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Walmart hikes sales and earnings forecast as it attracts shoppers across incomes

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Walmart hikes sales and earnings forecast as it attracts shoppers across incomes


A shopper pushes a cart outside a Walmart store in San Leandro, California, US, on Tuesday, Aug. 19, 2025.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Walmart raised its sales and earnings outlook Thursday as the retailer posted revenue gains in its fiscal third quarter, driven by double-digit e-commerce growth and new customers across incomes.

The retailer said it expects full-year net sales to climb between 4.8% and 5.1%, up from its previous expectations of 3.75% to 4.75%. It said it expects its adjusted earnings per share to range from $2.58 to $2.63, a slight raise from its prior range of $2.52 to $2.62.

It marked the second quarter in a row Walmart hiked its full-year forecast. 

Walmart’s earnings report is the first since the Arkansas-based company announced a leadership change. The big-box retailer said last week that John Furner, the CEO of its U.S. business, will succeed longtime CEO Doug McMillon on Feb. 1.

In an interview with CNBC, Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey said consumer habits didn’t change during the quarter, as shoppers spent selectively and looked for deals. He said Walmart has gained those “value-seeking” customers across incomes, both because of the economic backdrop and its own strategic moves.

“Consumers are looking to do business with those companies that are providing value, that are delivering the convenience that they’ve come to know and expect, and that are executing consistently well,” he said.

He said Walmart saw an impact from the pause in Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP, benefits, formerly known as food stamps, during the prolonged government shutdown. But he said “that’s starting to rebound now that people are receiving those funds again.”

Here is what the big-box retailer reported for the fiscal third quarter compared with Wall Street’s estimates, according to a survey of analysts by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: 62 cents adjusted vs. 60 cents expected
  • Revenue: $179.50 billion vs. $177.43 billion expected

Walmart also said Thursday that it will transfer the listing of its common stock to the Nasdaq and will begin trading there on Dec. 9. It is currently traded on the New York Stock Exchange. It will have the same stock ticker symbol, “WMT.”

The company’s stock closed Thursday at $107.11, up about 6.5%. As of Thursday’s close, shares of Walmart are up about 19% so far this year. That outpaces the S&P 500’s approximately 11% gains during the same period. 

As a retail giant that draws shoppers across incomes, Walmart is closely watched as an indication of the health of the U.S. consumer and how President Donald Trump‘s tariffs are affecting the prices shoppers pay. It can speak to consumer behavior across categories, since it sells discretionary items like makeup and clothes along with necessities like milk and toilet paper.

Walmart has gained more high-income customers as even affluent households sought relief from pricier grocery bills due to high inflation in recent years. That cohort also has responded to store remodels and faster deliveries. 

That growth continued in the most recent quarter, Rainey told CNBC. He said Walmart has gained market share across incomes, but “they’re more pronounced in the upper-income segment.”

Some of those shoppers have come to Walmart for speed, Rainey said. The retailer can now deliver to about 95% of U.S. households from stores in under three hours.

Customers now expedite about a third of its online orders from stores to arrive in one- or three-hour timeframes, he said. He said revenue related to those faster deliveries has increased 70% year over year. The company charges a fee for some speedier orders, and others are included as a benefit of its subscription-based membership program, Walmart+.

The expedited delivery service is popular, even with shoppers with lower incomes, he said. During the weeks of November when SNAP benefits were paused, Rainey said Walmart noticed a dip in that volume.

In the three-month period that ended Oct. 31, Walmart’s net income increased to $6.14 billion, or 77 cents per share, from $4.58 billion, or 57 cents per share, in the year-ago period.

Excluding one-time items, such as business reorganization charges, Walmart’s adjusted earnings per share was 62 cents.

Revenue rose from $169.59 billion in the year-ago quarter. 

Comparable sales for Walmart U.S. rose 4.5% in the third quarter, excluding fuel, compared with the year-ago period. That surpassed analysts’ expectations of 4% growth, according to StreetAccount. The industry metric, also called same-store sales, includes sales from stores and clubs open for at least a year.

At Sam’s Club, comparable sales rose 3.8%, excluding fuel. 

Walmart e-commerce sales grew by 27% globally, as all segments of the company posted sharp gains. In the U.S., e-commerce rose 28%, driven by increases in store-fulfilled delivery of online orders and growth of advertising and its third-party marketplace.

E-commerce sales internationally jumped 26% and at Sam’s Club in the U.S., they rose 22%.

In the U.S., shoppers made more trips to Walmart and spent more on those visits. Customer transactions rose 1.8% and average ticket increased by 2.7%.

As Walmart gains more digital traffic and adds more products to its third-party marketplace, advertising has been a meaningful growth area, too. In the quarter, its global advertising business increased by 53%, including Vizio, the smart TV maker it acquired last year for $2.3 billion. Its U.S. advertising business, Walmart Connect, grew 33% year over year. 

Walmart is mulling another acquisition after it expanded its third-party marketplace rapidly in recent years, as it is in talks to buy R&A Data, a startup that works to curb scams and counterfeits, CNBC reported Wednesday.

Like other retailers, Walmart has said it raised prices on some items to offset higher costs from tariffs. About a third of what Walmart sells in the U.S. comes from other parts of the world, with China, Mexico, Canada, Vietnam and India representing its largest markets for imports, Rainey told CNBC in May.

On a call with CNBC on Thursday, Rainey said when it comes to higher tariff costs, “the pressure is real.” Yet, he said Walmart’s team has been able to reduce the impact on customers by finding ways to absorb some costs.

Furner, Walmart’s incoming CEO who currently leads the retailer’s U.S. business, said on the earnings call that there’s been some relief on key food categories, which is helping offset tariff cost pressures. Earlier this month, Trump exempted some major agricultural imports, including cocoa, bananas and coffee, from increased duties as he faced backlash over high prices.

Plus, Furner said the big-box retailer’s wider assortment has helped the company find a balance as it increases prices on some items and lowers them on others. It’s also adjusted its merchandise orders to reduce the risk of markdowns. For example, it’s kept a larger inventory of items for kids, since people tend to prioritize their families even when they feel financial pressure, he said.

Walmart’s gains in non-food categories, which tend to be higher margin, have also helped. Sales of fashion, a category that includes apparel, shoes, jewelry and accessories, grew more than 5% in the quarter compared to the year-ago period, he said.

Walmart’s results on Thursday followed cautious updates from Target, Home Depot and Lowe’s. All three of those retailers lowered their full-year profit outlooks this week and referred to consumers who were hesitant to make big purchases and hungry for deals. 

T.J. Maxx and Marshalls parent company TJX, on the other hand, hiked its full-year forecast, saying it’s seeing a “strong start” to the holidays as it caters to value-conscious shoppers.

Rainey said Walmart is “going into the holiday pretty optimistic,” saying it’s prepared with competitive price points.



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Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire

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Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire



Brent crude sinks by a tenth after Iran says the key waterway is open for commercial ships for the rest of the ceasefire.



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Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV

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Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV



Oil prices tumbled on Friday after Iranian officials said they would allow commercial traffic to resume in the Strait of Hormuz. This lifted equity markets in Europe and New York, where major indices hit new records.

Citing the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would lift its blockade on shipping through the key Gulf energy trade route.

“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire,” Araghchi said.

Traffic in the strategic waterway, through which one-fifth of the world’s crude oil normally flows, has been disrupted by Iran since the US-Israeli offensive began on Feb. 28. At one point, this sent oil prices to a peak of nearly $120 a barrel and roiled the global economy.

Both Brent, the benchmark international contract, and its US equivalent WTI fell below $90 per barrel following Tehran’s announcement. Brent later cut its losses and finished at $90.38 a barrel, down 9.1%.

‘Immediate impact’

“This news is having an immediate impact on markets,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.

The move also sent a jolt through equity markets, extending a rally in New York. There, equities have pushed ever higher since late March in anticipation of a breakthrough in the Middle East crisis.

“We had seen a big move the last two weeks, and now it’s just really pricing completely out the worst-case scenario, said Angelo Kourkafas, from Edward Jones.

Kourkafas also pointed to underlying strength in the US economy that should get more attention in the coming period as geopolitical concerns ebb.

“Geopolitical developments are moving in the right direction, and at the same time, the earning strength is hard to ignore,” Kourkafas said.

The broad-based S&P 500 finished at 7,126.06, up 1.2% for the day and 4.5% for the week.

‘Good news’

Earlier, European stocks closed higher, with both Frankfurt and Paris gaining 2%.

US President Donald Trump cheered the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in an interview with AFP.

“We’re very close to having a deal,” Trump said in a brief telephone call with AFP from Las Vegas. He added there were “no sticking points at all” left with Tehran.

But Iran quickly pushed back on one key point.

Iran’s foreign ministry said Friday that its stockpile of enriched uranium would not be transferred “anywhere.” It rejected an earlier claim by Trump that the Islamic Republic had agreed to hand it over.

Shipping industry figures, meanwhile, gave a cautious welcome to Iran’s announcement.

A spokesman for German transportation giant Hapag-Lloyd, which has ships stuck in the Gulf, told AFP by phone that the reopening was “in general… good news.”

But he cautioned that shippers still needed details of what route vessels could take and in what order, citing fears of mines.

“One thousand ships cannot just go now to the entrance of the strait, that will be chaos. They (the Iranians) need to give clear orders,” said the spokesman, Nils Haupt.

“We would be ready to go very soon if some of these open questions can be solved within the weekend.”



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Iran war causing staycation spike – Suffolk holiday firms

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Iran war causing staycation spike – Suffolk holiday firms



One man says he cancelled his holiday to Spain due to the rising costs and uncertainty.



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