Fashion
Global air cargo volumes rise 7% YoY in Jan 2025: Xeneta
But any early market optimism for 2026 was dampened by the first YoY fall in e-commerce exports from China since January 2022, the Norway-based ocean and air freight rate benchmarking and market analytics platform said.
An earlier Lunar New Year flattered January global air cargo demand, which saw a 7-per cent YoY boost, Xeneta said.
Recent freight rate declines eased.
But any early market optimism for 2026 was dampened by the first YoY fall in e-commerce exports from China since January 2022.
Ocean container shipping is a key wildcard for air freight growth, with the Red Sea/Suez situation needing attention.
The growth in global chargeable weight in January was the strongest increase since January 2025, and ahead of the 5-per cent YoY growth in capacity supply.
With volumes rising faster than capacity, the global dynamic load factor edged up by one percentage point to 57 per cent. Dynamic load factor is Xeneta’s measurement of capacity utilisation based on volume and weight of cargo flown alongside available capacity.
Recent pricing declines also recovered with global air cargo spot rates down by just 1 per cent YoY to $2.56 per kg in January.
The picture for global air cargo spot rates in January may be a truer reflection of world economic events than demand for capacity, said Niall van de Wouw, Xeneta’s chief airfreight officer, in a company release. Air freight rates are typically quoted in local currencies, so a weaker dollar can make a world average—converted back into dollars—look firmer than it truly is.
While the outlook for demand and air cargo rates is unlikely to become clearer until the end of the first quarter, one undeniable fact certain to influence air freight volumes is the drop-off in e-commerce volumes ex China and Hong Kong.
With the US de minimis ban now firmly in place, China-to-US e-commerce exports extended their steep decline, down by more than 50 per cent for a third consecutive month in December. For full year 2025, e-commerce exports fell by 28 per cent YoY.
The move by China’s big e-commerce platforms to grow their share of the European market, to offset higher costs impacting volumes into the US, has provided more positive news on this corridor in recent months, but this, too, is now looking exposed, Xeneta observed.
The growth of China-to-Europe e-commerce volumes slowed to roughly an 8-per cent rise in December compared to a growth rate of 54 per cent over the first 11 months last year. And, excluding Russia, e-commerce sales from China to the rest of Europe declined by a considerable 23 per cent YoY.
Developments in ocean container shipping remain a key wildcard for air freight growth, with the Red Sea/Suez situation requiring close attention. Since late last year, major carriers have been testing Suez Canal routings on selected sailings.
Even if the Red Sea were to improve further, a rapid modal shift from air back to ocean still looks unlikely in the first quarter this year. Many container vessels are still being diverted around Cape of Good Hope routings, transit times are still lengthy, and network-wide schedule/capacity reallocation back to the Suez Canal is operationally difficult to execute within a single quarter.
In the near-term, this uncertainty may help to ensure the demand gap in air freight volumes caused by fewer e-commerce shipments doesn’t widen further, Xeneta added.
Fibre2Fashion (DS)
Fashion
EU Parliament, Council reach deal on major reform of Customs Code
According to the informal agreement, there will be a new handling fee for each item entering the EU from non-EU countries and sent directly to EU consumers, to cover the extra cost of handling an ever-increasing number of individual parcels.
This will be paid by the same entity responsible for paying other customs charges for the same parcel, to avoid shifting the cost to consumers.
The European Parliament and European Council have reached a deal on a major reform of the EU Customs Code to address problems relating to e-commerce, safety of goods and efficiency.
A new handling fee will be charged for each item entering the EU from non-EU nations and sent directly to EU consumers.
The European Commission will establish the level of the fee and reassess it every two years.
The European Commission will establish the level of the fee and reassess it every two years. Member states will start collecting it as soon as the necessary information technology (IT) system becomes operational, and in any case no later than November 1, this year.
Under the new rules, sellers and platforms that facilitate distance sales of goods from non-EU countries directly to EU customers will be treated as importers. This will oblige them to provide customs authorities with all the necessary data, pay or guarantee any charges, and make sure that the goods comply with EU laws, an official release said.
These companies must be established in the EU or be represented by an EU-based entity having either authorised economic operator (AEO) or trusted trader status. This should prevent the use of shell companies.
To incentivise bulk shipments that are easier for customs authorities to check, non-EU country sellers and platforms are encouraged to operate warehouses in the EU. Their intra-EU client shipments would benefit from a lower handling fee, provided their goods were imported in collective packaging and large enough quantities to make customs checks more efficient.
Companies that repeatedly ignore EU rules could be punished with a fine of at least 1 per cent (and up to 6 per cent) of the total value of goods imported into the EU in the previous 12 months.
Additionally, customs authorities may suspend, revoke, or annul their trusted trader or AEO status and flag them as high-risk operators.
Import-export companies that follow the rules and agree to cooperate transparently with the customs authorities may benefit from a simplified ‘trust and check’ regime. This would initially require them to go through thorough vetting and grant customs authorities access to their electronic systems.
In exchange, their shipments would be checked less frequently and they would have more flexibility regarding the payment of duties and fees.
The current AEO qualification will remain in place to keep customs status accessible to smaller economic operators.
The reform also establishes a new customs data hub to be managed by the new EU Customs Authority (EUCA). It will be available for optional use by 2031 and mandatory by 2034.
The data hub will replace at least 111 software systems currently used by customs.
The provisional agreement needs to be officially approved by Parliament in plenary as well as by the EU Council, before it will become law.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
EU apparel imports slump 15.48% YoY in Jan; Bangladesh hardest hit
This was driven by an 8.36-per cent YoY decline in import volume and a 7.76-per cent YoY decrease in average unit prices.
The EU’s apparel imports fell by 15.48 per cent YoY in January to €7.03 billion, according to Eurostat.
Bangladesh’s apparel exports to the EU fell to €1.43 billion in January—a 25.25-per cent drop in value.
China remained the top exporter of apparel to the EU (€2.22 billion), but still saw a 6.9-per cent decline YoY in value.
India, Pakistan, Vietnam and Cambodia also remained in negative territory.
Bangladesh’s apparel exports to the bloc fell to €1.43 billion in January—a sharp 25.25-per cent drop in value. It saw a 17.49-per cent YoY decrease in the quantity of goods shipped, coupled with a 9.41 per cent drop in the unit price per kilogram.
China remained the top exporter of apparel to the EU (€2.22 billion), but still saw a 6.9-per cent decline YoY in value. Its unit prices dropped by 8.01 per cent YoY, while its export volume grew a bit by 1.21 per cent YoY.
Turkey faced a severe hit with a 29.12-per cent YoY decrease in apparel export value to the EU in the month, totaling €619.98 million.
Other countries like India, Pakistan, Vietnam and Cambodia remained in negative territory, reflecting a broad-based slowdown in the European fashion retail market.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
EU gains meet a harsh reality in India: War, rupee, energy shock
India’s textile outlook is turning structurally complex.
The EU pact targets ~99.5 per cent trade coverage with phased duty relief, while rupee weakness supports exports.
However, crude volatility, >80 per cent import energy dependence, polyester cost inflation and US market softness (≈28 per cent share) are fragmenting performance, reinforcing a shift towards cotton-led, EU-focused exporters.
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