Business
Weekly SPI rises 4.34% YoY on food price volatility | The Express Tribune

KARACHI:
Pakistan’s short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), rose 4.34% year-on-year (YoY) during the week ended October 9, 2025, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).
The annual increase reflects persistent pressure from rising food and energy prices, even as the weekly trend showed only a marginal rise of 0.17%.
PBS report revealed that price increases for chicken, wheat flour, onions and eggs were the main contributors to the latest uptick, while prices for tomatoes, bananas and potatoes registered notable declines.
The weekly SPI, which tracks prices of 51 essential commodities across 50 markets in 17 cities, showed price hikes for 21 items (41.18%), reduction in six items (11.76%) and no change in 24 items (47.06%).
The most notable increases were recorded in chicken (8.92%), onions (7.47%) and wheat flour (5.74%), three of the most widely consumed food items in Pakistani households. Other commodities showing a rise included eggs (2.25%), gur (jaggery) (1.70%), garlic (0.86%), vegetable ghee – 1kg (0.86%), vegetable ghee – 2.5kg (0.59%), firewood (0.50%) and washing soap (0.23%).
Conversely, a significant drop was noted in tomato prices, which fell 11.34%, following a sharp increase in previous weeks. Other items showing a decline included bananas (1.29%), potatoes (0.93%), LPG (0.59%), pulse gram (0.35%) and mustard oil (0.07%).
Across consumption groups, the SPI increased between 0.14% and 0.20%, indicating that inflationary pressures were felt across all income brackets. The highest weekly increase of 0.20% was recorded for the fourth quintile (upper-middle-income households), while the lowest rise of 0.14% was seen in the lowest-income group.
On a YoY basis, the SPI rose 4.34%, reflecting continued inflationary strain despite some recent stabilisation in food and fuel prices. The data highlighted steep annual increases in several essential commodities, led by tomatoes (109.82%), ladies’ sandals (55.62%), sugar (36.08%) and gas charges for the lowest slab (29.85%).
Prices of wheat flour (17.70%), pulse moong (15.90%), gur (13.79%), beef (12.66%), diesel (12.57%) and vegetable ghee (up to 11.86%) also showed notable hikes over the past year.
However, several commodities exhibited price relief compared to last year. Prices of onions dropped sharply by 43.16%, garlic fell by 28.16%, electricity charges for Q1 by 26.26%, pulse gram by 24.97% and chicken by 24.30%. Prices of potatoes (-18.51%), pulse mash (-18.17%) and tea (-17.93%) also declined.
PBS data suggests that while the pace of inflation has moderated from last year’s high levels, food price volatility remains a key concern. Upcoming seasonal shifts and changes in fuel and energy tariffs could influence price dynamics in the coming weeks.
Business
Finance Minister Aurangzeb departs for US to attend IMF, World Bank meetings – SUCH TV

Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb has departed for the United States to participate in the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank.
According to a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance in Islamabad on Saturday, the minister will represent Pakistan at the plenary sessions of both institutions.
During his six-day visit, Senator Aurangzeb is scheduled to hold meetings with senior officials of the IMF, World Bank, International Finance Corporation (IFC), and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA).
He will also hold a one-on-one meeting with World Bank President Ajay Banga and attend a dinner hosted by him for finance ministers of selected countries.
Additionally, the minister will meet IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva during sessions of the G24 and MENAP (Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan) groups, where he is expected to deliver a keynote address.
Aurangzeb will also participate in a World Bank regional roundtable on the digital transformation of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), alongside tax authorities from other nations.
Moreover, he will attend two major events hosted by the World Economic Forum (WEF) and hold bilateral meetings with finance ministers from China, the United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Azerbaijan.
The finance minister’s schedule also includes meetings with senior White House officials, the Chairman of the U.S. Congress Financial Services Committee, and representatives from the U.S. State and Treasury Departments and the International Development Finance Corporation (DFC).
He will engage with office bearers and members of the U.S.-Pakistan Business Council to discuss tax proposals and investment opportunities in Pakistan.
The minister will also meet with representatives of global credit rating agencies, commercial banks particularly investment banks from the Middle East and address various investment forums and seminars to highlight Pakistan’s economic outlook.
Aurangzeb will visit leading U.S. think tanks, including the Atlantic Council and the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), and meet prominent members of the Pakistani community.
He will also give interviews to selected international and American media outlets during his visit, which includes over 65 events, forums, meetings, and official engagements.
Business
Trump’s 100% tariffs on China: For India, the message is clear – No deal with US is ever final, says GTRI – The Times of India

India should be careful in its negotiations with the US and should focus on its self-reliance rather than depending on Washington, Global Trade Research Institute (GTRI) said in a report. In a report titled “Trump’s tariff offensive hits a rare earth wall,” the think tank analysed the impact of Trump’s recently imposed tariffs on China and how India should proceed.
The US President Donald Trump on Friday announced an additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports, raising total US duties to around 130%, which will be in effect from November 1. The action is one of the most major escalations in US-China trade tensions since the 2018 tariff war. Washington’s move responds to China’s stringent restrictions on rare-earth exports, which are vital for the US defence, clean-energy, and technology sectors.‘The message is clear’: Lessons for IndiaThe report said that India should advance its negotiations with the US cautiously and on “equal terms,” warning that “no deal with the US is ever final.”It suggested ensuring reciprocity and safeguarding strategic autonomy. The GTRI report also said that instead of depending on “shifting US promises,” New Delhi should prioritise self-reliance in critical technologies and minerals, shielding its economy from future trade shocks. The country should also use its neutral stance to strengthen ties with both Western and BRICS nations.ImpactPrices of electric vehicles, wind turbines and semiconductor parts are expected to rise as China and the US get embroiled in a new series of trade tensions.The report further noted that if Washington seeks support from its allies, costs could rise further, as they can’t quickly match China’s dominance in rare-earth minerals.Analysing the impact, think tank GTRI said, “The impact will be felt quickly. Prices of EVs, wind turbines, and semiconductor parts are expected to rise, while the US will try to “friend-shore” its mineral supply chains to Australia, Vietnam, and Canada. China, meanwhile, is likely to redirect supplies toward its non-Western partners to strengthen alternative industrial networks.”Washington may feel the heat tooWashington is still heavily reliant on Beijing for its electronic, textile, footwear, white goods and solar panels, some areas where China could strike back.Once the new tariffs take effect, prices might surge making it difficult for the Trump administration to handle the inflation and production costs. Hence, the US President’s “tough-on-China” approach could backfire, potentially raising costs for American consumers and weakening his wider economic agenda.‘China appears better prepared’Given the importance of rare earths to US industries, Washington may soon have little choice but to negotiate a new deal with Beijing. “Unlike the US, which often acts before weighing economic consequences, China appears more deliberate and better prepared,” the GTRI said.
Business
Gold prices in Pakistan Today – October 11, 2025 | The Express Tribune

Gold prices increase in both international and local markets.
In the international bullion market, the price of gold rises by $21 per ounce, reaching $4,016.
In the local market, the price of gold per tola increases by Rs 2,100 to reach Rs 422,700.
Similarly, the price per 10 grams rises by Rs 1,800, closing at Rs 362,397.
The upward trend reflects ongoing fluctuations in global demand and market conditions.
Read: Gold prices hit record high, cross Rs425,000 mark
Earlier, Spot gold fell nearly 2% to $3,959.48 per ounce by 01:53 p.m. ET (17:53 GMT). U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 2.4% to settle at $3,972.6.
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