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Reserves climb to $21.7b | The Express Tribune

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Reserves climb to .7b | The Express Tribune


The central bank said in its latest weekly update on Thursday that the country’s foreign exchange reserves, held by the SBP, decreased $66 million to $8.15 billion in the week ended January 5, 2024 due to debt repayments. photo: file


KARACHI:

Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) rose by $13 million on a weekly basis to stand at $16.35 billion.

The country’s total liquid foreign reserves increased to $21.70 billion, of which $16.35 billion was held by the central bank, while commercial banks had net foreign reserves of $5.35 billion.

Furthermore, the Pakistani rupee posted a marginal gain against the US dollar, settling at 279.25 in the inter-bank market on Thursday, up by Rs0.01 from Wednesday’s close of 279.26.

Gold prices in Pakistan plunged, mirroring a steep decline in the international market, where bullion extended losses for a seventh consecutive session amid rising geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns.

In the domestic market, the price of gold per tola dropped by Rs24,300 to settle at Rs499,462, according to rates issued by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA). Similarly, the price of 10 grams of gold fell by Rs20,833 to Rs428,208.

The sharp decline comes a day after gold prices remained unchanged at Rs523,762 per tola on Wednesday, indicating heightened volatility in the local bullion market. Silver prices also followed the downward trend on Thursday, decreasing by Rs760 to Rs7,734 per tola.

In the global market, spot gold fell nearly 4% to $4,629.29 per ounce by late Thursday morning trading, marking its lowest level since early February, according to Reuters. Meanwhile, US gold futures for April delivery dropped 5.4% to $4,632.40 per ounce.

Analysts attributed the sustained decline to a shift in investor sentiment as escalating tensions in the Middle East pushed oil prices above $110 per barrel, intensifying inflationary pressures. The surge in energy prices has reinforced expectations that major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, may keep rates higher for longer to contain inflation.

“Gold is now a very widely held position for institutional investors, largely driven by the debasement trade over the past year. However, the foundations of that trade are now weakening,” said Daniel Ghali, Commodity Strategist at TD Securities.

Market participants are also closely monitoring geopolitical developments, including potential US military reinforcements in the Middle East, which could further influence commodity prices and monetary policy expectations.

The combination of elevated oil prices, persistent inflationary risks and a hawkish central bank outlook has reduced the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, leading to the recent sell-off in both global and domestic markets.



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Iran oil attacks trigger 35% gas price spike – and fears of interest rate rises

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Iran oil attacks trigger 35% gas price spike – and fears of interest rate rises



Britain is to “step up” defensive support for Gulf states after Iran attacked energy sites across the region in a “serious escalation” of the war that could push up inflation and interest rates.

The price of Brent crude climbed as high as $119 a barrel and European gas prices briefly surged by 35 per cent after Iran pounded Qatar’s Ras Laffan energy hub and other Middle Eastern oil and gas infrastructure with missiles.

Interest rates were held at 3.75 per cent instead of the previously expected cut, as the Bank of England warned that the war could push inflation as high as 3.5 per cent by July on the back of rising energy bills, and that rates could rise – creating misery for homeowners.

It came as:

  • US defence secretary Pete Hegseth said “ungrateful” European allies should be thanking Donald Trump for the war
  • Trump claimed he was unaware of Israel’s strike on Iran’s South Pars gas field
  • Oman called the US/Israel attacks a “grave miscalculation”
  • Europe’s biggest airlines warned of higher fares

Iran’s attacks were in retaliation to an Israeli strike on the vital South Pars gas field, which drew condemnation from the Gulf states as well as Tehran. It was the first attack of the war so far on an energy production facility. Tehran fired missiles at multiple energy sites across the Gulf, including a Saudi oil refinery, Qatari gas facilities and two more oil refineries in Kuwait.

While Sir Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron called for de-escalation, President Trump threatened to “massively blow up” the South Pars facility if Iran did not halt its retaliatory attacks, repeating his claim that US forces had “obliterated” Iran’s navy and military, adding that the war was “substantially ahead of schedule”. He denied that plans were being made to send more American troops to the region.

John Healey, the UK defence secretary, said Tehran’s tit-for-tat responses threatened to further destabilise the region and Europe’s economies. He called them a “serious escalation”, adding: “They further destabilise the region and we will step up the defensive support that we can offer to those Gulf states.”

British forces are already deployed to the Middle East, with RAF jets flying defensive sorties against Iranian drones across the Gulf and British air defence systems protecting critical infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. UK military planners have also joined US Central Command to help formulate proposals for opening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical trade route for the world’s oil and gas.But there were signs of growing frustration towards Washington’s war aims in the Gulf states, with Oman’s foreign minister claiming that the conflict was President Trump’s “greatest miscalculation”.

In the most scathing attack on Washington’s foreign policy yet by a Gulf state, Badr Albusaidi said “this is not America’s war” and criticised Mr Trump for supporting Israel. Writing in The Economist, he called on American allies to help extricate it from the conflict, which has continued for a third week despite failing to achieve the US and Israel’s stated aim of instigating regime change in Tehran or stopping its nuclear programme.

Meanwhile, the Bank of England has warned that it may have to put up interest rates if the war continues to drive up inflation and unemployment. Its governor, Andrew Bailey, said the impact was already being felt by consumers as petrol prices surge and that he is “ready to act as necessary to ensure inflation remains on track to meet the 2 per cent target”. That would pave the way for a rate hike as early as the end of April.

Bets on the financial markets suggest a 50/50 chance that Britain will face higher interest rates from next month – and the possibility of two more rises by the end of the year.

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, said: “Markets are now pricing in an almost 50 per cent chance that April’s meeting will see rates rise to 4 per cent with the potential for two additional rate hikes by the end of the year. But no one has a crystal ball. No one knows how long the conflict will last or the amount of damage that could be inflicted on crucial energy infrastructure by the time it ends.”



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Watch: How oil and gas prices are pushing up the cost of living

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Watch: How oil and gas prices are pushing up the cost of living



From fuel to mortgages, the BBC looks at how oil and gas prices could push up the cost of living.



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US considers lifting sanctions on some Iranian oil

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US considers lifting sanctions on some Iranian oil


“To put it mildly, this is bananas,” said David Tannenbaum, director of Blackstone Compliance Services, a consultancy specialising in maritime sanctions. “Essentially we’re allowing Iran to sell oil, which could then be used to fund the war effort.”



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