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Gold outlook: Yellow metal prices may consolidate next week, traders eye Fed signals and global data cues – Times of India

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Gold outlook: Yellow metal prices may consolidate next week, traders eye Fed signals and global data cues – Times of India


Gold prices are expected to witness a phase of consolidation in the coming week as investors focus on fresh global economic data, commentary from central bankers and evolving geopolitical developments, according to analysts.Traders will keep a close watch on US housing numbers, consumer price data from the UK and Eurozone, and provisional PMI releases from major economies, PTI reported. In addition, markets will track European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde’s speech and US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address at the Jackson Hole Symposium, which are likely to shape bullion’s near-term trajectory.“Gold prices are likely to see some consolidation/correction in the coming week as focus now remains on the incoming US macroeconomic data and the Federal Reserve’s meeting next month with interest rate cuts in focus,” said Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG – Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services. He added that safe-haven demand has eased after Washington and Beijing agreed to extend trade negotiations for another 90 days.Mer pointed out that while weaker US data has underlined slowing economic activity, firm producer and import price readings have kept inflation concerns alive, leaving Fed officials divided on the timing of rate cuts. Progress in US-Russia talks over the Ukraine conflict also reduced safe-haven buying, though discussions ended without a conclusion.On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), the most-traded October gold futures contract declined Rs 1,648 per 10 grams, or nearly 2 per cent, last week. Prathamesh Mallya, DVP-Research, Non-Agri Commodities and Currencies at Angel One, told PTI that prices slipped from highs of Rs 1,02,000 to lows of Rs 1,00,000 per 10 grams after US President Donald Trump clarified that gold imports into the US would not face tariffs, denting upside momentum.Mallya added that developments in US-Russia discussions will be critical, cautioning that any move towards higher tariffs on India could weigh on macroeconomic sentiment and lift gold demand in the near term.On Comex, December gold futures ended lower at $3,382.60 per ounce in New York on Saturday.Manav Modi, Analyst – Precious Metal Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said gold lost ground last week as safe-haven demand eased amid shifting geopolitical and economic developments. He noted that prices briefly rallied after confusion over potential US tariffs on Swiss gold but retreated once the White House clarified the reports were inaccurate.Modi added that optimism around a possible ceasefire in Ukraine after a meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, alongside an extension of the US-China tariff truce, further capped safe-haven buying. On the supportive side, however, a weaker dollar and rising expectations of a September US rate cut helped cushion losses. “Soft inflation data spurred dovish bets and Treasury Secretary Bessent hinted at a deeper 50-basis-points reduction,” Modi said.Physical gold demand in Asia, a key seasonal driver, remained subdued due to high prices, he added. Investors are now expected to focus on US PMI data, Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, and further signals from Washington-Moscow talks.Analysts said the overall near-term outlook for gold will hinge on how upcoming data and central bank commentary shape market sentiment.





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Saudi Oil Supply Assurance Lifts Pakistan Stock Market – SUCH TV

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Saudi Oil Supply Assurance Lifts Pakistan Stock Market – SUCH TV



KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange rallied on Thursday after Saudi Arabia assured Pakistan of facilitating crude oil shipments through the Red Sea port of Yanbu Port, easing concerns over potential fuel supply disruptions.

The benchmark KSE-100 Index climbed sharply during the trading session, rising 4,439.93 points (2.85%) to reach an intraday high of 160,217.14 points.

Market Recovery

Analysts attributed the market rebound to renewed institutional buying and improving investor sentiment after Saudi assurances on oil supplies.

Market expert Ahsan Mehanti, CEO of Arif Habib Commodities, said easing fuel supply concerns played a key role in the recovery.

He added that rising global crude prices, expectations of a new International Monetary Fund loan tranche for Pakistan, and positive economic indicators also boosted investor confidence.

Alternative Oil Route

Pakistan sought an alternative supply route after Iran announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial global oil transit corridor.

Federal Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik held talks with Nawaf bin Said Al-Malki, requesting Saudi support for uninterrupted energy supplies.

Saudi authorities reportedly assured Pakistan that oil shipments could be routed through Yanbu, and one crude vessel has already been prepared for dispatch.

Global Oil Market Impact

Oil prices continued to rise amid tensions in the Middle East conflict involving Iran, Israel and the United States.

Brent crude: up 3.26% to $83.99 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate (WTI): up 3.70% to $77.42 per barrel

Energy markets remain volatile as shipping disruptions threaten supply through the Strait of Hormuz, a route that handles nearly 20% of global oil trade.

Analysts say the Saudi assurance helped calm fears about Pakistan’s energy supply chain, contributing to the strong recovery at the PSX.

 




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Asian stocks today: Markets inch higher mirroring Wall Street gains; Kospi jumps 10%, Nikkei up 1,400 points – The Times of India

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Asian stocks today: Markets inch higher mirroring Wall Street gains; Kospi jumps 10%, Nikkei up 1,400 points – The Times of India


Asian stocks inched higher on Thursday, after days of trading in red amid ongoing Middle East tensions. This comes as equities were lifted by a rebound on Wall Street as oil prices paused their recent spike and economic updates painted a more positive picture of the American economy. In South Korea, Kospi hit a pause on its downward rally to add a whopping 10% or 513 points, to reach 5,606. Japan’s Nikkei 225 also climbed 2.7% to 55,713. Hong Kong’s HSI also traded in green, rising 353 points to 25,603 as of 9:10 am. Shanghai and Shenzhen added 0.9% and 1.7% respectively. Gains elsewhere in the region were more modest. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added 0.3% to 8,927.20, while New Zealand’s benchmark index moved 0.9% higher. In contrast, US futures indicated a subdued start ahead. Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were almost unchanged, while S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.2%. The S&P 500 advanced 0.8% on Wednesday, clawing back much of the decline seen since the onset of the Iran conflict. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite outperformed with a 1.3% gain. Globally, market sentiment has remained sensitive to developments in the Middle East, with oil price swings continuing to steer trading direction. Crude prices eased during Wednesday’s session. Brent crude briefly moved above $84 a barrel before settling at $81.40, roughly matching the previous day’s level. US benchmark crude edged up 0.1% to finish at $74.66 per barrel. By early Thursday, however, oil was on the rise again. Brent crude climbed 2.4% to $83.32 per barrel, while U.S. benchmark crude jumped 2.5% to $76.53 per barrel.



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China sets lowest economic growth target since 1991

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China sets lowest economic growth target since 1991



It is also the first time the target has been lowered since it was cut to “around 5%” in 2023.



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