Connect with us

Business

Wall Street still loves streaming, but are its affections well placed?

Published

on

Wall Street still loves streaming, but are its affections well placed?


In an aerial view, the Netflix logo is displayed above Netflix corporate offices on October 7, 2025 in Los Angeles, California.

Mario Tama | Getty Images

There’s a love affair on Wall Street between investors and streaming.

The romance started about a decade ago when consumers began cutting the cord with cable TV bundles en masse in favor of direct-to-consumer streaming apps. However, where investors were once enamored with subscriber growth, rewarding companies that were able to expand their consumer reach, their attentions have now shifted toward profitability.

To meet this new expectation, streaming companies have raised the prices of their services, cracked down on password sharing and delved into the ad-supported space. It’s also sparked the likes of Paramount Skydance to seek out the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery for its extensive library of content and top-tier streaming service, HBO Max, in order to compete.

While streaming continues to drive media stocks, especially around quarterly earnings, it’s not clear when — or if — it will start driving profits for the smaller players.

“Is streaming a good business?” Robert Fishman, senior research analyst at MoffettNathanson, posed in a March research note to investors. “We raised and debated this critical question over the years leading us to determine the answer is yes, albeit only for those services with sufficient scale.”

For legacy media companies, streaming has yet to fully supplant the profits and advertising revenue of linear TV. Of course, both of those metrics have been in decline for companies like WBD, Paramount and its peers.

In response, streamers have largely raised subscription prices for consumers, begging the question of where the ceiling is for streaming costs. Between higher fees and the sheer number of services needed in order to have access to all content, consumers are starting to balk.

Still, with these continuous linear TV declines, investors cling to streaming as a bright spot, especially for companies that have made it profitable. Disney has been among the steadiest of legacy media companies when it comes to a profitable streaming business, but Paramount and WBD have seen profitable quarters and Comcast’s Peacock is narrowing losses.

“With streaming no one’s reporting sub numbers anymore, because now it’s all about profitability,” Doug Creutz, senior research analyst at Cowen, told CNBC. “And that’s the metric by which these these businesses are being judged. It’s, you know, can you get to 10% operating profit? Can you get 15%? Can you get 20%? Can you get 25%? Can you get to where Netflix is?”

Netflix reported operating margin of 29.5% in 2025. Meanwhile, Disney, for example, guided investors to an operating margin for its direct-to-consumer business of 10% in fiscal 2026.

Workers prepare a large sign advertising a Disney movie while San Diego prepares to host thousands of visitors for Comic-Con International, in San Diego, California, on July 22, 2025.

Mike Blake | Reuters

“This is the big question mark that all these companies face,” Creutz added. “You had a linear business that was really profitable and it’s gone away, and is the streaming business ever going to be that profitable?”

‘No streamer comes close to Netflix’

The leader in the space is uncontested.

Netflix was early to the streaming game, scooping up a number of cord cutters with its significantly cheaper online alternative to pricey cable packages. The streaming giant has since grown its library through deals with Hollywood’s studios and by wading into original content.

Being among the first to the space meant a massive audience for Netflix. In January, the company announced it had reached 325 million global paid customers.

“As we think about global scale, the ability to spread the content spend and other fixed streaming costs over a much larger subscriber base leads to a more meaningful streaming profit opportunity,” Fishman wrote. “On that front, no streamer comes close to Netflix.”

In the eyes of Wall Street, Netflix is the gold standard. But competition for viewership is growing and now includes YouTube, TikTok, other social media as well as live events and gaming — all jockeying for consumers’ time.

And even the industry leader isn’t immune to the challenges of the streaming business.

In 2022 Netflix reported its first quarterly subscriber loss in more than a decade, dragging down its stock price. The media giant responded with a series of changes to its business model, most notably the addition of a cheaper, ad-supported tier.

Netflix no longer reports quarterly subscriber counts, and Disney has since followed suit as the industry refocuses on profits. (Disney also stopped breaking down the revenue and operating income for other parts of its entertainment business, including linear TV.)

But analysts agree that the comparison of Netflix to traditional media players isn’t exactly apples to apples. After all, Disney, Comcast, Warner Bros. and Paramount aren’t just streamers. These companies still have linear TV businesses as well as robust theatrical divisions. And some have other, even more lucrative pieces of their empires, including merchandising, theme parks, hotels and cruise lines.

The Paramount booth is shown on the convention floor during the opening day the of Comic-Con International in San Diego, California, U.S. July 24, 2025.

Mike Blake | Reuters

It’s only recently that Netflix has branched out from its content-only strategy to launch its own merchandising and live event businesses.

“They don’t have the decline of legacy media to offset,” Alicia Reese, senior vice president of equity research at Wedbush. “They don’t have theatrical to worry about.”

The result is traditional media companies that are often sized up against what a nontraditional tech company has been able to build in the streaming arena.

How much is too much?

Both Netflix and traditional media companies have raised prices for their streaming platforms over the last year in an effort to boost revenue and justify high content spending.

While consumers groan at the sight of these price increases and at being locked out of accounts they previously borrowed due to password sharing crackdowns, Wall Street applauds such measures.

“We think Netflix is positioning for substantial growth in global advertising, while its latest price increases could provide a meaningful boost to profitability this year,” Reese wrote in a research note published Friday.

Netflix is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings on Thursday, weeks after announcing yet another a price increase across its subscription tiers, including its cheapest plan with ads.

“While Netflix has consistently raised pricing across tiers, our analysis suggests U.S. revenue per streaming hour is one of the lowest among its peers, suggesting further pricing runway going forward,” Matthew Condon, analyst at Citizens, wrote in a research note published last month.

The majority of streamers offer several plans, ranging from a cheaper ad-supported option to an ad-free standard service and then a higher-priced and higher-quality version.

To ease some price burden, streamers have also started to offer bundles of their services at a discount, further suggesting they could be finding customers’ limits.

The difference in pricing of the ad-supported and ad-free tiers varies from streamer to streamer, but typically an ad-supported service ranges from $7.99 a month to $12.99 a month and premium subscriptions range from $13.99 a month to $26.99 a month. These prices are often set based on how much content is available in a given library and how much that streamer is paying to produce and license content for its service.

“I think you’re going to continue to see price increases similar to what Netflix has been doing,” Creutz said. “We’re going to find out how sticky services are if price continues to go up.”

Streaming subscription plans

Netflix

  • Standard with ads: $8.99/month
  • Standard no ads: $19.99/month
  • Premium no ads: $26.99/month

(extra members cost $7.99/month for ads, $9.99/month for no ads)

Disney

  • Disney+/Hulu with ads: $12.99/month
  • Disney+/Hulu without ads: $19.99/month
  • Disney/Hulu/ESPN Unlimited with ads: $35.99/month
  • Disney/Hulu/ESPN Unlimited without ads: $44.99/month

Warner Bros. Discovery

  • HBO Max with ads: $10.99/month
  • HBO Max standard: $18.49/month
  • HBO Max premium: $22.99/month

Paramount

  • Paramount+ with ads: $8.99/month
  • Paramount+ premium without ads: $13.99/month

Comcast

  • Peacock with ads: $7.99/month
  • Peacock premium with ads: $10.99/month
  • Peacock premium plus without ads: $16.99/month

Apple

Amazon

  • Prime Video included in Prime shipping subscription
  • Ad-free for an additional $4.99/month

Ads or no ads? That’s the question.

Advertising has long been part of the TV business model. Even as cable TV bundle prices soared before the advent of streaming, advertising provided a cushion.

However, for streaming, the push for consumers to opt into ad-supported plans has more recently ramped up across the ecosystem.

Netflix, which had long resisted ads, introduced its ad-tier in November 2022 and shortly after eliminated its cheapest basic plan, pushing customers toward watching with commercials.

Former Disney CEO Bob Iger said in prior investor calls that his company is trying to steer customers toward ad-supported plans. And by 2023’s upfront presentation, the industry’s annual pitch to advertisers, streaming took center stage.

The economics bear out: Netflix reported 2025 ad revenue exceeded $1.5 billion, or about 3% of total full-year revenue. That’s expected to double this year.

“We’re making good progress, and the opportunity ahead of us is massive,” Netflix co-CEO Greg Peters said during the company’s earnings call in January.

Greg Peters, Co-CEO of Netflix, speaks at a keynote on the future of entertainment at Mobile World Congress 2023.

Joan Cros | Nurphoto | Getty Images

In post-earnings notes after that report, analysts agreed that while Netflix’s ad revenue growth was slow to start, having more insight from the company helped understand how it’s incorporated into the business.

While legacy media peers were late to the streaming game by comparison, they were often faster than Netflix to institute ad plans. Disney’s Hulu, Paramount+ and Peacock offered these options from their inception. HBO Max launched its ads plan in 2021, while Disney+ joined Netflix in late 2022.

That could help speed up the on-ramp to meaningful streaming profits.

In general, though, the advertising landscape has been tricky to measure for media companies. Linear TV ad revenue have been on a precipitous decline in recent years. Tech companies like Google and Meta’s Facebook continue to gobble up the lion’s share of ad dollars. And while streaming has been a key source of ad revenue growth for media companies, it has yet to stack up to what traditional TV once garnered.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.



Source link

Business

65,000 young people to be offered defence, clean energy and digital training

Published

on

65,000 young people to be offered defence, clean energy and digital training



Around 65,000 young people will be able to train to enter the defence, clean energy, digital and manufacturing industries under the latest round of Government investment into colleges.

The Government will provide £175 million for 19 new Technical Excellence Colleges across the country to deliver training in sectors deemed important for the future of the UK.

Minister for skills Baroness Jacqui Smith said the investment would help build a pipeline of skilled workers for industries key to Britain’s future.

The Government has identified the areas most likely to help grow the economy, Baroness Smith told the Press Association, and said given the war happening in the Middle East, the UK needed to be able to support different ways of getting its energy.

“The Clean Energy (technical excellence colleges) that we’re announcing today will help us to develop that to speed up our shift to clean energy, to protect our energy supply and to help people with their bills,” she said.

“In the area of defence, where, given the instability and some of the new challenges to our defence in the world, and our contribution to that, this Government has pledged a big increase in defence spending that needs to support our armed forces and our capacity, but that spending also needs to deliver quality jobs to the UK defence industry, who will need skilled people in order to be able to deliver it.”

It is estimated nearly 600,000 additional workers will be needed in these key sectors by 2030, the Department for Education said.

If follows the first wave of 10 technical excellence colleges announced last year specialising in construction.

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said: “I want every young person to know there is a clear route into well‑paid work, whatever their background. These colleges put technical skills front and centre, opening up high‑quality jobs in the industries driving Britain’s future.

“We are backing talent across the country, strengthening our workforce and making sure opportunity is built into the system – not left to chance.”

The colleges may spend the funding they receive on specialist equipment, developing new courses, training more specialist staff, and more.

On Monday, Baroness Smith met students and staff at Milton Keynes College, selected as a technical excellence college for digital, where students are already learning about robotics and artificial intelligence (AI).

It comes after the latest figures showed nearly a million (957,000) 16 to 24-year-olds were “Neet” (not in education, employment or training) in October to December 2025.

The high number of young people who were Neet was a “loss of opportunity” and a “loss for the country”, Baroness Smith told PA.

“That’s why we need really high-quality provision for young people between 16 to 19 to be able to access,” she said.

“We need our schools to better identify the young people who are potentially going to become Neet, we need them to take responsibility for making sure that young people have got the places, the college places, the apprenticeships, the jobs to go into.

“And we need brilliant colleges like Milton Keynes, where I am today, to be supported, to be able to provide the opportunities for young people who would otherwise be lost at such a crucial time in their lives and for the future of the skills that we need as a country as well.”

The Government has set a target for two-thirds of young people to be in higher education, higher-level training or doing a gold standard apprenticeship by age 25.

Jawad Al Midani, 21, started studying at Milton Keynes College for a Level 1 course, and has since worked his way up to studying for a Higher National Diploma (HND) in cyber security.

“I feel as soon as I finish my qualifications I’ll be ready to start my career,” he told PA.

Christian Proctor, 18, who is studying for a Higher National Certificate (HNC) in games design and will go on to an HND next year, said he was confident the skills he was learning would equip him for the next step once he finished college.

The 19 new Technical Excellence Colleges are as follows:

Defence

– Blackpool and The Fylde College– City College Plymouth– Lincoln College– RNN Group– Yeovil College

Clean Energy

– Colchester Institute– South Bank Colleges– The City of Liverpool College– The Education Training Collective– University Centre Somerset College Group

Digital and Technologies

– Birmingham Metropolitan College– Capital City College Group– Gloucestershire College– LTE Group– Milton Keynes College

Advanced Manufacturing

– City of Wolverhampton College– New College Durham– Newcastle and Stafford College Group– Weston College of Further and Higher Education



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Why retail sales increased last month despite shoppers’ caution amid Iran war

Published

on

Why retail sales increased last month despite shoppers’ caution amid Iran war


Consumer spending on non-food items remained “tepid” in March as shoppers exercised heightened caution amid ongoing conflict in the Middle East, new figures reveal.

Data from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and KPMG shows that non-food sales saw a modest 0.9% year-on-year increase last month, falling short of the 12-month average of 1.1%.

This subdued performance was further underscored by online non-food sales, which rose by a mere 0.1%, significantly below the annual average of 1%, indicating a dip in consumer confidence.

While overall UK retail sales climbed by 3.6% compared to a year ago, surpassing the 12-month average of 2.6%, this was largely attributed to an early Easter and inflationary pressures. Food sales experienced an artificial boost, increasing by 6.8%, which skewed the total retail figures.

Demand proved robust for categories such as computers, toys, and homeware. However, the clothing and footwear sectors continued to face challenges. Furthermore, the uncertainty surrounding international travel due to the Middle East situation negatively impacted sales of travel-related goods.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said: “An early Easter provided a much-needed boost to food sales as families came together over the long weekend.

“Retailers hope that the Middle East ceasefire will bring lasting stability, but the outlook remains uncertain.

“Damage to supply chains has already been done, and rising costs – from shipping and fertiliser to insurance and commodities – are piling yet more pressure on to already stretched retailers.

“Government must act decisively and boldly now to curb inflation by delaying domestic policies that would push prices even higher for shoppers.”

Overall UK retail sales climbed by 3.6% compared to a year ago (PA)

Linda Ellett, UK head of consumer, retail and leisure at KPMG, said: “Food and drink continue to drive monthly retail sales growth, with inflation a key factor.

“Non-food sales growth remains tepid, growing at under 1% so far this year, as consumer spending caution is heightened by the current and potential impact of the Middle East conflict.”

Separate figures from Barclays show travel spending declined by 3.3% in March after five years of growth as trips abroad were delayed or swapped for staycations.

Consumer card spending increased 0.9% year on year, down from February’s 1%, the bank’s data shows.

Essential spending returned to growth – up 0.5% – for the first time since July last year as fuel prices surged, while discretionary spending growth slowed to 1.1%, driven by the decline in travel, for the first time since 2021.

However, a survey for Barclays found overall consumer resilience remained strong, with 71% of UK adults feeling confident in their ability to live within their means each month.

In response to uncertainty around the Middle East conflict, 14% said they were delaying major purchases or financial decisions, while the same proportion were building up a savings buffer in case costs rise.

Some 74% anticipate ongoing tensions will continue to affect the cost of living throughout the rest of the year.

Jack Meaning, chief UK economist at Barclays, said: “Shoppers delaying major purchases and building up a savings buffer in response to the shock from the Middle East reinforces our view that activity will be muted in the coming months.

“With an interest rate decision due in less than three weeks’ time, the Bank of England will need to consider how to balance this softening economy with the inflation already taking effect.

“Our modelling suggests this balance is best struck by holding rates, containing the worst of inflation without unduly squeezing consumers.”

Opinium surveyed 2,000 UK adults between March 27-31.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Goldman Sachs tops estimates on record equities trading

Published

on

Goldman Sachs tops estimates on record equities trading


Goldman Sachs on Monday posted first-quarter results that topped expectations on record equities trading results and higher-than-expected investment banking revenue.

Here’s what the company reported:

  • Earnings: $17.55 per share vs. $16.49 LSEG estimate
  • Revenue: $17.23 billion vs. $16.97 billion expected

The bank said profit climbed 19% from the year-earlier quarter to $5.63 billion, or $17.55 per share. Revenue rose 14% to $17.23 billion.

Trading desks across Wall Street were busy at the start of the year as institutional investors set new positions against the churn of artificial intelligence-led disruption in markets. For Goldman, that resulted in its biggest quarter from equities trading, helping propel the overall firm to its second-highest quarterly revenue.

Equities revenue rose 27% to $5.33 billion, or about $420 million more than the StreetAccount estimate, on rising financing activity to hedge fund clients in its prime brokerage business, as well as matching more buyers and sellers in cash equities products.

Investment banking fees climbed 48% to $2.84 billion, about $340 million more than expected, on a surge in advisory revenue from completed mergers transactions. The firm also cited higher revenue in equity and debt underwriting.

But the firm’s fixed income operations didn’t fare as well. Revenue there fell 10% to $4.01 billion, an unusually large miss of $910 million versus the StreetAccount estimate. Goldman cited “significantly lower” revenues in interest rate products, mortgages and credit for the results.

The firm’s asset and wealth management division saw a 10% jump in revenue to $4.08 billion in the quarter. But that was about $140 million below expectations, as higher management fees from rising assets under supervision were partially offset by lower private banking revenues.

Goldman’s provision for credit losses rose nearly 10% from a year earlier to $315 million, or more than double the StreetAccount estimate of $150.4 million, on loan growth and impairments on wholesale loans.

It was the bank’s largest increase in loan loss provisions since 2020, which raises questions as to what Goldman executives see developing in credit markets, Wells Fargo banking analyst Mike Mayo said Monday morning in a note.

Shares of the bank fell almost 2% Monday.

The bank’s results in the quarter were also helped by a lower-than-expected tax rate, compensation ratio and a larger-than-expected stock buyback, Barclays banking analyst Jason Goldberg said in a note.

For Goldman Sachs, which gets most of its revenue from its trading and investment banking franchise, the main question analysts will have is about the impact of the Iran war that started on Feb. 28.

Disruptive events that impact the price of commodities — like the Iran conflict has — can sometimes force corporate clients to the sidelines, which could threaten future capital markets deals like mergers or debt issuance.

Goldman CEO David Solomon referenced rising volatility “amid the broader uncertainty” of the period.

“Goldman Sachs delivered very strong performance for our shareholders this quarter, even as market conditions became more volatile,” Solomon said in the earnings release. “The geopolitical landscape remains very complex – so disciplined risk management must remain core to how we operate.”

Later Monday, Solomon told analysts on a conference call that while the environment for mergers and other deals has been resilient, he was closely monitoring how the war in the Middle East was developing.

“if the resolution of the conflict drags, that probably will be a headwind in some of these areas, particularly inflation trends as we get further into the second and the third quarter,” Solomon said. “So we’ll have to watch that.”

Solomon also said that market churn from the war cooled IPO listings in March, but that he still saw the need for several large IPOs in the pipeline to come to market.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending