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India’s services, manufacturing’s export potential untapped; FDI a concern: World Bank South Asia chief economist – The Times of India

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India’s services, manufacturing’s export potential untapped; FDI a concern: World Bank South Asia chief economist – The Times of India


India’s services and manufacturing exports hold significant untapped potential for overseas investors, according to Franziska Ohnsorge, Chief Economist for South Asia at the World Bank.“I draw attention to two opportunities for investment. One is in services exports and the other is in goods exports because it’s the export industry rather than tradable industries that foreign investors tend to be interested in,” Ohnsorge told ANI on the sidelines of the Kautilya Economic Forum in New Delhi. She added that India’s strong government readiness for AI further strengthens this potential.Ohnsorge pointed to the rapid expansion of computer services exports, which surged 30 per cent following the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, compared to a 10 per cent rise in overall services exports. “Computer services exports have been soaring relative to average services exports since the introduction of ChatGPT in November 2022. So computer services exports have grown by 30 per cent, but overall services exports only by 10 per cent. There seem to be real opportunities in that sector,” she said.On manufacturing, she underlined constraints posed by limited trade agreements and high tariffs on intermediate goods. “India currently has much fewer trade agreements than other emerging markets and developing economies and has higher tariffs on intermediate goods and this is something that holds back its manufacturing sector. So I’ll show that if these trade agreements that are currently under negotiation materialise, it would increase the market access of India’s manufacturing industry by multiples,” she noted.India is currently negotiating free trade agreements (FTAs) with partners including the UK, EU, Oman, Canada, and members of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF). Bilateral trade discussions with the US are also ongoing.On investment trends, she observed that private investment growth in India has slowed compared to pre-pandemic levels, but remains stronger than in most emerging markets. “Private investment growth has slowed in India from pre-pandemic rates to post-pandemic rates. And that is the opposite of what has happened in other emerging markets and developing economies. But even with this slowdown, private investment growth in India is still higher than the average for other emerging markets and developing economies. So by international standards, private investment growth is not weak. By India’s standards, it’s weak,” she explained.However, she flagged foreign direct investment (FDI) as a key area of concern. “What is weak by international standards is FDI. The FDI to GDP ratio in India is in the bottom quartile. Net FDI. GDP ratio is in the bottom quartile of emerging markets and developing economies,” she added.





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India-EU FTA talks continue: Key issues remain unresolved, says envoy; claims deal could be a ‘game changer’ – The Times of India

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India-EU FTA talks continue: Key issues remain unresolved, says envoy; claims deal could be a ‘game changer’ – The Times of India


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The potential free trade agreement (FTA) and investment protection pact between India and the EU could be a “game changer” amid rising tariffs and market access restrictions in other regions, said EU Ambassador Herve Delphin. Speaking ahead of the 14th round of FTA negotiations in Brussels, Delphin acknowledged that talks remain “challenging” with several unresolved issues. The comments come after Prime Minister Narendra Modi and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen committed to concluding the trade deal by December 2025. The EU is India’s largest trading partner, with goods trade reaching $135 billion in 2023-24. Delphin, addressing the Federation of European Business in India (FEBI) on Tuesday, highlighted the FTA’s potential to open new opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade ties, particularly in light of trade disruptions caused by policies under the Trump administration.“The FTA can open new opportunities for EU and Indian businesses and create conditions to significantly increase our bilateral trade and investment,” Delphin said.“While some countries are raising tariffs or otherwise closing their markets, we should use the FTA to diversify trade, hedge against uncertainties and strengthen our supply chains,” he further added at Federation of European Business in India (FEBI) on Tuesday, the script of which was released Saturday.EU Ambassador Herve Delphin also said the negotiating teams from India and the EU are working diligently on the free trade agreement (FTA). “(It is) fair to say the negotiations are challenging and important issues remain to be solved. The 13th round earlier in September with the direct involvement of Commissioners (Maros) Sefcovic and (Christophe) Hansen on the EU side did not result in the sort of breakthrough, which was expected,” he said.The 13th round of negotiations took place in Delhi, with European Commission Agriculture Commissioner Hansen and Trade Chief Sefcovic in attendance.Delphin added, “The EU was and is still ready to conclude on a meaningful package. We look forward to the next round and further negotiations towards a mutually beneficial deal.”According to the EU, while 11 chapters—including customs, dispute settlement, and digital trade—have been finalised, key areas such as rules of origin and market access are still under discussion. The 13th negotiation round in September, involving Commissioners Sefcovic and Hansen, did not yield the anticipated breakthrough. Delphin emphasised the EU’s readiness to conclude a meaningful deal, pointing to the strong economic complementarity between India and the EU. “Given that the EU and India represent the second and fourth largest economies globally, the potential for expanding bilateral trade relations is significant,” he said.





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‘Swadeshi Campaign’ launch: Govt pushes to boost Indian textiles; domestic market demand expected at $250 billion by 2030 – The Times of India

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‘Swadeshi Campaign’ launch: Govt pushes to boost Indian textiles; domestic market demand expected at 0 billion by 2030 – The Times of India


The ministry of textiles has launched the ‘Swadeshi Campaign’ to boost domestic demand for handloom, handicrafts, and textile products across India. The initiative, which will run for six to nine months, aims to reposition Indian textiles as symbols of pride, style, and heritage, particularly among urban youth and Gen Z consumers. According to the government press release, the campaign’s objectives include stimulating domestic textile consumption, empowering weavers, artisans, and textile MSMEs, and aligning efforts with flagship government initiatives such as the PLI scheme for textiles, PM MITRA Parks, and One District One Product (ODOP). It will also encourage institutional procurement, urging ministries, PSUs, and educational institutions to adopt Indian-made textiles for uniforms and furnishings.

Amit Shah Sounds Big ‘Swadeshi’ Threat From Bastar, Urges 140 Crore People To Adopt Local Products

Awareness will be created through events, social media outreach, and partnerships with state governments. The campaign will run under the slogan: “स्वदेशी कपड़ा देश की शान—यही है भारत की पहचान” (Swadeshi fabric is the pride of the nation—this is India’s identity). India’s textile and clothing market, valued at $179 billion in 2024, is expanding at an average annual growth rate of over 7 per cent. Household consumption accounts for 58 per cent of the domestic market and is growing at 8.19 per cent annually, while non-household consumption contributes 21 per cent with 6.79 per cent growth. With the government’s continued initiatives and the Swadeshi Campaign, domestic demand for textiles is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9–10 per cent, reaching $250 billion by 2030.





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Gold, silver outlook for Diwali 2025: How high could prices go after 50% surge? Analysts weigh in – The Times of India

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Gold, silver outlook for Diwali 2025: How high could prices go after 50% surge? Analysts weigh in – The Times of India


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As Diwali 2025 approaches, gold and silver markets have shown remarkable performance, with increases of over 47% and 52% respectively this year. On the MCX, prices have exceeded Rs 1,18,000 per 10 grams, leading investors to speculate about further growth potential during the upcoming festive period.Analysts, quoted by Economic Times, predict continued growth, with gold potentially reaching Rs 1.22 lakh by Diwali.The 2025 precious metals surge has been driven by various factors including festival demand, accommodative central bank policies, global political tensions and sustained ETF investments, leading to unprecedented price levels.Silver prices have also risen significantly, trading above Rs 1.44 lakh per kg, with projections suggesting Rs 1.50 lakh by the festival period.Renisha Chainani of Augmont Research anticipates a “bullish-to-consolidation phase” during Diwali, noting that whilst recent gains might encourage profit-taking, the overall positive trend continues. “Gold has surged past Rs 1,18,000 on MCX while silver trades above Rs 1,44,000, supported by safe-haven demand amid the US government shutdown, tariff uncertainty, and expectations of further Fed rate cuts,” Chainani told ETMarkets.Regarding Diwali 2025 projections for precious metals- Chainani forecasts that by October 21, gold could reach $3950-$4000 internationally (Rs 1,20,000-Rs 1,22,000 on MCX), while silver might achieve $49-$50 (Rs 1,48,000-Rs 1,50,000), particularly if global tensions increase. She notes that “key drivers of bullishness include dovish Fed policy, a weaker US dollar, continued ETF inflows, and robust Indian festive demand.The industrial sector and green energy requirements could boost silver demand. However, she notes that market stabilisation could occur due to profit collection, US dollar strengthening, or reduced global tensions.Manoj Kumar Jain from Prithvifinmart Commodity Research notes that September’s performance, with gold increasing over 10% and silver 15% internationally, indicates a “super bull run” for both metals. Additionally, his predictions include gold reaching Rs 1,22,000 by Diwali and Rs 1,25,000 by year-end, with silver potentially hitting Rs 1,50,000 and Rs 1,58,000-Rs 1,60,000 respectively.Internationally, Jain anticipates gold at $3940-$4000 and silver at $48.40-$50 per troy ounce. Support levels are $3720 (international) and Rs 1,10,660 (domestic) for gold, with silver at $44.40 and Rs 1,34,400. Jain recommends: “We suggest buying gold and silver on dips for the target of Rs 1,22,000 and Rs 1,50,000, respectively and avoid any kind of short selling in both precious metals.”As Diwali approaches, jeweller and retail demand is expected to increase. Traditional peak buying during festivals and weddings could further strengthen prices already elevated by global economic uncertainties.Despite potential profit-taking opportunities, analysts maintain that fundamental factors remain positive, with any price decreases likely being temporary.Jigar Trivedi of Reliance Securities said, “By Diwali 2025, gold may trade around Rs 1,19,000-Rs1,20,000/10g, driven by global uncertainties, central bank buying, high inflation, Fed stance and a weaker rupee. Safe-haven demand is strong as geopolitical tensions and economic slowdown fears persist.”He adds that silver might reach Rs 1,48,000-Rs 1,50,000/kg, supported by industrial applications, particularly in solar energy and EVs, alongside investment interest. “Supply constraints and a falling rupee further fuel price momentum. With interest rates expected to fall globally, precious metals may gain. However, high volatility and profit-booking can cause short dips. Overall, both metals show a bullish outlook for Diwali 2025 in rupee terms, supported by macroeconomic trends, weak INR, and robust investor interest in hard assets,” Trivedi further added.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)





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