Business
Economic uncertainty blamed for ‘lacklustre’ retail performance last month

Analysists have blamed rising economic uncertainty for a “lacklustre” July that saw Scottish retail sales fall in real terms compared with the same month last year.
According to figures from the Scottish Retail Consortium (SRC) and KPMG, total sales in Scotland rose 0.1% last month compared with July 2024, when they had decreased by 0.9%.
However when adjusted for inflation this represents a year-on-year fall of 0.5%.
Food sales in Scotland were down 1.4% compared with July 2024, when they had decreased by just 0.3%.
This was despite a strong opening to the month when hot weather led to a “boost” in spending on barbecues and summer meals.
Non-food sales on the other hand rose by 1.4% compared with the same period last year, with analysists saying phones and some furniture and toy ranges performed well.
Adjusted for the effects of online sales, non-food sales increased 1.6% on July 2024, when they had decreased by 1.5%.
Ewan MacDonald-Russell, deputy head of the SRC, said: “July was a lacklustre month for Scottish retailers as sales again disappointed.
“When adjusted for inflation retail sales in Scotland fell by 0.5%. That’s a slight improvement on June’s figures, but demonstrates shoppers continue to cut back on shopping as economic uncertainty continues to rise.
“Within the general disappointment there were some bright spots. Food sales shone in the opening half of the month as Scots took advantage of the warm weather to cook barbeque and summer meals.
“Phone sales did well, as did some toys and furniture ranges. Against that televisions continue to disappoint, with few households investing in high-end entertainment despite the summer plethora of sporting events.
“Fashion ranges performed poorly, albeit the likelihood is shoppers did their summer wardrobe shopping earlier in the year when the sunshine emerged.
“The harsh truth is Scots are holding back spending as worries about the economy grow.
“That is leaving shops in the lurch – facing higher costs as a consequence of last year’s UK Government budget without the growth needed to pay those bills.
“With little sight the economic weather will brighten, many retailers, especially those on the high street, face increasingly unpalatable choices in the coming months.”
Linda Ellett, UK head of consumer, retail and leisure at KPMG, described the current trading environment as “challenging” for retailers.
“The UK’s fifth warmest July on Met Office record brought a boost to home appliance and food and drink sales,” she said.
“But rising inflation was also a driver of the latter and monthly non-food sales are only growing at around 1% on average at present.
“With employment costs having risen and inflation both a business and consumer side pressure, it remains a challenging trading environment for many retailers.
“While the majority of consumers that KPMG surveys are confident in their ability to balance their monthly household budgets, big ticket purchases are more considered in the context of rising essential costs and ongoing caution about the economy and labour market.
“Holidays are the priority for many this summer but those heading away have had to account for a higher cost of travel.
“Consequently, spending in some areas of the retail sector remains subdued and competition for consumer spend will remain fierce.”
The figures were published in the SRC-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor for July.
Business
Baroness Mone-linked PPE firm misses deadline to pay £122m

A company linked to Baroness Michelle Mone has failed to meet a deadline to repay £122m for breaching a Covid-19 personal protective equipment (PPE) contract.
The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) won a legal case earlier this month against PPE Medpro, a consortium led by Lady Mone’s husband Doug Barrowman, over claims the PPE did not comply with relevant healthcare standards.
A High Court judge ruled some of the company’s gowns they supplied were not “sterile”.
Health and Social Care Secretary Wes Streeting said the government would “pursue PPE Medpro with everything we’ve got to get these funds back” after the company failed to pay the damages cost by 16:00 BST on Wednesday.
PPE Medpro entered administration on 30 September, the day before the court judgement.
Streeting said: “At a time of national crisis, PPE Medpro sold the previous government substandard kit and pocketed taxpayers’ hard-earned cash.
“PPE Medpro has failed to meet the deadline to pay – they still owe us over £145 million, with interest now accruing daily.”
The firm was ordered to pay interest of £23.6m, which means the total sum owed is £145.6m.
According to the DHSC, this sum will accrue interest at 8% per year from Thursday until it is fully paid.
Forvis Mazars, one of the joint administrators appointed to take control of the business and recover money owed to creditors, declined to comment.
The National Crime Agency (NCA) previously said it was investigating the PPE Medpro case.
Mr Barrowman’s spokesman had said £83m of the government deal was paid to other companies but it is unclear whether they are being looked at by the NCA.
PPE Medpro was awarded a government contract in 2020 to supply PPE after being recommended by Baroness Mone.
However, after ordering 25 million sterile gowns from PPE Medpro, the government later launched legal action in 2022 through the High Court, claiming the gowns did not comply with the agreed contract.
PPE Medpro argued it had complied with the contract and that the gowns were sterile.
According to the company’s most recent accounts for the period ending 31 July, the business had £666,025 in net assets.
The document filed to Companies House also mentioned how the firm had used about £4.2m in reserves to fight the legal dispute.
Since the court judgement, Baroness Mone has faced cross-party calls for her to be stripped of her peerage.
However, peerages can only be removed by an act of Parliament.
Business
Big banks like JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs are already using AI to hire fewer people

Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., at the Institute of International Finance (IIF) during the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington, DC, US, on Thursday, Oct. 24, 2024.
Kent Nishimura | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The era of artificial intelligence on Wall Street, and its impact on workers, has begun.
Big banks including JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs are unveiling plans to reimagine their businesses around AI, technology that allows for the mass production of knowledge work.
That means that even during a blockbuster year for Wall Street as trading and investment banking spins off billions of dollars in excess revenue — not typically a time the industry would be keeping a tight lid on headcount — the companies are hiring fewer people.
JPMorgan said Tuesday in its third-quarter earnings report that while profit jumped 12% from a year earlier to $14.4 billion, headcount rose by just 1%.
The bank’s managers have been told to avoid hiring people as JPMorgan deploys AI across its businesses, CFO Jeremy Barnum told analysts.
JPMorgan is the world’s biggest bank by market cap and a juggernaut across Main Street and Wall Street finance. Last month, CNBC was first to report about JPMorgan’s plans to inject AI into every client and employee experience and every behind-the-scenes process at the bank.
The bank has “a very strong bias against having the reflexive response to any given need to be to hire more people,” Barnum said Tuesday. The bank had 318,153 employees as of September.
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon told Bloomberg this month that AI will eliminate some jobs, but that the company will retrain those impacted and that its overall headcount could grow.
‘Constrain headcount’
At rival investment bank Goldman Sachs, CEO David Solomon on Tuesday issued his own vision statement around how the company would reorganize itself around AI. Goldman is coming off a quarter where profit surged 37% to $4.1 billion.
“To fully benefit from the promise of AI, we need greater speed and agility in all facets of our operations,” Solomon told employees in a memo this week.
“This doesn’t just mean re-tooling our platforms,” he said. “It means taking a front-to-back view of how we organize our people, make decisions, and think about productivity and efficiency.”
The upshot for his workers: Goldman would “constrain headcount growth” and lay off a limited number of employees this year, Solomon said.
Goldman’s AI project will take years to implement and will be measured against goals including improving client experiences, higher profitability and productivity, and enriching employee experiences, according to the memo.
Even with these plans, which is first looking at reengineering processes like client onboarding and sales, Goldman’s overall headcount is rising this year, according to bank spokeswoman Jennifer Zuccarelli.
Tech inspired?
The comments around AI from the largest U.S. banks mirror those from tech giants including Amazon and Microsoft, whose leaders have told their workforces to brace for AI-related disruptions, including hiring freezes and layoffs.
Companies across sectors have become more blunt this year about the possible impacts of AI on employees as the technology’s underlying models becomes more capable and as investors reward businesses seen as ahead on AI.
In banking, the dominant thinking is that workers in operational roles, sometimes referred to as the back and middle office, are generally most exposed to job disruption from AI.
For instance, in May a JPMorgan executive told investors that operations and support staff would fall by at least 10% over the next five years, even while business volumes grew, thanks to AI.
At Goldman Sachs, Solomon seemed to warn the firm’s 48,300 employees that the next few years might be uncomfortable for some.
“We don’t take these decisions lightly, but this process is part of the long-term dynamism our shareholders, clients, and people expect of Goldman Sachs,” he said in the memo. “The firm has always been successful by not just adapting to change, but anticipating and embracing it.”
Business
Energy standing charge plans could backfire, MPs told

Kevin PeacheyCost of living correspondent and
Joshua NevettPolitical reporter

Energy bosses have given a cool reception to regulator Ofgem’s plan to overhaul standing charges.
Under Ofgem’s plans announced in September, all suppliers in England, Scotland and Wales will offer at least one tariff in which standing charges are lower but customers then pay more for each unit of energy used.
But appearing before a committee of MPs, the chief executives and senior management of the UK’s biggest suppliers questioned the outcome of such a move.
Some called for the abolition of standing charges, while others say the proposals would make the issue worse for customers.
Rachel Fletcher, director of regulation and economics at the UK’s largest supplier Octopus Energy, said: “I think a lot of the concern about standing charges is just that people can’t afford to pay their bill.
“Where Ofgem is going is not going to solve any problems, it could make things worse.”
The bosses, giving evidence to the Energy Security and Net Zero Committee, pointed out that the major problem for some customers is that the cost of energy was unaffordable, and some could make the wrong choice when choosing tariffs with low standing charges.
Many called for a social tariff, in which those who are on low incomes receive a discount which is likely to be paid for by other billpayers.
Energy UK, which represents suppliers, recently called for “enduring” government support for those struggling to pay their bills.
Ministers have pointed to the extension of the Warm Home Discount to those on benefits, which knocks £150 off winter bills for one in five households. It is funded by a rise for all billpayers.
Ofgem’s price cap, which sets a maximum price per unit of energy for millions of people in England, Scotland and Wales who are on variable tariffs, rose by 2% in October.
The amount owed to energy suppliers by customers has already increased to a new record high of £4.4bn.
The data, which covers the period from April to June, shows that more than one million households have no arrangement to repay their debt, also a record high.

At the hearing, Simone Rossi, chief executive of EDF UK, was among the bosses who told MPs asking about the climate challenge that the price of electricity compared with a gas was a disincentive to customers wanting to go electric. It was also expensive in the UK compared with other countries.
On Tuesday, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband told the BBC shifting green levies from electricity bills to gas was one option being considered to lower energy costs for households.
But Miliband said no decisions had been made and insisted he would not change energy policy costs “in a way that damages the finances of ordinary people”.
While rebalancing energy policy costs could lower electricity bills, it could increase them for householders using gas boilers.
When asked if the rebalancing of energy bills was being reviewed by the UK government, Miliband said: “We’ve always said we will look at ways of lowering bills for people and that’s obviously one of the options.
“I just want to say on that, we will only ever do that in a way that’s fair and genuinely reduces bills for people.”
‘Fair’ bills
Policy costs are effectively government taxes used to fund environmental and social schemes, such as subsidies for renewables.
These costs made up about 16% of an electricity bill and 6% of a gas bill last year, according to research by the charity Nesta.
The Climate Change Committee has long recommended removing policy costs from electricity bills to help people feel the benefits of net-zero transition.
The government’s climate adviser said the move would make switching to electric technologies, such as heat pumps, cheaper and encourage take-up.
One option – backed by Energy UK – is shifting policy costs from electricity bills to gas.
Energy UK analysis shows that over 15 years, households using an air source heat pump, which is an electrically powered system, could save up to £7,000, compared to those with gas boilers, if energy bills were fully rebalanced.
But such a move would result in an increase in bills for households that use gas for heating.
When asked if that was one option the government was considering, Miliband said: “I’m not going to get into any of the detail of this.
“All I am saying is I’ve always said I’m cautious about this issue because fairness is my watchword.
“So if we can do it in a way that’s fair, that’s obviously something we’re seriously looking at.
“But no decisions have been made on that. I’m not going to do it in a way that damages the finances of ordinary people.”
At the committee, Chris O’Shea, chief executive of Centrica, said this would be a subsidy from the poor to the rich.
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