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US-Israel-Iran War: Strait Of Hormuz, A Global Oil Transit Chokepoint, Hit? Will It Impact India?

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US-Israel-Iran War: Strait Of Hormuz, A Global Oil Transit Chokepoint, Hit? Will It Impact India?


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US-Israel-Iran War And Strait Of Hormuz: How has the conflict impacted the traffic in the global oil shipping lane? What does it mean for India and the world? News18 explains

Two traditional dhows sail by a large container ship in the Strait of Hormuz. (AP)

Two traditional dhows sail by a large container ship in the Strait of Hormuz. (AP)

The Strait of Hormuz is currently the focus of a severe global crisis. Following joint Israeli-United States strikes on Iran on February 28, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has reportedly closed the waterway to all maritime traffic.

Where is it? How was the conflict impacted the traffic? What does it mean for India and the world? News18 explains

Where is the Strait of Hormuz?

It is a narrow, strategically vital waterway in the Middle East that serves as the only sea passage from the Persian Gulf to the open ocean.

It links the Persian Gulf (to the west) with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea (to the southeast).

Bordering Countries

North Coast: Iran

South Coast: The Musandam Peninsula (an exclave of Oman) and the United Arab Emirates

It is about 21 to 33 miles (33–54 km) wide at its narrowest point. Due to the narrowness, ships must use two-mile-wide lanes (one inbound, one outbound) separated by a two-mile buffer zone to prevent collisions.

Major islands within or near the strait include Qeshm, Hormuz, Larak, and Hengam, most of which are controlled by Iran.

Key Oil Shipping Lane: Why the Strait of Hormuz matters

The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most critical oil chokepoint. It connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. It is approximately 21 miles (33 km) wide at its narrowest point.

It handles approximately 20% of global oil consumption (around 20 million barrels per day) and 20-25% of the world’s liquefied natural gas (LNG), primarily from Qatar. Over 80% of the oil passing through the strait is destined for Asia, with China, India, Japan, and South Korea being the primary importers.

Alternative routes are limited and cannot fully compensate for a total closure of the strait.

Saudi Arabia can divert up to 5 million barrels per day via its East-West Pipeline to the Red Sea. The UAE operates the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline, which can carry roughly 1.5 million barrels per day directly to the Gulf of Oman. Iraq has a pipeline through Turkey, but it primarily handles crude from northern fields.

How has the US-Israel-Iran conflict hit the Strait Of Hormuz?

While Iran has not issued a formal legal confirmation of a total blockade, vessels in the region are receiving VHF radio transmissions from the IRGC stating that “no ship is allowed to pass”.

The U.S. has surged naval assets to the region, including the USS Gerald R. Ford and the USS Abraham Lincoln, in what is described as the largest deployment since 2003.

The impact

Forecasts for Brent crude have already been hiked toward $100 per barrel due to supply chain risks.

At least three Pakistani ships operated by the Pakistan National Shipping Corporation were reportedly stopped by Iran on March 1.

Ship traffic has plummeted, with many tankers staying in port or turning back, though some continue to transit at their own risk.

Attack reported

A Palau-flagged oil tanker, Skylight, was reportedly attacked while transiting through the Strait of Hormuz near the coast of Oman, amid escalating tensions in the region. According to reports circulating on social media, the vessel was struck while passing through the strategic waterway, triggering a fire onboard. Visuals shared online show thick plumes of black smoke rising from the tanker, with flames visible near the deck. Initial reports claim that four sailors were injured in the attack. The entire crew has since been evacuated from the vessel. The extent of the damage to the tanker remains unclear

What does it mean for India?

India is facing a high-stakes energy and economic crisis due to the reported closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran. India is the world’s third-largest oil consumer and is uniquely vulnerable because its dependence on this specific route has actually increased in early 2026, say experts.

Approximately 50% of India’s total crude oil imports (around 2.6 million barrels per day) pass through the Strait. This volume primarily comes from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait.

India is even more vulnerable in terms of LPG (Cooking Gas), as it imports almost 100% of its LPG through this chokepoint. A sustained closure would immediately threaten the Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana and domestic household energy.

About 60% of India’s Liquefied Natural Gas imports, mainly from Qatar and the UAE, transit the Strait. Every $1 increase in the price of oil adds roughly $2 billion to India’s annual import bill.

Rising fuel costs are expected to spike domestic inflation, potentially forcing the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to keep interest rates high. The increased demand for dollars to pay for costlier oil is also putting downward pressure on the Indian Rupee (INR), according to analysts.

Beyond energy, over 13% of India’s non-oil exports (worth $47.6 billion) to Gulf nations are at risk due to shipping disruptions.

India has enough crude oil in its Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) and commercial stocks to last about 10–15 days, plus another 7–10 days of finished fuel inventories. While India had recently reduced its intake of Russian oil, officials have indicated they may pivot back to Moscow if Middle Eastern supplies remain blocked, though transit from Russia takes nearly 30 days compared to 5 days from the Gulf, according to reports.

The Ministry of External Affairs has activated contingency plans for the possible evacuation of the 9–10 million Indians living in the Gulf region through Operation Sindhu-II.

External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar is currently engaging in “shuttle diplomacy,” calling for restraint from both Iran and Israel while emphasizing the respect of sovereignty and territorial integrity.

With Agency Inputs

News explainers US-Israel-Iran War: Strait Of Hormuz, A Global Oil Transit Chokepoint, Hit? Will It Impact India?
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Labour parliamentarians urge UK Government to oppose Rosebank oil field

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Labour parliamentarians urge UK Government to oppose Rosebank oil field



Labour MPs are among a group of more than 60 parliamentarians to have made public their opposition to the planned Rosebank oil field – with one of Sir Keir Starmer’s backbenchers urging the Government to rule against the development and take a stand “against Trump, Reform and their fossil fuel paymasters”.

Clive Lewis is one of more than 50 MPs at Westminster who have signed a pledge from campaign group Uplift to “oppose the Rosebank oil field” and instead “advocate for a properly funded just transition for oil and gas workers and communities”.

Urging the Government to reject the development, Norwich South MP Mr Lewis said: “We must stand our ground against Trump, Reform and their fossil fuel paymasters.

“Approving an enormous new oil field would mean caving in to their anti-climate, anti-renewables agenda that runs completely counter to our values and our long-term interests.”

Scottish Labour MP Chris Murray, another of the Labour MPs to have signed the pledge, said the decision on Rosebank was “an opportunity for the Government to change course”.

It comes as the UK Government continues to consider whether the development of the oil field can go ahead – with Labour now under mounting pressure after the loss of the Gorton and Denton by-election to the Greens on Thursday.

Rosebank, which lies about 80 miles west of Shetland, is the UK’s largest untapped field, containing up to an estimated 300 million barrels of oil.

Drilling there was approved by the Conservative government in 2023 but was then subject to a legal challenge in the wake of a Supreme Court ruling which said the emissions created from burning fossil fuels should be considered when granting permission for new sites.

Now the decision on whether it can proceed lies with Labour ministers – with some 16 Labour MPs having made plain their opposition to the development.

The group includes Mr Lewis, Mr Murray, former Labour shadow chancellor John McDonnell and Scottish Labour’s Brian Leishman.

Former Labour MPs Jeremy Corbyn and Diane Abbott have also signed the pledge, along with a number of Liberal Democrat and Green MPs, SNP MP Chris Law, Plaid Cymru’s Liz Saville Roberts and Paul Maskey of Sinn Fein.

In Scotland a number of Labour MSPs have signed the pledge, along with Green MSPs – including the party’s Scottish co-leader Ross Greer – and former SNP health secretary Michael Matheson.

While previous Scottish first ministers Nicola Sturgeon and Humza Yousaf made plain their opposition to Rosebank, First Minister John Swinney has insisted the Scottish Government takes a “case-by-case approach” to new oil and gas developments, stressing these should only proceed if found to be compatible with climate change targets.

Mr Lewis said opposing Rosebank would “show that a Labour Government will stand by the promises we made to the country”.

He added: “There are only so many times we can afford to make mistakes and then change course.

“With Rosebank, we have an opportunity to get it right the first time.”

Mr Murray, the Labour MP for Edinburgh East and Musselburgh, said many locals in his constituency were “deeply concerned about Rosebank and rightly so”.

He added: “Climate change is one of the reasons I came into politics, and opening new oil and gas fields is simply incompatible with our climate commitments.

“With the North Sea’s oil supply dwindling, Scotland’s energy sector must transition to clean energy, or workers risk being left behind.”

Scottish Labour MSP Mercedes Villalba, who has also signed the pledge, argued that “approving projects like Rosebank will lock us into a toxic dependence on volatile, conflict-ridden fossil fuels”.

This would create “another excuse to delay the urgent investment needed to create secure, well-paid jobs for Scotland’s workers”, she added.

Ms Villalba said: “In an increasingly uncertain world, where climate action is relegated in favour of fossil politics, the UK and Scotland must lead the way on the clean energy transition.”

Wera Hobhouse, Liberal Democrat MP for Bath, said people in her constituency and across the country “are already facing the consequences of an increasingly unstable climate”.

Highlighting the impact of flooding and “skyrocketing food prices”, she said that “climate impacts are now a daily reality”.

Ms Hobhouse said: “Extreme weather is damaging crops, putting pressure on farmers, and destroying our precious natural environment.

“We cannot ignore these warning signs.

“A massive new oil field like Rosebank would only make matters worse.

“The emissions would be enormous, locking us into decades more pollution when we should be cutting carbon and unlocking the benefits of cheap, renewable energy.”

Approving the Rosebank development would “make a mockery of Labour’s environmental promises”, she said.

A UK Government spokesperson said: “Our priority is to deliver a fair, orderly and prosperous transition in the North Sea in line with our climate and legal obligations, which drives our clean energy future of energy security, lower bills, and good long-term jobs.”



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UAE stock markets close, trading halted by Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange and the Dubai Financial Market for two days amid Iran–US–Israel war fallout – The Times of India

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UAE stock markets close, trading halted by Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange and the Dubai Financial Market for two days amid Iran–US–Israel war fallout – The Times of India


UAE Stock Markets Closed: Regional Conflict Halts Trading on ADX and DFM

In an unprecedented economic response to escalating regional conflict, the United Arab Emirates has announced that its two major financial markets, the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) and the Dubai Financial Market (DFM), will remain closed on Monday, March 2 and Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The decision comes as the UAE reels from a series of retaliatory Iranian strikes following coordinated US and Israeli military actions against Iran, which have destabilised Gulf business sentiment and prompted sweeping security and economic precautions.The UAE Capital Markets Authority said that keeping the exchanges closed temporarily is part of its supervisory and regulatory mandate, providing authorities and market participants time to assess the impact of recent events on financial infrastructure and investor confidence. The halt affects equities, derivatives and trading in hundreds of billions of dollars in listed assets and is among the clearest signs yet of economic shockwaves from the regional crisis.

Why UAE stock markets are paused: Regional conflict among Iran–US–Israel disrupts confidence

The closures follow Iran’s retaliatory missile and drone strikes on Gulf cities and strategic targets, including airports and other infrastructure, after a joint US–Israel offensive. These attacks have not only led to safety measures such as airspace restrictions and travel advisories but also triggered widespread business disruption across the Gulf. Major airports in Dubai and Abu Dhabi have seen operations halted or altered and commercial hubs from ports to retail centres have felt the strain.

UAE Markets Shut Down: Is This Economic Capitulation to Regional War?

UAE Markets Shut Down: Is This Economic Capitulation to Regional War?

Financial markets are typically among the first economic indicators affected by geopolitical instability. When investors fear prolonged unrest, they often pull funds from equities and seek so-called “safe-haven” assets like gold, sovereign debt or commodities such as oil, especially when conflict threatens critical energy supply corridors like the Strait of Hormuz.

Regional market turmoil and knock-on effects in the Middle East amid Iran–US–Israel clashes

While the UAE exchanges are closed, other Gulf markets that remained open on Sunday experienced significant sell-offs as investors reacted to the turmoil:

  • Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index saw sharp drops before partially recovering as investors weighed conflict risks against energy price gains.
  • Muscat and other regional bourses also slid, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment.
  • In Kuwait, authorities took the rare step of suspending trading indefinitely due to “exceptional circumstances” linked to the same regional tensions.

Financial markets are serving as a barometer of risk and economic confidence and the dramatic moves across the Gulf underscore how intertwined political stability is with economic performance in the region.

What the UAE’s stock market closure means for investors

For both domestic and international investors, the temporary shutdown of ADX and DFM has several implications. Liquidity and price discovery are paused, leaving billions of dollars in listed assets in limbo. Risk premiums on Gulf assets may rise, as traders reassess exposure during periods of heightened uncertainty. Investor sentiment is likely to remain fragile until there are visible signs of de-escalation or credible diplomatic resolutions.Economists note that halting trading does not eliminate market pressure, it simply delays it and when markets do reopen, there may be sharp moves as investors recalibrate positions based on new geopolitical and economic realities. The conflict has not just shaken stock markets, energy markets have also reacted. Reports from analysts indicate that crude oil prices have surged as fears of supply disruptions increase, with the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial passage for roughly 20% of global oil exports, under theoretical threat of closure.

UAE Stock Markets Closed: What Does This Mean for Global Investors Amidst Escalating Conflict?

UAE Stock Markets Closed: What Does This Mean for Global Investors Amidst Escalating Conflict?

Higher oil prices can partially offset stock market pain in energy-exporting economies like the UAE but the overall economic impact remains complex. Other sectors, from tourism and hospitality to trade and logistics, have also felt immediate fallout: airport shutdowns have stranded travellers and corporate events and networking key to Ramadan business cycles have been postponed, compounding uncertainty.

UAE government messaging and future prospects

UAE authorities have stressed that public and economic safety remain top priorities. The temporary market closure is coupled with broad advisories across transportation, education and public services, such as airports issuing travel advisories and schools moving to remote learning, aimed at ensuring operational stability while the situation evolves. Officials have pledged to monitor conditions closely and communicate updates on any further market action. This includes potential rescheduling of reopening dates for ADX and DFM or additional measures to support investors once trading resumes.The UAE Capital Markets Authority ordered a two-day closure of the Abu Dhabi and Dubai stock markets on March 2–3, 2026, in response to escalating regional tensions. The pause follows retaliatory strikes by Iran after US and Israeli military action, which have disrupted markets, air travel and business operations across the Gulf. Gulf markets that remained open experienced sharp declines and volatility, reflecting investor risk aversion. Oil prices and safe-haven assets have climbed as geopolitical risk fuels global economic uncertainty. Authorities will continue to assess and communicate market developments as conditions evolve.



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Flights cancelled as new travel warnings issued after US-Israeli strikes on Iran

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Flights cancelled as new travel warnings issued after US-Israeli strikes on Iran



BA and Virgin Atlantic are among major airlines to ground services to the Middle East in light of the attacks.



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