Business
Fed chair Powell raises hopes of US rate cut

Jerome Powell, the head of the US central bank, has given a rocket boost to expectations that there will be an interest rate cut in September, a move President Trump has been demanding for months.
Speaking to central bankers gathered at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Powell also argued that the inflationary impact of Trump’s tariffs could prove temporary.
But he did not, as some had expected, address the additional challenges he has faced in recent months: the political pressure exerted on the US central bank, Trump’s barrage of name-calling and demands for Powell to be removed from his post.
The shift to a more “dovish” stance, suggesting an easing of the cost of borrowing, sent share prices higher.
Economists and investors were already expecting borrowing rates to come down from their current 4.25 to 4.5% range. Recent weakness in the US jobs market raised those expectations further, but the impact on prices of Trump’s sweeping tariffs had raised doubts.
“In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside—a challenging situation,” Powell said.
Central banks typically cut rates to boost growth if there are signs of slowing economy and falling employment, as it makes it cheaper for consumers and businesses to borrow.
But boosting growth has to be balanced with keeping a check on rising prices. Higher interest rates can help control inflation, which is often seen as a central bank’s main priority.
Powell said the effects of tariffs on consumer prices were now “clearly visible” but said that there was a “reasonable” case to be made that inflation would be “relatively short lived – a one-time shift in the price level”.
He said it would take time for the price changes to work their way through, but he downplayed the likelihood of inflation becoming embedded due to increased wage demands, or higher inflation expectations.
As interest rates were already “in restrictive territory” – high enough to be having a dampening impact on economic activity – Powell suggested that “the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance”.
The only time Powell appeared to make reference to the extra pressure exerted by the Trump presidency was when he cautioned against a presumption that a September rate cut was set in stone.
He said: “Monetary policy is not on a preset course”.
Members of the policy making committee would take the decision “based solely on their assessment of the data and its implications for the economic outlook and the balance of risks.
“We will never deviate from that approach,” he said.
Friday’s speech is likely to be Powell’s final address to the annual gathering of the country’s central bankers in Jackson Hole, as his term comes to an end in May 2026.
He was appointed chairman of the Federal Reserve by Trump in 2017.
Since then however Trump has expressed increasing animosity, hurling personal insults at the central banker, including calling him a “numbskull” and a “stubborn moron”, because he did not support the president’s calls for rapid, large cuts to borrowing rates.
Trump has also publicly raised the idea of removing Powell from his post early, although it is not clear that he has the legal authority to do so.
Earlier this week the president called for another of the Fed’s officials, Lisa Cook, to resign, over alleged mortgage fraud. She said she would not be “bullied” into leaving.
Investors welcomed Powell’s speech, pushing the main American share indexes sharply higher in the minutes after he began speaking. By the end of the day’s trading in the US, the broad S&P 500 index was around 1.5% higher.
Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said the Fed had opted against being the “party-pooper”.
“Chair Powell has shown he has an open mind to reading the data tea leaves,” he said.
Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG US said: “Powell opened the door a little wider to a cut in rates in September.”
But she said the Fed clearly remained concerned about the risk of rising prices.
“There is more caution than the markets are giving him credit for,” she said.
Capital Economics’ deputy chief North America economist, Stephen Brown, said that while a September rate cut now looked “almost nailed on”, higher job creation or “much more concerning” price data in August could still trigger a delay.
Business
Why AI is being trained in rural India

Priti GuptaTechnology Reporter, Mumbai

Virudhunagar, a town in southeastern India, can boast temples that date back thousands of years.
But not far from those ancient sites, people are working on the latest tech – artificial intelligence.
One of those is Mohan Kumar.
“My role is in AI annotation. I collect data from various sources, label it, and train AI models so they can recognize and predict objects. Over time, the models become semi-supervised and can make decisions on their own,” he says.
India has long been a centre for outsourced IT support, with cities like Bangalore or Chennai being traditional hubs for such work.
But in recent years firms have been moving that work into much more remote areas, where costs for staff and space are lower.
The trend is know as cloud farming, and AI has given it another boost with numerous towns, like Virudhunagar, hosting firms working on AI.
So does Mr Kumar think he is missing out, by not being in a big city?
“Professionally, there is no real difference. Whether in small towns or metros, we work with the same global clients from the US and Europe, and the training and skills required are the same,” says Mr Kumar.

Mr Kumar works for Desicrew. Founded in 2005 it was a pioneer in cloud farming.
“We realised that instead of forcing people to migrate to cities in search of jobs, we could bring jobs to where people already live,” says Mannivannan J K, the chief executive of Desicrew .
“For too long, opportunities have been concentrated in cities, leaving rural youth behind. Our mission has always been to create world-class careers closer to home, while proving that quality work can be delivered from anywhere.”
Desicrew does all sorts of outsourced work including software testing for start-up firms, building datasets to train AI, and moderating content.
At the moment 30 to 40% of its work is AI related, “but very soon, it will grow to 75 to 100%,” says Mr J K.
Much of that work is transcription – turning audio to text.
“Machines understand text far better,” he explains.
“For AI to work naturally, machines must be trained to understand variations in how people speak. That’s why transcription is such a crucial step, it forms the foundation for machines to comprehend and respond across languages, dialects, and contexts.”
Doing such work in a smaller town is not a disadvantage, Mr J K says.
“People often assume rural means underdeveloped, but our centres mirror urban IT hubs in every way – secure data access, reliable connectivity, and uninterrupted power. The only difference is geography. “
Around 70% of his workforce are women: “For many, this is their first salaried job, and the impact on their families is transformative – from financial security to education for their children,” says Mr J K.

Founded in 2008, NextWealth was also an early mover in cloud farming.
Headquartered in Bangalore, it employs 5,000 staff in 11 offices in smaller towns across India.
“Sixty percent of India’s graduates come from small towns, but most IT companies hire only from the metros. That leaves behind a huge untapped pool of smart, first-generation graduates,” says Mythily Ramesh, co-founder and managing director of NextWealth.
“Many of these students are first-generation graduates. Their parents are farmers, weavers, tailors, policemen – families who take loans to fund their education,” she says.
NextWealth started with outsourced work from the back offices of big companies, but five years ago moved into artificial intelligence.
“The world’s most advanced algorithms are being trained and validated in India’s small towns,” says Ms Ramesh.
Around 70% of its work comes from the US.
“Every AI model, from a ChatGPT-like system to facial recognition, needs vast amounts of human-labelled data. That is the backbone of cloud-farming jobs.”
She thinks there is plenty more work to come.
“In the next 3–5 years, AI and GenAI will create close to 100 million jobs in training, validation, and real-time handling. India’s small towns can be the backbone of this workforce.”
She is hopeful that India can remain a hub for such work.
“Countries like the Philippines may catch up, but India’s scale and early start in AI sourcing gives us a five to seven-year advantage. We must leverage it before the gap narrows,” she says.
KS Viswanathan is a technology advisor, and formerly worked at India’s National Association of Software and Service Companies, the trade association for outsourcing firms.
“Silicon Valley may be building the AI engines, but the day-to-day work that keeps those engines reliable increasingly comes from India’s cloud farming industry,” he says.
“We are truly at a tipping point. If cloud farming continues to scale, small-town India could well become the world’s largest hub for AI operations, just as it became the hub for IT services two decades ago.”
But success is not guaranteed.
While Next Wealth and Desicrew both say they have access to reliable and secure internet connections, Mr Viswanathan says that is not always the case in India’s smaller towns.
“Reliable high-speed internet and secure data centres are not always at par with metros, which makes data protection a constant concern.”
Even if good connections are in place, work needs to be done to reassure clients.
“The bigger challenge is the perception rather than a technical one. International clients often assume small towns cannot meet data security standards, even when the systems are robust. Trust has to be earned through delivery.”
Back at NextWealth, Dhanalakshmi Vijay “fine-tunes” AI. For example, if it confuses two similar looking items, like a blue denim jacket and a navy shirt, she will correct the model.
“These corrections are then fed back into the system, fine-tuning the model so that the next time it sees a similar case, it performs better. Over time, the AI model builds up experience, just like updating software with regular patches to make it more accurate and reliable,” says Ms Vijay.
Such work has an effect in the real world.
“It’s me and team who indirectly train the AI models to make your online shopping experience easy and hassle free,” she says.
Business
Goldman Sachs agrees to acquire $7 billion VC firm Industry Ventures

David Solomon, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., during an interview for an episode of “The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations” in New York, US, on Tuesday, Aug. 6, 2024.
Jeenah Moon | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Goldman Sachs has agreed to acquire Industry Ventures, a venture capital firm with $7 billion in assets under supervision, according to a release from the investment bank.
Goldman is paying $665 million in cash and equity, and up to $300 million more based on the firm’s future performance through 2030, the bank said. The deal is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026.
Goldman Sachs is making the acquisition to bolster its $540 billion alternatives investment platform, part of the self-identified “growth engine” of the investment bank. By identifying and making bets on startups, the venture capital firm can help Goldman create a pipeline of investments for its wealthy clients, as well as provide solutions to tech entrepreneurs.
San Francisco-based Industry Ventures has helped pioneer aspects of the American VC market since its founding 25 years ago, according to Goldman CEO David Solomon.
“Industry Ventures’ trusted relationships and venture capital expertise complement our existing investing franchises and expand opportunities for clients to access the fastest growing companies and sectors in the world,” Solomon said in the release.
“By combining the global resources of Goldman Sachs with the venture capital expertise of Industry Ventures, we are uniquely positioned to serve the increasingly complex needs of entrepreneurs, private technology companies, limited partners, and venture fund managers,” said Hans Swildens, founder and CEO of Industry Ventures.
Industry Ventures has made more than 1,000 investments and said its annual performance was an internal rate of return of 18%.
The bank said it expects that all 45 employees of the venture firm will join Goldman.
Business
Miners prosper as FTSE 100 makes steady progress

The FTSE 100 recouped some of Friday’s hefty losses, while gold soared once more, as President Donald Trump dialled down his rhetoric in the trade spat between the US and China.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 15.40 points, 0.2%, at 9,442.87. The FTSE 250 ended 262.48 points higher, 1.2%, at 22,064.32, and the AIM All-Share rose 6.14 points, 0.8%, to 792.47.
In European equities on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended up 0.6%.
Stocks in New York were up at the time of the London close, regaining some of Friday’s falls.
Over the weekend, Mr Trump said the US wants to help China, not hurt it, striking a more conciliatory tone days after threatening “massive” additional tariffs on Friday.
“The USA. wants to help China, not hurt it!!!,” he said in Sunday’s post on Truth Social, adding that “respected President Xi [Jinping]…doesn’t want Depression for his country”.
Jim Reid, at Deutsche Bank, said Friday’s developments were a reminder that the underlying tension between the two countries still exists, and he thinks these tensions will probably be a recurring theme in the years ahead as both sides compete on the global stage for dominance.
“China currently holds considerable leverage in the rare earths market and seems keen to use it to secure a better deal – particularly in the chip sector, where the US has imposed export controls. So, this battle is shaping up as rare earths versus AI chips,” he suggested.
The US government shutdown is dragging on, meanwhile. It began at the start of the month.
Since then, a nonfarm payrolls report has gone unpublished.
On Friday, the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) said US inflation data, due this Wednesday, has been pushed back to October 24.
“No other releases will be rescheduled or produced until the resumption of regular government services. This release allows the Social Security Administration to meet statutory deadlines necessary to ensure the accurate and timely payment of benefits,” the BLS said.
Barclays said that September’s data quality “should remain unaffected since collection finished before the shutdown, but prolonged closures may affect October data collection and quality”.
The pound was quoted lower at 1.3331 dollars at the time of the London equity market close on Monday, compared with 1.3338 dollars on Friday.
The euro stood at 1.1569 dollars, lower compared with 1.1616 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 152.30 yen, higher compared with 151.87 yen.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.04%, narrowed from 4.07% on Friday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stood at 4.62%, trimmed from 4.66%.
On the FTSE 100, gold miners Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining leapt 9.1% and 11% respectively, as gold’s safe haven qualities saw the price of the yellow metal hit fresh highs.
Gold traded at 4,093.56 dollars an ounce on Monday, up from 4,014.76 dollars on Friday.
Copper miners were also in demand as the price of the metal jumped 6.5%. Glencore jumped 3.3% and Antofagasta 5%.
Elsewhere, M&G, up 3%, benefited from an upgrade from Berenberg to ‘buy’ from ‘neutral’.
The broker thinks the UK life insurance sector will see an acceleration in dividend per share growth in the coming years.
AstraZeneca gave back early gains, closing down 0.7%, despite confirming a “historic” drug pricing agreement with the US.
The agreement, which follows a similar accord announced last month with Pfizer, requires AstraZeneca to charge “Most Favoured Nation” pricing – matching the lowest price offered in other wealthy nations – to Medicaid, the US health insurance programme for low-income Americans.
The company added that specific terms of the agreement remain confidential.
In exchange, Trump administration officials agreed to a three-year delay on new tariffs on AstraZeneca, which had previously announced plans to invest 50 billion dollars in the US in response to looming tariff threats.
UBS analyst Matthew Weston said the deal removes uncertainty on Section 232 tariffs.
The agreement is the first with the White House for a non-US drugmaker, with more expected to follow for AstraZeneca’s peers.
On the FTSE 250, Big Yellow Group jumped 15% after Blackstone Europe confirmed it is a potential bidder for the company.
Surrey-based self-storage site operator Big Yellow said it has held meetings with “a small number of parties” that could lead to a takeover offer.
Blackstone Europe, part of New York-based private equity investment manager Blackstone, said any offer for Big Yellow would be via one or more investment funds that it advises.
Oxford Instruments said order intake suffered in the first half of its financial year amid tariff disruption, meaning that full-year revenue is likely to be little changed year-on-year.
Chief executive Richard Tyson said the start of the financial year coincided with the beginning of a “turbulent time in our markets”, and despite an “improving picture” in the second quarter, “we are now assuming that we will not recover the [first half] revenue shortfall”.
In response, shares in the provider of high technology products and services to industry and scientific research communities fell 7.6%.
Brent oil traded at 63.40 dollars a barrel on Monday, up from 63.19 dollars late Friday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Endeavour Mining, up 348.00 pence at 3,436.00p, Fresnillo, up 216.00p at 2,592.00p, Antofagasta, up 134.00p at 2,827.00p, Anglo American, up 119.00p at 2,999.00p and Glencore, up 11.40p at 357.25p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were BAE Systems, down 31.00p at 1,951.50p, Intertek, down 74.00p at 4,812.00p, British American Tobacco, down 57.00p at 3,788.00p, Babcock International, down 18.00p at 1,211.00p and Burberry, down 17.00p at 1,182.50p.
Tuesday’s global economic diary has UK unemployment and average earnings data.
Tuesday’s UK corporate calendar has full-year results from housebuilder Bellway and a trading statement from miner Rio Tinto.
Contributed by Alliance News
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