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What Bryce Young’s late-game magic means for Panthers’ postseason: ‘Nothing really fazes him’

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What Bryce Young’s late-game magic means for Panthers’ postseason: ‘Nothing really fazes him’


CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young lumbered his way to the podium earlier this week, taking short, slow steps. He showed no emotion, so you couldn’t tell he was preparing for his first NFL playoff game any more than you could when he was benched last season.

Say what you want about Young’s inconsistency in games, but he’s consistent in everything he does before and after them.

Coach Dave Canales almost laughed on Thursday when asked if the top pick of the 2023 draft had done anything out of the ordinary preparing for Saturday’s wild-card game against the Los Angeles Rams (12-5), the first playoff appearance for Carolina (8-9) since 2017 and the first at Bank of America Stadium since 2015.

“Bryce is really consistent in terms of his prep, our normal conversations throughout the week,” Canales said. “He goes out there to practice and he just continues to lead the group and make sure we get to the right play.

“His demeanor stays pretty even, which is why he’s performed really well in critical situations, end-of-game situations, fourth down and those types of things.”

The Panthers lost their final two regular-season games, but they were awarded their postseason berth through a tiebreaker, as the Atlanta Falcons beating the New Orleans Saints on the final day of the season was the deciding factor in Carolina winning the NFC South crown.

Still, Canales and his team know Young will operate as if it’s business as usual.

“Bryce has grown in a million different ways,” running back Chuba Hubbard said. “But one thing about him, he’s always been cool in those moments since the day he got here.”

Since being drafted No. 1 in 2023, Young’s career has been defined by inconsistency and resiliency. Uneven performances played a role in Carolina failing to win back-to-back games since mid-October. But 12 times in his career — including six this season — Young has led the Panthers to a fourth-quarter or overtime game-winning drive.

The six comebacks tie him for most in the NFL this season. One of those was the Week 13 victory over the Rams — his wild-card opponent this week — when Young completed 15 of 20 pass attempts for 206 yards and three touchdowns and had a career-best 147.1 passer rating.

Young’s history of leading late-game comebacks began in high school with a thrilling win over IMG Academy and continued in college when he helped Alabama stave off Auburn in the 2021 Iron Bowl.

As the Panthers prepare to host the Rams (4:30 p.m. ET, Fox), all eyes will be on Young and how he performs — because it will set the tone for what comes next.

The Panthers, according to league sources close to the situation, plan to pick up Young’s fifth-year contract option this spring. But they haven’t seen enough to begin thinking about whether a potential extension could be on the horizon unless Young convinces them during the playoffs — where Carolina begins as 10.5-point underdogs to the Rams, per DraftKings Sportsbook.

Despite the long odds, those who have coached and played alongside Young believe he is prepared to rise to the occasion just as he has so often in fourth-quarter comebacks.

“We won the game because of Young,” said Bill O’Brien, Young’s Alabama offensive coordinator in 2021 and now the head coach at Boston College. “He was amazing. One of his greatest traits is he’s very poised.”


YOUNG AND THE Alabama offense that averaged 39.9 points in 2021 were lifeless until 1:32 remained in the Iron Bowl. Young, in his first year as the starter, had been sacked eight times and the Crimson Tide trailed archrival Auburn 10-3.

Then Young came alive.

He led Alabama on a 12-play, 97-yard drive, capped by a 28-yard, game-tying touchdown pass to Ja’Corey Brooks with 24 seconds left in regulation. Young would go on to lead Bama to a 24-22 win in quadruple overtime.

Young had shown that sort of fourth-quarter magic in high school, too, when he engineered his first game-winning drive for Mater Dei High School in 2018. He led a nearly perfect nine-play, 75-yard series that ended with him faking an inside handoff and sprinting left for a 5-yard touchdown run to end IMG Academy’s 40-game win streak.

He carried that into the pros after Carolina drafted him No. 1 in 2023. Twelve of Young’s 14 career wins have come near the end of regulation or overtime, the most of any quarterback since he entered the league. At 24, he’s the youngest quarterback to orchestrate 11 game-winning drives before turning 25, passing Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills.

That includes beating the Rams in Week 13, when Young threw a 43-yard touchdown pass to rookie wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan with 6:43 remaining.

Young’s prowess on game-winning drives, however, should come with an asterisk.

Unlike Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff and Bo Nix, who each have 10 game-winning drives since 2023, Young hasn’t had the luxury of playing with the lead often in the fourth quarter. In 42 of his 44 career starts, the Panthers have been tied or trailed at some point in the final period.

Carolina has trailed entering the fourth quarter in 32 of those games, going 5-27. The next closest quarterback to Young is Geno Smith, who has trailed in 28 games over that span.

Young’s inconsistent play is a significant reason the Panthers have trailed so often late in games.

Most of his stats this season rank in the bottom half of the league. He finished the regular season 22nd out of 28 qualified quarterbacks in QBR (47.7). He ranked 21st in passing yards (3,011), 20th in completion percentage (64), 26th in yards per attempt (6.3), 25th in attempts of 15-plus air yards (16%) and 27th in QBR when blitzed (44).

Despite the comebacks, Young’s QBR when the game is on the line hasn’t been great. He ranks 16th in the final two minutes of regulation and 13th in the final five. That’s better than his baseline but not enough to overshadow the rest of his profile.

Yet Young’s teammates continue to believe in him and his growth as a quarterback when it matters most.

“Every single time it’s the ‘got to have [it] moment,’ that’s what he does,” guard Austin Corbett said. “He understands pressure and understands it’s also a privilege, and that’s where he thrives.”


O’BRIEN BELIEVES YOUNG’S ability to overcome adversity and his understanding of the game will allow him to develop into a more consistent quarterback with more talent around him.

“I don’t think he worries about anything,” O’Brien said. “Nothing really fazes him.”

How Young handled being benched after an 0-2 start in 2024, his first under coach Dave Canales, epitomizes that ability. Since returning as Carolina’s starter in Week 8 of 2024, Young has averaged 196.7 passing yards per game and completed 63% of his passes for 38 touchdowns to 17 interceptions. He has a 12-14 record and a QBR of 52.

That’s a significant improvement from his 2-16 record before the benching, when he had 11 touchdowns to 13 interceptions and was averaging 176 passing yards per game for a QBR of 32.

He has improved, but he has not put together reliably strong performances and wins. He had a franchise-record 448 yards passing in Week 11 against Atlanta and a career-low 54 in Week 17 against Seattle.

“In this league, you’ve got to turn the page,” Young said after his poor outing against Seattle. “Good and bad comes with sports. That’s the maturity you have to have at this level.”

Canales called Young’s ability to compartmentalize and move on from adverse situations “special.”

“It’s really important for the big picture, especially when you’re standing in front of the group [saying] this drive’s going to be a touchdown drive, this next play’s going to be a big one,” he said. “To have that kind of salesmanship, it’s really important for the quarterback to have that.”


YOUNG’S BIGGEST IMPROVEMENT since his rookie season has been pre-snap reads, something O’Brien said was special during the quarterback’s college career. It has helped Young make plays even when protection breaks down, particularly in clutch situations, with big runs and throws.

“It’s a learning curve for a lot of quarterbacks,” offensive coordinator Brad Idzik said. “Bryce, he’s taking all these things in and continues to really grow with this offense and really push the guys forward of, ‘Hey, we need to all buy in to this pre-snap stuff that we’re trying to do to make sure that we give ourselves the best chance to take advantage of the matchups.'”

Idzik noted the 23-20 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 16, when some of Young’s biggest plays came on crucial third or fourth downs with pressure looks. He loved the way Young navigated protection and route concepts.

“He’s as calm as it gets under pressure,” Idzik said.

O’Brien said Young’s pre-snap reads play a big part in his ability to throw through the “trees” of big linemen despite being listed as 5-foot-10. He said that’s why former Alabama coach Nick Saban wasn’t fazed by Young’s size when recruiting him.

“He understands what’s happening pre-snap and then he’s able to make good, good decisions most of the time,” O’Brien said. “He can anticipate, which is one of the biggest, most important traits for a quarterback.

“He’s got a very quick release, so the ball is out before a guy can get his hands up to bat it down. Even when the guy’s hands are up, he can find a lane. He’s amazing at that.”

O’Brien credits Saban for putting all his quarterbacks, particularly Young, in adverse situations during practice.

“He’s able to use that pre-snap read to gain a lot of information,” O’Brien said. “One year [2021] we were playing Arkansas. They were dropping eight and rushing three. He broke the school record for passing yards [559 plus five touchdowns].

“I saw that [in the Week 16 Tampa game]. He was in the gun and using his cadence to gain information, and then zip it out there on a one-on-one.”

Young had only 191 yards passing in that victory, but he threw two touchdowns and had a 102.5 passer rating. Pre-snap reads were key.

“He’s done a great job this year of adding that to his tool belt,” Idzik said.


THREE PANTHERS QUARTERBACKS have won a playoff game: Jake Delhomme (5), Cam Newton (3) and Kerry Collins (1). Joining that list will be Young’s next challenge.

That’s why Canales and others say the pressure Young faced this season will benefit him long term, regardless of how far the Panthers go in the playoffs.

“That’s when things really ramp up,” O’Brien said. “So yeah, winning a playoff game will be important early on in his career.”

That’s easier said than done. Quarterbacks starting their first playoff game have a 72-94 record, according to ESPN Research.

Even future Hall of Famers had to wait for their first playoff win. Peyton Manning didn’t get his until his third NFL season. The same goes for Joe Montana. John Elway didn’t win his until his fourth.

Young isn’t looking that far ahead. He is focused on the wild-card game against the Rams, where he would benefit from a balanced offense like the Panthers had in the Week 13 win, when running back Rico Dowdle and Hubbard combined for 35 carries and 141 of the team’s 164 rushing yards.

Carolina has totaled 118 rushing yards in its past two games, including 19 in the 16-14 Week 18 loss to the Bucs.

The Panthers believe their quarterback is ready to meet the moment the playoffs offer.

“No one’s more calm in clutch moments,” said Frank Reich, who was Carolina’s coach when it drafted Young. “Always has been … always will be.”



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US figure skating power couple makes history with record breaking seventh national championship

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US figure skating power couple makes history with record breaking seventh national championship


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U.S. figure skating stars Madison Chock and Evan Bates made history on Saturday with their record-setting seventh U.S. Figure Skating title in their final competition before the Milan Cortina Olympics.

The three-time reigning world champions, performing a flamenco-style dance to a version of the Rolling Stones hit “Paint It Black” from the dystopian sci-fi Western show “Westworld,” produced a season-best free skate and finished with 228.87 points.

“The feeling that we got from the audience today was unlike anything I’ve ever felt before,” Chock said.

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Madison Chock and Evan Bates of United States perform during ISU World Figure Skating Championships – Boston, at TD Garden,  on March 28, 2025 in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Jurij Kodrun – International Skating Union/International Skating Union via Getty Images)

They’ll be the heavy favorites to win gold next month in Italy.

“I felt so much love and joy,” Chock continued, “and I’m so grateful for this moment.”

U.S. Figure Skating will announce its selections on Sunday.

Emilea Zingas and Vadym Kolesnik were second with 213.65 points and Christina Carreira and Anthony Ponomarenko were third with 206.95, making those two pairs the likely choices to join Chock and Bates on the American squad for the upcoming Winter Games.

The men’s medals also were to be decided on Saturday, though two-time world champion Ilia Malinin had built such a lead after his short program that the self-styled “Quad God” would have to stumble mightily to miss out on a fourth consecutive title.

The U.S. also has qualified the maximum of three men’s spots for the Winter Games, and competition is tight between second-place Tomoko Hiwatashi, fan favorite Jason Brown, Andrew Torgashev and Maxim Naumov to round out the nationals podium.

The last time Chock and Bates competed in the Olympics in 2022 in Beijing, they watched their gold initially go to an opponent who was later disqualified for doping violations.

Chock and Bates initially had to settle for team silver with their American teammates on the podium at the 2022 Beijing Olympics. Team Russia and Kamila Valieva, who was 15 at the time, stood above them with their gold medals. 

It wasn’t until the end of January 2024, when the Court of Arbitration for Sport (CAS) found Valieva guilty of an anti-doping rule violation, when Chock, Bates and the U.S. were declared the rightful 2022 gold medalists. 

UN URGES COUNTRIES TO HONOR TRUCE DURING WINTER OLYMPICS, NOT DENY VISAS TO ANY NATION’S ATHLETES

Chock and Bates

Madison Chock and Evan Bates compete in championship ice dance at the U.S. figure skating championships Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024, in Columbus, Ohio.  (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)

Valieva tested positive for trimetazidine, a banned substance, during an anti-doping test at the Russian Figure Skating Championships in December 2021. She was suspended for four years and stripped of all competitive results since that date.

Chock and Bates spoke about what their message to Valieva would be today during an interview at the U.S. Olympic & Paralympic Committee media summit in October. 

“It’s hard to, I think, imagine what a 15-year-old has gone through and under that kind of situation,” Bates said. “And I know how stressful it is, being an elite athlete as an adult, as a 36-year-old. And I think that grace should be given to humans across the board. And we can never really know the full situation, at least from our point of view. … I genuinely don’t know what I would say to her.”

Chock added, “I would just wish her well like as I would. I think life is short. And, at the end of the day, we’re all human just going through our own human experience together. And regardless of what someone has or hasn’t done and how it has affected you, I think it’s important to remember we’re humans as a collective, and we’re all here for this, our one moment on earth, at the same time. And I just wish people to have healthy, happy lives, full of people that love them.”

Chock and Bates had to wait more than two years after the initial Olympics to get their rightful gold medals, and they were finally presented with them during a ceremony at the Paris Olympics last summer.

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Madison Chock and Evan Bates

Madison Chock and Evan Bates of the USA perform in the Gala Exhibition during the ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Final Nagoya at IG Arena on December 07, 2025 in Nagoya, Japan.  (Atsushi Tomura – International Skating Union/International Skating Union via Getty Images)

Chock, Bates and teammates Karen Chen, Nathan Chen, Zachary Donohue, Brandon Frazier, Madison Hubbell, Alexa Knierim and Vincent Zhou were given a specialized gold medal ceremony to receive the medals in front of more than 13,000 fans. 

Chock and Bates became the first ice dancers to win three consecutive world championships in nearly three decades in March when they defeated Canadian rivals Piper Gilles and Paul Poirier.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Follow Fox News Digital’s sports coverage on X, and subscribe to the Fox News Sports Huddle newsletter.
 





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Clock is ticking for Frank at Spurs, with dwindling evidence he deserves extra time

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Clock is ticking for Frank at Spurs, with dwindling evidence he deserves extra time


LONDON — The previous Tottenham Hotspur head coach survived last season by having a trophy to play for. So where does Thomas Frank turn to now for inspiration?

Spurs’ 2-1 home defeat to Aston Villa ended their FA Cup campaign at the earliest possible opportunity. They are already out of the Carabao Cup and languish 14th in the Premier League. They still harbor hopes of reaching the UEFA Champions League knockout rounds, but not even the most optimistic Tottenham fan would give them a chance of winning Europe’s toughest club competition.

Frank will consequently feel very exposed right now. Ange Postecoglou had the shield of a Europa League campaign to bat away some of the mounting criticism of his tenure. It ultimately ended in glory, too, as Spurs won their first trophy in 17 years by lifting the Europa League in May. But his team’s underlying underperformance over such a long period of time still led to a change in the dugout.

There are deep-rooted problems that Frank has inherited: an imbalanced squad short on quality, an impatient fan base and a porous defense. The problem is, it is getting harder to see any signs of progress in resolving them.


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Tottenham’s early-season defensive resilience and set-piece prowess has dissipated. Villa eased into a 2-0 halftime lead here through goals from Emi Buendia and Donyell Malen, both well-worked but given undue space and time to play.

Their attack continues to look disjointed, even if Spurs rallied after the break. Wilson Odobert halved the deficit with a low drive on 54 minutes and although they found some spirit and intensity, Spurs ended with an expected goals figure of 0.55. This was not as bad as some of the toothless performances Frank has presided over, but nevertheless, they couldn’t consistently threaten Villa’s goal.

The modicum of second-half improvement can be interpreted two ways: It was either the dying embers of a failed regime or a flash of hope that Frank can elicit a longer-lasting uptick.

The Tottenham hierarchy now faces a test of nerve. Premier League games against West Ham United and Burnley come next. Both teams are currently in the bottom three. Failure to win either of those games would leave Frank’s future hanging by a thread.

There was a nod to the past here with Spurs’ matchday squad and program commemorating the 125-year anniversary of their first FA Cup win in 1901. Frank often talks about the future being brighter, when long-term absentees such as striker Dominic Solanke — who returned for the final seven minutes here after ankle surgery — attacker Dejan Kulusevski and midfielder James Maddison return to a side more steeped in his ideas.

Looking at the past and future is one thing, but the present is becoming a major problem. Spurs fans would be forgiven for thinking their season is petering out halfway through.

“Of course it is disappointing,” said Frank. “We are all hurt. There’s nothing we want to do more than to get through to the next round, no matter who we face. We played at home, we had a good opportunity.

“Unfortunately, we couldn’t go through. We went with full strength in terms of how we could do it. We all look back at the game and think we could do better in the first half, second half.”

The full-time fracas involving Villa striker Ollie Watkins, Spurs midfielder João Palhinha and a raft of other players was the sort of dust-up that often occurs at the end of a game, but cynics would put it alongside the loss of composure and discipline that is threatening to become a concerning trait under Frank. Perhaps that was why Frank took the unusual step of blaming Watkins, who went to acknowledge the Villa fans while very close to Palhinha.

“Of course, it is all about keeping a cool head,” he said. “The players gave everything out there, losing a tight game, the season is not going perfect and I think Ollie is very provoking in the way he’s going down to celebrate in front of the Villa fans.

“He is just walking into João and he could just easily walk around. Everyone who has a been of a competitive nature, it is difficult, that can trigger things.”

It can, but Spurs have been triggered by a lot lately, whether it is clashing with fans at Bournemouth in midweek or Djed Spence and Micky van de Ven appearing to snub Frank at full time of their defeat to Chelsea in November. Cristian Romero was suspended here after a red card against Liverpool, having received an extra game ban for “acting improperly by failing to leave the field of play promptly” following last month’s red card against Liverpool.

It all adds to a concerning wider picture. When Spurs sacked Postecoglou, a line from their accompanying club statement read: “It is crucial that we are able to compete on multiple fronts and believe a change of approach will give us the strongest chance for the coming season and beyond.”

That belief is being tested to the limit now.



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Predicting men’s college basketball conference winners — and their biggest threats

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Predicting men’s college basketball conference winners — and their biggest threats


The turning of the calendar used to mark the demarcation between nonconference and conference play. With the expansion of conference size and a corresponding increase in the number of conference games, that has changed in some leagues — most notably the Big Ten and Big East, where the majority of teams have already played four or five games against league opponents.

But, for the most part, the meat and potatoes of the 2025-26 men’s college basketball season has just gotten underway, with contenders looking to separate themselves from pretenders over the next couple of weeks.

Fortunately, teams are testing themselves more and more in nonconference play than in years past, so we have a better idea of which teams are for real and which could stumble against stiffer competition. According to ESPN Research, a record-setting 45 games between ranked opponents took place in the first two months of the season.

As we enter the final two months before Selection Sunday, how would we handicap the conference races in each of the power conferences? Let’s run through the favorites to win each of the five high-major conferences based on ESPN’s BPI projections — and their biggest threats.

Jump to: ACC | Big East | Big Ten | Big 12 | SEC

ACC

Favorite: Duke Blue Devils (91.5%)

Despite being comfortably the best team in the ACC last season, the Blue Devils needed to beat North Carolina in Chapel Hill on the final day of the regular season to clinch the outright title. The bottom half of the league was so poor that the top three teams — Duke, Clemson and Louisville — were able to stockpile wins and compile gaudy records, taking it down to the wire for the conference crown.

Duke isn’t as good as it was last season, but it could win the conference by more games than one because of the parity and improved depth across the ACC. BPI gives the Blue Devils by far the best chance of winning the regular-season title, after Jon Scheyer’s club took a big step by winning at Louisville on Tuesday.

Duke has the most productive player in college basketball in Cameron Boozer, a slew of perimeter shotmakers surrounding him, depth and a blossoming point guard in Caleb Foster. The Blue Devils might not be national title favorites like a year ago, but they’re still the class of the ACC.


Biggest threats

North Carolina Tar Heels
Louisville Cardinals
Virginia Cavaliers

Part of the reason Duke’s status as league favorite is so strong is the likely next three teams in the pecking order have already lost ACC games. North Carolina lost by 14 at SMU on Saturday, Louisville has dropped two in a row with Mikel Brown Jr. sidelined, and Virginia fell in three overtimes to Virginia Tech on New Year’s Eve.

Carolina looked like the biggest threat to Duke prior to the SMU loss; Caleb Wilson has been sensational and he and Henri Veesaar form one of the more potent frontcourt duos in the country. Louisville just isn’t the same without Brown, and it’s unclear when he will be back in the fold. At full strength, the Cardinals’ backcourt and elite shooting ability give them a chance against anyone in America.

Virginia is the sleeper. Ryan Odom’s team is deep, experienced, big and efficient on the offensive end. The Cavaliers face Duke, Carolina and Louisville only once each, but they have to play the Blue Devils and Cardinals on the road.

And although Clemson is 3-0 in ACC play with the second-best chance to win the league, according to BPI, the Tigers likely lack the offensive firepower to keep pace and don’t get either Duke or Carolina at Littlejohn Coliseum.

Big East

Favorite: UConn Huskies (88.1%)

In terms of depth, the Big East is the worst of the five high-major conferences this season, but UConn is a clear-cut national title contender and the heavy favorite to win the regular-season title. If anything, BPI’s 88.1% projection is arguably a low estimate.

The Huskies have just one loss on the season: back in mid-November against Arizona, when Tarris Reed Jr. and Braylon Mullins were both sidelined with injuries. Prior to Wednesday’s overtime win over Providence, UConn had barely been tested in conference play, winning its first four games by an average of 19.0 points. The Huskies are an elite defensive unit, ranking fifth nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and in the top 10 for both 2-point defense and 3-point defense.

In Mullins, Solo Ball and Alex Karaban, Dan Hurley has three high-level shotmakers, and Reed is a double-double machine and the anchor down low.


Biggest threats

Likely none, but …

There doesn’t seem to be a team consistent enough to threaten UConn over the course of a full 20-game Big East schedule. St. John’s was expected to go toe-to-toe with the Huskies after winning the regular-season championship last season, but the Red Storm already suffered a home loss to Providence and have had point guard and defensive issues all season.

Villanova and Seton Hall have been the surprise packages so far this season, with the Wildcats having the edge due to their road win over the Pirates just before Christmas. Over the next couple of weeks, Villanova has road games at Marquette and Providence and will play both St. John’s and UConn — if the Wildcats come out the other side within a game of the Huskies, we can revisit their title bona fides. A home loss to Creighton on Wednesday takes some of the steam out of Kevin Willard’s team, though. And Seton Hall has the aforementioned home loss to Nova plus needed a last-second putback to beat Creighton at home, though the Pirates do get UConn at home next Tuesday to make a statement.

Had Creighton not blown a big second-half lead at Seton Hall, the Bluejays might have loomed as a bigger threat.

Big Ten

Favorite: Michigan Wolverines (67.5%)

Analytically, Michigan is the best team in the country, ranking No. 1 at KenPom, in BPI and at BartTorvik.com. The Wolverines are No. 1 in the NET and lead the country in scoring margin, with Tuesday’s two-point win over Penn State only the second time they have failed to win by at least 25 points since Nov. 14.

Dusty May has the nation’s best defense, a physically dominant group that simply overpowers teams with its size, length and ability to get up and down the floor. Yaxel Lendeborg is an All-American, and Morez Johnson Jr. and Aday Mara have been among the most efficient frontcourt players in the country at both ends of the floor. The Wolverines’ performance at the Players Era Festival in Las Vegas was one of the best three-game stretches we’ve ever seen in the regular season.

With all that said, BPI gives them only a 67.5% chance to win the Big Ten regular-season title — with Purdue their biggest competition.


Biggest threat

Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue entered the season ranked No. 1 in preseason polls, with National Player of the Year favorite Braden Smith and All-American Trey Kaufman-Renn forming the best inside-outside combo in the country on paper. A win at Alabama and a 30-point victory over Texas Tech seemed to cement Matt Painter’s team as a national championship favorite, but a stunning 23-point loss to Iowa State on Dec. 6 dropped the Boilermakers down a tier.

They’re still ranked in the top six in all efficiency-based metrics and have the best offense in the country, so don’t count them out. Moreover, they get Michigan, Michigan State and Illinois all in West Lafayette, Indiana.

Nebraska has been the surprise of the Big Ten. Illinois and Michigan State are threats to make deep runs in March, but with each team having already lost to the Cornhuskers, they’re behind the chasing pack.

Big 12

Favorite: Arizona Wildcats (46.2%)

The most loaded conference title race belongs to the Big 12, with four teams — Arizona, Iowa State, Houston and BYU — all ranked in the top 10 nationally, with a combined 58-2 record.

With Arizona ranked No. 1 in the latest AP Top 25 and edging ahead of Iowa State in both KenPom and the BPI, the Wildcats are the narrow favorites. Unsurprisingly, BPI gives them less than a 50% chance to end the season as the regular-season champs, coming in at 46.2% with Iowa State just behind at 43.2%.

Arizona owns the best résumé in the country — No. 1 in ESPN’s strength of record — with wins over UConn, Florida, Alabama, UCLA, Auburn and San Diego State. The first four of those wins came away from home, too. The Wildcats are ranked inside the top 10 at both ends of the floor and have incredible depth and balance up front and in the backcourt.

It’s worth noting that Tommy Lloyd’s team faces Iowa State only once, and that game is in Tucson. The Wildcats play Houston on the road and have BYU both home and away.


Biggest threats

Iowa State Cyclones
Houston Cougars
BYU Cougars

Iowa State is one of just six unbeaten teams left in college basketball, and the Cyclones own perhaps the most impressive singular win of the season, going to West Lafayette and beating then-undefeated Purdue by 23 points. They also went 3-0 at the Players Era Festival and held serve against in-state rival Iowa. Joshua Jefferson has been a breakout star and is playing like an All-American, Milan Momcilovic has a case as the best shooter in the country, and Tamin Lipsey has been playing like Tamin Lipsey.

Houston hasn’t quite hit its stride yet, but the Cougars are still 14-1 with a top-10 defense. It’s impossible to count out a Kelvin Sampson-coached team that has one of the best backcourts in the country in star freshman Kingston Flemings and veterans Milos Uzan and Emanuel Sharp. Houston plays each of the other three top contenders once apiece but faces BYU and Iowa State on the road.

BYU has as talented and explosive a trio as there is in college basketball in AJ Dybantsa, Richie Saunders and Robert Wright III. All three can take over a game, and Dybantsa is a viable threat to Cameron Boozer in the National Player of the Year race. Arizona, Houston and Iowa State all have to go to the Marriott Center.

SEC

Favorite: Vanderbilt Commodores (52.9%)

The pecking order is likely to shift the most in the SEC over the next couple of months, but after Vanderbilt’s 96-90 win over Alabama on Wednesday, the Commodores — picked 11th in the preseason conference poll — have established themselves as the favorites moving forward.

Mark Byington’s team has been a metrics darling all season, opening the season ranked in the top 20 at KenPom and now in the top five at both KenPom and BartTorvik.com. Wednesday’s win was Vandy’s first statement win of the season, to go along with victories over Saint Mary’s, SMU and UCF. Tyler Tanner is playing like a legitimate All-American, and Duke Miles has been one of the best transfer portal pickups in the country. The Commodores are a terrific offensive team, ranking in the top 10 in scoring offense and in the top five in adjusted offensive efficiency.

In terms of schedule, it’s worth noting they face Florida only once and it’s in Nashville. They play Tennessee home and away and have to go to Arkansas.


Biggest threats

Florida Gators
Arkansas Razorbacks
Alabama Crimson Tide
Tennessee Volunteers

In any given week, the biggest threat to Vanderbilt’s status seemingly changes two or three times. Most metrics, including BPI, point to Florida as the second-best team in the SEC — but the Gators opened SEC play with a loss at Missouri and have been inconsistent against good teams all season. The reigning national champs have an elite frontcourt, but the portal backcourt of Boogie Fland and Xaivian Lee is still a work in progress.

There might not be a guard in college basketball playing better than Darius Acuff Jr. right now, and as a result, Arkansas looks like the real deal. The Razorbacks also opened SEC play with a win over Tennessee and will host Vanderbilt later this month.

Alabama has a terrific offense and one of the most explosive players in the country in Labaron Philon Jr., but the defense has been poor, allowing an average of 93.5 points in losses to Purdue, Gonzaga, Arizona and Vanderbilt.

Tennessee seems like a stretch, despite BPI giving the Vols a 16.3% chance of winning the league. They are 4-4 in their past eight games and still have to go to Florida and Alabama in the next two weeks.



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