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Rivian turns to AI, autonomy to woo investors as EV sales stall

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Rivian turns to AI, autonomy to woo investors as EV sales stall


Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe tours the inside of electric auto maker Rivian’s manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois, U.S. June 21, 2024. 

Joel Angel Juarez | Reuters

DETROIT — Rivian Automotive will let artificial intelligence take the wheel to try to convince investors that its future can be more lucrative than its past.

The all-electric vehicle maker is set to host its first “Autonomy and AI Day” on Thursday as its core business of producing and selling EVs hasn’t been as fruitful as expected since its initial public offering in 2021.

Shares of the automaker are off more than 80% since then as internal and external challenges have caused sales and production to be slower than planned. The company also continues to lose billions of dollars annually, despite significant cost reductions and gains in software revenue thanks to a multiyear $5.8 billion joint venture deal with German automaker Volkswagen.

CEO RJ Scaringe has always sold the company as a technology play in varying forms – from initially touting its cloud-based tech and “vertically integrated ecosystem” to more recently highlighting new “zonal” software architecture and AI aspirations.

But the pressure is on for Rivian to deliver. It has tactically brought its software and automation efforts in house to unlock future growth potential for investors and to try to expand its customer base amid slowing sales of EVs and regulatory changes.

“Over the longer term, we believe what will differentiate Rivian’s autonomous capabilities will be our end-to-end AI-centric approach,” Scaringe said last month during the automaker’s most recent quarterly investor call.

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Rivian vs. Tesla stock

Rivian is following the strategy of other “pure EV” automakers in the U.S., specifically Tesla.

The U.S. EV leader has promised owners for more than a decade that its cars would be able to get upgraded to autonomous vehicles that can work for them while they sleep or make a cross-country trip with no human intervention. The company launched a pilot robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, this year, with human safety drivers on board, and intends to expand that to new U.S. markets next year.

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Fellow EV carmaker Lucid also recently struck a partnership with AV startup Nuro to bring driverless features to its EVs.

But Wall Street isn’t completely buying into the hype.

Morgan Stanley this week downgraded Rivian to underweight, citing the EV deceleration and Rivian not having the “scale or balance sheet to support the capital intensity” of reinvesting in the current “industry hype cycle” around AVs and AI. It also downgraded Lucid and Tesla for one or both of those reasons.

“We are taking a more cautious view on the Auto Industry heading into 2026 after a surprisingly resilient 2025,” Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco wrote in a Sunday investor note.

Scaringe has said the AI Day will include in-depth looks at the computing power of Rivian’s new vehicles, such as its upcoming “R2” SUV; its autonomous vehicle platform; and data flywheel in which data inputs are used to continuously improve products.

Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe reacts at an event to unveil a smaller R2 SUV in Laguna Beach, California, on March 7, 2024.

Mike Blake | Reuters

The hope is to increase confidence in Rivian’s future vehicles and technologies, which Wall Street analysts believe could be licensed to other companies.

Rivian is currently viewed as lagging Tesla and even legacy automakers such as General Motors, Ford Motor and German luxury brands when it comes to its advanced driver assistance systems, or ADAS. Its features only recently allowed some drivers to have their hands off the wheel while highway driving under certain circumstances, a milestone other automakers have already reached.

Rivian’s AI Day comes more than four years after Tesla became the first automaker to host such an event. While Rivian is regularly compared with Tesla, its AI Day is expected to focus more on vehicles and supporting software initiatives rather than noncore businesses such as humanoid robots like Tesla has done.

Wall Street expectations

Rivian is focused on finding other sources of rare earth materials and magnets, says CEO RJ Scaringe

The automotive industry has been working toward true AVs for a while, though it has seen little success other than from Google-backed Waymo and, increasingly, Tesla’s ADAS features. But insiders and experts think AI can finally unlock the true potential of the technology.

“We believe RIVN will attempt to show why they should be seen as a serious players in the US AV space, which currently is largely seen as a two player game between Tesla and Waymo,” Barclays analyst Dan Levy said in a Friday investor note.

Wall Street analysts expect Rivian will focus on its in-house software enabling more advanced ADAS features, including the ability for its vehicles to eventually be able to drive themselves in certain circumstances.

Scaringe has said the company expects to broaden the use cases of its hands-free systems to “just about any road” in the short term, followed by eyes-off driving in the years ahead. He has recently voiced support for lidar, or light detection and ranging, systems that allow vehicles to better detect or “see” their surroundings.

“We applaud Rivian for its autonomy pivot especially given our view that level 3 autonomy will be a critical step for all OEMs [original equipment manufacturers]. Its goal of in-sourcing could make autonomy a profit center, which is important especially given the company’s liquidity situation,” RBC analyst Tom Narayan said in a note last week.

Rivian’s current vehicles feature a suite of radar, cameras and other sensors but not lidar.

SAE International, formerly known as the Society of Automotive Engineers, has characterized automated driving for vehicles from level 0 to level 5. The highest level 5, is a fully autonomous vehicle, with each stage from level 0 adding more technologies and allowing human drivers to be more “out of the loop.”

How Rivian ended up with such unique headlights

Vehicles on U.S. roadways today have varying levels of autonomy but nearly all are categorized as level 2 — allowing drivers to have their hands off the wheel in certain circumstances — or below, including those with cruise control and “adaptive cruise control.”

More recently, many companies have focused on growing their ADAS systems past level 2, where vehicles can largely drive themselves under certain conditions.

Industry experts have also raised questions about demand for AV technologies. General Motors was the first to offer hands-free driving technologies in 2017, but the rollout was slow and adoption was low following the end of free trials.

Even at Tesla, which is viewed as a software and technology leader in the U.S. with “tech-savvy” buyers, only about 12% of customers paid for its top-end “FSD” system that can control the vehicle under many circumstances, the company recently said.

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Iran oil attacks trigger 35% gas price spike – and fears of interest rate rises

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Iran oil attacks trigger 35% gas price spike – and fears of interest rate rises



Britain is to “step up” defensive support for Gulf states after Iran attacked energy sites across the region in a “serious escalation” of the war that could push up inflation and interest rates.

The price of Brent crude climbed as high as $119 a barrel and European gas prices briefly surged by 35 per cent after Iran pounded Qatar’s Ras Laffan energy hub and other Middle Eastern oil and gas infrastructure with missiles.

Interest rates were held at 3.75 per cent instead of the previously expected cut, as the Bank of England warned that the war could push inflation as high as 3.5 per cent by July on the back of rising energy bills, and that rates could rise – creating misery for homeowners.

It came as:

  • US defence secretary Pete Hegseth said “ungrateful” European allies should be thanking Donald Trump for the war
  • Trump claimed he was unaware of Israel’s strike on Iran’s South Pars gas field
  • Oman called the US/Israel attacks a “grave miscalculation”
  • Europe’s biggest airlines warned of higher fares

Iran’s attacks were in retaliation to an Israeli strike on the vital South Pars gas field, which drew condemnation from the Gulf states as well as Tehran. It was the first attack of the war so far on an energy production facility. Tehran fired missiles at multiple energy sites across the Gulf, including a Saudi oil refinery, Qatari gas facilities and two more oil refineries in Kuwait.

While Sir Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron called for de-escalation, President Trump threatened to “massively blow up” the South Pars facility if Iran did not halt its retaliatory attacks, repeating his claim that US forces had “obliterated” Iran’s navy and military, adding that the war was “substantially ahead of schedule”. He denied that plans were being made to send more American troops to the region.

John Healey, the UK defence secretary, said Tehran’s tit-for-tat responses threatened to further destabilise the region and Europe’s economies. He called them a “serious escalation”, adding: “They further destabilise the region and we will step up the defensive support that we can offer to those Gulf states.”

British forces are already deployed to the Middle East, with RAF jets flying defensive sorties against Iranian drones across the Gulf and British air defence systems protecting critical infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. UK military planners have also joined US Central Command to help formulate proposals for opening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical trade route for the world’s oil and gas.But there were signs of growing frustration towards Washington’s war aims in the Gulf states, with Oman’s foreign minister claiming that the conflict was President Trump’s “greatest miscalculation”.

In the most scathing attack on Washington’s foreign policy yet by a Gulf state, Badr Albusaidi said “this is not America’s war” and criticised Mr Trump for supporting Israel. Writing in The Economist, he called on American allies to help extricate it from the conflict, which has continued for a third week despite failing to achieve the US and Israel’s stated aim of instigating regime change in Tehran or stopping its nuclear programme.

Meanwhile, the Bank of England has warned that it may have to put up interest rates if the war continues to drive up inflation and unemployment. Its governor, Andrew Bailey, said the impact was already being felt by consumers as petrol prices surge and that he is “ready to act as necessary to ensure inflation remains on track to meet the 2 per cent target”. That would pave the way for a rate hike as early as the end of April.

Bets on the financial markets suggest a 50/50 chance that Britain will face higher interest rates from next month – and the possibility of two more rises by the end of the year.

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, said: “Markets are now pricing in an almost 50 per cent chance that April’s meeting will see rates rise to 4 per cent with the potential for two additional rate hikes by the end of the year. But no one has a crystal ball. No one knows how long the conflict will last or the amount of damage that could be inflicted on crucial energy infrastructure by the time it ends.”



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Watch: How oil and gas prices are pushing up the cost of living

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Watch: How oil and gas prices are pushing up the cost of living



From fuel to mortgages, the BBC looks at how oil and gas prices could push up the cost of living.



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US considers lifting sanctions on some Iranian oil

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US considers lifting sanctions on some Iranian oil


“To put it mildly, this is bananas,” said David Tannenbaum, director of Blackstone Compliance Services, a consultancy specialising in maritime sanctions. “Essentially we’re allowing Iran to sell oil, which could then be used to fund the war effort.”



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