Sports
5 early lessons of men’s basketball season: Real vs. pretend contenders, more
It has been 37 days since the men’s college basketball season began — and what a wild opening stretch it has been.
The freshmen class quickly emerged as one of the best in the history of the sport. The group is so good that Washington’s Hannes Steinbach, at an average of 18.5 points and 12.8 rebounds, is projected as the 21st pick in ESPN’s 2026 NBA mock draft.
The early stretch has also helped identify which preseason contenders are true threats to win the national championship — see: Michigan defeating fellow AP top-10 team Gonzaga by 40 points during Feast Week — and which look more like pretenders.
Through all of the mayhem, it’s clear this season is producing some of the best basketball of this era. The top teams are really good. The talent pool is deep. The coaching is top tier. And the atmospheres have been awesome (this is not an invitation to rant about the Players Era Festival crowds).
We’re marching toward what should be an incredible finale at the Final Four in Indianapolis, a decade after Villanova‘s Kris Jenkins hit a winning 3-pointer at the buzzer to beat North Carolina in the 2016 national championship. If the first month is an indicator, the 2025-26 season could end with similar fireworks.
Here are the five biggest lessons we’ve learned so far.

This freshman class could be the best of one-and-done era
In the four seasons between 2021-22 and 2024-25, KenPom‘s final Player of the Year rankings featured four freshmen combined: Chet Holmgren and Paolo Banchero in 2022, Brandon Miller in 2023 and Cooper Flagg in 2025. That’s the same number of freshmen included in this season’s rankings.
That list begins with Cameron Boozer. Duke‘s star has a higher offensive rating on KenPom than Flagg or Zion Williamson, the past two National Player of the Year winners produced by the Blue Devils, finished their award-winning seasons with. Through the first five weeks, at least, Boozer has separated himself from the field with a breathtaking effort for an undefeated Duke team.
On Boozer’s heels are a collection of first-year standouts who deserve similar recognition.
BYU‘s AJ Dybantsa has arguably been the second-best player in the country, and North Carolina star Caleb Wilson is leading a resurgence in Chapel Hill. That same bounce-back is in the works for Kansas now, too, with projected No. 1 NBA draft pick Darryn Peterson‘s return from a monthlong absence because of a hamstring injury.
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AJ Dybantsa throws down exclamation point jam for BYU
AJ Dybantsa takes the open lane to the basket and throws down a massive jam for BYU.
Each of the top eight picks in ESPN’s 2026 NBA mock draft are freshmen — a group that doesn’t even include surging prospects such as Houston‘s Kingston Flemings or Arkansas‘ Darius Acuff Jr.
In the one-and-done era, this crew has a chance to be the best we’ve ever seen.
Florida, Kentucky and St. John’s have failed to meet expectations
Three days after it suffered through its worst scoring drought of the past eight years — a 10-minute, 25-second stretch in last week’s loss to North Carolina — Kentucky missed its first 10 shots and lost to Gonzaga by 35 points in Nashville on Friday. To say that a team that was ranked ninth in the preseason AP Top 25 is in trouble would be a vast understatement. The Wildcats are a mess, but they’re not the only preseason contenders searching for answers.
Months after winning a national title with an elite set of guards, Florida‘s Todd Golden rebooted his backcourt with former Arkansas star Boogie Fland and Princeton transfer Xaivian Lee. It hasn’t worked out as planned. In Florida’s two-player lineups — an on-court metric at EvanMiya.com that captures how teams perform when specific players are paired together — the Fland-Lee combination ranked 26th within its own team. And though Lee scored 19 points against UConn in Tuesday’s game at Madison Square Garden, that loss was another example of the Gators’ limitations when Lee and Fland (1-for-9 combined from 3 against the Huskies) aren’t equally elite on the same night.
Ultimately, Florida hasn’t looked like a defending champion thus far, despite Thomas Haugh (18.6 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 2.8 APG) playing like an All-American.
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Thomas Haugh soars for a thunderous alley-oop jam for Florida
Xaivian Lee floats the ball to Thomas Haugh for an epic and-1 alley-oop slam for Florida vs. UConn.
And after finishing second in adjusted defensive efficiency, defending Big East champion St. John’s is 51st in that same category since Nov. 24, per BartTorvik.com. Rick Pitino signed some of the top transfers in the portal but has failed to manufacture the same defensive integrity that helped his squad earn an invitation to “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” a year ago. The Red Storm have already lost three games after finishing last season with only five losses.
Michigan, Iowa State and Arizona are much better than we realized
After his colleagues had been peppered with questions at Big 12 media day, Arizona‘s Tommy Lloyd sat on the stage in Kansas City, Missouri, and acknowledged the lack of interest in his team at that same juncture. “No other questions? Really?” Lloyd said. “OK.”
Since that moment in October, Arizona has shocked college basketball. The Wildcats earned their first No. 1 ranking in the AP Top 25 since 2023 this week thanks to early wins over No. 5 UConn, No. 18 Florida, No. 21 Auburn and No. 25 UCLA. Sensational freshman Koa Peat (15.9 PPG, 5.5 RPG) leads a squad that has averaged 88.5 points.
Two teams that had not been viewed as serious preseason contenders have also managed to earn national acclaim over the first month-plus.
Michigan beat Gonzaga by 40 points in Las Vegas during Feast Week, capping a 3-0 run at the Players Era Festival with wins over San Diego State and Auburn, too. Led by All-America candidate Yaxel Lendeborg, the Wolverines have the nation’s best defense and have won six games by 25 or more points.
Joshua Jefferson (17.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.4 APG) and Iowa State also have dominant wins on their résumé, including last Saturday’s 23-point true road victory over then-No. 1 Purdue. That’s the best win of the season thus far. The Cyclones have also managed to force turnovers on 26.5% of their opponents’ possessions, the best mark in the country.
All three teams finished outside the top six in the preseason AP poll — Arizona (13th) and Iowa State (16th) weren’t even top 10. But those three teams have looked the part of serious national championship contenders through the first month of the season.
The 3-point revolution has reached record highs
In George Washington‘s 84-70 victory over Army on Dec. 2, the two teams combined to shoot 70 3-pointers. In the 2015 national title game, Wisconsin and Duke combined to shoot 32 3s — or seven fewer than Army took last week.
While the significance of the 3-point shot in college basketball isn’t a new phenomenon, the uptick in the first month of the 2025-26 season suggests that we could see a flurry of 3-pointers at a rate unmatched. A then-record of 121 teams took 3-pointers on at least 40% of their shots in 2021-22, an uptick from the 103 teams in the same category five years earlier, per KenPom. That number rose again to a stunning 157 teams last season.
So far this season, at least 40% of total field goal attempts for 187 teams — more than half of Division I programs — have been 3-pointers.
The game is rapidly evolving in real time, and the first month has proved as much with the multitude of 3-point attempts across the landscape.
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Alex Karaban sinks an early 3 for UConn
Alex Karaban sinks an early 3 for UConn
The ACC is … back?
The ACC sent a North Carolina team that finished 13-7 in conference play as its fourth and final NCAA tournament entry a season after finishing with only four bids for the first time in more than a decade.
Needless to say, it has been a couple of down seasons for the ACC, but the conference is already beginning to erase its recent woes. Yes, Duke is Duke. Boozer is the front-runner for National Player of the Year and is surrounded by a supporting cast that could help the Blue Devils win their first national title since 2015. That’s not new. What is though, is the role other ACC teams could have in producing a resurgence for the conference.
Louisville (Mikel Brown Jr.) and North Carolina (Caleb Wilson) are led by a pair of projected lottery picks. First-year head coaches Ryan Odom (Virginia), Jai Lucas (Miami) and Will Wade (NC State) could turn the tide for their teams this season. Overall, five ACC teams are ranked in the top 25 in adjusted offensive efficiency at the start of December.
That’s a good sign.
The ACC ended last season with only five top-100 teams in KenPom’s final rankings. So far this season, the conference already has nine. It also had eight sub-100 KenPom teams at the end of 2024-25, which is a better measuring stick for the conference’s overall strength (or lack thereof). This season, there are only three ACC teams in that same category.
With a talent boost and new faces on the sidelines, the ACC has already demonstrated that it is collectively prepared for a better season than the past two.
Sports
Craig Morton, quarterback who led the Broncos to their first Super Bowl appearance, dead at 83
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Former Denver Broncos quarterback Craig Morton, who was inducted into the team’s Ring of Fame, died on Saturday. He was 83.
Morton was critical in helping the Broncos reach their first-ever playoff appearance, ultimately getting them to Super Bowl XII during the 1977 campaign.
After going 12-2 during the season, and getting wins in the playoffs over the Pittsburgh Steelers and then-Oakland Raiders, Morton was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Year.
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Denver Broncos quarterback Craig Morton stands on the sidelines with both hands on his hips. (GETTY)
“Craig Morton is unbelievable,” fellow Ring of Famer Haven Moses said after the Broncos won the AFC Championship in 1978, per the New York Times. “To me, he’s the most valuable player in the National Football League.”
Morton also won Sporting News Player of the Year, the PFWA Comeback Player of the Year and the NFL UPI MVP in 1977.
“We are saddened to learn of the passing of #BroncosROF quarterback Craig Morton, who died on Saturday at the age of 83,” the Broncos posted on social media.
Morton also led the Broncos to two different division titles and three playoff berths during his six seasons with the franchise. He finished his career in Denver with 11,895 passing yards, which marked the most in franchise history at the time.
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Quarterback Craig Morton #7 of the Denver Broncos drops back to pass during an NFL game at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colo., circa 1978. Morton played for the Broncos from 1977 to 1982. (Focus On Sport/Getty Images)
Morton also led the Broncos with pass attempts (1,594) and completions (907). But Morton’s time with the Broncos was the latter half of his NFL career.
He was drafted by the Dallas Cowboys in 1965, the fifth overall pick out of Cal. Morton spent the first 10 seasons of his career with the Cowboys, where he threw for 10,279 yards with 80 touchdowns and 73 interceptions. He went 32-14-1 in his time with Dallas.
Then, during the 1974 season, Morton was moved to the New York Giants, a division rival of the Cowboys. He went 1-6 in his first seven starts that year and wouldn’t find much success in New York across three seasons.

Quarterback Craig Morton #7 of the Denver Broncos drops back to pass during an NFL game at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colo., circa 1978. Morton played for the Broncos from 1977 to 1982. (Focus On Sport/Getty Images)
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For his career, Morton threw for 27,908 yards with 183 touchdowns. He owned an 81-62-1 record across 207 games.
Sports
2026 Heisman Trophy Odds: CJ Carr, Arch Manning Early Favorites
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Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza’s year couldn’t have been more perfect.
He led his Hoosiers to an unblemished 16-0 season, captured the national championship in historic fashion and won the 2025 Heisman before being selected first in the 2026 NFL Draft by the Raiders.
Now that the path is clear for a new athlete to leave NYC in December holding the Heisman, who will it be?
Here are the way-too-early odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of May 5.
This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.
2026 Heisman Trophy Winner
CJ Carr (Notre Dame): +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Arch Manning (Texas): +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Julian Sayin (Ohio State): +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Dante Moore (Oregon): +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss): +1100 (bet $10 to win $120 total)
Josh Hoover (TCU): +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Darian Mensah (Miami, FL): +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State): +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Gunner Stockton (Georgia): +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Sam Leavitt (Arizona State): +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)
Marcel Reed (Texas A&M): +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Jayden Maiava (USC): +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
John Mateer (Oklahoma): +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Here’s more on a few of the names on the 2026 Heisman oddsboard:
The Favorites: Carr and Manning are tied at +750 to win the Heisman Trophy at the end of the 2026 regular season. And the latter is no stranger to Heisman talk. He opened as the favorite for the 2025 Heisman at several books and right before the season kicked off, bettors were hammering Manning’s futures. The excitement over Manning was short-lived once his Longhorns went 4-2 to begin the season. If he is at least named a finalist, he would follow in the footsteps of his uncles and his grandfather, as both Peyton and Eli Manning, and their dad Archie, were Heisman finalists during their college careers.
Arch Manning is an early favorite to win the 2026 Heisman Trophy.
Ones to Watch: Ohio State teammates Jeremiah Smith and Julian Sayin are two players to watch for next season’s Heisman — especially because they were both in the conversation to win the award most of 2025. Sayin, in fact, was a Heisman finalist and finished fourth in the race with eight first-place votes. Smith didn’t make the trip to New York but finished sixth in the tally. FOX Sports college football writer RJ Young projects that both Smith and Sayin — as well as Manning — will be in the running in 2026.

Ohio State’s Julian Sayin could make another trip to NYC — but this time as the winner.
Heisman in Troy?: Could Maiava bring the hardware back to SC from NYC? Based on the early odds, he could have at least a slight chance. If the Trojans’ QB wins the most coveted individual award in college football, he’d be the first USC player since Caleb Williams (2022) to do so. Maiava finished the 2025 season with 3,711 passing yards and 24 touchdowns, as his squad ended the year with a 9-4 record.
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Aaron Rodgers never met with Steelers despite rumor-filled weekend as QB’s decision remains up in air
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Aaron Rodgers didn’t make it back to Pittsburgh after all.
After reports surfaced this past Friday that Rodgers was expected to visit the Pittsburgh Steelers in preparation for a return to the team he played for last year, many were hopeful the months-long wait was over.
However, during his appearance on “The Pat McAfee Show” on ESPN this Monday, Adam Schefter said neither the Steelers nor his agent were aware of any such meeting being on the schedule.
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Aaron Rodgers of the Steelers stands during the national anthem before an NFL game against the Baltimore Ravens at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa., on Jan. 4, 2026. (Michael Owens/Getty Images)
But then, there were the reports about where Rodgers is in the world, with the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review reporting that he was in the Steel City, though he wasn’t scheduled to visit with the team. A report from 93.7 The Fan added on, saying he was in town for golf.
Either way, the decision still lingers whether Rodgers will suit up for the Steelers, but the storied franchise gave themselves some insurance if the four-time MVP quarterback decides he wants to potentially play elsewhere.
STEELERS OWNERSHIP HOPES FOR CLARITY ON AARON RODGERS’ FUTURE ‘IN THE NEXT MONTH OR SO’
The Steelers used an unrestricted free-agent tender on Rodgers last month, which allows Pittsburgh the right to match any offer Rodgers may get from another team.
Despite doubt from some camps on Rodgers’ potential return, Schefter noted his belief he will be in the Steelers’ depth chart come training camp. The Steelers have their OTAs scheduled to begin next Monday.

Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers drops back to pass against the Baltimore Ravens at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa., on Jan. 4, 2026. (Getty Images)
With Rodgers at the helm this past season, the Steelers went 10-7, even earning a playoff berth after Baltimore Ravens rookie Tyler Loop’s now-infamous game-winning field goal did not get through the uprights. The Steelers ended up losing to the Houston Texans in the wild-card round, extending the team’s playoff winless streak to eight straight seasons, including three consecutive campaigns.
Rodgers, who’s slated for the Pro Football Hall of Fame once he decides to call it quits for his career, threw for 3,322 yards with 24 touchdowns to seven interceptions in 16 games for Pittsburgh in 2025.
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The Steelers also revamped their team for this season, as Mike McCarthy, Rodgers’ old head coach with the Green Bay Packers, takes over for Mike Tomlin, whose generational run in Pittsburgh ended after 19 seasons (2007-25). While D.K. Metcalf and Rodgers built chemistry this past season, the Steelers also added veteran receiver Michael Pittman Jr. in a deal with the Indianapolis Colts, while adding Alabama’s Germie Bernard in the 2026 NFL Draft.

Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers after being sacked during the wild-card game against the Houston Texans at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa., on Jan. 12, 2026. (Michael Longo/For USA Today Network-PA/USA Today Network via Imagn Images)
And while Kenneth Gainwell is gone after a solid performance with Pittsburgh, Rico Dowdle comes into the fold to work alongside Jaylen Warren at running back.
Yet, the biggest question in football still remains: will Rodgers be a part of these new-look Steelers in 2026?
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