Business
India Surges Ahead While US, China, Russia Struggle: Harvard Economist Reveals Stunning Post-Covid Growth Story
New Delhi: India has emerged as the world’s fastest-growing economy, leaving nations like the United States, China and Russia struggling to catch up. The post-COVID recovery of the Indian economy has astonished global observers, from the World Bank to the International Monetary Fund. Now Harvard economist Jason Furman has shared a chart, which illustrates India’s extraordinary pace of growth.
The chart shows that while major economies are still grappling with pandemic aftershocks, India has achieved a rebound, consistently maintaining momentum.
Jason Furman shared the comparative growth chart on X (formerly Twitter), highlighting India’s performance from 2019 through the third quarter of 2025. It contrasts India’s nominal GDP trends before COVID-19 with current data, along with major economies such as the United States, the Eurozone, China and Russia.
The data shows India rising steadily, reaching projected GDP growth of +5% by mid-2025, making it the only major economy maintaining continuous upward momentum.
The chart shows that India began its post-pandemic recovery from a low point in 2020 and surpassed its pre-COVID trendline by 2022. By 2024, its growth reached +3%, and projections suggest +5% by the third quarter of 2025.
Furman emphasised that India’s growth is not a one-time surge but a result of structural strength. He pointed to digital infrastructure, investment reforms and a stable macroeconomic environment as key factors driving domestic consumption and investment, allowing India to continue growing even amid global challenges.
Other major economies, in contrast, are still facing hurdles. The Eurozone experienced the deepest contraction during the pandemic at -25%, while China faced a decline of -10%. Russia’s economy fell by -8%, and the United States and India both saw a drop of -5%.
Although recovery measures have helped the United States reach an estimated growth rate of around 2% by 2025, India’s rapid pace far outshines it. China’s recovery remains constrained due to the long-lasting effects of zero-COVID policies and real estate crises, with projected growth of -5% in 2025.
Russia continues to struggle near -8%, influenced heavily by the ongoing war with Ukraine, while the Eurozone is projected to achieve only -3% growth.
Global rating agencies are also expressing confidence in India’s continued momentum. The Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency (ICRA) expects India’s GDP growth to remain strong at 7% in the second quarter of FY 2026, following a 7.8% rise in the first quarter.
GVA projects 7.1%, while Moody’s predicts 7% GDP growth for 2025 and 6.4% for 2026.
India’s post-pandemic economic story is now a benchmark for resilience and rapid recovery. While the world’s leading economies are still managing the lingering effects of COVID-19, India has firmly established itself as a powerhouse, combining policy reforms, robust domestic demand and structural stability to surge ahead on the global stage.
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NaBFID signs pact with PDCOR to expand advisory support for state projects – The Times of India
The National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID) has signed a Memorandum of Agreement with Projects Development Company of Rajasthan Limited (PDCOR) to strengthen advisory services for state and city-level infrastructure projects.The agreement will also allow both institutions to jointly explore financing and transaction advisory opportunities, including transaction structuring, commercial and technical due diligence, and support for financial closure of projects undertaken by state governments and urban local bodies across India, according to PTI.“This collaboration seeks to enhance access to long-term institutional finance for State Governments and Urban Local Bodies, while strengthening the infrastructure advisory and financing ecosystem,” Rajkiran Rai G., Managing Director of NaBFID, said.He added that the partnership would help both institutions jointly pursue project advisory opportunities, develop replicable financing frameworks, accelerate financial closures and mobilise capital across the infrastructure value chain.Monika Kalia, DMD-CFO, NaBFID, said the tie-up would leverage the strengths of both organisations to provide much-needed advisory support to states and urban local bodies for impactful urban infrastructure projects.Dileep Chingapurath, Chief Executive Officer, PDCOR, said the agreement would address the long-felt need for end-to-end professional support to structure and mobilise sustainable financing solutions, particularly for state governments and their agencies.“Through this collaboration, both institutions aim to enhance the quality of project preparation, mobilise institutional capital more effectively and accelerate the implementation of sustainable infrastructure projects across states and municipalities,” he said.NaBFID is a Development Financial Institution focused on long-term infrastructure financing, while PDCOR is an undertaking of the Government of Rajasthan.
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