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Singapore’s UOB raises Vietnam’s 2025 GDP growth forecast to 7.5%

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Singapore’s UOB raises Vietnam’s 2025 GDP growth forecast to 7.5%



The United Overseas Bank (UOB) recently raised its 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for Vietnam to 7.5 per cent from 6.9 per cent earlier, citing economic resilience and dynamism despite tariff risks and uncertainties.

The Vietnamese government is targeting a GDP growth of 8.3-8.5 per cent this year.

The United Overseas Bank has raised Vietnam’s 2025 GDP growth forecast to 7.5 per cent from 6.9 per cent, citing economic resilience and dynamism despite tariff risks and uncertainties.
The government’s 2025 growth target is 8.3-8.5 per cent.
For 2026, UOB maintained its growth forecast at 7 per cent.
It expects the country’s exports to grow by about 10 per cent in 2025 compared with 14 per cent in 2024.

For 2026, UOB maintained its growth forecast at 7 per cent.

Vietnam’s GDP expanded by 7.52 per cent year on year (YoY) in the first half (H1) this year, marking the quickest H1 pace since 2011, according to the Singapore-based bank’s global economics and markets research unit.

The strong first-half results were propelled primarily by a 14-per cent YoY rise in exports, bolstered by improved market sentiment following US President Donald Trump’s temporary reduction of reciprocal tariffs to a baseline 10 per cent for trading partners over 90 days.

Tariff uncertainties abated in the second half of 2025 after the US locked in country-specific rates ahead of the August 1 deadline, with Vietnam’s levy settling at 20 per cent.

Despite tariff pressures, UOB expects the country’s exports to grow by about 10 per cent this year compared with 14 per cent last year, assuming a moderate 1-5 per cent YoY expansion over the rest of the year.

Vietnam’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rebounded to 52.4 in July after three consecutive months below the 50-point contraction threshold. Industrial output rose by 9 per cent YoY.

Realised FDI reached $13.6 billion as of July, up from $12.6 billion a year earlier, indicating full-year inflows may surpass $20 billion compared with $25.4 billion in 2024, a domestic news agency reported citing the UOB document.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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Global cotton trade down as Chinese imports slump 65% in 2024-25: ICAC

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Global cotton trade down as Chinese imports slump 65% in 2024-25: ICAC



World cotton lint production for 2025 is estimated at 25.4 million tonnes, nearly unchanged from the previous season, surpassing global consumption by 392,000 tonnes, according to the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC). Global trade fell 7.4 per cent to 9.1 million tonnes in 2024-25, mainly due to a 65 per cent decline in China’s imports, offsetting gains elsewhere.

Tariff escalations have reshaped trade flows and forecasts, with lingering impacts expected into coming seasons. For 2025-26, global cotton area is projected at 30.4 million hectares, with yields averaging 835 kg per hectare—slightly above the decade average. Consumption will continue to be led by China (32 per cent), followed by India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Turkiye, together accounting for 76 per cent of global use, the ICAC said in a press release.

Global cotton lint output for 2025 is estimated at 25.4 million tonnes, steady from last season and exceeding consumption by 392,000 tonnes, ICAC has said.
World trade fell 7.4 per cent to 9.1 million tonnes due to a sharp 65 per cent drop in Chinese imports.
For 2025-26, area and yields remain stable, while Cotlook A Index is forecast between 62–91 cents per pound, with a midpoint of 74 cents.

Additionally, in the 2025-26 season, the top cotton lint producers are estimated to remain the same as last season, with slight changes in their world market share.

ICAC forecasts the Cotlook A Index for 2025-26 in the range of 62–91 cents per pound, with a midpoint of 74 cents, based on current supply and demand conditions.

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Vietnam’s manufacturing growth hits 15-month high as PMI climbs to 54

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Vietnam’s manufacturing growth hits 15-month high as PMI climbs to 54



Vietnam’s manufacturing sector strengthened at the start of the final quarter of 2025, as the latest S&P Global Vietnam manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose sharply to 54.5 in October from 50.4 in September. The improvement—the strongest since July 2024—reflected growth across all five sub-components: output, new orders, employment, suppliers’ delivery times, and stocks of purchases.

The sector reported notable gains in output and new orders, while employment expanded for the first time in over a year. Purchasing activity increased, signalling renewed growth in inventories, and business confidence climbed to a 16-month high. At the same time, inflationary pressures intensified, with both input and output prices rising more steeply than in September, S&P said in a press release.

Vietnam’s manufacturing sector gained strong momentum in October 2025 as the S&P Global PMI rose to 54.5 from 50.4, the sharpest improvement since July 2024.
Output, new orders, and employment expanded, while confidence reached a 16-month high.
Input and output prices rose at faster rates amid supply challenges, though overall optimism remained solid despite inflationary and weather-related pressures.

New orders surged for the second month running, driven by improving domestic demand and a slight rebound in new export business—the first in a year. This led manufacturers to boost production at the fastest pace since July 2024, marking six consecutive months of output growth.

Business confidence strengthened to its highest level in 16 months as firms anticipated continued growth in new orders and planned production capacity expansions. In response to rising workloads, manufacturers expanded their workforce for the first time in over a year. Backlogs of work rose at the quickest pace in more than three and a half years, partly due to adverse weather and flooding disrupting operations.

Flood-related disruptions also led to longer supplier delivery times—the most pronounced since July. Despite supply challenges, firms increased purchasing activity for the fourth consecutive month, leading to the first rise in pre-production inventories in over two years. Stocks of finished goods, however, declined slightly as companies fulfilled strong order volumes.

Input cost inflation accelerated sharply in October, with about 27 per cent of surveyed firms citing higher raw material prices and supply shortages. Output prices also rose more steeply, hitting a 40-month high, as producers passed on increased costs to customers.

Overall, the October survey results suggest that Vietnam’s manufacturing sector entered the fourth quarter (Q4) 2025 with robust growth momentum and rising optimism, though escalating cost pressures and weather-related disruptions remain key risks to watch.

“The Vietnamese manufacturing sector moved up a gear in October, seeing much stronger increases in output and new orders during the month. Positively, the strength of the expansions were sufficient to enable firms to take on extra staff and build inventories of inputs,” said Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence. “Whether these growth rates can be sustained in the months ahead remains to be seen, but there is clearly some positive momentum in the sector at present.”

“Inflationary pressures built again, however, and are now relatively elevated. For now, customers are happy to look through price increases and commit to new orders, but this may start to wane should rates of inflation pick up further,” added Harker.

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Mercules bets on the British market, sets up shop in London for the festive season

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Mercules bets on the British market, sets up shop in London for the festive season


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November 5, 2025

The Spanish brand Mercules is bringing its leather goods, ready-to-wear, and accessories offering to London for the festive season: from November 10 to January 22, the brand will set up at 85 Ledbury Road, presenting its designs in a pop-up.

Mercules will be in London from November 10 to January 22 – Mercules

“More than a temporary opening, this is an opportunity to showcase Spanish craftsmanship and meticulously designed, high-quality products directly to London customers, extending the Mercules experience to a new audience,” said the brand.

The brand’s ties to the British capital run deep: its co-founder, Mercedes Gallego, studied at the prestigious Central Saint Martins and began her fashion career in the city before moving to Paris to work alongside John Galliano. In its early days, the label had multi-brand stockists in London, but Brexit brought its wholesale presence in the UK market to an end.

Founded in 2010 by Mercedes Gallego and Alejandra O’Shea, who share experience at the Spanish luxury house Loewe, the brand has five permanent stores in Spain: two in Madrid, one in Barcelona, one in Getxo (where it is based), and another in Bilbao. The online channel is another key part of its business, with e-commerce accounting for 40% of sales.

As the brand told FashionNetwork.com earlier this year, the brand’s financial goal for 2025 is to reach €5 million in turnover. With that goal in mind, in recent months Mercules has been working to consolidate its presence across Europe and the Americas.
 

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