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Fed cuts rate but future easing uncertain

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Fed cuts rate but future easing uncertain


Danielle KayeBusiness reporter

Reuters A man wearing a suit speaks in front of a podium. An American flag hangs in the background.Reuters

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell

The US Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates for the third time this year, even as internal divisions create uncertainty about additional cuts in the coming months.

The central bank said on Wednesday it was lowering the target for its key lending rate by 0.25 percentage points, putting it in a range of 3.50% to 3.75% – its lowest level in three years.

But policymakers disagree about how the Fed should balance competing priorities: a weakening job market on the one hand, and rising prices on the other.

The Fed’s economic projections released on Wednesday suggest one rate cut will take place next year, although new data could change this.

Fed chair Jerome Powell said central bankers need time to see how the Fed’s three cuts this year work their way through the US economy. Policymakers will closely examine incoming data leading up to Fed’s next meeting in January, he added.

“We are well-positioned to wait to see how the economy evolves,” Powell told reporters.

Those hoping for interest rates to keep coming down, including President Donald Trump, might have to wait.

The Fed is facing a “very challenging situation” as it confronts risks of rising inflation and unemployment, Powell said, adding: “you can’t do two things at once”.

The decision to lower rates on Wednesday was not unanimous, suggesting widening divisions among central bankers over the outlook for the US economy.

Three Fed officials broke ranks and officially dissented.

Stephen Miran, who is on leave from his post leading Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, voted for a larger 0.5 percentage point cut.

Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Jeffrey Schmid, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, voted to hold rates steady.

Trump, who has repeatedly urged Powell to lower rates, said after the meeting on Wednesday that the Fed’s cut could have been “at least doubled”.

“Our rates should be much lower,” he said at a roundtable at the White House. “We should have the lowest rates in the world.”

A data blackout during the longest-ever US government shutdown, which ended in November, has left policymakers partially in the dark about the state of the economy. But concerns about a slowing job market continue to outweigh inflation fears, at least for now.

The unemployment rate ticked up from 4.3% to 4.4% in September, Labor Department figures showed in a delayed report released last month. Cutting interest rates is aimed at stimulating the job market by creating lower borrowing costs for businesses.

Fears about tariff-driven inflation had taken centre stage earlier this year when Trump pushed forward with sweeping tariffs on many of the country’s largest trading partners.

Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target. In September, it hit 3% for the first time since January.

But while tariffs appear to be boosting some consumer prices, recent milder-than-expected inflation readings have allowed the Fed to focus on boosting the labour market by lowering rates, analysts said.

Dissents and disagreements

Still, policymakers remain divided over the path forward for interest rates.

Asked about disagreement among policymakers, Powell acknowledged that it’s “unusual” to have “persistent tension” between the Fed’s two mandates to keep prices stable and unemployment low.

“And when you do, this is what you see,” he said, referring to growing divisions.

Still, Powell characterised the internal debate between Fed officials as thoughtful and respectful.

“We come together and we reach a place where we can make a decision,” he said.

The central bank’s so-called dot plot, a quarterly anonymous economic forecast, showed on Wednesday a median expectation for one additional 0.25 percentage point cut in 2026.

That prediction was unchanged from the previous dot plot in September.

Central bankers are poised to have a bit more clarity next week, with the expected release of official data on the labour market and inflation for November.

The incoming data could shift policymakers’ outlook, potentially bolstering calls for further easing next year if there are new signs that the job market is stalling.

Who will succeed Powell?

Trump’s search for Powell’s replacement as Fed chair, once his term ends next May, is adding to uncertainty about the path forward for Fed policy.

Trump could announce his pick as soon as within the next few weeks.

Kevin Hassett, a long-time conservative economist and key Trump economic adviser, is seen as the front-runner to succeed Powell.

A Trump loyalist, Hassett served as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers during Trump’s first term and now leads the National Economic Council.

He has been a stalwart defender of Trump’s economic policies, downplaying data showing signs of weakness in the US economy, doubling down on allegations of bias at the Bureau of Labor Statistics and backing Trump’s handling of the Fed.

Hassett’s allegiance to the president has drawn questions from analysts about whether he would act independently and how much sway he would have with other members of the board.

Other names that have been floated for the Fed chair include economist Kevin Warsh, current Fed Governor Christopher Waller and even Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

Trump is “still making up his mind, and he’s looking for someone who will be in his way of thinking,” Thomas Hoenig, a distinguished senior fellow at the Mercatus Center, told the BBC.

The candidates, he added, “have to project that they will be independent, or the markets will become quite nervous – and that will create more volatility”.

Asked on Wednesday whether Trump’s search for a new Fed chair is hindering his job or changing his thinking, Powell responded with a resounding “no”.



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Interest rate cuts not on the horizon, Bank of England governor says

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Interest rate cuts not on the horizon, Bank of England governor says



Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is “the best thing to do” to prevent interest rates rising, Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has said.

In an interview on Thursday evening after the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to leave the rate unchanged at 3.75%, Mr Bailey said any further cuts are “not on the horizon” as he hinted at possible hikes.

It is the first time that all members have voted the same way since September 2021.

Iran effectively closed the vital oil and gas shipping route after the US and Israel attacked the country, which has pushed up global prices.

Mr Bailey said the war in the Middle East is hitting petrol pumps now, will likely increase household energy costs in summer, and put pressure on food prices.

He told LBC’s Andrew Marr: “The duration of this problem is crucial.

“I would also say very clearly that the best way to solve this situation is not through monetary policy. It is through sorting out at the source of what’s going on.

“Frankly, reopening the Strait of Hormuz is the best thing to do. Get the energy market back on its normal footing, as it were.”

Asked if he has a message for US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and “whoever’s in charge in Tehran”, Mr Bailey said: “The best thing we can do actually for the world economy… is to sort out the problem in terms of reopening the energy supply lines, because that is in the best interest of people in the world.”

UK military planners have joined the US Central Command to help formulate proposals for opening the Strait.

The MPC now expects Consumer Prices Index inflation to be around 3% in the second quarter of 2026, up from the 2.1% that had been forecast in February, with a potential rise in inflation up to 3.5% in the third quarter.

Mr Bailey was asked if he foresees, in the final two years of his term, the ambition to reduce inflation to at or below 2% being fulfilled.

He told the programme: “If you’d asked me this question three weeks ago, I was very optimistic on this.”

The governor added: “We are fully committed to the inflation target, and our job, frankly, is to deal with the shocks as they come along.

“I have to do that. I don’t wish them. I wish they were not happening, but they are and we will have to deal with them.”

He said the impact of the war will likely feed through into a higher Ofgem energy price cap from July.

It was put to Mr Bailey that the Middle East crisis comes at a time when the UK economy has already “not been growing strongly”.

He responded: “It is a very difficult time to have this happen, but frankly, any time would be pretty difficult to have this happen.

“This is a major shock to energy prices, and we have to deal with it.”

He said the “sustainable rate of growth” in the UK needs to be raised which could come from investment from pensions and artificial intelligence.

“I’m not starry-eyed about it, but it is probably the most likely area that we’re going to raise the growth rate of the economy and that’s important”, he said of AI.

The MPC signalled that if the conflict persists and has a bigger impact on UK prices, it would need to take a “more restrictive policy stance”, which indicates higher interest rates to control inflation.

The governor added: “The longer it goes on… I’m afraid to say, but it is rather an obvious point, the effect will be larger.”

He said that is why it is “imperative” that “everything is done that can be done to alleviate this effect”, adding: “That is the critical thing.”



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Video: The Effects of High Oil Prices

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Video: The Effects of High Oil Prices


new video loaded: The Effects of High Oil Prices

Our chief economics correspondent, Ben Casselman, breaks down how gasoline prices have responded to the oil crisis in the Persian Gulf, and what is in store for inflation if the price of oil remains above $100 per barrel.

By Ben Casselman, Sutton Raphael, James Surdam, Joey Sendaydiego, Estelle Caswell and June Kim

March 19, 2026



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FDA approves higher dose version of weight loss drug Wegovy as Novo Nordisk tries to win back market share

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FDA approves higher dose version of weight loss drug Wegovy as Novo Nordisk tries to win back market share


The logo of pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk is displayed in front of its offices in Bagsvaerd, Copenhagen, Denmark, Feb. 4, 2026.

Tom Little | Reuters

The Food and Drug Administration on Thursday approved a higher-dose version of Novo Nordisk‘s blockbuster weight loss injection Wegovy, as the company pushes to win back market share from chief rival Eli Lilly.

Novo expects to launch the higher, 7.2-milligram dose of Wegovy in April. The Danish drugmaker is positioning that version to better compete with Lilly’s obesity drug Zepbound, which has proven to be more effective at promoting weight loss than the standard, 2.4-milligram dose of Wegovy.

That higher efficacy has helped Zepbound become the preferred obesity medication among prescribers and patients, even though it entered the U.S. market later than Wegovy, and has solidified Lilly’s position as the dominant player in the space.

The high-dose Wegovy helped patients with obesity lose an average 20.7% of their weight after 72 weeks in a phase three trial. The standard dose of Wegovy has shown around 15% weight loss on average in clinical trials.

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“I think it really makes it more competitive, and it really reduces the delta there,” Dr. Jason Brett, principal U.S. medical head at Novo Nordisk, said in an interview Thursday ahead of the approval.

“But even more importantly, I think it just gives patients another option if they’re not reaching their targets, and achieving some of these higher weight losses for certain patients,” he added.

In a separate phase three trial on patients with obesity and Type 2 diabetes, high-dose Wegovy demonstrated an average weight loss of 14.1%. People with diabetes typically have a harder time losing weight than people without the condition.

It marks the first approval of a GLP-1 treatment under the FDA’s new national priority voucher plan that aims to cut drug review times to one to two months for companies the agency says are supporting U.S. national health priorities. The FDA launched the pilot plan in June.

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