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Waiting For The 8th Pay Commission? Here’s How Inflation Could Decide Your Salary Hike

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Waiting For The 8th Pay Commission? Here’s How Inflation Could Decide Your Salary Hike


New Delhi: Central government employees across India are eagerly waiting for the implementation of the 8th Pay Commission, which is expected to revise salaries, pensions, and allowances. These revisions are decided based on the fitment factor, a key multiplier that takes into account inflation, employee needs, and the government’s financial capacity. Inflation plays an important role in these revisions, as it directly affects cost of living and the real value of salaries.

The history of pay commissions shows how inflation and wages have moved together over the years. The 5th Pay Commission was implemented in 1997, when average inflation stood at 7 percent and the minimum monthly pay was fixed at Rs 2,550. While this commission simplified pay scales and introduced dearness relief, salaries eventually lagged behind inflation. In 2008, during the 6th Pay Commission, inflation was around 8–10 percent and the minimum monthly pay was raised to Rs 7,000, an increase of Rs 4,450. This commission brought in structural reforms by introducing pay bands and grade pay, resulting in sharper salary hikes.

The 7th Pay Commission came into effect in 2016, with inflation averaging 5–6 percent. At this time, the minimum salary was set at Rs 18,000, a jump of Rs 11,000 from the previous commission. The 7th Pay Commission introduced the pay matrix system, made pension rules more generous, and even sparked conversations about work-life balance.

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Looking ahead, the 8th Pay Commission is tentatively expected to be implemented in 2026, with inflation projected at around 6–7 percent. According to Ambit Institutional Equities, salaries could rise by 30–34 percent under the new commission. However, the government has not yet released official details. Reports suggest that the revised pay scale will account for inflation, economic growth, and a push towards fairer compensation across different roles.

The structure of government salaries typically includes four major components. Basic pay makes up about 51.5 percent of total income, while dearness allowance accounts for nearly 30.9 percent. House rent allowance contributes around 15.4 percent, and transport allowance adds another 2.2 percent. Together, these allowances and revisions are designed to cushion employees against inflation and help maintain their standard of living.

With the 8th Pay Commission on the horizon, government employees are hopeful of a significant salary revision that reflects rising costs and economic realities. While projections hint at a 30–34 percent hike, the final decision rests with the government, and employees across the country are waiting keenly for an official announcement.

 

 



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Companies start getting tariff refunds after Supreme Court decision

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Companies start getting tariff refunds after Supreme Court decision


Containers at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, California, US, on Thursday, March 26, 2026.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Months after the Supreme Court ruled some tariffs were unconstitutional, the first round of tariff refunds has begun flowing in.

Oshkosh Corporation CFO Matt Field confirmed to CNBC that the company has started receiving tariff refunds as of Tuesday.

“Following acceptance of our initial filing, we have begun receiving payments on our tariff refund claims, representing an initial portion of our total claims submitted,” Field said.

The company has not yet verified its total refund amount, Field added.

Basic Fun, the company behind Care Bears and Tonka trucks, also told CNBC it began receiving tariff refunds on Tuesday.

CEO Jay Foreman said the refunds so far have only represented 5% of the company’s total claim on its early invoices.

“We will utilize the refund dollars to help support our 2026 cash flow and invest in our team. This is the toughest time of the year for toy companies,” Foreman said in a statement. “We’ll also be announcing to our staff that we will be increasing salaries to help offset cost of living increase, announcing promotions and larger merit increases. We are reinvesting the funds in our business and people.”

Logistics companies UPS, FedEx and DHL have previously said that they will file for tariff refunds on behalf of their customers, requiring no further action from them. The first phase of tariff refunds only covers requests for entries that CBP finalized within the past 80 days, though that process could take months to reach customers.

The U.S. Customs and Border Protection said in a court filing that it anticipated paying refunds of $35.46 billion on 8.3 million shipments, as of Monday morning.

In February, the Supreme Court invalidated President Donald Trump‘s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. In the months that followed, companies began filing for tariff refunds in a portal, called the Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries.

In a radio interview with WABC on Tuesday morning, Trump called the tariff refund situation “crazy.”

“In theory, you have to pay the tariffs back. We’ll fight that,” Trump said. “We were taking in fortunes from people that hate us, countries and companies that hate us.”

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FinMin discusses budget preparations, macroeconomic outlook with IMF mission – SUCH TV

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FinMin discusses budget preparations, macroeconomic outlook with IMF mission – SUCH TV



Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb on Wednesday briefed the visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission on the country’s macroeconomic outlook, fiscal strategy, reform priorities, and the government’s ongoing efforts to ensure sustainable economic stability and long-term growth.

The meeting with the visiting IMF mission, led by Mission Chief Iva Petrova, focused on Pakistan’s macroeconomic stabilisation efforts, preparations for the upcoming federal budget, and the broader reform agenda aimed at strengthening fiscal and external sustainability while fostering sustainable economic growth.

During the meeting, both sides exchanged views on maintaining reform momentum, preserving macroeconomic stability, and advancing structural reforms to promote investment, productivity, and export-led growth within a balanced and forward-looking policy framework.

The finance minister appreciated the IMF’s continued engagement and constructive dialogue with the government of Pakistan.

He particularly acknowledged the productive discussions initiated during the Spring Meetings held in Washington earlier this year.

Senator Aurangzeb shared encouraging developments regarding Pakistan’s external sector, highlighting positive trends in remittances and export performance.

He noted that recent data indicated improvement in exports on both a month-on-month and year-on-year basis, reflecting growing resilience in the economy and a gradual strengthening of macroeconomic fundamentals.

The minister emphasised that while economic stabilisation efforts had produced encouraging results, the government remained fully mindful of the structural challenges confronting the economy, particularly external liabilities and the need to accelerate sustainable, export-led growth.

He reiterated the government’s commitment to deepening reforms aimed at strengthening macroeconomic stability without compromising long-term growth prospects.

In this regard, he underscored the importance of moving Pakistan away from recurring boom-and-bust cycles through structural reforms, productivity enhancement, deregulation, and improved export competitiveness.

The minister further stated that the government’s reform agenda had been carefully calibrated in consultation with international experts and economists.

He emphasised that the ongoing policy measures were not driven by short-term considerations, but formed part of a broader and technically grounded economic transformation strategy endorsed at the highest level.

The IMF mission acknowledged the positive progress made by Pakistan in maintaining macroeconomic stability despite a challenging global and regional environment.

The Mission appreciated the government’s continued commitment to prudent economic management and reform implementation.

It emphasised the importance of sustaining reform momentum, maintaining fiscal discipline, and advancing structural reforms to support durable and inclusive economic growth.

Discussions during the meeting also focused on the broader macroeconomic framework, the government’s reform agenda, and priorities for the upcoming budget.

The mission reaffirmed its commitment to continued engagement and constructive cooperation with Pakistan in support of the country’s economic reform programme and long-term economic resilience.



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Tata Motors Q4 results: Net profit rises 34% to Rs 1,793 crore; revenue climbs on strong volume growth – The Times of India

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Tata Motors Q4 results: Net profit rises 34% to Rs 1,793 crore; revenue climbs on strong volume growth – The Times of India


Commercial vehicle maker Tata Motors Ltd on Wednesday reported a 33.8 per cent rise in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,793 crore for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2026, driven by strong volume growth.The company had posted a consolidated net profit of Rs 1,340 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous financial year, Tata Motors said in a regulatory filing, as reported PTI.Total revenue from operations in the January-March quarter rose to Rs 26,098 crore from Rs 21,863 crore in the year-ago period.Vehicle wholesales during the quarter stood at 1.32 lakh units, up 25 per cent year-on-year.Total expenses in the quarter under review stood at Rs 24,134 crore.For FY26, consolidated net profit stood at Rs 3,030 crore compared with Rs 3,195 crore in FY25. The company said annual profit was impacted by exceptional items related to the new labour code and demerger-related costs.Total revenue from operations for FY26 increased to Rs 83,855 crore from Rs 58,217 crore in the previous financial year.For the full 2025-26 fiscal, total wholesales stood at 4.28 lakh units, up 14 per cent year-on-year.Commenting on the performance, Tata Motors MD and CEO Girish Wagh said FY26 marked a “clear inflection point” for the commercial vehicles industry, with volumes surpassing the pre-FY19 peak, supported by GST 2.0 reforms and sustained infrastructure spending.“For Tata Motors Commercial Vehicles, FY26 was a landmark year as we delivered milestones of revenues and profits and reinforced industry leadership and strengthened our market position,” he said.Wagh said the underlying demand fundamentals remain resilient despite geopolitical uncertainties signalling some moderation in the near term.“With strong business fundamentals, proactive risk mitigation, disciplined execution and a refreshed portfolio offering industry-leading TCO (total cost of ownership) and smart digital solutions, we remain agile and well positioned to sustain momentum through customer-centric solutions to create long-term stakeholder value,” he added.The company’s board has recommended a final dividend of Rs 4 per fully paid-up ordinary share of Rs 2 each for FY26, subject to shareholders’ approval.



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