Business
A surprising share of homeowners have high mortgage rates. Here’s the breakdown
An aerial view of homes in San Francisco, Aug. 27, 2025.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
The share of U.S. homeowners with high rates on their mortgages has jumped sharply in just the last few years.
That’s having a marked impact on the refinance market and a somewhat more muted impact on home sales. Rates have been front and center in the debate over how to improve home affordability — and for good reason.
In 2022, after mortgage interest rates hit more than a dozen record lows, sparking a refinance bonanza, barely 10% of homeowners had 30-year fixed mortgages with rates above 5%. Just four years later, that share has jumped to over 30%, according to ICE Mortgage Technology. About 20% of borrowers have mortgages with a rate over 6%.
Home sales have been less than robust over the last few years, with the National Association of Realtors reporting a historically low 4.06 million sales last year, basically unchanged from 2024. This, after hitting a 15-year high of 6.12 million home sales in 2022.
More recent sales, combined with some cash-out refinancing, pushed the share of higher-interest-rate borrowers up.
There has been a major focus by the Trump administration to lower mortgage rates as a way to boost home affordability.
The president recently announced a plan for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy more than $200 billion in mortgage-backed bonds. It is still a subject of debate as to how much lower that would push mortgage rates once the purchase is made, but just the announcement alone caused rates to drop a bit.
Industry experts say the actual purchases could shave perhaps about an eighth of a percentage point off the current 30-year rate, putting it right around 6%. Last year at this time, the average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage was just over 7%, according to Mortgage News Daily.
If the average on the 30-year fixed moved to 6%, 5.5 million current homeowners would be able to benefit from a refinance, according to ICE Mortgage Technology. Those homeowners could save at least 75 basis points on their rate, which makes the fees involved financially worthwhile, it said.
If rates dropped to 5.88%, that number grows to 6.5 million homeowners.
“The most popular interest rate that’s been used to buy a home over the last 3.5 years is between 6.875% and 6.99%, right? Nobody wanted to tell their neighbors they used a 7% interest rate to buy a home, so everybody bought down into this high 6% range,” said Andy Walden, ICE Mortgage Technology’s head of mortgage and housing market research.
“Coincidentally, those 15-basis-point-spread moves from this $200 billion in MBS purchase is moving rates from what would have been six and a quarter right now down to six and an eighth. And so it’s providing meaningfully more refinance incentive than would otherwise be out there, and it’s having an oversized impact on the market,” he said.
Applications to refinance a home loan are now about 120% higher than they were one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
As for home sales, the last four years were characterized by the so-called rate “lock-in” effect, meaning potential sellers didn’t want to give up their historically low rates. They therefore put off moves that they might otherwise have wanted to make.
Entering 2025, there were roughly 39 million homeowners with an interest rate below 5% and roughly 12 million with an interest rate below 3%, according to Walden.
“If you look at how those borrowers behaved last year, only about 6% of those folks gave up those low rates, either through a refinance to pull equity out of their home or through the sale of their home. Close to 95% of homeowners held on to those rates tight,” he said.
As for prospective homebuyers, a 15-basis-point drop on the 30-year fixed rate would save only about $35 a month on the mortgage payment for the average-priced home. Alternately, they could keep the rate and buy 1.5% more home.
“Certainly a move in the right direction, but not a massive movement for those homebuyers,” said Walden.
Business
‘Crisis worse than two 1970s oil shocks put together’: IEA chief’s big warning on Strait of Hormuz – The Times of India
The ongoing war in the Middle East has triggered an energy crisis for the world and “no country is immune” to its shockwaves, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned on Monday. Addressing the National Press Club in Australia’s capital, Birol said the current situation has evolved into an unprecedented disruption, combining multiple shocks to oil and gas supplies.“This crisis as things stand is now two oil crises and one gas crash put all together,” he said. He also drew comparisons with the oil shocks of the 1970s and the fallout from Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.Highlighting the broader economic risks, Birol said, “The global economy is facing a major, major threat today, and I very much hope that this issue will be resolved as soon as possible.”Commenting on the fallout of the energy crisis, Fatih Birol said, “no country will be immune to the effects of this crisis if it continues to go in this direction,” adding, “so there is a need for global efforts.”The conflict has already caused extensive damage to energy infrastructure, with Birol noting that at least forty facilities across nine countries in the region have been “severely or very severely damaged”.“At least forty… energy assets in the region are severely or very severely damaged across nine countries,” he said.The disruption was intensified by the near shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for roughly one-fifth of global oil and gas shipments. The standoff has deepened as the war entered its fourth week, with Donald Trump and Tehran issuing repeated threats, including Washington’s demand for the reopening of the waterway.Birol identified the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz as the most critical step towards stabilising the situation, while also flagging rising fuel shortages in Asia as a growing concern. Oil markets reflected the strain, with US benchmark crude briefly touching the $100-per-barrel mark early on Monday. As fuel prices continue to rise, he added that there would not be any specific crude level to trigger another release.He added that the agency is currently consulting governments worldwide and remains prepared to release additional oil from emergency reserves if needed, though he clarified that no specific price level would automatically trigger such a move. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran to reopen the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, warning of military consequences if it failed to comply. He said, “If Iran doesn’t fully open, without threat, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 hours from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various power plants, starting with the biggest one first! Thank you for your attention to this matter.” In response, Tehran warned, signalling that any attack on its energy infrastructure would prompt retaliation beyond conventional military targets. The message was conveyed by Ebrahim Zolfaghari and carried by Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting. He said any strike on Iran’s fuel and energy sector would trigger action against a broader range of targets linked to the United States and its regional allies.Earlier this month, 32 member nations of the IEA agreed to release 400 million barrels of oil from their emergency reserves to the market, to deal with the ongoing energy supply disruption.
Business
PM Shehbaz bans high-octane fuel in govt vehicles as petroleum levy jumps to Rs305 | The Express Tribune
HOBC price hits Rs535 after Rs200 per litre levy hike; officials told to foot bill if they insist on premium fuel
A worker fills a car’s tank at a fuel station amid concerns about rising fuel prices linked to the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, in Nonthaburi province on the outskirts of Bangkok, Thailand, March 15, 2026. PHOTO: REUTERS
Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has banned the use of high-octane fuel in all government vehicles, with the decision taking effect immediately, the Prime Minister’s Office announced on Monday.
لاہور: 23 مارچ 2026
ہائی اوکٹین فیول پر پیٹرولیم لیوی میں اضافے کے فیصلے کے تسلسل میں وزیر اعظم نے ایک اور اہم فیصلہ کیا ہے.
وزیرِ اعظم نے کہا کہ سرکاری گاڑیوں میں ہائی اوکٹین ایندھن کے استعمال پر پابندی عائد کر دی گئی ہے۔
اس پابندی کا اطلاق فی الفور ہو گا۔ اگر کسی بھی سرکاری…
— Prime Minister’s Office (@PakPMO) March 23, 2026
The ban comes with the decision to increase the petroleum levy on high-octane fuel.
Under a notification issued for this purpose, the levy on high-octane has been raised by Rs200 per litre to Rs305.37 per litre, pushing the new price of High Octane Blending Component (HOBC) in the country to Rs535. The decision to increase the levy from Rs100 to Rs300 per litre was taken in a meeting chaired by the prime minister.
Under the new ban, if the use of high-octane fuel in any government department’s vehicle is unavoidable, the user may do so at their own personal expense. A strict ban has been imposed on its use at government expense.
Read: Govt increases Rs200 levy on high-octane fuel for luxury cars to ease crisis
The purpose of the decision, according to the Prime Minister’s Office, is to ensure the efficient and responsible use of national resources.
PM Shehbaz directed all federal departments, authorities, and subordinate institutions to ensure immediate and full implementation of the ban. He also directed the relevant authorities to devise an effective system to monitor compliance and to take strict action in case of violations.
Read More: PM Shehbaz says rejected advice to further raise fuel prices, govt to absorb burden
Earlier, a 50% reduction in fuel for government vehicles had already been implemented, along with the grounding of 60% of government vehicles. The savings achieved through these measures have been utilised to provide relief to the public and to supply cheaper fuel.
The prime minister said that strict implementation of the austerity policy and the reduction of unnecessary expenditures are the need of the hour, adding that this step will reduce government spending and enable better use of public resources.
The government on Sunday approved a significant Rs200 per litre increase in the fuel levy on high-octane used in luxury vehicles, in a move to cope with the fuel crisis amid Middle East tensions.
According to a statement issued by the PMO, Shehbaz, chairing a video-link meeting, announced that the levy of Rs100 per litre on high-octane fuel would be raised by an additional Rs200, bringing the total levy to Rs300 per litre.
The government expects the measure to save Rs9 billion per month, with the savings earmarked to provide relief to the general public.
The statement further clarified that the increase applies only to high-octane fuel used in luxury cars. Petrol prices for ordinary vehicles, as well as fares for public transport and air travel, will remain unchanged.
Business
MAC entices staff to transform into TikTok live shopping hosts
A major beauty brand is enticing all its UK employees to earn a cut of any sales they drive on TikTok Shop in a bid to cash in on the rapid rise of the influencer-led beauty market.
MAC Cosmetics is kitting out shops with mini studios for its makeup artists to host live shopping shows when it launches on TikTok Shop on April 2.
It says it is the first major beauty brand in the UK to give every member of staff the opportunity to opt in as an affiliate and sell on the social media platform.
Those who become faces of the live channel will be offered a percentage of any sale that they drive on TikTok Shop.
The makeup artists will be encouraged to host tutorials and product demonstrations, with items available to buy directly through the app.
MAC, which is part of the Estee Lauder group of beauty brands, said the first live shopping show will stream from its Carnaby Street store in London.
It is hoping that tapping into social media shoppers will also bring more people into its more than 230 standalone shops and concessions.
TikTok Shop burst onto the UK’s retail scene in 2021 and, in recent years, has become a significant force in the world of e-commerce, reaching millions of people who use the video-sharing app and converting many into shoppers with a few taps.
Many content creators can earn a commission on products that they sell through the app when they co-operate with a brand or retailer.
Major retailers like Marks & Spencer and Sainsbury’s are now selling products on the marketplace alongside thousands of smaller businesses and brands.
The app has particularly been part of a boom for the beauty market, with beauty sales on the platform soaring by 60% year-on-year in 2025, fuelled by trends such as Korean skincare.
But the spread of in-app shopping has also prompted concerns about so-called impulse buying, particularly among younger consumers who are often targeted by influencer-led marketing.
Sara Staniford, the vice president and general manager of MAC in the UK and Ireland, said: “MAC has always been driven by our artists and the communities they create.
“TikTok Shop gives us an exciting new way to celebrate that creativity and connect with beauty lovers in real time.
“It puts our artists exactly where they belong, at the centre of the conversation.”
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