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Solar power cuts electricity bills and carbon emissions—NZ needs to scale up faster

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Solar power cuts electricity bills and carbon emissions—NZ needs to scale up faster


Credit: Unsplash/CC0 Public Domain

Solar power is now the cheapest form of electricity in most countries, including New Zealand, and its global uptake is growing exponentially.

So far, New Zealand’s adoption of solar electricity generation has been slower than elsewhere, but it is accelerating quickly. Scaling up installation could help reduce high consumer energy prices and meet New Zealand’s emissions budgets.

Based on current policies, New Zealand is at risk of exceeding its emissions budget for the period from 2026 to 2030, and current plans are insufficient to stay within the subsequent five-year budget up to 2035.

The Climate Change Commission estimates solar combined with battery storage could cut 3.9 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent emissions between 2031 and 2035.

This is important, as a major part of the government’s plan for cutting emissions over the next five years rested on a carbon capture project at the Kapuni gas field, which seems to have fallen through.

New Zealand is also facing an energy shortage, leading to high electricity prices. But solar could be part of the solution because global reductions in the price of panels mean residential solar is now likely the cheapest option for households.

Solar on the rise

The solar energy reaching Earth each hour is roughly equivalent to a year of humankind’s global energy consumption.

This is not to say our current energy demand should be the target. We need to reduce consumption and use energy more efficiently, even as we continue the shift to more renewable power generation.

But a small fraction of sunlight can go a long way and many countries are taking advantage of this. For example, a consumer-led solar revolution is happening in Pakistan in response to longstanding energy supply problems. This year, solar became the largest source of electricity in Pakistan, surging to 25% of generation from about 5% just three years ago.

The uptake of solar electricity generation is also growing in New Zealand, with a significant uptick in projects for both utility-scale solar farms and household installations.

New Zealand has five large-scale solar farms in operation, and many more in the pipeline (nine at delivery stage, 33 under investigation). We also have more than 65,000 residential solar installations, up from about 7,500 a decade ago.

Despite the rapid growth in recent years, this is still a relatively low adoption rate compared to some other countries, with only about 3-4% of homes having solar installed.

A frequent argument against solar electricity generation is that it is intermittent. But solar panels can use hot water cylinders or batteries to store energy for later use.

And while New Zealand may not get quite as much sunshine as other countries, our existing renewable generation and hydro-lake storage mean we don’t have to invest as much in batteries to buffer intermittent generation.

Also, the flip side of intermittent power sources is that they turn back on—fossil fuels can only be used once.

Managing solar at scale

The energy and emissions-cutting benefits of solar generation are well quantified. Solar panels generate the amount of energy required to manufacture them in less than two years, compared with a total lifetime of about 30 years.

It takes slightly longer to pay back the carbon emissions from their manufacture in New Zealand than elsewhere, because we already have a comparatively high proportion of renewable electricity generation. The carbon payback is faster if solar is used in ways that directly displace (for example, electricity from gas or coal) or if the panels are manufactured in places with low carbon intensity (low emissions per unit of economic activity or energy produced).

There is still work to do. We need to address practical challenges such as effective grid integration and storage, as well as social issues such as ensuring that low-income households aren’t disadvantaged.

Globally, the mining of raw materials for solar panels is a key issue, and we need to ensure ethical supply chains and labor practices associated with materials and manufacture. Ultimately, we need to reach a system where solar panels are recycled to avoid the need for indefinite mining, and to keep panels out of landfills.

This goal looks promising. Solar panel recycling is an active area of research and already possible, although not yet profitable.

As the uptake of solar accelerates, New Zealand should make sure suitable policies are in place. In terms of materials, we should require recycling of solar panels. On the social side, we should ensure support for low-income households and consider incentives for solar installations on rental properties.

Researchers are also exploring next-generation with lower energy and material demands in their manufacture. In most commercial solar panels, the dominant contribution to manufacturing emissions is the silicon “active layer.” There are multiple alternatives to silicon and new technologies use different materials for the active layer.

For example, my research focuses on solution-printable organic semiconductors. These materials absorb light very strongly, which means the active layer is about a thousand times thinner than in a silicon solar panel. A kilogram of material can cover more than 5,000 square meters.

It will take time for these new technologies to reach the same level of development as today’s . They will likely first enter the market as complementary products such as lightweight installations on low load-bearing surfaces (warehouse roofs) and in building-integrated applications.

Economically viable generation is a triumph of long-term scientific and engineering development that began in the 1950s and is poised to play a key role in decarbonization. New Zealand needs to think about how to manage this technology at scale if we want to make the most of this opportunity.

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Solar power cuts electricity bills and carbon emissions—NZ needs to scale up faster (2025, September 18)
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Study uncovers oxygen trapping as cause of voltage loss in sodium cathodes

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Study uncovers oxygen trapping as cause of voltage loss in sodium cathodes


by Li Jingxin; Zhao Weiwei, Hefei Institutes of Physical Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Evolution of intermediate oxygen species during the activation cycles. Credit: Li Chao

A research team led by Prof. Li Chao from East China Normal University has uncovered the origin of voltage decay in P2-type layered oxide cathodes. Using electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) spectroscopy at the Steady-State Strong Magnetic Field Facility (SHMFF), the Hefei Institutes of Physical Science of the Chinese Academy of Science, the team tracked the dynamic evolution of oxygen species and clarified their direct role in structural degradation.

The findings, published in Advanced Energy Materials, provide new guidance for designing more stable sodium-ion cathodes.

P2-type sodium layered oxides (NaxAyTM1-yO2) are long considered stable for anion redox reactions compared to Li-rich O3-type counterparts, with suppressed voltage . However, the team observed significant voltage decay in the high Na-content P2-type Na0.8Li0.26Mn0.74O2 during cycling—an anomaly unexplainable by existing theories.

The researchers identified a clear sequence of oxygen transformations upon charging, eventually leading to the formation of molecular O2. While early cycles showed that this oxygen could still be reduced during discharge, with continued cycling a growing fraction of O2 remained trapped in the discharged state. This irreversible accumulation was pinpointed as the primary driver of voltage decay and capacity loss.

In this study, EPR proved critical as it enabled noninvasive monitoring of oxygen redox behavior and revealed how reactive oxygen intermediates gradually evolve and accumulate during cycling.

EPR further exposed local structural changes: signals associated with spin interactions between manganese and oxidized oxygen became more pronounced with cycling, consistent with the development of Mn-rich and Li-rich domains. These segregation effects, exacerbated by unreduced O2, aggravated the performance degradation.

SHMFF users reveal a new mechanism for abnormal voltage attenuation of P2-type layered oxide cathodes
Evolution of intermediate oxygen species over cycling and the accompanying structural rearrangements. Credit: Li Chao

Importantly, the team also explained why high sodium-content cathodes behave differently from their low sodium-content counterparts. In high-Na materials, insufficient interlayer spacing allows migration and vacancy growth, making them vulnerable to oxygen trapping.

By contrast, low-Na cathodes with larger spacing remain stable and show no evidence of trapped oxygen.

This study highlights the unique value of EPR in and suggests that bulk modification strategies are key to mitigating decay and developing high-performance cathodes for next-generation batteries, according to the team.

More information:
Chunjing Hu et al, Accumulation of Unreduced Molecular O2Explains Abnormal Voltage Decay in P2‐Type Layered Oxide Cathode, Advanced Energy Materials (2025). DOI: 10.1002/aenm.202503491

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Study uncovers oxygen trapping as cause of voltage loss in sodium cathodes (2025, November 6)
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New testing scheme could work for chips and clinics

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New testing scheme could work for chips and clinics


Illustration of Our Approach for SSClassNotes. (a) In this case, Condition (2) is satisfied for class j, and testing can stop. (b) Here, Condition (2) is not satisfied; f(X) could be j or j + 1, so testing must continue. Credit: Operations Research (2025). DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.0431

Diagnostic testing is big business. The global market for testing semiconductors for defects is estimated at $39 billion in 2025. For medical lab tests, the market is even bigger: $125 billion.

Both kinds of tests have something in common, says Rohan Ghuge, assistant professor of decision science in the information, risk, and operations management department at Texas McCombs. They involve with vast numbers of components, whether they’re evaluating computer chips or human bodies.

New research from Texas McCombs suggests a new approach to testing complex systems that might save time by eliminating some unnecessary and expensive steps. “Nonadaptive Stochastic Score Classification and Explainable Half-Space Evaluation” is published in Operations Research.

Currently, a common shortcut is to conduct sequences of tests. Instead of testing every component—which isn’t practical for complex systems—a clinician might test certain components first. Each round rules out some possible problems and sets up a new round of tests.

That approach has time-consuming drawbacks, Ghuge says. “First, you might check the vital signs. Then, you come back the next day and do an ECG [electrocardiogram], then we do blood work, step by step. That’s going to take a lot of time, which we don’t really want to waste for a patient.”

What if, he wondered, a single round of tests could provide the most critical information in a fraction of the time? What if the same protocol could prove useful for chips or in clinics?

“We want something that’s highly scalable, deployable, and uniform,” he says. “You need to have it in a way that can be deployed on thousands of kinds of chips, or a first step that you give to clinicians for every patient of that kind.”

Merging success and failure

The key, Ghuge theorized, was to choose a small number of tests that could quickly classify a system’s risk level: low, medium, or high. With Anupam Gupta of New York University and Viswanath Nagarajan of the University of Michigan, he set out to design such a protocol.

Their solution was to combine two sets of tests with opposite goals. One set diagnoses whether a system is working, while the other diagnoses whether it’s failing. Together, they can provide a snapshot of risk.

“You create two lists, say, a success list and a failure list,” Ghuge says. “You combine a fraction of the first list and a fraction of the second list. You want to come up with a single batch of tests that tell you at the same time whether the system is working or failing.”

An existing medical example, he says, is the HEART Score. It rates five factors, such as age and ECG results, to quickly assess the risk that a patient with will have a major cardiac event within six weeks.

In simulations, Ghuge tested his algorithm against a sequential one on the same sets of data. His got results over 100 times as fast as the sequential algorithm, at a cost that averaged 22% higher.

“The tests are a bit more costly,” he says. “The trade-off is that you can get them done a lot faster.”

But he also notes that a single batch of tests might reduce setup costs, he says, compared with the expenses of setting up one test after another.

A next step, Ghuge hopes, is to try out his algorithm on real-life testing. A broadband internet network, such as Google Fiber or Spectrum, might use it for daily testing, to rapidly diagnose whether a system or subsystem is working.

“I come from a more theoretical background that focuses on the right model,” he says. “There’s a gap between that and applying it in practice. I’m excited to speak with people, to talk to practitioners and see if these can be applied.”

More information:
Rohan Ghuge et al, Nonadaptive Stochastic Score Classification and Explainable Half-Space Evaluation, Operations Research (2025). DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.0431

Citation:
New testing scheme could work for chips and clinics (2025, November 6)
retrieved 6 November 2025
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Fake or the real thing? How AI can make it harder to trust the pictures we see

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Fake or the real thing? How AI can make it harder to trust the pictures we see


Top row features genuine pictures of people with AI generated versions underneath. Credit: Swansea University

A new study has revealed that artificial intelligence can now generate images of real people that are virtually impossible to tell apart from genuine photographs.

Using AI models ChatGPT and DALL·E, a team of researchers from Swansea University, the University of Lincoln and Ariel University in Israel, created highly realistic images of both fictional and famous faces, including celebrities.

They found that participants were unable to reliably distinguish them from authentic photos—even when they were familiar with the person’s appearance.

Across four , the researchers noted that adding comparison photos or the participants’ prior familiarity with the faces provided only limited help.

The research has just been published in the journal Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications and the team say their findings highlight a new level of “deepfake realism,” showing that AI can now produce convincing fake images of real people which could erode trust in visual media.

Professor Jeremy Tree, from the School of Psychology, said, “Studies have shown that face images of fictional people generated using AI are indistinguishable from real photographs. But for this research we went further by generating synthetic images of real people.

“The fact that everyday AI tools can do this not only raises urgent concerns about misinformation and trust in but also the need for reliable detection methods as a matter of urgency.”

One of the experiments, which involved participants from the US, Canada, the UK, Australia and New Zealand, saw subjects shown a series of facial images, both real and artificially generated, and they were asked to identify which was which. The team say the fact the participants mistook the AI-generated novel faces for real photos indicated just how plausible they were.

Another experiment saw participants asked if they could tell genuine pictures of Hollywood stars such as Paul Rudd and Olivia Wilde from computer-generated versions. Again, the study’s results showed just how difficult individuals can find it to spot the authentic version.

The researchers say AI’s ability to produce novel/synthetic images of real people opens up a number of avenues for use and abuse. For instance, creators might generate images of a celebrity endorsing a certain product or political stance, which could influence of both the identity and the brand/organization they are portrayed as supporting.

Professor Tree added, “This study shows that AI can create synthetic images of both new and known faces that most people can’t tell apart from real photos. Familiarity with a face or having reference images didn’t help much in spotting the fakes. That is why we urgently need to find new ways to detect them.

“While automated systems may eventually outperform humans at this task, for now, it’s up to viewers to judge what’s real.”

More information:
Robin S. S. Kramer et al, AI-generated images of familiar faces are indistinguishable from real photographs, Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications (2025). DOI: 10.1186/s41235-025-00683-w

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Swansea University


Citation:
Fake or the real thing? How AI can make it harder to trust the pictures we see (2025, November 6)
retrieved 6 November 2025
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