Fashion
UK–eurozone inflation gap to shrink, Fitch forecasts
UK headline inflation may gradually align with eurozone levels, ending the unusual divergence that has persisted through 2025, according to Fitch Ratings. The easing of both headline and core inflation underpins the agency’s view that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut rates once more by year-end, followed by a further 50 basis points of easing in 2026.
UK headline CPI climbed by 1.3 percentage points (pp) this year to 3.8 per cent in September, while eurozone HICP has held near 2 per cent. Fitch attributes around half of this gap to energy costs.
UK electricity and gas inflation is currently above 9 per cent year on year (YoY), up sharply from minus 6.8 per cent in December 2024, largely due to Ofgem’s price-cap adjustments tied to wholesale gas prices. The divergence is expected to narrow as the October UK price-cap increase was limited to 2 per cent, compared with a 9.5 per cent rise in October 2024, Fitch said in a release.
“The combination of stubbornly high wage growth, alongside rising consumer inflation expectations, has left the Bank of England searching for the ECB’s ‘good place’. But we think that the weakening in the UK labour market means that wages and price inflation are now firmly on the way back down. We are sticking to our forecast for Bank Rate to fall to 3.75 per cent by year-end and to 3.25 per cent by end-2026,” said Jessica Hinds, director at Fitch Ratings.
UK headline inflation is expected to move closer to eurozone levels, with easing price pressures supporting Fitch Ratings’ view of one more BoE rate cut this year and further easing in 2026.
The CPI’s rise to 3.8 per cent and high energy inflation explain much of the gap.
Fitch says a softening labour market will pull wages and inflation lower, enabling rates to fall to 3.25 per cent by end of 2026.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (HU)
Fashion
Lyle & Scott celebrates terrace football culture with a Fly Nowhere collab
Published
November 20, 2025
Football (at all levels) and its culture have long been close to Lyle & Scott’s heart. And the journey continues with the premium fashion brand’s latest collab with Fly Nowhere, the full-service creative studio that “bridges sport, arts and passion”.
Kindred spirits combine Lyle & Scott’s natural presence “in both teamwear and terraces” with Fly Nowhere’s reputation for “pushing the boundaries of modern football identity… rooted in art and storytelling”.
The result is reimagined Lyle & Scott casual pieces “that echo the longstanding influence of UK terrace culture upon the world” with a mashed-up capsule made up of engineered knitwear, football jerseys, graphic long sleeves, track jackets and collaborative accessories.
Each piece has been developed to “exist comfortably in both fashion spaces and cultural football circles”, with cuts and detailing that reference “warm-up kits, bootleg club gear and early 2000’s terrace fashion”.
The colour palette blends violet blues, neon purples, iced greys, and saturated cobalt tones, along with a tartan created for Lyle & Scott’s 150th anniversary last year.
The Lyle & Scott x Fly Nowhere collection is available from today (20 November) online at lyleandscott.com and footballcafe.shop. It coincides with the opening of the new Football Cafe Imports shop in New York and an accompanying exhibition ‘Clobber: 150 years of style inspired by UK subculture and football’.
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Fashion
ICE cotton falls ahead of delayed US weekly export sales data
ICE March 2026 cotton futures settled at 63.78 cents per pound, down 0.61 cent or 0.95 per cent. The contract marked its first close below 64 cents and set a new contract-low settlement. The December 2025 contract settled at 62.30 cents, down 27 points, raising concerns among bulls that December weakness could drag the March contract lower. March and July 2026 contracts also closed lower. For the week so far, cotton futures have posted net losses of 3–28 points across active months.
ICE cotton futures declined as traders await the USDA’s weekly export sales report, delayed for over a month due to the US shutdown.
March 2026 cotton hit a new contract low below 64 cents, while weak crude oil prices increased pressure by making polyester fibre cheaper.
Trading volume fell to a three-week low, with sentiment cautious despite expectations that export data may show stronger demand.
NYMEX crude oil futures declined due to reports of renewed diplomatic efforts to resolve the Russia–Ukraine conflict, which could ease supply risks. Losses in crude were partially limited by a larger-than-expected drop in US crude oil inventories, offering some support to energy markets. Lower crude prices make polyester fibre cheaper, adding pressure on US cotton.
Trading activity remained subdued, with 49,131 contracts traded, the lowest volume in three weeks, compared with 67,329 contracts cleared in the previous session. Intraday trade experienced mild consolidation and a brief upward pull, but the market failed to sustain momentum into the close.
ICE data showed deliverable No. 2 cotton inventories unchanged at 20,344 bales as of November 18, the same as the previous day.
Analysts said the market “was drawn slightly higher but failed to hold that momentum”. USDA’s weekly export sales report for the period ending October 2 will be released on Thursday. During the recent 43-day US government shutdown, the USDA suspended weekly export sales data and daily bulk-sale announcements, limiting demand visibility.
The upcoming USDA export sales report could be stronger than market expectations, but traders prefer to wait for confirmation.
In other markets, CBOT soybean futures closed lower as traders assessed demand prospects amid global uncertainty.
This morning (Indian Standard Time), ICE cotton for December 2025 was traded at 62.59 cents per pound (up 0.29 cent), cash cotton at 61.78 cents (down 0.61 cent), the March 2026 contract at 64.13 cents (up 0.21 cent), the May 2026 contract at 65.35 cents (up 0.32 cent), the July 2026 contract at 66.45 cents (up 0.33 cent), and the October 2026 contract at 67.11 cents (down 0.37 cent). A few contracts remained at their previous closing levels, with no trading recorded so far today.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)
Fashion
Billionaire family turns India’s gold obsession into a fortune
By
Bloomberg
Published
November 20, 2025
Gold is having a moment in the sun and the billionaire Muthoot clan of India is reaping the benefits.
Their family-run firm that’s doled out gold loans for almost nine decades is on a roll as consumers take advantage of surging bullion prices to swap jewellery for short-term cash. The boom has pushed the company’s stock to a record, boosting the Muthoots’ combined fortune above $13 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
“The market is exploding,” said George Alexander Muthoot, 70, the managing director of his eponymous firm and third-generation executive of the business. “Even for rich people, it’s fashionable today to take gold loans.”
Muthoot Finance Ltd.’s rise speaks to the growing clout of India’s shadow banking sector, which is helping fuel the country’s economic growth. Gold lending across all firms surged 35% in the 12 months ended in June to 13.4 trillion rupees ($151 billion), by far the fastest growth among consumer loans, according to CRIF High Mark Credit Information Services Pvt.
The company’s biggest challenge now is keeping rivals at bay, with gold hovering near a record high. Competition is heating up after Bain Capital agreed to pay about $500 million for an 18% stake in gold lender Manappuram Finance Ltd. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. meanwhile is reportedly in talks to buy 20% of shadow bank Shriram Finance Ltd. for $2.6 billion. Muthoot Finance’s plan to expand its 7,500-plus network of branches by up to 200 a year may not be enough to maintain its dominance as India’s top gold lender.
During an earnings call last week, analysts peppered Muthoot with questions about how the firm is going to deal with foreign competitors, as well as the local banks that are aggressively expanding their gold-loan portfolios. He shrugged off the queries, saying the overall market is expanding.
“There is no need to take any hasty or knee-jerk reactions,” said Muthoot. “The challenges in the operations will catch up with them.”
No country is as obsessed with gold as India, where households own about 34,600 tons, worth about $3.8 trillion, according to Morgan Stanley estimates. That’s more than the holdings at the central banks of the US, Germany, Italy, France, Russia, and China combined. For India’s population of 1.4 billion, that works out to almost 25 grams per person, valued at more than $3,250 at current prices. (By contrast, the country’s gross domestic product per capita is just $2,820, according to the IMF.)
Gold is deeply ingrained in India’s culture, often linked to Hindu religious rites. Dhanteras, celebrated at the start of the Diwali festival of lights, is a popular day to buy gold and worship Lakshmi, the goddess of wealth. Weddings are also ripe for purchases, with brides typically lavished in gold bangles, bracelets, rings and necklaces.
The practice of using gold as collateral for loans dates back centuries. Long before the Muthoots set up shop, small jewellers would offer cash to help clients get through rough patches. The size of the loan — sometimes as little as $17 — is tied to the jewellery’s worth. Higher gold prices boost their value, which leads to bigger loans — and more interest income for lenders like Muthoot Finance.
“It’s much easier to borrow from Muthoot,” said Sandarsh, a 27-year-old driver in Bengaluru who asked to be identified only by his first name. He took out a loan of about 500,000 rupees in 2023, using half of his family’s gold stash. He was charged 1.25% a month, cheaper than the rate offered by State Bank of India, he said. He used the money to invest in a biryani business, which ultimately failed, though he repaid the loan.
The Muthoot clan are Orthodox Christians, a tiny minority in the predominantly Hindu nation. The family’s given names are usually English, and George is particularly popular. Nine of the 15 company directors are named George. Muthoot and his brothers are the 19th generation of the family line.
Their business model is surprisingly simple. Clients bring their jewellery to a branch, where staff check the gold content before making a loan of up to 75% of the value. A minimum of 18-karat gold is required. To gauge purity, staffers rub the piece against an obsidian testing stone — called a Kasauti — to create a faint streak, before adding a nitric acid solution. If the line disappears, it may signal a fake, or low-quality gold. Borrowers typically take out loans for four to 12 months, before reclaiming their heirlooms after repaying the money. Muthoot Finance charges 1% to 1.5% a month on the loans. Annualised rates can top 19%.
“We only finance used jewellery,” Muthoot said in an interview from his office in Kochi, the commercial hub of Kerala state at the southern tip of India. “Most of the gold is owned by the family. When they give it as collateral, they’d like to take it back.”
Muthoot Finance branches are hardly ornate, considering the value of the assets inside. They tend to be in low-income neighbourhoods that are often shunned by major banks.
One branch in the financial hub of Mumbai is tucked away on a quiet side street behind a busy thoroughfare. A hardware store and mom-and-pop grocery shop sits next door, where hawkers selling custard apple and papaya park their carts.
The outlet is protected by a sliding metal grille, like an old-fashioned elevator door. Its facade is adorned with the bank’s logo of two elephants facing each other, their curled trunks forming an “M” for Muthoot. Along the wall are bright red posters of actor Amitabh Bachchan, a brand ambassador and one of India’s biggest Bollywood stars, cupping his hands in a traditional namaste greeting.
A security guard, cooled from the searing heat by a fan duct-taped to a small stool, locks the door with a heavy padlock whenever a customer enters. After clients are scanned with a hand-held metal detector, they’re served by staff from behind glass partitions.
Once the jewellery is deposited, it’s stored in the branch’s vault, whose doors are controlled from the company’s head office. The entire process takes less than an hour, and no credit history is required. The tight security is essential: Muthoot Finance held 209 metric tons of gold for clients — worth almost $28 billion — slightly more than the gold held in Singapore’s official foreign reserves.
Outstanding gold loans by the Keralite firm rose to 1.25 trillion rupees at the end of September, topping the 725.5 billion rupees in similar loans made by State Bank of India, the country’s largest lender. Still, SBI’s gold loan book jumped 87% from the previous year, faster than Muthoot Finance’s 45% growth rate.
While Muthoot Finance has dominated the business of gold financing, the company could do more to sell other products to diversify its revenue, said Parijat Garg, a Mumbai-based credit consultant who has tracked the company for a decade. Gold loans account for close to 90% of the group’s business, which also includes home financing and insurance.
“If I’m a gold loan customer, I may have insurance needs, I may have remittance needs,” Garg said.
Though the firm’s customers often have low incomes, defaults are rare. Muthoot’s non-performing loan rate of 2.3% is in line with commercial banks, which are subject to stricter regulations. Jewellery seized from any default is sold at auction.
The steady growth has led to three straight years of stock gains for the company, including a 73% rally this year. As a result, four family members have more than doubled their fortunes. Three of them each hold at least 10% of the firm, which now has a market value of almost $17 billion.
The clan is already grooming the next generation, according to Muthoot. Asked whether female family members can one day run the business, he said it’s a “sensitive” matter. “They get married, they go to the husband’s family,” he said.
Among his three deputies are George Muthoot Jacob, a 42-year-old nephew who holds law and business degrees from England.
Asked why he returned home instead of staying in the UK like so many other well-heeled Indians, the younger Muthoot seemed surprised by the question. “We have a great family business here,” he said.
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