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Rivian turns to AI, autonomy to woo investors as EV sales stall

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Rivian turns to AI, autonomy to woo investors as EV sales stall


Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe tours the inside of electric auto maker Rivian’s manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois, U.S. June 21, 2024. 

Joel Angel Juarez | Reuters

DETROIT — Rivian Automotive will let artificial intelligence take the wheel to try to convince investors that its future can be more lucrative than its past.

The all-electric vehicle maker is set to host its first “Autonomy and AI Day” on Thursday as its core business of producing and selling EVs hasn’t been as fruitful as expected since its initial public offering in 2021.

Shares of the automaker are off more than 80% since then as internal and external challenges have caused sales and production to be slower than planned. The company also continues to lose billions of dollars annually, despite significant cost reductions and gains in software revenue thanks to a multiyear $5.8 billion joint venture deal with German automaker Volkswagen.

CEO RJ Scaringe has always sold the company as a technology play in varying forms – from initially touting its cloud-based tech and “vertically integrated ecosystem” to more recently highlighting new “zonal” software architecture and AI aspirations.

But the pressure is on for Rivian to deliver. It has tactically brought its software and automation efforts in house to unlock future growth potential for investors and to try to expand its customer base amid slowing sales of EVs and regulatory changes.

“Over the longer term, we believe what will differentiate Rivian’s autonomous capabilities will be our end-to-end AI-centric approach,” Scaringe said last month during the automaker’s most recent quarterly investor call.

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Rivian vs. Tesla stock

Rivian is following the strategy of other “pure EV” automakers in the U.S., specifically Tesla.

The U.S. EV leader has promised owners for more than a decade that its cars would be able to get upgraded to autonomous vehicles that can work for them while they sleep or make a cross-country trip with no human intervention. The company launched a pilot robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, this year, with human safety drivers on board, and intends to expand that to new U.S. markets next year.

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Fellow EV carmaker Lucid also recently struck a partnership with AV startup Nuro to bring driverless features to its EVs.

But Wall Street isn’t completely buying into the hype.

Morgan Stanley this week downgraded Rivian to underweight, citing the EV deceleration and Rivian not having the “scale or balance sheet to support the capital intensity” of reinvesting in the current “industry hype cycle” around AVs and AI. It also downgraded Lucid and Tesla for one or both of those reasons.

“We are taking a more cautious view on the Auto Industry heading into 2026 after a surprisingly resilient 2025,” Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco wrote in a Sunday investor note.

Scaringe has said the AI Day will include in-depth looks at the computing power of Rivian’s new vehicles, such as its upcoming “R2” SUV; its autonomous vehicle platform; and data flywheel in which data inputs are used to continuously improve products.

Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe reacts at an event to unveil a smaller R2 SUV in Laguna Beach, California, on March 7, 2024.

Mike Blake | Reuters

The hope is to increase confidence in Rivian’s future vehicles and technologies, which Wall Street analysts believe could be licensed to other companies.

Rivian is currently viewed as lagging Tesla and even legacy automakers such as General Motors, Ford Motor and German luxury brands when it comes to its advanced driver assistance systems, or ADAS. Its features only recently allowed some drivers to have their hands off the wheel while highway driving under certain circumstances, a milestone other automakers have already reached.

Rivian’s AI Day comes more than four years after Tesla became the first automaker to host such an event. While Rivian is regularly compared with Tesla, its AI Day is expected to focus more on vehicles and supporting software initiatives rather than noncore businesses such as humanoid robots like Tesla has done.

Wall Street expectations

Rivian is focused on finding other sources of rare earth materials and magnets, says CEO RJ Scaringe

The automotive industry has been working toward true AVs for a while, though it has seen little success other than from Google-backed Waymo and, increasingly, Tesla’s ADAS features. But insiders and experts think AI can finally unlock the true potential of the technology.

“We believe RIVN will attempt to show why they should be seen as a serious players in the US AV space, which currently is largely seen as a two player game between Tesla and Waymo,” Barclays analyst Dan Levy said in a Friday investor note.

Wall Street analysts expect Rivian will focus on its in-house software enabling more advanced ADAS features, including the ability for its vehicles to eventually be able to drive themselves in certain circumstances.

Scaringe has said the company expects to broaden the use cases of its hands-free systems to “just about any road” in the short term, followed by eyes-off driving in the years ahead. He has recently voiced support for lidar, or light detection and ranging, systems that allow vehicles to better detect or “see” their surroundings.

“We applaud Rivian for its autonomy pivot especially given our view that level 3 autonomy will be a critical step for all OEMs [original equipment manufacturers]. Its goal of in-sourcing could make autonomy a profit center, which is important especially given the company’s liquidity situation,” RBC analyst Tom Narayan said in a note last week.

Rivian’s current vehicles feature a suite of radar, cameras and other sensors but not lidar.

SAE International, formerly known as the Society of Automotive Engineers, has characterized automated driving for vehicles from level 0 to level 5. The highest level 5, is a fully autonomous vehicle, with each stage from level 0 adding more technologies and allowing human drivers to be more “out of the loop.”

How Rivian ended up with such unique headlights

Vehicles on U.S. roadways today have varying levels of autonomy but nearly all are categorized as level 2 — allowing drivers to have their hands off the wheel in certain circumstances — or below, including those with cruise control and “adaptive cruise control.”

More recently, many companies have focused on growing their ADAS systems past level 2, where vehicles can largely drive themselves under certain conditions.

Industry experts have also raised questions about demand for AV technologies. General Motors was the first to offer hands-free driving technologies in 2017, but the rollout was slow and adoption was low following the end of free trials.

Even at Tesla, which is viewed as a software and technology leader in the U.S. with “tech-savvy” buyers, only about 12% of customers paid for its top-end “FSD” system that can control the vehicle under many circumstances, the company recently said.

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US Slashes Rates To Lowest Since 2022: What Powell’s Move Means For Jobs, Inflation And Your Wallet

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US Slashes Rates To Lowest Since 2022: What Powell’s Move Means For Jobs, Inflation And Your Wallet


Washington: The US Federal Reserve opened its final chapter of 2025 with a small but meaningful step, trimming its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points even as the country digests delayed economic data from the recent government shutdown. With this move, which was announced after a closely watched meeting in Washington, the federal funds rate now stands in the range of 3.5 to 3.75 per cent, its lowest level since late 2022, according to a report by CBS News.

This reduction becomes the third straight cut since September, adding up to a total easing of 0.75 percentage points for the year. The central bank has been handling a difficult moment in the US economy, where job creation is cooling noticeably while inflation remains stubborn in key pockets.

Even without the full set of timely numbers, Fed officials kept a close eye on private-sector indicators, including an Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report that showed a loss of 32,000 jobs in November, a sign that pressure on the labour market has intensified.

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In its statement, the Federal Open Market Committee said it would keep evaluating “incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks” before deciding on any further adjustments. The message reflected the Fed’s attempt to stay measured as it heads into a leadership transition next year.

New quarterly projections shared by the Fed show officials expect only one rate cut in 2026, offering a hint of the caution inside the boardroom. Updated forecasts also paint a clearer picture of where the central bank believes the economy is heading. The Fed expects its preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, to ease to 2.4 per cent next year, a step down from the 2.9 per cent median estimate for 2025.

Economic growth, meanwhile, is projected to reach 2.3 per cent in 2026, with unemployment holding consistently at 4.4 per cent.

Economists outside the central bank read the signals in a similar way. Ryan Sweet, chief global economist at Oxford Economics, told investors that the Fed’s latest guidance points to what he described as an “extended pause” in the rate-cut cycle.

“The Fed is not going to be able to help the labour market because of what ails it,” he said, adding that monetary policy alone cannot address the structural issues weighing on hiring.

The latest cut brings the benchmark rate back to levels last seen in early November 2022, a period when the Fed was still tightening aggressively to respond to runaway inflation in the aftermath of the pandemic.

Lower rates typically encourage borrowing, which in turn supports hiring and consumer spending, but the central bank appears determined to proceed carefully.

The decision itself exposed a rare division inside the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). While Jerome Powell and eight members backed the 0.25-percentage-point cut, three policymakers disagreed. This is the highest level of dissent in six years.

Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid argued for keeping rates unchanged, while Stephen Miran pushed for a 0.5-percentage-point reduction.

These debates come at a moment for the institution. Powell’s term as Fed chair ends in May 2026, and US President Donald Trump is preparing to select his successor. In a note shared with clients and cited by CBS News, Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments said that “the outlook from the Powell-led FOMC bears less than usual on future Fed policy decisions given the imminent change in leadership”. It captures the sense of transition that now hangs over the central bank.



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Fed cuts rate but future easing uncertain

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Fed cuts rate but future easing uncertain


Danielle KayeBusiness reporter

Reuters A man wearing a suit speaks in front of a podium. An American flag hangs in the background.Reuters

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell

The US Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates for the third time this year, even as internal divisions create uncertainty about additional cuts in the coming months.

The central bank said on Wednesday it was lowering the target for its key lending rate by 0.25 percentage points, putting it in a range of 3.50% to 3.75% – its lowest level in three years.

But policymakers disagree about how the Fed should balance competing priorities: a weakening job market on the one hand, and rising prices on the other.

The Fed’s economic projections released on Wednesday suggest one rate cut will take place next year, although new data could change this.

Fed chair Jerome Powell said central bankers need time to see how the Fed’s three cuts this year work their way through the US economy. Policymakers will closely examine incoming data leading up to Fed’s next meeting in January, he added.

“We are well-positioned to wait to see how the economy evolves,” Powell told reporters.

Those hoping for interest rates to keep coming down, including President Donald Trump, might have to wait.

The Fed is facing a “very challenging situation” as it confronts risks of rising inflation and unemployment, Powell said, adding: “you can’t do two things at once”.

The decision to lower rates on Wednesday was not unanimous, suggesting widening divisions among central bankers over the outlook for the US economy.

Three Fed officials broke ranks and officially dissented.

Stephen Miran, who is on leave from his post leading Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, voted for a larger 0.5 percentage point cut.

Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Jeffrey Schmid, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, voted to hold rates steady.

Trump, who has repeatedly urged Powell to lower rates, said after the meeting on Wednesday that the Fed’s cut could have been “at least doubled”.

“Our rates should be much lower,” he said at a roundtable at the White House. “We should have the lowest rates in the world.”

A data blackout during the longest-ever US government shutdown, which ended in November, has left policymakers partially in the dark about the state of the economy. But concerns about a slowing job market continue to outweigh inflation fears, at least for now.

The unemployment rate ticked up from 4.3% to 4.4% in September, Labor Department figures showed in a delayed report released last month. Cutting interest rates is aimed at stimulating the job market by creating lower borrowing costs for businesses.

Fears about tariff-driven inflation had taken centre stage earlier this year when Trump pushed forward with sweeping tariffs on many of the country’s largest trading partners.

Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target. In September, it hit 3% for the first time since January.

But while tariffs appear to be boosting some consumer prices, recent milder-than-expected inflation readings have allowed the Fed to focus on boosting the labour market by lowering rates, analysts said.

Dissents and disagreements

Still, policymakers remain divided over the path forward for interest rates.

Asked about disagreement among policymakers, Powell acknowledged that it’s “unusual” to have “persistent tension” between the Fed’s two mandates to keep prices stable and unemployment low.

“And when you do, this is what you see,” he said, referring to growing divisions.

Still, Powell characterised the internal debate between Fed officials as thoughtful and respectful.

“We come together and we reach a place where we can make a decision,” he said.

The central bank’s so-called dot plot, a quarterly anonymous economic forecast, showed on Wednesday a median expectation for one additional 0.25 percentage point cut in 2026.

That prediction was unchanged from the previous dot plot in September.

Central bankers are poised to have a bit more clarity next week, with the expected release of official data on the labour market and inflation for November.

The incoming data could shift policymakers’ outlook, potentially bolstering calls for further easing next year if there are new signs that the job market is stalling.

Who will succeed Powell?

Trump’s search for Powell’s replacement as Fed chair, once his term ends next May, is adding to uncertainty about the path forward for Fed policy.

Trump could announce his pick as soon as within the next few weeks.

Kevin Hassett, a long-time conservative economist and key Trump economic adviser, is seen as the front-runner to succeed Powell.

A Trump loyalist, Hassett served as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers during Trump’s first term and now leads the National Economic Council.

He has been a stalwart defender of Trump’s economic policies, downplaying data showing signs of weakness in the US economy, doubling down on allegations of bias at the Bureau of Labor Statistics and backing Trump’s handling of the Fed.

Hassett’s allegiance to the president has drawn questions from analysts about whether he would act independently and how much sway he would have with other members of the board.

Other names that have been floated for the Fed chair include economist Kevin Warsh, current Fed Governor Christopher Waller and even Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

Trump is “still making up his mind, and he’s looking for someone who will be in his way of thinking,” Thomas Hoenig, a distinguished senior fellow at the Mercatus Center, told the BBC.

The candidates, he added, “have to project that they will be independent, or the markets will become quite nervous – and that will create more volatility”.

Asked on Wednesday whether Trump’s search for a new Fed chair is hindering his job or changing his thinking, Powell responded with a resounding “no”.



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Southwest CEO says airline ‘actively pursuing’ network of airport lounges

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Southwest CEO says airline ‘actively pursuing’ network of airport lounges


A Southwest Airlines plane takes off from Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport in Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S., November 7, 2025.

Tim Evans | Reuters

Southwest Airlines is “actively pursuing” the possibility of opening a network of airport lounges, CEO Bob Jordan told CNBC on Wednesday, as the airline industry continues to fight over premium travelers.

“I think lounges would be a huge, next benefit for our customers,” Jordan said in an interview. “And you [would] have a lounge network that allows you to offer that premium credit card that provides lounge access.”

Southwest is discussing airport leases and lounge possibilities, along with its credit card partner, Chase. The Dallas-based airline in October won approval for an airport lounge at Honolulu’s Daniel K. Inouye International Airport.

Jordan declined to provide a time frame for opening what would likely be a “network” of airport lounges but said “it’s clear our customers want lounges, and we’re pursuing the customer.”

“We’re gonna make sure that we have a network of lounges that meets the needs of the network that we have,” he said.

Read more CNBC airline news

Large carriers from Delta Air Lines to smaller ones like JetBlue Airways, along with credit card companies like American Express, Capital One and Chase have been building airport lounges, spaces they’ve leaned on to reel in and retain higher-spending consumers.

A J.D. Power report released Wednesday said 82% of people it surveyed said they chose an airline based on lounge access.

Southwest, which carries more customers domestically than any other airline, has drastically changed its business model over the past year to scrap open seating in favor of assigned seats, among other things. It even started charging customers to check bags earlier this year to increase revenue as pressure ramped up from activist Elliott Investment Management.

Southwest this fall started offering free Wi-Fi to members of its loyalty program. Jordan said the company is open to pursuing other onboard providers for in-flight internet, including Space X’s Starlink, the service United Airlines recently started using.



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