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Gold hits new highs on rate cut bets | The Express Tribune

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Gold hits new highs on rate cut bets | The Express Tribune



KARACHI:

Gold prices in Pakistan soared to new all-time highs on Monday, mirroring the international surge that pushed the precious metal above $3,900 per ounce, fueled by growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate cut and heightened economic and political uncertainty in the United States, France, and Japan.

According to the All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of gold per tola reached Rs415,278 after a single-day rise of Rs5,400, while the rate for 10 grams rose by Rs4,629 to settle at Rs356,033. On Saturday, the per-tola price had already climbed to Rs409,878 following a gain of Rs2,100.

The latest rally marks a continuation of gold’s seven-week winning streak, during which the metal has repeatedly set new records. However, analysts now warn that the rally may be overstretched.

In a post on X, market watcher Walter Bloomberg quoted the Bank of America (BofA) as saying that gold’s surge may “cool as it nears $4,000/oz.” The bank noted that such seven-week uptrends have historically been followed by short-term pullbacks since 1983, adding that gold is now trading well above key moving averages, with momentum indicators flashing overbought signals.

BofA expects a pause or correction before any renewed upward move, possibly towards $5,000 per ounce in the longer run.

Commenting on the situation, Interactive Commodities Director Adnan Agar said gold’s recent strength has stretched the rally significantly. “Gold is still standing at the same high. So far, it has set an all-time high of $3,950, and it is around $3,947,” he said.

“As soon as the market opened, it increased by $50-60. Now, warnings are also coming from international brokers because the rally has stretched a lot. For seven weeks, the candles have been closing green – meaning prices have been consistently rising. So the chances are now very high that a correction will come.”

Agar added that the $4,000 level is a psychological resistance, prompting many investors to book profits, which could lead to a $100-200 correction before the next bullish leg.

“We believe the market will come close to $4,000, then correct by $100-200, and afterwards resume its upward move,” he said. Meanwhile, silver prices also recorded an uptick, rising by Rs53 per tola to reach Rs4,949.

The Pakistani rupee registered a slight uptick against the US dollar in the inter-bank market on Monday. By the day’s end, the local currency stood at 281.25, marking a modest appreciation of one paisa.

Over the past week, the rupee also posted a marginal weekly gain, strengthening by 11 paisa, or 0.04%, against the dollar. According to data from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee had closed the previous week at 281.26 compared to 281.37 a week earlier.



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Billions to be paid! US starts refund process for Trump tariffs: Can Indian exporters claim? – The Times of India

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Billions to be paid! US starts refund process for Trump tariffs: Can Indian exporters claim? – The Times of India


To receive repayments, importers in the US are required to submit claims which include shipment details, applicable tariff classifications. (AI image)

The US government has rolled out a system to facilitate refunds of over $166 billion from tariffs introduced by Donald Trump and later invalidated by the US Supreme Court. In February, the court struck down a broad set of reciprocal tariffs, delivering a significant setback to a central pillar of Trump’s economic agenda and paving the way for repayments.On Monday, US Customs and Border Protection announced that the first phase of its refund-processing platform is now operational, allowing importers and customs brokers to begin filing claims to recover the duties they had paid.The agency had earlier estimated in March that more than 330,000 importers may qualify for reimbursements on duties or deposits linked to over 53 million shipments. In its initial rollout, the platform covers about $127 billion in duty payments eligible for electronic refunds.

Tariff refunds What US Customs and Border Protection has said

The process to return reciprocal tariff payments starts on April 20 through a newly launched online platform, CAPE (Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries), operated by US Customs and Border Protection.This move follows a February 20, 2026 judgment by the US Supreme Court, which ruled that tariffs introduced by Donald Trump were unlawful. The court found that these duties had been imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act without adequate legal backing.Also Read | Iran has closed Strait of Hormuz completely: What does this mean for India’s crude oil, LPG, LNG supplies?The tariffs impacted a wide range of exports from countries including India. To receive repayments, importers in the US are required to submit claims which include shipment details, applicable tariff classifications and proof of payment. Once approved, these refunds along with interest are expected to be processed within 60 to 90 days. Eligibility is limited to those who originally paid the tariffs, primarily US importers and businesses.The total amount to be refunded is estimated at around $166 billion, with nearly $12 billion tied to Indian goods.The tariff structure began at 10% on April 2, 2025, before escalating quickly. Duties on Indian goods increased to 25% by August 7, 2025, and further to 50% by August 28, remaining at that level until early February 2026. On February 6, 2026, rates were lowered to 18% following negotiations. However, the Supreme Court’s ruling later that month nullified the entire regime, effectively rendering the tariffs void and paving the way for refunds.

What it means for India

Exporters and end consumers are not permitted to file claims directly, although some companies, such as FedEx, may opt to pass on the refunded amounts at their discretion.According to Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), around 53% of India’s shipments to the US, which largely comprises textiles and apparel, were subject to higher tariffs. This makes them the largest contributors to the refund pool. Of the nearly $12 billion tied to Indian exports, textiles and apparel are estimated to account for around $4 billion, followed by engineering goods with a similar share and chemicals contributing about $2 billion, while other sectors make up the remainder.However, what is important to understand is that these refunds will not flow directly to Indian exporters. The payments are meant only for US importers who bore the tariff burden.Also Read | Explained: On way to 4th largest, how India slipped to 6th rank & what it means for 3rd largest economy dream“Payments go only to US importers, and exporters have no legal right to claim them. Indian exporters, therefore, have no direct legal route to claim refunds,” explains Ajay Srivastava, founder of GTRI.Hence, any potential recovery of these refunds will depend on commercial discussions. Exporters will need to actively engage with their US counterparts to negotiate a share of the refunded duties, particularly in cases where earlier pricing factored in tariff costs. GTRI explains that this can be done by reopening contracts, adding rebate-sharing clauses, asking for price revisions or credit notes, and using invoices and tariff data to show how costs were absorbed. “Exporters with stronger bargaining power, especially in textiles and engineering goods, may secure better terms in future orders,” the think tank says.Industry bodies such as the Apparel Export Promotion Council, Engineering Export Promotion Council of India and Chemexcil can also assist exporters with guidance on contract renegotiation and sector-specific approaches, it adds.



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Apple names new boss to replace Tim Cook after 15 years

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Apple names new boss to replace Tim Cook after 15 years



John Ternus will take over running the technology giant as Cook steps up to become executive chairman.



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SBP receives final $1bn from Saudi Arabia, bringing total deposit reaches $3bn – SUCH TV

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SBP receives final bn from Saudi Arabia, bringing total deposit reaches bn – SUCH TV



The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has received $1 billion from the Ministry of Finance of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, marking the second tranche of a $3 billion deposit agreed recently, the central bank said on Tuesday.

According to the statement issued by the central bank, the second tranche was received with a value date of April 20, 2026.

The first tranche of $2 billion had already been received on April 15, 2026, bringing the total inflows under the arrangement to $3 billion.

The development comes days after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to Saudi Arabia, where he engaged in diplomatic efforts aimed at promoting regional peace.

During his visit, the premier met Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah and expressed appreciation for the Kingdom’s continued support for Pakistan’s economic stability. He also conveyed solidarity with Saudi Arabia in light of recent regional developments.

Earlier on April 16, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb had announced that Saudi Arabia would provide $3 billion in additional financial support, with disbursement expected shortly.

He also noted that Riyadh had extended the tenure of its existing $5 billion deposit, removing the earlier annual rollover requirement.

The Saudi funding has strengthened Pakistan’s external position as it repaid $2 billion in debt to the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The amount was kept with the central banks as a safe deposit.

Saudi Arabia has been a key financial partner for Pakistan, having provided support packages during previous economic challenges, including a $6 billion assistance programme in 2018 comprising deposits and oil facility arrangements.



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