Business
FTSE 100 up as Fed sounds softer tone than feared
The FTSE 100 forged ahead on Thursday as a less “hawkish” than feared rate cut by the US Federal Reserve and a brighter US economic outlook spurred stocks, despite some fresh AI worry.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 47.63 points, 0.5%, at 9,703.16. The FTSE 250 ended 21.13 points higher, 0.1%, at 21,852.10, and the AIM All-Share ended up 1.04 points, 0.1%, at 747.66.
In Europe on Thursday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.8%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 0.7% higher.
After Europe’s close on Wednesday, the US central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and chairman Jerome Powell struck a softer tone than some had feared.
Bank of America called it an “unintentionally dovish cut”, Citi said markets “had overestimated how hawkish Mr Powell would sound,” while JPMorgan noted Mr Powell’s opening remarks were “less forceful than those used in October”.
“Relative to markets that were looking for Powell to push back more strongly at the potential for further cuts, this was a dovish outcome,” Citi said.
Goldman Sachs said “dovish labour market comments” and the “lack of a stronger lean toward a January pause led to a dovish market reaction”.
In addition, the Federal Reserve raised expectations for economic growth in the US for 2026 through to 2028, expecting a bounce back after the government shutdown.
Sarah House, analyst at Wells Fargo, said: “Our base case remains that the current easing cycle is not over yet but rather that it is entering a slower phase.”
Stocks in New York were mixed at the time of the London equity close after rising sharply on Wednesday in the wake of the Fed’s rate call.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.0%, the S&P 500 index was 0.4% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.1%.
Oracle knocked the more optimistic market mood after hours on Wednesday by warning of higher capital expenditure as it grapples with buoyant artificial intelligence demand.
Shares in the Texas-based cloud technologies-focused company were 14% lower in New York on Thursday around the time of the London close.
Stifel noted shares are being hit by “continued uncertainty around exactly how Oracle is going to fund its data centre build-out requirements”.
The Fed rate call saw bond yields drop and the dollar fade.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.12%, down from 4.18% on Wednesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was at 4.77%, trimmed from 4.78%.
The pound was quoted higher at 1.3416 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Thursday, compared with 1.3332 dollars on Wednesday.
The euro stood at 1.1746 dollars, up against 1.1647 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 155.24 yen compared with 156.36 yen.
Figures showed the US trade deficit unexpectedly decreased markedly in September.
According to data published by the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis the country’s trade deficit narrowed by 11% monthly in September to 52.8 billion dollars, from 59.3 billion dollars in August.
The FXStreet-cited consensus was for the trade deficit to increase to 63.3 billion dollars in September.
The last time the US’s trade deficit was lower was in June 2020, when it was at 49.16 billion dollars.
US exports climbed 3.0% to 289.3 billion dollars, while imports edged up 0.6% to 342.1 billion dollars.
In London, renewed strength in the gold price lifted Endeavour Mining, up 3.2%, and Fresnillo, up 3.0%.
Magnum Ice Cream continued its strong first week of trading, rising a further 5.6%, while an AI collaboration with IBM supported Pearson, up 2.0%.
Grocer J Sainsbury was lifted 2.1% by an upgrade by Citi to “buy” but the same broker reiterated a “sell” rating on Primark owner Associated British Foods, helping push shares down 1.6%.
Also on the wane, betting operator Entain, which fell 2.2% after stating Rob Wood, its chief financial officer and deputy chief executive, will step down in 2026 after 13 years at the firm.
On the FTSE 250, RS Group took the spoils, up 6.2%, after netting an upgrade to “overweight” from JPMorgan.
But Ceres Power slid 11% after a scathing attack from activist short-seller Grizzly Research.
In a report, Grizzly Research said Ceres is “hiding a flawed business model with abysmally small revenue potential behind a facade of big-name announcements and lofty projections”.
Grizzly said its research shows that Ceres has a history of “ambitious partnerships and unrealistic projections that keeps repeating”.
Faring better, Drax Group advanced 1.4% after stating it expects full-year adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation to be at the top end of the consensus forecast range of £892 million to £909 million.
In addition, the electricity generator said it is looking at opportunities to maximise value from the Drax Power Station site, which covers 1,000 acres in North Yorkshire.
Brent oil was quoted at 60.91 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Thursday, down from 61.42 dollars late Wednesday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Magnum Ice Cream, up 63.20 pence at 1,186.20p, Ashtead Group, up 225.00p at 5,010.00p, JD Sports Fashion, up 2.80p at 81.72p, Endeavour Mining, up 110.00p at 3,544.00p and IAG, up 12.00p at 397.60p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Informa, down 30.60p at 899.00p, Smith & Nephew, down 34.50p at 1,214.50p, Entain, down 16.60p at 743.20p, AB Foods, down 33.00p at 2,097.50p and Centrica, down 2.20p at 165.30p.
Friday’s economic calendar has CPI prints in France and Germany and UK GDP and industrial production figures.
Friday’s UK corporate calendar has half-year results from Taylor Maritime.
– Contributed by Alliance News
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Interest rate cuts not on the horizon, Bank of England governor says
Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is “the best thing to do” to prevent interest rates rising, Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has said.
In an interview on Thursday evening after the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to leave the rate unchanged at 3.75%, Mr Bailey said any further cuts are “not on the horizon” as he hinted at possible hikes.
It is the first time that all members have voted the same way since September 2021.
Iran effectively closed the vital oil and gas shipping route after the US and Israel attacked the country, which has pushed up global prices.
Mr Bailey said the war in the Middle East is hitting petrol pumps now, will likely increase household energy costs in summer, and put pressure on food prices.
He told LBC’s Andrew Marr: “The duration of this problem is crucial.
“I would also say very clearly that the best way to solve this situation is not through monetary policy. It is through sorting out at the source of what’s going on.
“Frankly, reopening the Strait of Hormuz is the best thing to do. Get the energy market back on its normal footing, as it were.”
Asked if he has a message for US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and “whoever’s in charge in Tehran”, Mr Bailey said: “The best thing we can do actually for the world economy… is to sort out the problem in terms of reopening the energy supply lines, because that is in the best interest of people in the world.”
UK military planners have joined the US Central Command to help formulate proposals for opening the Strait.
The MPC now expects Consumer Prices Index inflation to be around 3% in the second quarter of 2026, up from the 2.1% that had been forecast in February, with a potential rise in inflation up to 3.5% in the third quarter.
Mr Bailey was asked if he foresees, in the final two years of his term, the ambition to reduce inflation to at or below 2% being fulfilled.
He told the programme: “If you’d asked me this question three weeks ago, I was very optimistic on this.”
The governor added: “We are fully committed to the inflation target, and our job, frankly, is to deal with the shocks as they come along.
“I have to do that. I don’t wish them. I wish they were not happening, but they are and we will have to deal with them.”
He said the impact of the war will likely feed through into a higher Ofgem energy price cap from July.
It was put to Mr Bailey that the Middle East crisis comes at a time when the UK economy has already “not been growing strongly”.
He responded: “It is a very difficult time to have this happen, but frankly, any time would be pretty difficult to have this happen.
“This is a major shock to energy prices, and we have to deal with it.”
He said the “sustainable rate of growth” in the UK needs to be raised which could come from investment from pensions and artificial intelligence.
“I’m not starry-eyed about it, but it is probably the most likely area that we’re going to raise the growth rate of the economy and that’s important”, he said of AI.
The MPC signalled that if the conflict persists and has a bigger impact on UK prices, it would need to take a “more restrictive policy stance”, which indicates higher interest rates to control inflation.
The governor added: “The longer it goes on… I’m afraid to say, but it is rather an obvious point, the effect will be larger.”
He said that is why it is “imperative” that “everything is done that can be done to alleviate this effect”, adding: “That is the critical thing.”
Business
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