprisingly accelerated, a preliminary reading showed on Tuesday, as service price growth quickened.

Eurostat’s flash reading said the annual consumer price inflation rate in the single currency bloc picked up to 1.9% in February, from 1.7% in January. The rate of inflation had been expected to remain at 1.7%, according to consensus cited by FXStreet.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury widened to 4.07% on Tuesday from 4.05% on Monday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stretched to 4.71% from 4.70%.

The yield on UK-10 year gilts leaped to 4.48% from 4.30% on Monday as rising energy prices dampened hopes for interest rate cuts. Late last week, the yield had fallen to around 4.24%.

The Middle East crisis overshadowed the Government’s spring statement.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves told MPs the Government has “the right economic plan for our country.”

“I am in no doubt how great the rewards will be if we stay the course,” she added.

She said the plan is even more important in a world that has, in the past few days, “become more uncertain”, noting events in the Middle East.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) lowered its growth forecast to 1.1% in 2026 from the 1.4% projection in November. But it raised projections for 2027 and 2028 to 1.6% from 1.5% before.

The OBR expects the Government to hit its 2% inflation target this year and sees unemployment peaking in 2026.

Ms Reeves said the OBR estimates fiscal headroom has risen to £23.6 billion from the £21.7 billion forecast in November.

Analysts at Lloyds Markets noted that relative to previous fiscal updates, the statement was “purposefully restrained”, consistent with Ms Reeves’ efforts to reduce its profile as a major event.

“The geopolitical situation in the Middle East further diminished its visibility, contributing to an overall sense that the statement was a routine fiscal update rather than a significant policy moment,” they noted.

“This approach underscores the government’s desire for stability in fiscal communications while retaining room for more substantial decisions in the autumn – the scale and direction of which are likely to depend heavily on how events in the Middle East evolve.”

The OBR itself stressed events in the Middle East could have “very significant impacts” on the global and UK economies.

On the FTSE 100, Smith & Nephew led a handful of gainers, among a sea of red, on further consideration of Monday’s results.

S&N rose 3.6%, with others in the green including oil major BP, up 1.1%, accountancy software provider Sage, up 0.9%, and defence contractor Babcock International, up 0.4%.

But British Airways owner IAG fell a further 5.4%, while easyJet fell 4.1%. On the FTSE 250, Wizz Air fell 6.5%. Travel retailer WH Smith declined 6.1%.

Fears that rising inflation will quash hopes for lower interest rates hit housebuilders with Persimmon down 6.0% and Barratt Redrow 4.2% lower.

Miners slumped as fears of slowing economic growth, and the strong dollar, hit metals prices.

Gold slumped to 5,114.94 dollars an ounce on Tuesday from 5,288.00 dollars on Monday. Silver fell 6.9% and copper 1.5%.

Fresnillo, which also reported annual results, fell 5.4%, Endeavour Mining fell 6.2%, Antofagasta fell 5.8% and Anglo American fell 3.8%.

On the FTSE 250, Keller rose 10% as it said it intends to launch a £100 million share buyback programme and reported higher earnings for 2025.

The London-based geotechnical specialist contractor said its results reflect “sustained improvement in operational and financial performance” helped by “geographic diversity, sector agility and resilience”.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Smith & Nephew, up 47.0p at 1,360.0p, BP, up 5.15p at 493.0p, Sage Group, up 7.4p at 847.4p, Relx, up 21.0p at 2,596.0p and Pearson, up 4.2p at 958.6p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Intertek, down 860.0p at 3,882.0p, DCC, down 325.0p at 4,840.0p, Endeavour Mining, down 319.0p at 4,866.0p, Persimmon, down 87.0p at 1,374.0p and Antofagasta, down 243.0p at 3,915.0p.

Wednesday’s global economic calendar has a slew of composite PMI readings, the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book plus the ISM services PMI in the US.

Wednesday’s UK corporate calendar has full-year results from insurer Beazley, housebuilder Vistry and engineering firm Weir Group.

– Contributed by Alliance News



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Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India

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Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India


This Akshaya Tritiya, India’s gold and silver markets are heading for bumper purchases, with overall trade likely to cross Rs 20,000 crore even as record-high prices reshape buying patterns. The estimate, shared by the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), is higher than last year’s Rs 16,000 crore, signalling growth in value despite a sharp rise in bullion rates.Prices for the yellow metal have surged sharply over the past year, going from Rs 1,00,000 per 10 grams, to Rs 1.58 lakh. Meanwhile, silver has shown a steeper rally, jumping from Rs 85,000 per kilogram to Rs 2.55 lakh per kilogram. According to CAIT, this sharp escalation has not weakened demand, but is instead prompting consumers to make more deliberate and value-oriented purchases.Praveen Khandelwal, member of parliament from Chandni Chowk and secretary general of CAIT told ANI, “Akshaya Tritiya has traditionally been one of India’s most auspicious occasions for purchasing gold… While gold continues to dominate, the nature of purchasing is evolving significantly in response to steep price escalation.”Commenting on customer preference, CAIT national president BC Bhartia highlighted, “There is a clear shift towards lightweight, wearable jewellery, alongside a stronger focus on silver and diamond products. Attractive incentives such as reduced making charges and complimentary gold coins are also helping sustain consumer interest.”Despite the increase in overall trade value, the quantity of metals being sold tells a different story. Pankaj Arora, National President of the All India Jewellers and Goldsmith Federation (AIJGF), an associate of CAIT, explained that the projected Rs 16,000 crore gold trade amounts to nearly 10,000 kilograms (10 tonnes) at current rates. The value, spread across an estimated 2 to 4 lakh jewellers, translates to average sales of only 25 to 50 grams per jeweller, “clearly indicating a sharp decline in volume”.Meanwhile for silver, the estimated Rs 4,000 crore trade corresponds to around 1,56,800 kilograms (157 tonnes), resulting in average sales of about 400 to 800 grams per jeweller during the festival period. “These figures underline a critical shift: while the value of business is expanding due to rising prices, actual consumption is contracting,” Khandelwal said.This gap between value and volume is also reshaping consumer’s buying pattern, with smaller items and lightweight jewellery gaining popularity. At the same time, jewellers are facing challenges due to fluctuating prices, especially when it comes to managing inventory.Even so, festive demand remains steady, with markets witnessing healthy footfall. “Consumers are now adopting a more cautious and pragmatic approach, balancing traditional beliefs with financial discipline,” Khandelwal added.At the same time, it’s not just about physical gold anymore as consumers are increasingly exploring alternatives like digital gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds and gold ETFs, drawn by the promise of liquidity, safety and flexibility when prices are volatile.CAIT and AIJGF have urged jewellers to comply with mandatory hallmarking standards, including HUID certification, and advised buyers to verify the purity and authenticity of their purchases.



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The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits

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The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits



Lauren Elcock is among the young Londoners who say rising rents are forcing them to quit the capital.



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Scams have grown more sophisticated, but people are fighting back

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Scams have grown more sophisticated, but people are fighting back


As governments across the world restricted the movements of their citizens during Covid lockdowns from 2020, people spent more time online. We bought more online and socialised more online, and this brought us closer to the people who want to scam us. At the same time, realistic video impersonations, voices, websites, and texts became more commonplace, and scammers increased their use of social media including WhatsApp.



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