India’s real GDP grew at a robust 7.8% in the third quarter of FY 2025-26 according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This is the first GDP data that has been released by MoSPI under the new series which revises the base year for calculation purposes.India’s economy grew at 7.8% in the October–December quarter of 2025-26, compared with 7.4% in the corresponding period a year earlier, according to the revised national accounts series.MoSPI on Friday released the updated annual and quarterly national accounts estimates based on the 2022-23 base year, replacing the earlier series that used 2011-12 as the reference year.

India’s Q3 FY 2025-26 GDP data: Key Highlights

1. Under the revised series, GDP growth for the current financial year is projected at 7.6 per cent, slightly higher than the 7.4 per cent estimate provided in the ministry’s advance projections issued in January. Nominal GDP is projected to increase by 8.6 per cent in FY 2025-26. 2. The growth estimate for the July–September quarter of 2025-26 has been revised upward to 8.4 per cent from the earlier 8.2 per cent. 3. In contrast, the estimate for the April–June quarter has been lowered to 6.7 per cent from the previously reported 7.8 per cent.4. The overall economic performance in FY 2025-26 has been supported mainly by strong real growth recorded in the second quarter at 8.4 per cent and in the third quarter at 7.8 per cent.5. The economy has maintained steady growth momentum, with real GDP rising by 7.2 per cent in FY 2023-24 and 7.1 per cent in FY 2024-25.6. Nominal GDP growth stood at 11.0 per cent in FY 2023-24 and 9.7 per cent in FY 2024-25.7. Following the base year revision, the manufacturing sector has emerged as a key contributor to the economy’s resilience over the past three financial years, seeing double-digit growth in FY 2023-24 and again in FY 2025-26.8. Growth in both the secondary and tertiary sectors has also strengthened economic performance, with each recording growth of more than 9 per cent in FY 2025-26.9. Within the services segment, the “Trade, Repair, Hotels, Transport, Communication and Services related to Broadcasting and Storage” category registered growth of 10.1 per cent at constant prices in FY 2025-26.10. On the expenditure side, Private Final Consumption Expenditure and Gross Fixed Capital Formation each recorded growth exceeding 7 per cent during FY 2025-26.

Gold price prediction today: Gold rates are showing a positive bias, says Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities. Here is his detailed analysis on the intraday trading outlook:Gold April futures on MCX are trading near ₹1,60,100 after witnessing a sharp rebound from intraday lows around ₹1,58,500. The recovery indicates short-covering and fresh buying interest emerging near lower levels. The short-term structure now suggests a continuation bounce, provided key support holds.

Gold Technical Setup:

EMA 8 & EMA 21:Price has reclaimed the short-term EMA cluster after a strong rebound. The 8 EMA is turning upward and attempting to cross above the 21 EMA, indicating improving intraday momentum. Sustaining above ₹1,60,000 strengthens the bullish setup.Price Structure:The chart reflects a V-shaped recovery from lower levels with higher lows forming on the 30-minute timeframe. This suggests that buyers are defending dips aggressively.RSI Indicator:RSI is near 57, comfortably above the neutral 50 level, signaling strengthening bullish momentum without entering overbought territory.MACD:MACD has turned positive with a bullish crossover and expanding green histogram bars, confirming recovery momentum.Volume & Open Interest:Rising price with stabilizing open interest suggests short-covering support, adding strength to the rebound.

Gold Intraday Trading View:

• Strategy: Buy on dips • Entry Level: ₹1,60,100 • Stop-Loss: Below ₹1,59,400 • Targets: ₹1,60,600 and ₹1,61,000 • Bias: Bullish above ₹1,60,000; weakness resumes only below ₹1,59,400.Gold’s intraday technical structure has shifted positive after reclaiming key resistance levels and forming a strong recovery pattern. Momentum indicators support further upside extension toward ₹1,60,600 and ₹1,61,000. Traders are advised to initiate long positions near ₹1,60,100, maintain a strict stop-loss below ₹1,59,400, and look for continuation gains during the session.Bias: Buy on Dips | Support: ₹1,60,100 | Target: ₹1,60,600 / ₹1,61,000(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)

India-US trade deal: Commerce minister Piyush Goyal has said that India will continue to watch out for its interests and in the evolving situation around tariffs, the trade deal with the US may be rebalanced. Highlighting the uncertain global trade environment, Goyal said the situation remains fluid. Goyal’s comments assume significance after the US Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump administration’s reciprocal tariffs are illegal. Soon after, Trump signed an executive order to impose a 10% global tariff on America’s trading partners, and this may be raised to 15%. Goyal’s comments also come a day after US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick met him in Delhi.

‘Focused on getting best trade deal with US’

Goyal said that India’s proposed trade pact with the United States could be adjusted if necessary, stressing that the country will safeguard its economic interests in view of changing tariff signals from Washington.“It’s an evolving situation. Trump administration has made some comments, they have other tools that they can use, next week they can increase it to 15%. Various dialogues are going on. I had said that if the circumstances change, the deal will be rebalanced,” Goyal reportedly said at a CNN-News 18 event.Referring to the mutual understanding between the two countries, the minister said the possibility of revising the agreement has already been acknowledged. “India-US joint statement says that should circumstances change, the deal will be rebalanced.”Goyal said India continues to remain in discussions with the United States as negotiations move forward. Commenting on potential tariff measures by Washington, he said India would closely monitor developments while ensuring its national interests remain protected.“On US tariffs: will wait and watch and ensure India’s best interests are protected.”He added that the US administration has several policy options at its disposal. “There are many tools that Trump administration can use in this evolving situation; one of them the 10% tariff move,” he said.Responding to concerns raised by the agriculture and dairy sectors, the minister said that key sensitive areas have been safeguarded in the proposed agreement.“No GM foods will come into India,” he said.He also stated that several farm-related sectors have been kept outside the scope of the arrangement. “Dairy, maize, soybean, poultry is exempt from US trade deal. We have preserved interests of farmers, dairy. No GM foods will come into India. The deal preserves our interests.”