Business
Business news live – Banks bet on interest rate cut and UK bills rise 8% in a year
Interest rates: five steady cuts after sharp correction up
It’s sometimes hard to keep pace with everything around interest rates, how much it has all changed and the wider impact it has.
This chart helps display the rate of change, at least: post-Covid we had basically a zero rate for a long period, but the cost of living crisis across 2022 and 2023 saw interest rates shoot higher in quick succession as the BoE tried to stem inflation, which hit 11%.
Since last year the base rate began to decline, we’ve had five cuts in total.
Three this year came in February, May and August.
Karl Matchett3 November 2025 09:20
Economics expert explains why BoE may wait for Budget
Thomas Pugh, chief economist at tax firm RSM UK, is one of those who thinks the MPC will remain prudent for now.
“Financial markets have gone from pricing in less than a 25% chance of another rate cut by the end of the year to a two-thirds chance now, due to a lower inflation peak and rumours of a less-inflationary budget,” he explained.
“We doubt this will be enough to tempt the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) into a rate cut next week. We expect a 3-6 vote for a hold. But it throws the door wide open to a rate cut in December, especially if the budget is deflationary.”
Karl Matchett3 November 2025 09:00
‘Odds 50-50’ on a December rate cut
Not everyone is immediately convinced, of course.
Plenty still think it’s more likely that the BoE will persist with their cautious approach so far and at least wait for one more monthly set of data to be taken in before opting to cut.
Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, points to the money market still being split on December at the moment.
“London stocks have a touch higher this morning as investors brace for a pivotal week at the Bank of England. Rates are widely expected to stay at 4% on Thursday, but the real debate is whether policymakers deliver a cut in December, with odds hovering near 50-50. With stubborn inflation and slowing growth, expectations for the year ahead are in the balance.
Karl Matchett3 November 2025 08:40
Barclays join calls for interest rates cut
Last week Goldman Sachs said they think a rate cut is in the offing, and now Barclays have joined them.
Noting that “shop price data point to further disinflation in October”, Barclays analysts have suggested the Bank of England’s MPC members will provide a split vote – they predict 5-4 – but the ultimate outcome will be a cut.
“We acknowledge the decision remains finely balanced, but expect the recent downside inflation and labour market news to tip the vote to a cut,” read the analysis note, from Jack Meaning and Silvia Ardagna.
Food inflation is a key tipping point in the vote, they predict, and it appears to be on the way down (disinflation).
Karl Matchett3 November 2025 08:20
Inflation data behind change of heart on interest rate cuts
Rewind the tape a few weeks and banks, economists and analysts were unified in their belief: no interest rate cut pre-Budget, quite possibly none for the rest of 2025.
However, inflation data for September changed all that.
We didn’t hit 4% as expected, and now the worst is expected to have passed.
On the back of that, jobs data came in weaker again too as companies continued to reign in the hiring and vacancies were down to a multi-year low.
Now, more than one bank has changed its tune.
Karl Matchett3 November 2025 08:14
Business
India-US trade deal: Hope and uncertainty as Trump cuts tariffs
Indian industry has welcomed lower tariffs, but experts caution against celebration until details are clearer.
Source link
Business
MCX Silver Jumps 6% To Hit Upper Circuit After 46% Crash; Can India–US Deal Spark A Sustained Rally?
Last Updated:
Silver prices staged a sharp rebound on Tuesday after an intense phase of liquidation that followed the abrupt unwinding of a record-setting rally
Silver Rates Surge Today
Silver Rates Today: Silver prices staged a sharp rebound on Tuesday after an intense phase of liquidation that followed the abrupt unwinding of a record-setting rally. The earlier sell-off had pulled prices down more than 46% from their peak in just three sessions, highlighting the extreme volatility in the precious metals space. Gold prices also recovered alongside silver.
On the MCX, silver hit the 6% upper circuit at Rs 2,50,436 per kg on February 3, while MCX gold climbed 3% to Rs 1,48,310 per 10 grams.
A key macro catalyst emerged after US President Donald Trump announced a trade agreement with India. The deal lowers US tariffs on Indian goods to 18% from 50% in exchange for India halting Russian oil purchases and easing certain trade barriers. The development added a fresh geopolitical layer to already jittery commodity markets.
Gold mirrored silver’s recovery in global trade. Spot gold rose as much as 4.2% to move above $4,855 an ounce after sliding 4.8% in the previous session. That decline had extended Friday’s slump, the steepest in over a decade.
Earlier, on January 30, spot gold had tumbled nearly 10% in its sharpest single-day fall since 1983, dragging prices back below the $5,000-an-ounce mark that had been crossed only days before and erasing a sizable portion of the year’s gains.
The rebound extended beyond gold and silver. Spot platinum advanced 3% to $2,183.64 an ounce after touching a record $2,918.80 on January 26, while palladium rose 2.7% to $1,765.75, joining the broader recovery across precious metals.
What drove the rebound after the crash?
Domestic sentiment got a lift from the India–US trade deal, while investors also reassessed geopolitical risks, currency movements and the outlook for US monetary leadership. Strong buying from Chinese retail investors ahead of the Lunar New Year further supported demand, although China’s markets are set to shut for over a week from February 16, temporarily sidelining a key source of consumption.
Traders are also watching developments involving Iran after Trump signalled that talks on a potential new nuclear agreement could begin soon. Any diplomatic progress could reduce gold’s safe-haven appeal and cap gains.
The earlier sell-off in bullion was initially triggered by Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, which strengthened the US dollar and pressured metals. The slide intensified after CME Group raised margin requirements for precious metals futures, forcing leveraged traders to unwind positions quickly. A stronger dollar combined with higher trading costs led to a sharp liquidity squeeze, accelerating the fall.
Will the rally sustain?
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Investments, said longer-term drivers such as geopolitical tensions, central bank buying and macro uncertainty remain supportive for precious metals.
He noted that the previous correction was magnified by extremely overbought conditions after gold and silver had surged to record highs, with silver rallying more than 60% in a month and gold over 20%. Profit-booking snowballed into panic selling as liquidity thinned and volatility spiked.
“The violent drop was more of a technical correction than a deterioration in core fundamentals,” he said, suggesting that the broader structural support for the metals remains intact.
February 03, 2026, 11:07 IST
Read More
Business
Why Are Gold Prices Swinging? Nirmala Sitharaman Breaks It Down
Gold prices are no longer being watched only at home but across global markets, as sudden and unexpected swings keep investors on edge. Addressing the volatility, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman stated that a deepening uncertainty in international markets is driving the fluctuations. Speaking to reporters on Monday, she pointed to rising anxiety among investors in global commodity trade, explaining that unstable conditions worldwide have eroded confidence in individual currencies. As a result, many investors are turning to gold as a haven, a shift she said is naturally fuelling the sharp ups and downs in gold prices.

According to data from the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold prices slipped slightly on Monday evening. Compared to the previous session’s closing rate, the price of ten grams of gold declined by around Rs 280, marking a fall of less than 1%. Market experts note that daily price movements are largely driven by international trends. Due to this volatility, many buyers are adopting a wait-and-watch approach.

Over the past five days, gold prices in India’s spot market have fallen sharply. On January 29, the price of ten grams of gold stood above Rs 1.7 lakh, but it has now dropped to nearly Rs 1.4 lakh. This represents a decline of over 13% in just five days, a shift that has caught regular buyers by surprise. For investors hoping for substantial gains, the sudden drop has served as a cautionary signal.

Responding to questions on the Union Budget, the Finance Minister said that investment remains the primary driver of sustained economic growth. She noted that the government is prioritising sectors that generate employment and is strengthening the economy through reforms aimed at long-term outcomes. While increasing public investment, she said, the government continues to follow disciplined fiscal policies. The overarching goal, she added, is to ensure that growth is inclusive and that every citizen becomes a stakeholder in the nation’s development.

Nirmala Sitharaman expressed confidence that India is steadily progressing towards becoming a developed nation. She stated that as a growing economy, India must play a significant role in global trade and is actively working to boost exports by integrating with international markets. She also clarified that efforts are underway to make domestic markets resilient enough to compete globally.

She further explained the decision to raise the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) in the Futures and Options segment. According to her, the move is aimed at discouraging uninformed, gambling-like participation in derivative trading. The government, she said, has taken these steps to protect small and retail investors from potential losses and to maintain overall market stability.

The Finance Minister also revealed that the disinvestment process of public sector enterprises is progressing swiftly. She said this would encourage greater public participation in government-owned companies and allow more efficient use of financial resources to fund development projects. Through transparent policies, the central government aims to maximise the value of public assets, a move she believes will yield long-term financial benefits for the country.

She concluded by stating that global economic conditions are clearly influencing domestic markets, and while price fluctuations are inevitable, the government’s reforms will help bring stability. She advised investors to avoid hasty decisions and to carefully assess market conditions before acting, adding that every reform undertaken to strengthen the economy is a step towards a developed India.
-
Sports7 days agoPSL 11: Local players’ category renewals unveiled ahead of auction
-
Sports6 days agoCollege football’s top 100 games of the 2025 season
-
Entertainment6 days agoClaire Danes reveals how she reacted to pregnancy at 44
-
Business7 days agoBanking services disrupted as bank employees go on nationwide strike demanding five-day work week
-
Politics6 days agoTrump vows to ‘de-escalate’ after Minneapolis shootings
-
Sports6 days agoTammy Abraham joins Aston Villa 1 day after Besiktas transfer
-
Entertainment6 days agoK-Pop star Rosé to appear in special podcast before Grammy’s
-
Tech7 days agoBrighten Your Darkest Time (of Year) With This Smart Home Upgrade
