Business
What Budget rumours are doing to the FTSE 100
Banking stocks gave the FTSE 100 a lift on Tuesday amid rumours that the sector will be spared a tax hit in Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ budget.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 74.62 points, 0.8 per cent, at 9,609.53.
The FTSE 250 ended up 205.83 points, 1.0 per cent, at 21,617.41, and the AIM All-Share closed up 4.93 points, 0.7 per cent, at 742.09.
High street lenders Lloyds Banking Group rose 3.8 per cent, NatWest Group climbed 3.7 per cent and Barclays advanced 2.4 per cent.
It came as the Financial Times said that Ms Reeves is unlikely to impose further tax hikes on UK banks, calming fears that they could be hit.
The chancellor will deliver the budget statement to Parliament around 12.30pm on Wednesday, after Prime Minister’s Questions.
It is likely to contain further hefty tax increases as Ms Reeves looks to cover the expected fiscal deficit and seek a higher buffer against future economic shocks.
An extension to the freeze on personal tax allowances, a mansion tax, increases in betting duties, and changes to salary sacrifice schemes are all likely to form part of a smorgasbord approach to tax policy.
But economists are less sure that this scatter-gun approach is the right path to follow.
Citi’s Callum McLaren-Stewart called the smorgasbord approach “politically palatable, but economically problematic”.
Kallum Pickering at Peel Hunt said a “haphazard patchwork of smaller anti-growth tax increases” would be a “bad outcome”.
Ahead of the budget, the pound was quoted higher at US$1.3183 at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, compared to $1.3104 on Monday.
The yield on the UK 10-year gilt was down by 5 basis points at 4.49 per cent.
Reports also suggest that the chancellor may announce a stamp duty holiday for new listings on the London Stock Exchange.
Hargreaves Lansdown’s Emma Wall said this would be a “welcome boost” for the UK stock market which has been “losing out” to New York for initial public offers in recent years.
Currently, investors have to pay 0.5 per cent stamp duty tax when they buy shares, but this is expected to be waived for new listings for up to three years.
In European equities on Tuesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.8 per cent, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 1.0 per cent to the good.
Stocks in New York were mixed after Monday’s stellar gains.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.7 per cent, the S&P 500 index was up 0.2 per cent, but the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2 per cent.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.01 per cent, narrowed from 4.05 per cent. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.65 per cent, trimmed from 4.69 per cent.
After the data vacuum caused by the American government shutdown, investors weighed a hefty batch of new figures on the health of the US economy.
Reports were mixed with US producer price growth steady year-on-year in September, while a retail sales rise was tamer than forecast on-month.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, producer prices rose 2.7 per cent on-year in September, in line with August’s rise and meeting the FXStreet-cited consensus estimate.
Separately, the Census Bureau reported US retail sales rose 0.2 per cent in September from August, shy of the FXStreet-cited forecast of a 0.4 per cent rise. In August, sales rose 0.6 per cent from July.
In addition, a report from the Conference Board showed consumer confidence in the US weakened in November, hitting its second-lowest level since April.
The CME FedWatch tool now places an 83 per cent chance of a quarter-point cut at December’s Federal Reserve meeting.
The data weighed on the dollar. The euro stood higher at $1.1569 on Tuesday, against $1.1525 on Monday. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 156.13 yen compared to 156.91 yen.
Back in London, Beazley fell 9.2 per cent as analysts said a planned US$500 million investment to build out a new Bermuda platform will mean a “material” step down in share buyback expectations.
The Lloyds of London insurer announced the news alongside mixed trading results in the first nine months of 2025.
But RBC Capital Markets said the “key new news” was the $500 million capital to be set aside to set up in Bermuda.
Beazley said the investment supports growth from 2026 onward and “supports our expansion into the alternative risk transfer market”.
But UBS thinks this puts a share buyback at the year-end “at risk”, and if there still is one, it could be of a lesser amount than the broker’s US$700 million estimate.
Faring better, Kingfisher rose 6.0 per cent after raising profit guidance for the second time in three months.
The DIY retailer, which owns the B&Q, Screwfix, Castorama and Brico Depot brands, now expects full-year adjusted pretax profit between £540 million to £570 million.
In September, Kingfisher upgraded its profit outlook to the “upper end” of the previously guided range of £480 million to £540 million.
On the FTSE 250, AO World jumped 1.5 per cent as it raised its profit forecast after reporting “continued positive trading”.
The Bolton, England-based consumer electronics seller in September upped its profit view to a £45 million to £50 million range.
Since then, AO World said it has seen “continued positive trading”, and it now expects pre-tax profit “around the top” of the outlook range.
But Baltic Classifieds slid 2.2 per cent as JPMorgan double-downgraded it to “underweight” from “overweight”.
The broker thinks online classifieds players will have to “materially” increase their efforts to maintain their gatekeeper position by delivering “undisputable, top-notch, now AI-driven search experiences and relevant information to compete with GenAI agents and new aggregators”.
Brent oil was quoted at 61.71 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, down from $62.90 late on Monday.
The oil price fell amid reports that Ukraine has agreed to the terms of a peace deal with US representatives, although additional reports suggested Russia may block any modified plan.
Gold was quoted at 4,132.40 dollars an ounce, up against $4,097.64.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Airtel Africa, up 19.2p at 314.80p, Kingfisher, up 17.5p at 309.9p, Burberry, up 52.5p at 1,168.5p, Barratt Redrow, up 15.5p at 393.9p and Lloyds Banking Group, up 3.3p at 90.6p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Beazley, down 79p at 781p, Intertek, down 278p at 4,592, Pearson, down 21.8p at 985.2p, BAE Systems, down 31p at 1,621p and Compass, down 41p at 2,408p.
Wednesday’s economic calendar has the UK budget, the Beige Book in the US and an interest rate call in New Zealand overnight.
Wednesday’s UK corporate calendar has half-year results from property developer Helical, equipment hire firm Speedy Hire, and celebration cakes retailer Cake Box.
Business
John Swinney under fire over ‘smallest tax cut in history’ after Scottish Budget
John Swinney has been pressed over whether this week’s Scottish Budget gives some workers the “smallest tax cut in history” – with Tory leader Russell Findlay branding the reduction “miserly” and “insulting”.
The Scottish Conservative leader challenged the First Minister after Tuesday’s Holyrood Budget effectively cut taxes for lower earners, by increasing the threshold for the basic and intermediate bands of income tax.
But Mr Findlay said that would leave workers at most £31.75 a year better off – saying this amounts to a saving of just £61p a week
“That wouldn’t even buy you a bag of peanuts,” the Scottish Tory leader said.
“John Swinney’s Budget might even have broken a world record, because a Scottish Government tax adviser says it ‘maybe the smallest tax cut in history’.”
Raising the “miserly cut” at First Minister’s Questions in the Scottish Parliament, Mr Findlay demanded to know if the SNP leader believed his “insulting tax cut will actually help Scotland’s struggling households”.
The attack came as the Tory accused the SNP government of increasing taxes on higher earners, with its freeze on higher income tax thresholds, which will pull more Scots into these brackets.
This is needed to pay for the “SNP’s out of control, unaffordable benefits bill”, the Conservative added.
Mr Findlay said: “The Scottish Conservatives will not back and cannot back a Budget that does nothing to help Scotland’s workers and businesses.
“It hammers people with higher taxes to fund a bloated benefits system.”
Hitting out at Labour – whose leader Anas Sarwar has already declared they will not block the government’s Budget – Mr Findlay said: “It is absolutely mind-blowing that Labour and other so-called opposition parties will let this SNP boorach of a budget pass.
“Don’t the people of Scotland deserve lower taxes, fairer benefits and a government focused on economic growth?”
Mr Swinney said the Budget “delivers on the priorities of the people of Scotland” by “strengthening our National Health Service and supporting people and businesses with the challenges of the cost of living”.
He insisted income tax decisions in the Budget would mean that in 2026-27 “55% of Scottish taxpayers are now expected to pay less income tax than if they lived in England”.
The First Minister went on to say that showed “the people of Scotland have a Government that is on their side”.
Referring to polls putting his party on course to win the Holyrood elections in May, the SNP leader added that “all the current indications show the people of Scotland want to have this Government here for the long term”.
Benefits funding is “keeping children out of poverty”, he told MSPs, adding the Budget contained a “range of measures” that would build on existing support.
The First Minister said: “What that is a demonstration of is a Government that is on the side of the people of Scotland and I am proud of the measures we set out in the Budget on Tuesday.”
Meanwhile he said the Tories wanted to make tax cuts that would cost £1 billion, with “not a scrap of detail about how that would be delivered”.
With the weekly leaders’ question time clash coming less than 48 hours after the draft 2026-27 Budget was unveiled, the First Minister also faced questions from Scottish Labour’s Anas Sarwar, who insisted that the proposals “lacks ambition for Scotland”.
Pressing his SNP rival, the Scottish Labour leader said: “While he brags about his £6 a year tax cut for the lowest paid, one million Scots including nurses, teachers and police officers face being forced to pay more.
“Even his own tax adviser says this is a political stunt. So why does John Swinney believe that someone earning £33,500 has the broadest shoulders and therefore should pay more tax in Scotland?”
Mr Swinney, however, said that many public sector workers would be better off in Scotland.
He told the Scottish Labour leader: “A band six nurse at the bottom of the scale will take home an additional £1,994 after tax compared to the same band in England.
“A qualified teacher at the bottom of the band will take home £6,365 more after tax in Scotland than the equivalent in England. There are the facts for Mr Sarwar.”
Business
BP cautions over ‘weak’ oil trading and reveals up to £3.7bn in write-downs
BP has warned it expects to book up to five billion dollars (£3.7 billion) in write-downs across its gas and low-carbon energy division as it also said oil trading had been weak in its final quarter.
The oil giant joined FTSE 100 rival Shell, after it also last week cautioned over a weaker performance from trading, which comes amid a drop in the cost of crude.
BP said Brent crude prices averaged 63.73 dollars per barrel in the fourth quarter of last year compared with 69.13 dollars a barrel in the previous three months.
Oil prices have slumped in recent weeks, partly driven lower due to US President Donald Trump’s move to oust and detain Venezuela’s leader and lay claim to crude in the region, leading to fears of a supply glut.
In its update ahead of full-year results, BP also said it expects to book a four billion dollar (£3 billion) to five billion dollar (£3.7 billion) impairment in its so-called transition businesses, largely relating to its gas and low-carbon energy division.
But it said further progress had been made in slashing debts, with its net debt falling to between 22 billion and 23 billion dollars (£16.4 billion to £17.1 billion) at the end of 2025, down from 26.1 billion dollars (£19.4 billion) at the end of September.
It comes after the firm’s surprise move last month to appoint Woodside Energy boss Meg O’Neill as its new chief executive as Murray Auchincloss stepped down after less than two years in the role.
Ms O’Neill will start in the role on April 1, with Carol Howle, current executive vice president of supply, trading and shipping at BP, acting as chief executive on an interim basis until the new boss joins.
Ms O’Neill’s appointment has made history as she will become the first woman to run BP – and also the first to head up a top five global oil company – as well as being the first ever outsider to take on the post at BP.
Shares in BP fell 1% in morning trading on Wednesday after the latest update.
Business
Budget 2026: Kolkata realtors seek tax relief, revised affordable housing cap; eye demand revival – The Times of India
Real estate developers in Kolkata have urged the Centre to use the Union Budget to recalibrate housing policies to reflect rising land and construction costs, calling for higher tax benefits for homebuyers and a long-pending revision of the affordable housing definition to revive demand, especially in the mid-income segment, PTI reported.With the Budget set to be tabled on February 1, industry players said measures such as revisiting price caps for affordable homes, rationalising GST on under-construction properties and easing approval processes could significantly improve affordability and sales momentum.Sushil Mohta, president of CREDAI West Bengal and chairman of Merlin Group, said reforms must align with current market realities. “Revisiting the affordable housing definition, rationalising housing loan interest deductions and streamlining GST rates will significantly improve affordability and demand, especially for middle-income homebuyers,” he told PTI, adding that a policy push for rental housing and wider access to formal housing finance is crucial amid rapid urbanisation.Mahesh Agarwal, managing director of Purti Realty, said continued policy support through tax rationalisation and infrastructure spending remains critical. “A re-evaluation of affordable housing price limits in line with rising land and construction costs, along with adjustments to GST on under-construction property, will enhance affordability,” he said, stressing that simpler tax frameworks and incentives for first-time buyers would help stabilise the market and speed up project execution.Echoing similar concerns, Merlin Group MD Saket Mohta pointed to sharp increases in construction costs since the introduction of GST in 2017, underscoring the need for further rationalisation. He also called for raising the affordable housing price cap from Rs 45 lakh to around Rs 80–90 lakh and expanding unit size norms. “Mid-income housing will be the key demand driver going into 2026, and supportive tax and policy measures are essential to sustain growth,” he said.Eden Realty MD Arya Sumant said the Budget must strike a balance between fiscal discipline and growth-oriented reforms. “Higher home loan interest deductions for mid-income and first-time buyers, an updated affordable housing definition, GST rationalisation and faster approvals will improve project viability and speed-to-market,” he said, adding that sustained urban infrastructure investment would unlock demand across residential and commercial segments.Sahil Saharia, CEO of Bengal Shristi Infrastructure Development Ltd, said policy focus should shift towards large, integrated developments. “Support for mixed-use townships, rental housing and commercial hubs, along with faster clearances and digital single-window mechanisms, can help create self-sustained urban ecosystems and improve execution efficiency,” he said.Developers said clear and stable policy signals in the Budget could help restore homebuyer confidence, attract long-term capital and ensure sustainable growth for the real estate sector in eastern India.
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