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Who is winning global tech race? | The Express Tribune

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Who is winning global tech race? | The Express Tribune


The Global AI Summit kicks off at the Saudi capital Riyadh, September 13, 2022. PHOTO:Twitter Al Arabiya


KARACHI:

“China is going to win the AI race.” The remark sent ripples through Silicon Valley and beyond when Jensen Huang, CEO of US chipmaking giant Nvidia, made it at an AI summit in London earlier this month. Huang, whose company dominates the global AI chip market, later softened his position, saying China is merely “nanoseconds behind America.”

But Greg Slabaugh, Professor of Computer Vision and AI at Queen Mary University of London, is convinced that China has “already won” the AI race. And he made a startling revelation to back up his claim: of all the papers presented at the 2025 International Conference on Computer Vision in Hawaii, half were authored by Chinese researchers – far outstripping the US at 17%. Factor in Chinese nationals working abroad, and the gap would widen even further.

Three years before Huang’s candid acknowledgement, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute had reported that China leads in 57 out of 64 critical technologies – from quantum sensors and AI to robotics and semiconductors – while the US maintains an edge in far fewer areas, such as biotechnology and aerospace. This marks a dramatic reversal from 2003 to 2007, when the US led in 60 of 64 technologies and China in just three. Beijing’s current dominance stems from a high-impact research ecosystem in which, in some fields, it holds something close to a near-monopoly.

This meteoric rise, especially in AI, couldn’t be stymied by US efforts to limit China’s access to advanced chips and manufacturing equipment, which were intended to maintain America’s edge in the sector. Unlike past advantages based on cheap labour or scale, China’s AI lead is structural, built on concerted strategy, coordinated investment, and an energy ecosystem optimised for massive computational growth.

The AI revolution is, at its core, a revolution of power – in both senses of the word. Training the largest data models requires a huge computing capacity, which is powered by electricity on a colossal scale. By the decade’s end, experts say, AI data centres could consume more power than some mid-sized nations. And China holds a decisive edge in this high-voltage contest. Its subsidised electricity, flexible regulation, and capacity to execute large-scale projects at rapid speed have led to the mushrooming of AI infrastructure nationwide. From data-centre clusters in Inner Mongolia to renewable-powered server farms in Sichuan, Beijing has built an energy foundation capable of sustaining AI’s exponential growth. On the contrary, US tech giants are increasingly hamstrung by a growing web of constraints. The American electricity grid is old and fragmented, creating logistical and regulatory bottlenecks. Microsoft has conceded that energy shortages are slowing the expansion of its data centre. Chinese authorities, meanwhile, have turned energy planning into a national security priority – integrating AI, cloud computing, and grid modernisation into one strategic blueprint.

While Western firms like OpenAI and Anthropic pursue closed, commercial AI models, Chinese developers have doubled down on open-weight systems – models whose trained parameters are freely available. The result has been an open-source explosion that is transforming global software development. Chinese open-source AI downloads have now surpassed those from the US, according to venture capital firm a16z. Companies such as DeepSeek, MiniMax, Z.ai, and Moonshot are releasing high-performance models at a fraction of US prices.

China’s innovation often lies not in raw capability, but in accessibility and cost efficiency. Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky recently revealed that his company had replaced OpenAI’s ChatGPT with Alibaba’s Qwen model, calling it “fast and cheap.” Chamath Palihapitiya, CEO of Social Capital, said his firm has switched to Moonshot’s Kimi K2, describing it as “way more performant” than American rivals.

Conflicting approaches are at play here. The United States, by its own admission, wants to maintain global leadership in AI to secure its economic competitiveness. China, on the other hand, pushes for democratisation of AI, promoting open cooperation, capacity building for developing nations, and an “AI for the public good.” With this approach, Beijing has flipped one of Washington’s strategic levers. American export controls – meant to slow Chinese progress by denying access to cutting-edge chips – have instead spurred Chinese firms to build leaner models that run on older hardware. “They’ve actually encouraged Chinese companies to be more resourceful,” said AI researcher Toby Walsh. “It’s exactly what happened with solar panels – constraints made them smarter and cheaper.”

The story doesn’t end there. One of the most consequential areas of Chinese dominance is remote sensing: the science of gathering data from a distance through satellites, drones, and advanced sensors. A recent global analysis of 126,000 peer-reviewed papers found that China produced nearly 47% of all remote sensing research between 2021 and 2023. The American share, which stood at 88% during the Cold War, has fallen to just 9%. The patent landscape tells the same story. Among the top 19 global patent filers in remote sensing between 2021 and 2023, Chinese institutions accounted for 62%. Why does this matter? Because remote sensing underpins nearly every next-gen technology – from self-driving cars and smart cities to climate modeling and precision agriculture. Whoever controls the sensors, data flows, and analytic algorithms effectively controls the informational foundation of modern economies.

That said, China’s leap was no accident. Since the early 2000s, Beijing has strategically targeted the field for heavy investment under national programmes like the “973 Plan,” pairing state funding with private enterprise. The result: a vast ecosystem of universities, startups, and ministries working in concert. The US, by contrast, has relied heavily on NASA and the private sector. But fragmented research funding, bureaucratic inertia, and inconsistent industrial policy have eroded its early lead. When one country produces nearly half of global output in a strategic domain, and controls most patents and funding, it is shaping the next generation of value chains.

China’s stratospheric rise extends far beyond data and algorithms. In sector after sector, Western companies find themselves being out-produced, out-priced, and out-innovated. In automobiles, Chinese brands are redefining global competition. In 2024, Chinese carmakers captured 7.4% of all passenger car sales in Europe, nearly doubling their share within a year. EV maker Leapmotor posted a staggering 7,000% jump in sales, while BYD and Chery continue their European expansion with EVs far more affordable than Western models. This is why Ford CEO Jim Farley recently issued a blunt warning: “They have enough production capacity in China to serve the entire North American market.”

The same dynamic plays out in wind power, where Chinese manufacturers like Goldwind, Envision, and Mingyang now occupy the top four global slots – pushing Western rivals Siemens Energy, GE, and Vestas down the rankings. Chinese turbines are up to 50% cheaper, thanks to economies of scale and domestic demand that dwarfs anything in Europe or the US.

Having said that, all is not lost for the West, particularly the US, which still dominates the premium end of AI, biotechnology, and aerospace. Yet Washington must rethink its approach: instead of trying to slow China’s rise through export controls and strategic containment, it should focus on large-scale investment in energy infrastructure, R&D, and education. At the same time, it needs to face the new reality.

The writer is an independent journalist with special interest in geoeconomics



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Pakistan Inflation Slows More Than Expected: Bloomberg’s Report – SUCH TV

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Pakistan Inflation Slows More Than Expected: Bloomberg’s Report – SUCH TV



Pakistan’s inflation rate slowed more than expected in December, largely due to easing food prices. According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 5.6% year-on-year in December, down from 6.1% in November and below the 5.8% median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.

Food prices increased 3.24% year-on-year in December, down from 5.53% in November, while housing and energy costs rose 6.86%.

In response to the slower-than-expected inflation, the State Bank of Pakistan cut the policy rate by 50 basis points on December 15, bringing it to its lowest level in nearly three years.

The central bank cited stable price pressures and the need to support economic growth after keeping rates unchanged for four consecutive policy meetings.

The Finance Ministry had forecast December inflation between 5.5% and 6.5%. Experts say improved food supplies, subdued global oil prices, and limited energy price adjustments helped contain inflation.

However, risks remain from fiscal slippages, global energy supply shocks, and climate change.

Border tensions with Afghanistan disrupted trade, but alternative sources helped maintain food supply, keeping broader inflation pressures under control.



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Central Govt Employees Likely To Get 2% DA Hike Soon; Salary To Rise From January 2026

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Central Govt Employees Likely To Get 2% DA Hike Soon; Salary To Rise From January 2026


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The All-India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers rose by 0.5 points to 148.2, keeping the 12-month average firmly on track to take DA/DR to 60%, from 58% currently.

January 2026 DA Hike.

January 2026 DA Hike.

DA Hike January 2026, DA Hike Latest News: Central government employees and pensioners are set for a 2 percentage point hike in dearness allowance (DA) and dearness relief (DR) from January 1, 2026, with the latest inflation data pointing to the 60% DA/DR level under the 7th Central Pay Commission (CPC).

The trigger is the All-India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (AICPI-IW) for November 2025, released by the Labour Bureau under the Ministry of Labour & Employment on December 31, 2025. The index rose by 0.5 points to 148.2, keeping the 12-month average firmly on track to take DA/DR to 60%.

November AICPI-IW confirms 60% DA trajectory

As per the standard DA formula used for the 7th Central Pay Commission, the rolling 12-month average of AICPI-IW (base year 2016=100) is used to compute the percentage increase over the base index of 261.42. With November’s reading, the calculated DA has reached 59.93%, effectively at the doorstep of 60%.

Month-wise calculations show a steady climb:

  • July 2025: 58.53%
  • August 2025: 58.94%
  • September 2025: 59.29%
  • October 2025: 59.58%
  • November 2025: 59.93%

Only the December 2025 index reading remains, but scenario analysis indicates that the outcome is now largely locked in.

December scenarios still point to 60% DA

Even under different assumptions for December inflation, the DA outcome does not materially change:

  • Index unchanged at 148.2: DA works out to 60.34%
  • Index rises to 150.2: DA increases to 60.53%
  • Index slips to 146.2: DA still holds at 60.15%

Since the Government of India announces DA only in whole numbers, any figure between 60.00% and 60.99% is officially rounded to 60%. This makes a 2% hike, from the existing 58% to 60%, almost certain.

When will the hike be announced?

While the DA revision takes effect from January 1, 2026, the formal announcement is typically made later. Based on past trends, employees can expect the government to notify the revised DA around March or April 2026, with arrears paid retrospectively from January.

Why this DA hike matters more than usual

This revision is especially significant because January 1, 2026 also marks the formal start of the 8th Central Pay Commission cycle. Historically, when a new pay commission is implemented, the prevailing DA is merged into basic pay and the DA clock is reset to zero under the new structure.

In that sense, the expected 60% DA under the 7th CPC becomes a crucial reference point. It effectively acts as an inflation buffer, influencing discussions around the fitment factor and overall salary restructuring under the 8th CPC.

What employees can expect

If approved as expected, the 2% DA hike will translate into a modest but meaningful increase in monthly take-home salary for serving employees and higher pension payouts for retirees, at a time when retail inflation pressures continue to persist.

Barring an unexpected collapse in December inflation data, the numbers now clearly indicate that 60% DA from January 2026 is a done deal, making this one of the most closely watched DA revisions in recent years.

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K-beauty: From social media trend to economic powerhouse

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K-beauty: From social media trend to economic powerhouse


Suranjana TewariAsia Business Correspondent, Seoul, South Korea

Watch: Korean skincare is a multi-billion dollar industry – what makes it so great?

Who would have thought serums infused with snail mucin – the sticky substance they secrete – would become a part of skincare routines around the world?

Well, it’s happened – and the gooey elasticity is key, according to a viral TikTok challenge promoting the serum. It made its manufacturer, the small South Korean label CosRX, go global. It is now owned by Amorepacific, the country’s biggest cosmetics company.

The rapid spread of that sticky serum tells you just how wildly successful K-beauty has become. Fuelled by viral content and trends, it is one of the biggest industries in South Korea, where the pressure to look almost flawless has always been huge in a highly competitive society.

The domestic market alone was valued at about $13bn (£9.6bn) in 2024, with sales of some products expected to grow at double-digit rates. And the rest of the world is just as obsessed with K-beauty – which is perhaps unsurprising given it’s part of the Hallyu, or Korean Wave, which has made K-Pop and K-dramas a global phenomenon.

K-beauty brands now occupy whole sections at global retailers – from Sephora to Boots to Walmart. In the first half of 2025, South Korea overtook France, the birthplace of modern cosmetics, to become the world’s second-largest exporter of beauty products, after the United States.

Search for “Korean skincare” on TikTok, Instagram or YouTube and you’ll be met with a deluge of content from influencers, some of whom have hundreds of millions of followers. They dissect ingredient lists, film unboxings and record “Get Ready With Me” videos built around ideas such as “glass skin”, sheet masks and, of course, snail mucin.

“There are so many products and brands, and a lot of times you’re exposed to millions of them as a consumer – it’s highly saturated and competitive,” said Liah Yoo, a beauty influencer and founder of the US-based K-beauty brand Krave Beauty.

The formula behind the rise

At the heart of K-beauty’s rise is a relentless pace of innovation. New formulations appear every few months, often designed to spark the next online obsession.

Ten-step skincare routines, overnight “water sleeping masks” and headline-grabbing ingredients such as salmon sperm were once viewed as niche or unappealing. Today, many are staples in bathroom cabinets from London to Los Angeles.

Social media has been central to this shift. Products launched in Seoul are on TikTok and Instagram feeds in the US, UK, India and Australia instantly.

There are however growing concerns about the social impact of beauty ideals, particularly on young people. Experts warn that constant exposure to skincare content online can fuel anxiety and excessive spending.

Getty Images Sulwhasoo brand global ambassador, Yoona of girl group Girls' Generation poses for a photocall for the AMORE PACIFIC 'Sulwhasoo' holistic night party on April 14, 2025 in Seoul,Getty Images

K-pop star Yoona promoting one of South Korea’s best-known beauty brands

“We are fully aware that excessive use or misuse of social media can lead to backlash,” said Kim Seung-hwan, Amorepacific’s chief executive, adding that brands must strike a careful balance in how they use online platforms.

The challenge will only grow as the industry expands to include Western multinationals.

L’Oréal acquired a South Korean conglomerate which included the brand Dr.G in late 2024, saying the deal would help meet rising demand for effective yet affordable K-beauty products.

Other global firms are increasingly incorporating popular ingredients associated with Korean brands such as centella asiatica and rice water into their own lines.

Many of South Korea’s large beauty brands are part of the country’s powerful conglomerates, or chaebols.

Amorepacific accounts for roughly half of the domestic market. Its portfolio ranges from premium brands such as Sulwhasoo to global mass-market names like Laneige, environmentally focused labels such as Innisfree, and fast-growing independent brands. But even as a chaebol, Amorepacific says it looks to smaller independent brands for fresh ideas.

Getty Images Influencer Aylen Park and her mother attend Korean beauty event in New York, October 23, 2025.Getty Images

Influencer Aylen Park and her mother attend a Korean beauty event organised by Amorepacific and Sephora in New York

“Through the founder and the CosRX team, we were able to learn their approach to formula innovation and how to respond more quickly to consumer needs,” Mr Kim from Amorepacific said. “These lessons have since been integrated into our wider organisation.”

In 2024, Amorepacific sold about $6.2bn of products. LG Household & Health Care, another major conglomerate, recorded sales of $4.1bn. The scale of the industry continues to show up in South Korea’s export figures too.

Exports rose 15% in the first half of 2025 to a record $5.5bn, largely driven by strong sales in the US and Europe, putting the country on track to surpass $10bn in annual beauty exports.

For Mr Kim, all customers are not the same.

“In countries like Japan, Korea and China, there is more interest in things like flawless skin. In Europe fragrance is the main category, and in the US make-up is more popular,” he said.

“Things are changing though,” he added, pointing to rising interest among Western consumers in youthful-looking skin and sun protection, particularly as awareness of climate change and UV exposure grows.

Keeping up with the competition

To cater to the ever-growing demand, South Korea’s 30,000 or so beauty brands rely on a highly sophisticated industrial ecosystem.

They are supported by original development manufacturers, or ODMs, which handle research, formulation and production for thousands of labels.

Getty Images Customers browse Amorepacific Corp. cosmetics at the store in the company's headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, on Wednesday, Sept. 12, 2018.Getty Images

Amorepacific is South Korea’s biggest cosmetics company

Even large conglomerates outsource some product lines, while smaller names depend heavily on ODMs to move quickly and keep costs down.

Cosmax, one of the largest manufacturers, supplies products to about 4,500 brands from factories across South Korea, China, the US and South East Asia.

In 2024, it accounted for just over a quarter of South Korea’s $10bn worth of cosmetics exports.

This allows products to move from being conceptualised to being sold in as little as six months – the process that can take one to three years for many Western brands.

Automation helps keep costs down. The BBC visited a sprawling Amorepacific factory outside South Korea’s capital Seoul, where a handful of workers oversaw fully automated production lines bottling Laneige’s Water Sleeping Mask and CosRX’s Vitamin C 23 Serum.

Speed, however, comes at a cost. Intense competition has contributed to thin profit margins and high rates of business failures. According to government data, more than 8,800 cosmetics brands have gone out of business in recent years.

“South Korea has great infrastructure that can help you create a brand quickly, but growing a successful brand is another story,” said Ms Yoo. “It comes down to your brand ethos, your identity, and how different your products are from anything else on the market.”

As competition intensifies, brands face growing pressure to be more transparent, and to focus on ingredients and the effectiveness of their products rather than celebrity endorsements.

“We’re not just buying from the big brands now. We’re actually talking about ingredients, where it’s sourced, what it does,” said Mia Chen, a prominent beauty influencer. “A lot of Korean skincare derives from natural ingredients, and we all want that on our skin without side effects.”

Getty Images Sydney Sweeney visits the LANEIGE Pop-Up at The Grove LA on March 25, 2024 in Los Angeles, CaliforniaGetty Images

Sydney Sweeney is the global ambassador for Amorepacific’s Laneige brand

The industry is also being shaped by its changing market.

China is no longer the biggest overseas buyer as its own brands erode the dominance once enjoyed by Japanese and Korean imports.

For the first time in 80 years, Amorepacific’s North America business overtook the one in China last year, Mr Kim said, adding that the firm also expects growth in Japan, Europe, India and the Middle East.

The US remains a key market, importing more beauty products from South Korea than anywhere else. But President Donald Trump’s 15% tariffs on Korean imports have sparked some uncertainty.

Olive Young, South Korea’s biggest cosmetics retailer which plans to open its first store in the US this year, imposed a 15% customs duty on American orders. Amorepacific said it would consider price increases only on a case-by-case basis, based on discussions with retail partners such as Sephora and Walmart.

But the firms have the backing of the South Korean government, which designated K-beauty a strategic national asset in December, promising to support manufacturing and exports.

It is a telling vote of confidence in an industry that kicked off as a viral trend and is now an economic force.

Additional reporting by Jaltson Akkanath Chummar and Juna Moon



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