Business
US–Venezuela Conflict: Caracas Oil Revamp May Help India Recover $1 Billion
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US-backed restructuring of Venezuela’s oil sector could help India recover USD 1 billion dues, revive ONGC Videsh Ltd’s San Cristobal field.
A Trump administration–backed reset of Venezuela’s oil sector could help India recover nearly $1 billion in long-pending dues.
A possible US-backed restructuring of Venezuela’s oil industry could deliver a meaningful financial and strategic gain for India, including recovery of nearly USD 1 billion in long-pending dues and a restart of crude production from fields involving Indian companies, according to analysts and sources, as reported by PTI.
India was once a major processor of Venezuelan heavy crude, importing over 4,00,000 barrels per day at peak levels. Supplies stopped in 2020 after US sanctions tightened compliance norms and made trade commercially unviable.
Indian Investments Stalled by Sanctions
India’s overseas oil arm, ONGC Videsh Ltd, operates the San Cristobal oilfield in eastern Venezuela in partnership with the local state producer. Output has dropped sharply to 5,000–10,000 bpd, as sanctions restricted access to drilling rigs, technology and oilfield services.
Venezuela has not paid USD 536 million in dividends due on OVL’s 40 percent stake up to 2014, PTI reported. A similar amount remains unpaid for later years, with audits not permitted, effectively freezing settlement of claims.
Production Revival Possible
If sanctions are relaxed following recent political developments in Caracas, Indian operators could move rigs and equipment from domestic fields, including ONGC’s assets in Gujarat, to revive production. With adequate investment and drilling activity, San Cristobal alone can produce 80,000–1,00,000 bpd, officials familiar with the field said.
Broader Indian Exposure
Indian firms also have stakes in the Carabobo-1 heavy oil block. OVL holds 11 percent, while Indian Oil Corporation and Oil India Ltd own 3.5 percent each. Venezuela’s national oil company PDVSA is the majority partner but may undergo restructuring.
Why Venezuela Matters to India
Indian refiners such as Reliance Industries, Nayara Energy, IOC, HPCL-Mittal Energy and Mangalore Refinery have the technical capability to process Venezuelan heavy crude efficiently.
With India diversifying its crude basket and reducing concentration risks, Venezuelan oil could offer flexibility in sourcing and strengthen negotiating leverage. Analysts, PTI reported, note that if production rises and payment mechanisms normalise, trade flows could resume quickly—bringing both financial recovery and long-term supply security for India.
January 04, 2026, 16:32 IST
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Business
Shop numbers return to growth after years of decline, say experts
UK high streets and shopping destinations are showing signs of recovery as more than 13 retail stores opened each week over the past year, according to new figures.
However, England and Wales have still seen more than 6,000 retail premises vanish from local communities over the past five years.
Analysis of Valuation Office Agency data by tax firm Ryan, found that there were 507,810 retail premises across England and Wales at the end of 2025.
It said the figures showed that a recent contraction across the sector has appeared to stabilise, with a 723 net increase in the number of retail stores compared with a year earlier.
Property numbers increased across every region of England and Wales, with the exception of the North West, which saw a decline of 41.
It suggests that parts of the sector are now beginning to rebalance following significant structural contraction seen since the pandemic.
The creation of new retail units also comes as many retail real estate firms, such as Hammerson, have turned empty large units, often former department stores, into a greater number of smaller units.
Other retail groups, such as John Lewis, have moved away from ambitions to transform some retail property for other uses such as rental accommodation.
Nevertheless, the retail sector is still facing pressure from higher business rates for many firms, increased labour costs and concerns over consumer sentiment.
The data also shows that there has also been significant decline over the past few years, with a net reduction of 6,045 retail properties since the end of 2020.
London recorded the largest five-year regional reduction, with 1,266 retail premises disappearing over the period, followed by the South East (-1,191), North West (-719) and North East (-672).
The figures show retail premises which have permanently disappeared from communities altogether, having either been demolished or converted for alternative use.
The figures come as Ryan’s 2026 annual business rates review highlighted that the retail sector saw a 9.3% increase in rateable values at the 2026 business rates revaluation despite the major shift in the retail landscape since the pandemic.
Alex Probyn, practice leader for Europe and Asia-Pacific property tax at Ryan, said: “The pandemic accelerated structural changes that were already emerging across the retail sector, including changing consumer behaviour, hybrid working patterns and a reduced reliance on traditional retail floorspace in many locations.
“Many locations were arguably over-retailed before Covid and high streets have evolved towards more mixed-use environments, with retail space being rebalanced alongside growing demand for residential, leisure, hospitality and service-led uses.
“The revaluation outcome does suggest a large proportion of retail premises have seen bigger increases in their assessments than underlying market conditions and rental evidence would have led occupiers to expect.
“Retailers should therefore carefully review and, where appropriate, challenge their assessments.”
Business
Indians cut overseas travel spending to $1.9 billion in March: RBI
Indians sharply cut back on overseas travel spending in March, with remittances for foreign trips dropping by more than $212 million from the previous month, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The fall in outbound travel expenditure came amid rising oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on rupee, even as travel remained the single largest component of outward remittances under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).In March, travel-related remittances fell to $1.09 billion from $1.3 billion in February and $1.65 billion in January. The decline came at a time when the West Asia conflict pushed oil prices higher and weakened rupee to record lows. Amid the situation, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens to cut down on foreign travel and adopt measures such as carpooling. Lower overseas travel spending could reduce foreign exchange outflows and help ease pressure on rupee.According to the RBI’s data on outward remittances by resident individuals, travel continued to account for the largest share of money sent abroad under the LRS in March. Total remittances during the month stood at $2.59 billion.The RBI tracks overseas spending across categories including travel, studies abroad, maintenance of close relatives, overseas investments, and property purchases. Under the LRS framework, resident individuals, including minors, can remit up to $250,000 in a financial year for permitted current or capital account transactions.Within the travel segment, the biggest component remained the ‘other travel’ category, which covers holiday spending and international credit card settlements. Indians spent $623.05 million under this category in March, accounting for nearly 57 per cent of total travel-related remittances during the month.Expenditure linked to education travel, including hostel and fee payments, stood at $450.16 million. Business travel, pilgrimage, and overseas medical treatment together accounted for $21.39 million.The data also showed a rise in remittances meant for the maintenance of close relatives abroad. Such transfers increased to $389.78 million in March from $266.18 million in February.At the same time, spending under the ‘studies abroad’ category declined. This category includes payments made for educational services accessed remotely without travelling overseas, such as correspondence courses. Remittances under this head stood at $151.71 million in March, compared to $175.68 million in February and $267.42 million in January.For the financial year 2024-25, Indians remitted a total of $29.56 billion under the LRS. Travel made up the largest portion of this amount at $16.96 billion.The RBI figures further showed that investments by Indians in overseas equity and debt instruments rose significantly to $440.22 million in March from $265.99 million in February.Meanwhile, outward remittances for the purchase of immovable property overseas declined to $38.68 million in March, down from $51.36 million a month earlier.
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