Fashion
ICE cotton futures rise on weaker US dollar, trade deal hopes
ICE December cotton futures settled at 64.56 cents per pound, up 0.36 cent. The contract has recorded a cumulative gain of 82 points over the last three trading sessions. Other contracts also settled higher, ranging between 5 and 36 points in the previous session.
ICE cotton futures extended gains on October 27, 2025, supported by a weaker US dollar and renewed optimism over a potential US–China trade deal that could boost agricultural demand.
The December contract settled at 64.56 cents per pound, up 0.36 cent.
However, the prolonged US government shutdown has delayed key USDA reports, slowing market information flow and tempering sentiment.
Total trading volume on ICE was reported at 52,963 contracts, indicating active market participation. Cleared contracts on the previous Friday stood at 31,106, reflecting moderate settlement activity before the weekend. The average daily volume for the previous week was 34,799 contracts, showing an increase in the current week’s trading levels.
ICE data showed that, as of October 24, 2025, the deliverable No. 2 cotton contract inventory stood at 17,552 bales, unchanged from the previous day’s level.
The US dollar weakened against both the euro and the Australian dollar on Monday, as optimism over a potential trade deal boosted risk appetite and reduced demand for the greenback. A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated cotton cheaper for holders of other currencies, providing additional export competitiveness for US cotton.
Market participants noted that optimism over a potential trade deal involving agricultural commodities is lending renewed support to cotton futures. Analysts said that all indicators point to a trade deal that includes agriculture, which would be a major positive for cotton demand.
However, ongoing trade tensions between major economies continue to weigh on the broader demand outlook for cotton despite the improving sentiment.
On the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), soybean futures rose to a four-month high on Monday, as traders anticipated that China might soon resume purchasing US farm products.
Meanwhile, the ongoing US government shutdown, now in its fourth week, has delayed the release of several key economic and agricultural reports, including the USDA’s WASDE, further slowing cotton market information flow.
As of this morning (Indian Standard Time – IST), ICE December 2025 cotton was trading at 64.73 cents per pound (up 0.17 cent), cash cotton at 62.06 cents (up 0.36 cent), the March 2026 contract at 66.18 cents (up 0.11 cent), the May 2026 contract at 67.43 cents (up 0.13 cent), the July 2026 contract at 68.55 cents (up 0.10 cent), and the October 2026 contract at 68.31 cents (up 0.21 cent). A few contracts remained unchanged from their previous closing levels, with no trades recorded so far today.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)
Fashion
US inks reciprocal trade agreement with Guatemala
“President Trump’s leadership is forging a new direction for trade that promotes partnership and prosperity in Latin America, further strengthening the American economy, supporting American workers, and protecting our national security interests,” said Ambassador Greer in a USTR release.
USTR Jamieson Greer and Guatemala’s Minister of Economy Adriana Gabriela Garcia recently signed the US-Guatemala Agreement on Reciprocal Trade.
The agreement addresses trade barriers facing American workers and producers, expands and solidifies markets for US exports and strengthens strategic economic ties in the Western Hemisphere, Greer said.
US trade body NCTO welcomed the signing.
The agreement addresses trade barriers facing American workers and producers, expands and solidifies markets for US exports and strengthens strategic economic ties in the Western Hemisphere, he said.
“This agreement builds on our long-standing trade relationship and shared interest in reinforcing regional supply chains,” he added.
The key terms of the agreement includes breaking down non-tariff barriers for US industrial and exports, advancing trade facilitation and sound regulatory practices; protecting and enforcing intellectual property; preventing barriers for digital trade; improving labour standards; strengthening environmental protection; strengthening economic security alignment; and confronting state-owned enterprises and subsidies.
Guatemala has committed to take steps to restrict access to central level procurement covered by its free trade agreement commitments for suppliers from non-free trade agreement partners, permitting exemptions as necessary, in a manner comparable to US procurement restrictions.
Welcoming the announcement, National Council of Textile Organizations (NCTO) president and chief executive officer Kim Glas said the agreement marks an important step toward strengthening the US textile supply chain.
“Guatemala is a key partner in the CAFTA-DR [Dominican Republic-Central America-United States Free Trade Agreement] region, with nearly $2 billion in two-way textile and apparel trade. Together, the region operates as an integrated co-production platform that is essential to the US textile supply chain,” he noted.
The US-Western Hemisphere textile and apparel supply chain remains ‘a critical strategic alternative’ to China and other Asian producers, he added.
Fibre2Fashion (DS)
Fashion
Canada could lift GDP 7% by easing internal trade barriers
Canada could boost long-term economic output by nearly 7 per cent if it dismantles policy-related barriers that restrict the movement of goods, services, and labour across provinces, according to new analysis by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Despite being one of the world’s most open economies globally, Canada’s internal market remains fragmented, with non-geographic barriers equivalent to an average 9 per cent tariff nationwide.
Canada could raise long-term GDP by nearly 7 per cent by removing internal trade barriers that restrict interprovincial movement of goods, services, and labour, new analysis shows.
Policy-related frictions act like a 9 per cent internal tariff nationwide.
Liberalising high-impact sectors could deliver productivity-led gains worth about C$210 billion (~$153.04 billion).
Model-based estimates suggest that fully removing these barriers could add around C$210 billion (~$153.04 billion) to real GDP over time, driven largely by productivity gains rather than short-term demand, IMF said in a release.
While full liberalisation will be gradual, targeted reforms in high-impact sectors could deliver sizable benefits and improve economic resilience. Analysts argue that stronger federal–provincial coordination, wider mutual recognition of standards and credentials, and transparent benchmarking of internal trade barriers will be key to turning Canada’s fragmented domestic market into a more integrated national economy.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (HU)
Fashion
APAC freight market sees short-term surges, long-term overcapacity: Ti
While rates initially jumped in early January, weak underlying demand and the potential return of vessels to the Suez Canal are creating a volatile environment for shippers, it noted.
Carriers pushed through general rate increases (GRIs) in early January this year, briefly lifting China-to-US West Coast rates above $3,000 per forty-foot equivalent unit (FEU). However, these hikes were largely unsustainable due to weak volumes, with rates quickly correcting to the $1,800-$2,200 range by mid-month, the logistics and supply chain market research firm said in an insights brief.
Asia’s ocean freight market is navigating short-term seasonal surges and long-term structural overcapacity, Ti said.
Asia’s air freight market is seeing a significant ‘post-peak’ correction following a record-breaking end to 2025.
Warehousing capacity in the Asia-Pacific is under severe strain in late January as manufacturing slows and labour shortages emerge ahead of the Lunar New Year.
Seasonal demand ahead of the Lunar New Year (starting mid-February 2026) has pushed North Europe rates to roughly $2,700 per FEU as of mid-January. This is a significant recovery from the October 2025 lows of $1,300 per FEU.
Despite a peak ahead of the holiday, Intra-Asia rates have begun to ‘cool’ in mid-January, settling at an average of $661 per 40-feet container as new services and capacity entered the market.
The Asian air freight market is witnessing a significant ‘post-peak’ correction following a record-breaking end to 2025. While rates have dropped sharply from their December highs, demand remains resilient in key high-tech sectors, and a ‘mini-peak’ is expected in late January ahead of the Lunar New Year.
Spot rates from major hubs like Hong Kong and Shanghai fell significantly in early January as year-end peak season demand evaporated.
Despite the rate correction, global air cargo tonnages jumped by 26 per cent in the first full week of January 2026 compared to the end-of-year slump, with the Asia-Pacific region seeing an 8 per cent year-on-year (YoY) increase in chargeable weight.
Volumes from Southeast Asia to the United States rose by 10 per cent YoY in early January, driven by importers continuing to diversify sourcing away from China.
Warehousing capacity in the Asia-Pacific is under severe strain in late January as manufacturing slows and labour shortages emerge ahead of the Lunar New Year.
India closed 2025 with 36.9 million sq ft of warehouse leasing (16-per cent YoY growth), a trend continuing into early 2026 with high demand in Delhi National Capital Region and Chennai.
After a period of oversupply, development pipelines are expected to drop by a third by 2027, making 2026 a critical ‘inflection point’ for occupiers to secure quality space before terms tighten again.
Fibre2Fashion (DS)
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