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Why the US government has shut down and what happens now

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Why the US government has shut down and what happens now


Anthony ZurcherNorth America correspondent and

James FitzGerald

Watch: What could happen during the US government shutdown?

Funding for the US government has been cut off after President Donald Trump’s Republican Party failed to agree with opposition Democrats on a way forward on a spending bill.

The news means that some – but not all – US government services will come to a temporary halt.

Although budget confrontations are common in US politics, this spending fight is especially tense because Trump has spent the last nine months drastically cutting the size of the national government.

Why has the US government shut down?

This situation results from the inability of the two parties to come together and pass a bill funding government services into October and beyond.

The Republicans control both chambers of Congress, but in the Senate – or upper chamber – they are short of the 60 votes they need to pass a spending bill.

Democrats, therefore, have some leverage in this case. They refuse to back a Republican bill, saying it will make it harder for Americans to afford healthcare, and have made this standoff primarily about advancing their healthcare policy goals.

They are calling for an extension of tax credits that make health insurance cheaper for millions of Americans – which are set to expire – and for a reversal of cuts to Medicaid that have been made by Trump. Democrats also oppose spending cuts to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and National Institutes of Health (NIH).

A stopgap bill was earlier passed in the House, or lower chamber, but is yet to clear the Senate.

When did the shutdown happen?

At 00:01 EDT on Wednesday (04:01 GMT), it became official: the US would have its first shutdown for nearly seven years.

The last time this happened was at the end of 2018, during Trump’s first term. Both sides made last-ditch efforts to avoid a repeat this time.

On Monday, Trump met all four congressional leaders – the top Democrats in the House and Senate as well as their Republican counterparts. But there was little progress, and both sides appear to have dug deeper into their positions.

On the Republican side, Trump administration officials have been unwilling, so far, to offer any substantive concessions.

They appear to believe Democrats, as the side making demands in exchange for keeping the government open, will bear the brunt of the public’s blame – as they have in some past shutdowns.

Democrats, meanwhile, believe their push for preserving health-insurance subsidies is a popular one.

What is more, their congressional leaders provoked the ire of left-wing activists for backing down during the last budget bout in March. Many Democrats are itching for a bigger fight this time around – and funding the government is one of the only places where their party has some leverage.

What’s different about the White House response this time?

What stands out about this current standoff is the position of Trump’s team.

In the past, long shutdowns were usually seen as politically dangerous, hampering both voters’ everyday lives and the images of lawmakers and the president.

But this time around, the Trump administration appears more than happy to shutter large parts of the US government for an extended period. In fact, officials have threatened to use a shutdown to identify “non-essential” workers who could then be permanently let go.

“We’ll be laying off a lot of people,” Trump said on Tuesday.

Also, after previous shutdowns, government operations mostly returned to normal, with staff and spending levels largely going back to what they had been before, once the standoff was resolved.

Over the past nine months, however, the Trump administration has slashed spending and pushed workers out of their jobs, testing the boundaries of presidential power. A shutdown could allow the administration to accelerate its massive reductions.

What impacts will the shutdown have – including on national parks and social security?

Not all of government will shut down.

Border protection, in-hospital medical care, law enforcement and air-traffic control are expected to continue to operate during the stoppage.

While social security and Medicare cheques would still be sent out, benefit verification and card issuance could stop.

Generally, in a shutdown, essential workers continue as normal – some of them without pay for the time being – but government employees deemed non-essential are temporarily put on unpaid leave. In the past, these workers have then been paid retrospectively.

That means that services like the food assistance programme, federally-funded pre-school, the issuing of student loans, food inspections, and operations at national parks are expected to be curtailed or closed.

There could also be travel delays if the stand-off drags on and unpaid workers stop showing up.

Overall, analysts expect that this shutdown could be bigger than the one in late 2018, when Congress had passed some funding bills. They expect roughly 40% of federal workers – more than 800,000 people – to be put on temporary leave.

How could this shutdown affect the economy?

The scale of the damage will depend in part on how long the shutdown lasts – and how wide ranging it is.

In the past, disruption has tended to be temporary, with any lost activity mostly made up in the months after the shutdown ends.

Analysts estimate a shutdown this time could shave roughly 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points off economic growth for each week that it lasts – though much of that could be recouped.

That relatively muted impact may be why the stock market seems to be shrugging off this latest threat.

But, again, there are some ways that this shutdown could look different.

For one thing, Trump has threatened to fire – not just furlough – some workers, which would make the impact more long lasting.

The fight is also injecting more turmoil into an economy already being roiled by changes like tariffs and artificial intelligence, with the likely delay of key data – such as the official US monthly jobs report – expected to add to the uncertainty.

How common are shutdowns in the US?

Quite common over the past 50 years.

There were three during Trump’s first term, including the longest in history at 36 days, which ended in January 2019. That one was brought about by disagreements over funding a wall on the Mexico border.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that it reduced economic output by about $11bn, including $3bn that it never regained.

Fellow Republican Ronald Reagan oversaw eight shutdowns during his presidency in the 1980s – though all were relatively brief.

Shutdowns over budgets are almost unique to US politics.

Under the US system, the different branches of government have to reach an agreement on spending plans before they can become law.

In most countries, budget votes become votes of confidence in the government itself. But because the US has equal and often divided branches of government, that is not the case.



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Adverts for Booking.com and three major hotel chains banned over misleading prices

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Adverts for Booking.com and three major hotel chains banned over misleading prices


Four major players in the travel industry have had their adverts banned by the Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) for misleading customers.

The ASA ruled that Booking.com and hotel groups Accor, Travelodge, and Hilton all used “from” price claims for hotel rooms that overstated how many were available at the advertised rate.

With only a limited proportion of rooms genuinely offered at the advertised prices across various dates, the ASA deemed the promotions misleading and consequently prohibited their future use.

In Booking.com’s case, an ad on May 6 stated “Places to stay in Sheffield – Best Price Guarantee, and further text read “easyHotel Sheffield City Centre From £28”.

Booking.com said the dates and prices displayed were “dynamically chosen” by Google from data it provided, meaning they could vary for each user and search.

They believed the information displayed in the ad was accurate and not misleading.

Booking.com said the dates and prices displayed were “dynamically chosen” by Google from data it provided, meaning they could vary for each user and search (PA Wire)

The ASA said the data Booking.com provided showed that seven bookings were made at the easyHotel Sheffield City Centre for the advertised price in May.

It said it did not receive any other information from Booking.com, such as the number of dates on which rooms were available for £28, to enable us to make an adequate assessment of the proportion of rooms at the hotel available at the advertised price and therefore considered that the information provided was insufficient to substantiate the claim “From £28”.

The watchdog found Accor’s ad for £27 rooms at its Ibis Budget Birmingham Centre were only available for a night’s stay on July 30, and was therefore “not a true reflection of the price most consumers could expect to pay”.

It said consumers would understand the claims “Travelodge Nottingham Riverside From £25” and “Travelodge Swansea M4 From £21” to mean that a significant proportion of rooms at each hotel would be available at the advertised price.

However, it understood that the advertised prices were only available to book for a night’s stay on May 18.

In Hilton’s case, the ASA said it had not seen sufficient evidence to demonstrate that a significant proportion of hotel rooms were available at the advertised prices of £68 at Hampton by Hilton Hamilton Park or £59 at Hampton by Hilton Newcastle.

ASA said it had not seen sufficient evidence to demonstrate that a significant proportion of hotel rooms at Hilton were available at the advertised prices

ASA said it had not seen sufficient evidence to demonstrate that a significant proportion of hotel rooms at Hilton were available at the advertised prices (Getty Images)

ASA operations manager Emily Henwood said: “Advertised prices must match what’s really available.

“If only a few rooms are actually offered at the price shown, or it only applies to a specific date, then this information must be made clear to avoid misleading people.

“Otherwise, it’s unfair to anyone trying to find a good deal or make informed choices about where to book.

“People should be able to trust the prices they see in ads and these rulings show that we will take action if the rules are broken.”

Travelodge said in a statement: “Travelodge takes its responsibilities under the ASA advertising guidelines seriously. The prices shown in the ads were generated from our live pricing feed and represented the cheapest bookable date available.

“We recognise that customers expect clarity and transparency in pricing, and we continue to work closely with Google to ensure all ad formats are clear and fully compliant. This particular ad format was removed prior to the ASA ruling, and we remain committed to transparent, accurate, and great-value pricing for all our customers.”



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D.R. Horton is tapping a startup’s AI zoning tool to build more homes

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D.R. Horton is tapping a startup’s AI zoning tool to build more homes


D.R. Horton signage stands in front of homes under construction at the Eastridge Woods development in Cottage Grove, Minnesota.

Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty Images

A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

D.R. Horton, the nation’s largest homebuilder, is tapping an artificial intelligence tool from Portland, Oregon-based startup Prophetic to build more homes and address the country’s housing shortage.

Chronic underbuilding since the Great Recession has caused a deficit of roughly 4 million homes, according to analyses from several sources, including Zillow. The supply-demand imbalance has caused prices to rise over 50% from pre-pandemic levels.

Homebuilders are trying to respond but say that the cost of construction, along with the difficult and costly process for acquiring and developing buildable lots, is making that difficult.

“One of the largest challenges to providing affordable housing is the identification, acquisition and entitlement of land suitable for development. We are confident the insights provided by Prophetic are going to help us expand homeownership opportunities for hard-working American individuals and families,” said Jason Jones, vice president of data analytics at D.R. Horton, in a release.

Prophetic has developed an AI-native platform for land acquisition and development analysis. For any potential parcel of land, Prophetic’s software will pull every single zoning manual from every city and county in a state. The company said it is currently operational in 25 states and expects to be in all 50 by June.

“It’s an incredibly large, tedious, detail-oriented process to take tens of thousands of these zoning documents and extract the rules, not only efficiently, but correctly,” said Oliver Alexander, founder and CEO of Prophetic.

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Among other things, the system looks at minimum lot size and minimum or maximum density setbacks, which differ by municipality and zone. It updates those quarterly. 

“Then it tells you where that information came from, which is the key differentiator,” Alexander explained. “When you have that section title and the page that it came from, that builds trust, and then it becomes ultra-efficient, where you can analyze development potential in 30 seconds instead of two to three hours.”

Alexander said there are a little over 440,000 different ways to describe what you’re allowed to do on a piece of dirt in the states Prophetic has analyzed. Developers need to go through all of that information to figure out if they can build a single- or multifamily housing development on it. 

The AI’s large language model-based analysis of these documents at scale can answer the questions and then feed that into search AI, which Alexander calls “the major unlock” – search plus the zone AI information together. At the ground level, with this AI, builders can figure out what they can build, where and how much at a much faster pace, making them more competitive with landowners.

“If you have that much of an edge in your speed to decision, you effectively control your entire market, because before anyone else can decide, you’ve tied it up,” said Alexander.



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‘Keep STT on equity cash market lower than F&O’ – The Times of India

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‘Keep STT on equity cash market lower than F&O’ – The Times of India


MUMBAI: Representatives of India’s capital market on Tuesday urged finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman to keep the securities transaction tax (STT) on cash equity lower than that of equity derivatives trades in the forthcoming Budget. They also suggested to the ministry that in case of a buyback of shares, tax should be imposed only on profits and not on the total buyback value, sources said. Currently, STT in the equity cash market ranges from 0.025% to 0.1% while in the derivatives market the rates are between 0.125% and 0.1%. A lower rate in the cash segment could lead to more participation in the segment compared to the derivatives section. Of late, govt, policy makers and regulators are looking at ways to rein in trading and speculative habits of retail investors using equity derivatives products, especially options.On Tuesday, the group of people also suggested to the finance minister that the rate of short-term dividend tax which domestic investors pay should be in line with what NRIs pay. tnn





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