Business
Food prices keep inflation up | The Express Tribune
SPI shows 4.52% YoY increase — eggs, tomatoes, wheat flour lead rise; WoW declines 0.03%
A vendor arranges tomatoes on his pushcart. The kitchen essential was selling on pushcarts for Rs400-450 and in supermarkets at Rs550-580 due to short supply in the market. Photo: Jalal Qureshi/Express
KARACHI:
The Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), a weekly gauge of short-term inflation in Pakistan, recorded a 4.52% year-on-year (YoY) increase for the week ended January 29, 2026, reflecting persistent upward pressure on essential commodities across the country.
Despite the annual rise, the SPI witnessed a marginal weekly decline of 0.03%, indicating some short-term relief in the prices of key items. According to official data, the combined week-on-week (WoW) change across all consumption quintiles remained largely flat, with slight decreases observed in most categories except for the highest consumption quintile, which recorded a marginal increase of 0.02%.
The weekly analysis highlighted notable price corrections in several staple items. Potatoes dropped sharply by 7.81%, followed by onions at 6.66%, salt powder at 1.36% and wheat flour at 1.17%. Other items registering minor decreases included pulse masoor (0.75%), eggs (0.30%), gur (0.24%) and basmati broken rice (0.08%). Conversely, certain essential goods and commodities saw price upticks during the week. Tomatoes led the gains with a 7.53% surge, followed by chicken at 3.25% and bananas at 3.07%. Household energy items such as LPG rose by 1.56%, while pulse mash and pulse gram increased by 1.49% and 1.31%, respectively. Overall, of the 51 items monitored, 18, or 35.29%, recorded price increases, nine, or 17.65%, experienced declines, while 24, or 47.06%, remained unchanged.
The YoY SPI data reflect broader inflationary trends across essential commodities. Among the most significant annual price increases were eggs (42.85%), tomatoes (41.14%) and wheat flour (38.29%). The mixed weekly movement underscores seasonal fluctuations in perishable items and short-term market corrections, while the YoY increase signals persistent inflationary pressures on essential commodities, affecting household budgets.
Business
Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?
Union Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget 2026–27 on February 1, with a strong focus expected on the Education Budget 2026, a key area of interest for students, teachers, and institutions across the country.
In the previous budget, the Bharatiya Janata Party government announced plans to add 75,000 medical seats over five years and strengthen infrastructure at IITs established after 2014. For 2025, the Centre had earmarked Rs 1,28,650.05 crore for education, a 6.65 percent rise compared to the previous year.
Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in the Parliament of India, points to persistent challenges in school education. While enrolment at the school level is close to universal, this has not translated into consistent learning outcomes, especially beyond elementary classes. The net enrolment rate drops sharply at the secondary level, standing at just over 52 per cent.
The survey also flags concerns over student retention after Class 8, particularly in rural areas. It notes an uneven spread of schools, with a majority offering only foundational and preparatory education, while far fewer institutions provide secondary-level schooling. This gap, the survey suggests, is a key reason behind low enrolment in higher classes.
Stay tuned to this LIVE blog for all the latest updates on the Education Budget 2026 LIVE.
Business
LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV
The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) has increased the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). According to a notification, the price of LPG has risen by Rs6.37 per kilogram. Following the increase, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has gone up by Rs75.21. The revised prices have come into effect immediately.
The rise in LPG prices has added to the inflationary burden on household consumers.
Business
Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present her record ninth straight Union Budget, with markets closely tracking headline numbers ranging from the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure to borrowing and tax revenue projections, as India charts its course as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.The Budget will be presented in a paperless format, continuing the practice of recent years. Sitharaman had, in her maiden Budget in 2019, replaced the traditional leather briefcase with a red cloth–wrapped bahi-khata, marking a symbolic shift in presentation.Here are the key numbers and signals that investors, economists and policymakers will be watching in the Union Budget for 2025-26 and beyond:
Fiscal deficit
The fiscal deficit for the current financial year (FY26) is budgeted at 4.4 per cent of GDP, as reported PTI. With the government having achieved its consolidation goal of keeping the deficit below 4.5 per cent, attention will turn to guidance for FY27. Markets expect the government to indicate a deficit closer to 4 per cent of GDP next year, alongside clarity on the medium-term debt reduction path.
Capital expenditure
Capital spending remains a central pillar of the government’s growth strategy. Capex for FY26 is pegged at Rs 11.2 lakh crore. In the upcoming Budget, the government is expected to continue prioritising infrastructure outlays, with a possible 10–15 per cent increase that could take capex beyond Rs 12 lakh crore, especially as private investment sentiment remains cautious.
Debt roadmap
In her previous Budget speech, the finance minister had said fiscal policy from 2026-27 onwards would aim to keep central government debt on a declining trajectory as a share of GDP. Markets will look for a clearer timeline on when general government debt-to-GDP could move towards the 60 per cent target. General government debt stood at about 85 per cent of GDP in 2024, including central government debt of around 57 per cent.
Borrowing programme
Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at Rs 14.80 lakh crore. The borrowing number announced in the Budget will be closely scrutinised, as it signals the government’s funding needs, fiscal discipline and potential impact on bond yields.
Tax revenue
Gross tax revenue for 2025-26 has been estimated at Rs 42.70 lakh crore, implying an 11 per cent growth over FY25. This includes Rs 25.20 lakh crore from direct taxes—personal income tax and corporate tax—and Rs 17.5 lakh crore from indirect taxes such as customs, excise duty and GST.
GST collections
Goods and Services Tax collections for FY26 are projected to rise 11 per cent to Rs 11.78 lakh crore. Projections for FY27 will be keenly watched, especially as GST revenue growth is expected to gather pace following rate rationalisation measures implemented since September 2025.
Nominal GDP growth
Nominal GDP growth for FY26 was initially estimated at 10.1 per cent but has since been revised down to about 8 per cent due to lower-than-expected inflation, even as real GDP growth is pegged at 7.4 per cent by the National Statistics Office. The FY27 nominal GDP assumption—likely in the 10.5–11 per cent range—will offer clues on the government’s inflation and growth outlook.
Spending priorities
Beyond the headline aggregates, the Budget will also be scanned for allocations to key social and development schemes, as well as spending on priority sectors such as health and education.Together, these numbers will shape expectations on fiscal discipline, growth momentum and policy support as India navigates a complex global economic environment.
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