Fashion
Eurozone GDP growth to stay subdued at 1.1% in 2025: S&P
After 2025, the growth is expected to accelerate above the potential, reaching 1.4 per cent in 2027. Lower policy rates, strong private balance sheets that translate into a resilient labour market, and expansive fiscal policies will provide medium-term tailwinds.
“Our forecasts have only changed slightly since our last update in June 2025. The US and EU administrations’ trade deal has not altered the macroeconomic picture much. Our higher GDP growth forecasts for 2025 reflect a larger GDP carryover at the end of 2024 due to data revisions in some countries,” S&P Global Ratings said in its latest report titled, ‘Economic Outlook Eurozone Q4 2025: Recovery Continues Despite Consumer Hesitancy.’
Eurozone GDP growth is forecast at 1.1 per cent in 2025, with recovery accelerating to 1.4 per cent by 2027, supported by lower rates, strong labour markets, and fiscal policy, according to S&P Global.
Inflation is projected at 2.1 per cent in 2025 before easing.
Risks include higher US tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and weak confidence, though impacts vary across countries.
The eurozone economy remained resilient in the second quarter (Q2) of 2025. However, this is largely because exports to the US—which were front run ahead of tariffs in the first quarter—were slow to reverse in the second quarter. The report believes this reversal will extend into the third quarter.
The euro has appreciated more quickly than expected, largely owing to market concerns about the independence of US monetary policy. While this has given European consumers an extra boost via lower energy prices, it has not prompted a downward revision of inflation forecasts.
Strong labour-market conditions are expected to keep real wage growth above productivity for some time, sustaining inflationary pressure over the medium term.
S&P Global Ratings projects inflation to ease to 1.8 per cent in 2026 and 1.9 per cent in 2027, aligning closely with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2 per cent target. Barring external shocks, the ECB deposit facility rate is considered to have bottomed out at 2 per cent in the current rate-cutting cycle. Quantitative tightening is also nearing completion, which may ease long-term yields on euro-denominated government bonds.
Key risks to the baseline growth outlook include heightened tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and weak consumer confidence in certain European economies. Additional spillover effects may emerge from slower growth among Europe’s major trading partners, particularly the US, added the report.
Inflation risks remain two-sided: it could rise further in the event of escalating trade tensions, fiscal stimulus overlapping with labour-market bottlenecks, or geopolitical shocks disrupting commodity markets. Conversely, it could fall if trade diversions favour Europe or the euro appreciates more sharply than expected.
Following the recent EU–US trade announcement, baseline assumptions now include a maximum US tariff of 15 per cent on most manufactured goods. This compares with June 2025 assumptions of 10 per cent on all goods.
Despite these changes, the macroeconomic implications remain largely unchanged. At the aggregate EU level, the direct trade impact is estimated at around -0.4 per cent of GDP, only slightly lower than the -0.5 per cent implied by the April 2 announcement. Nevertheless, tariffs are now about eight times higher than they were before April, when the US levied an average tariff of less than 2 per cent on European imports.
Importantly, the tariff burden will vary across countries. Ireland and Belgium face fewer negative impacts. In contrast, Switzerland—though not an EU member—has seen its outlook deteriorate sharply after the US imposed 39 per cent tariffs, significantly affecting its growth prospects.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)
Fashion
EU Commission to present series of measures at EUCO Cyprus meeting
This was mentioned by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in her recent statement on the impact of the situation in the Middle East on the EU.
Robust intra-EU coordination, measures member states might apply to better protect vulnerable households and sectors from high energy prices, and ways to reduce energy demand are among the measures that the European Commission will present at the European Council meeting in Cyprus soon.
The protection measures should be targeted to vulnerable groups, timely and temporary, Commission president said.
“We are also looking into EU-wide coordination of member states’ gas storage filling, to avoid that many member states go to the market at the same time, so they are competing against each other. We will also coordinate oil stock releases, to achieve the largest possible effect of these releases. And we will ensure that member states’ emergency measures will not impact the Single Market,” her statement said.
“The [protection] measures should be targeted to vulnerable groups, timely—they have to be fast, not in a year but immediately—and temporary—so for a short amount of time you can apply them, but if they are cast in law, you have to make sure that you get out of the measures in a timely manner,” she noted.
This week, the Commission will consult member states on more flexible state aid rules—an important tool—to give members more space for temporary state aid support in the most exposed sectors.
“And my goal is that this temporary state aid framework should be adopted still this month—so that we have the new temporary framework for state aid in April,” she said.
“At the same time, we also need more structural measures to bring down energy prices and give relief to citizens and businesses,” she noted.
She said the only lasting way out of the fossil dependence is to modernise by shifting electricity generation to renewables and nuclear, and by electrifying the economy as rapidly as possible.
She encouraged member states to make better use of existing EU funding like the Cohesion Funds by investing it in grids, storage and batteries.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
Australian business confidence plunges in March amid uncertainty: NAB
The March survey showed business confidence dropped 29 points to -29 index points, marking one of the steepest monthly declines on record, with similar falls previously seen only during the Global Financial Crisis and the onset of COVID-19, NAB said in a press release.
Despite the sharp fall in sentiment, business conditions eased only marginally, slipping by 1 point to 6 index points, indicating that economic activity has yet to fully reflect the impact of the external shock.
Australian business confidence plunged in March, falling 29 points to -29, while business conditions remained relatively stable, according to NAB.
Despite strong capacity utilisation, forward orders and capital expenditure weakened, signalling rising uncertainty.
Cost pressures intensified, with purchase costs doubling.
While some regions saw improved conditions, confidence declined nationwide.
The divergence suggests that while businesses are increasingly cautious about the outlook, operational momentum has remained intact so far. Capacity utilisation edged up to 83.1 per cent, staying well above its long-run average, with most industries continuing to operate at elevated levels.
However, forward-looking indicators signalled emerging weakness. Forward orders fell into negative territory, erasing gains made earlier in 2026, while capital expenditure also declined, reflecting rising uncertainty among businesses.
The impact of the geopolitical situation was more pronounced on costs, with purchase cost growth doubling to 3 per cent on a quarterly basis. Product price growth also increased, while labour cost growth remained steady.
Sector-wise, the decline in conditions was broad-based, with transport and utilities. Regionally, conditions improved in some areas such as Western Australia and South Australia, but confidence fell across all regions, highlighting widespread concern.
NAB noted that while the economy entered this period with solid momentum, the sharp deterioration in confidence underscores growing risks to the outlook as geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on business sentiment and future activity.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)
Fashion
US’ Saks Global secures $500 mn as it eyes post-bankruptcy exit
The company said the agreement marks a key milestone in its transformation journey, reflecting continued support from capital partners.
Saks Global has secured $500 million in exit financing under a restructuring support agreement as it progresses through Chapter 11, targeting emergence by summer.
The company is advancing its reorganisation plan, strengthening brand partnerships and inventory flows, with over 650 brands resuming shipments.
Improved inventory has boosted customer engagement, while it aims for double-digit EBITDA margins.
“Achieving this important milestone underscores the progress we are making on our transformation and reflects our capital partners’ confidence in our go-forward vision,” said Geoffroy van Raemdonck, CEO at Saks Global.
Saks Global is currently engaging with stakeholders on a formal Plan of Reorganisation, expected to be filed in the coming weeks. The retailer aims to emerge from Chapter 11 by summer with a strengthened financial structure, targeting double-digit adjusted EBITDA margins and long-term sustainable growth, the company said in a press release.
The company plans to leverage an integrated retail model, combining optimised physical stores in key luxury markets with distinct e-commerce platforms and remote selling capabilities. It also intends to enhance its curated product offering through stronger brand partnerships and deeper customer insights.
Operationally, Saks Global reported progress since filing for bankruptcy protection. Over 650 brand partners have resumed shipments, unlocking $1.5 billion in retail receipts and covering more than 90 per cent of expected inventory for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. March inventory receipts rose 18 per cent year on year (YoY).
Improved inventory flow has translated into stronger customer engagement, with spend per store visit increasing 6 per cent and online conversion rising 11 per cent. The company also noted gains in full-price selling across its banners, including Saks Fifth Avenue, Neiman Marcus and Bergdorf Goodman.
“As we advance the restructuring process, our focus remains on strengthening brand relationships and delivering personalised luxury experiences,” added van Raemdonck, highlighting confidence in completing the restructuring with sufficient liquidity and positioning the business for future growth.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)
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