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Gold, silver outlook for Diwali 2025: How high could prices go after 50% surge? Analysts weigh in – The Times of India

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Gold, silver outlook for Diwali 2025: How high could prices go after 50% surge? Analysts weigh in – The Times of India


AI image used for representative purposes

As Diwali 2025 approaches, gold and silver markets have shown remarkable performance, with increases of over 47% and 52% respectively this year. On the MCX, prices have exceeded Rs 1,18,000 per 10 grams, leading investors to speculate about further growth potential during the upcoming festive period.Analysts, quoted by Economic Times, predict continued growth, with gold potentially reaching Rs 1.22 lakh by Diwali.The 2025 precious metals surge has been driven by various factors including festival demand, accommodative central bank policies, global political tensions and sustained ETF investments, leading to unprecedented price levels.Silver prices have also risen significantly, trading above Rs 1.44 lakh per kg, with projections suggesting Rs 1.50 lakh by the festival period.Renisha Chainani of Augmont Research anticipates a “bullish-to-consolidation phase” during Diwali, noting that whilst recent gains might encourage profit-taking, the overall positive trend continues. “Gold has surged past Rs 1,18,000 on MCX while silver trades above Rs 1,44,000, supported by safe-haven demand amid the US government shutdown, tariff uncertainty, and expectations of further Fed rate cuts,” Chainani told ETMarkets.Regarding Diwali 2025 projections for precious metals- Chainani forecasts that by October 21, gold could reach $3950-$4000 internationally (Rs 1,20,000-Rs 1,22,000 on MCX), while silver might achieve $49-$50 (Rs 1,48,000-Rs 1,50,000), particularly if global tensions increase. She notes that “key drivers of bullishness include dovish Fed policy, a weaker US dollar, continued ETF inflows, and robust Indian festive demand.The industrial sector and green energy requirements could boost silver demand. However, she notes that market stabilisation could occur due to profit collection, US dollar strengthening, or reduced global tensions.Manoj Kumar Jain from Prithvifinmart Commodity Research notes that September’s performance, with gold increasing over 10% and silver 15% internationally, indicates a “super bull run” for both metals. Additionally, his predictions include gold reaching Rs 1,22,000 by Diwali and Rs 1,25,000 by year-end, with silver potentially hitting Rs 1,50,000 and Rs 1,58,000-Rs 1,60,000 respectively.Internationally, Jain anticipates gold at $3940-$4000 and silver at $48.40-$50 per troy ounce. Support levels are $3720 (international) and Rs 1,10,660 (domestic) for gold, with silver at $44.40 and Rs 1,34,400. Jain recommends: “We suggest buying gold and silver on dips for the target of Rs 1,22,000 and Rs 1,50,000, respectively and avoid any kind of short selling in both precious metals.”As Diwali approaches, jeweller and retail demand is expected to increase. Traditional peak buying during festivals and weddings could further strengthen prices already elevated by global economic uncertainties.Despite potential profit-taking opportunities, analysts maintain that fundamental factors remain positive, with any price decreases likely being temporary.Jigar Trivedi of Reliance Securities said, “By Diwali 2025, gold may trade around Rs 1,19,000-Rs1,20,000/10g, driven by global uncertainties, central bank buying, high inflation, Fed stance and a weaker rupee. Safe-haven demand is strong as geopolitical tensions and economic slowdown fears persist.”He adds that silver might reach Rs 1,48,000-Rs 1,50,000/kg, supported by industrial applications, particularly in solar energy and EVs, alongside investment interest. “Supply constraints and a falling rupee further fuel price momentum. With interest rates expected to fall globally, precious metals may gain. However, high volatility and profit-booking can cause short dips. Overall, both metals show a bullish outlook for Diwali 2025 in rupee terms, supported by macroeconomic trends, weak INR, and robust investor interest in hard assets,” Trivedi further added.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)





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Gold price prediction: What’s the gold rate outlook for February 27, 2026 & should you buy on dips? – The Times of India

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Gold price prediction: What’s the gold rate outlook for February 27, 2026 & should you buy on dips? – The Times of India


Gold price prediction today (AI image)

Gold price prediction today: Gold rates are showing a positive bias, says Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities. Here is his detailed analysis on the intraday trading outlook:Gold April futures on MCX are trading near ₹1,60,100 after witnessing a sharp rebound from intraday lows around ₹1,58,500. The recovery indicates short-covering and fresh buying interest emerging near lower levels. The short-term structure now suggests a continuation bounce, provided key support holds.

Gold Technical Setup:

EMA 8 & EMA 21:Price has reclaimed the short-term EMA cluster after a strong rebound. The 8 EMA is turning upward and attempting to cross above the 21 EMA, indicating improving intraday momentum. Sustaining above ₹1,60,000 strengthens the bullish setup.Price Structure:The chart reflects a V-shaped recovery from lower levels with higher lows forming on the 30-minute timeframe. This suggests that buyers are defending dips aggressively.RSI Indicator:RSI is near 57, comfortably above the neutral 50 level, signaling strengthening bullish momentum without entering overbought territory.MACD:MACD has turned positive with a bullish crossover and expanding green histogram bars, confirming recovery momentum.Volume & Open Interest:Rising price with stabilizing open interest suggests short-covering support, adding strength to the rebound.

Gold Intraday Trading View:

• Strategy: Buy on dips • Entry Level: ₹1,60,100 • Stop-Loss: Below ₹1,59,400 • Targets: ₹1,60,600 and ₹1,61,000 • Bias: Bullish above ₹1,60,000; weakness resumes only below ₹1,59,400.Gold’s intraday technical structure has shifted positive after reclaiming key resistance levels and forming a strong recovery pattern. Momentum indicators support further upside extension toward ₹1,60,600 and ₹1,61,000. Traders are advised to initiate long positions near ₹1,60,100, maintain a strict stop-loss below ₹1,59,400, and look for continuation gains during the session.Bias: Buy on Dips | Support: ₹1,60,100 | Target: ₹1,60,600 / ₹1,61,000(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)



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India Us Trade Deal: Fresh look at India-US trade deal? May be ‘rebalanced’ if circumstances change, says Piyush Goyal – The Times of India

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India Us Trade Deal: Fresh look at India-US trade deal? May be ‘rebalanced’ if circumstances change, says Piyush Goyal – The Times of India


Goyal said that India’s proposed trade pact with the United States could be adjusted if necessary.

India-US trade deal: Commerce minister Piyush Goyal has said that India will continue to watch out for its interests and in the evolving situation around tariffs, the trade deal with the US may be rebalanced. Highlighting the uncertain global trade environment, Goyal said the situation remains fluid. Goyal’s comments assume significance after the US Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump administration’s reciprocal tariffs are illegal. Soon after, Trump signed an executive order to impose a 10% global tariff on America’s trading partners, and this may be raised to 15%. Goyal’s comments also come a day after US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick met him in Delhi.

‘Few Political Elements Trying To Distort’: Goyal Explains India-US Trade Deal, Slams Opposition

‘Focused on getting best trade deal with US’

Goyal said that India’s proposed trade pact with the United States could be adjusted if necessary, stressing that the country will safeguard its economic interests in view of changing tariff signals from Washington.“It’s an evolving situation. Trump administration has made some comments, they have other tools that they can use, next week they can increase it to 15%. Various dialogues are going on. I had said that if the circumstances change, the deal will be rebalanced,” Goyal reportedly said at a CNN-News 18 event.Referring to the mutual understanding between the two countries, the minister said the possibility of revising the agreement has already been acknowledged. “India-US joint statement says that should circumstances change, the deal will be rebalanced.”Goyal said India continues to remain in discussions with the United States as negotiations move forward. Commenting on potential tariff measures by Washington, he said India would closely monitor developments while ensuring its national interests remain protected.“On US tariffs: will wait and watch and ensure India’s best interests are protected.”He added that the US administration has several policy options at its disposal. “There are many tools that Trump administration can use in this evolving situation; one of them the 10% tariff move,” he said.Responding to concerns raised by the agriculture and dairy sectors, the minister said that key sensitive areas have been safeguarded in the proposed agreement.“No GM foods will come into India,” he said.He also stated that several farm-related sectors have been kept outside the scope of the arrangement. “Dairy, maize, soybean, poultry is exempt from US trade deal. We have preserved interests of farmers, dairy. No GM foods will come into India. The deal preserves our interests.”



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Data tool to spot Cambridgeshire families due financial support

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Data tool to spot Cambridgeshire families due financial support



Households entitled to national benefits will be identified by the new system.



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