Business
RBI Governor Says Rupee Depreciation Normal, Banking System Strong
New Delhi: Sanjay Malhotra has completed his first year as RBI Governor at a time when global volatility, tariff shocks and geopolitical tensions have tested financial systems everywhere. In an exclusive conversation with Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi, Malhotra discussed a wide array of topics, including interest-rate options ahead of the next MPC meeting, the rupee’s recent slide against the US dollar, the central bank’s gold reserves, foreign investment in banks, and the regulator’s broader priorities for financial stability. He said the RBI has navigated a difficult global backdrop with measured policy decisions and signalled that future rate cuts remain on the table depending on data and inflation trends.
Here are key excerpts from the interview:
Q1. How do you look back at your first year as RBI Governor?
Ans. The past year brought a series of external challenges from US tariff actions to the Russia–Ukraine conflict and tensions in West Asia. Despite this, it has been a satisfying year for both the RBI and the wider economy. We reduced the repo rate by 100 basis points, supported liquidity whenever required, strengthened supervisory frameworks and focused on customer service. Inflation moved back inside the 2–6 per cent band and GDP growth reached 7.8 per cent in the June quarter. Banks and NBFCs became stronger, and 2.75 lakh customer-service camps were held nationwide. Overall, it has been a demanding but successful year.
Q2. Is the RBI prepared to cut interest rates in upcoming policy meetings?
Ans. Our mandate is clear: keep inflation under control and support growth. We do not take either an overly aggressive or overly defensive stance. As we had indicated in the October MPC, the direction for rate cuts is positive, but the actual decision will depend entirely on incoming data and deliberations in the next MPC meetings.
Q3. Does India need to increase its gold reserves further?
Ans. Over the past eight years, the RBI has added nearly 300 tonnes of gold. Our total holding is now around 880 tonnes, roughly 15 per cent of our forex reserves. Decisions on further purchases are highly sensitive, but India’s gold and foreign-exchange buffers are strong and stable.
Q4. The rupee has touched life lows. Is this concerning?
Ans. The rupee’s long-term trajectory is guided mainly by inflation differentials. A mild depreciation over time is natural. Historically, the rupee has weakened around 3 per cent a year. The RBI does not defend any specific level but ensures volatility stays contained so that businesses can plan without uncertainty.
Q5. Personal and unsecured loans are rising quickly. Is this a worry?
Ans. Asset quality remains satisfactory and the banking system is not facing systemic risk. Borrowers must, however, remain disciplined and repay loans on time. The MSME segment always requires monitoring but is stable at present. We continue to track this space closely.
Q6. Foreign investment in Indian banks is rising. Is the RBI comfortable with this?
Ans. Yes. Foreign ownership in the Indian banking system is still below 7 per cent — well under the 15 per cent limit. We encourage foreign participation but have safeguards to prevent excessive influence. The trend is positive and not a cause for concern.
Q7. Can an Indian commercial bank feature among the world’s top 10 lenders?
Ans. Certainly. The government is focused on banking-sector strength and the RBI is working towards building large, competitive and globally relevant banks. With India’s economic expansion, that milestone is very achievable.
Q8. How is the RBI using artificial intelligence in the financial system?
Ans. The RBI is already a front-runner globally in adopting AI. We use it to strengthen cybersecurity, improve fraud detection, enhance credit-risk assessment and analyse large data flows. Banks too are being encouraged to adopt AI safely to improve service quality and risk management.
Q9. How is India safeguarding its economy amid global weakness?
Ans. India’s current account deficit was only 0.6 per cent last year. It may rise slightly due to recent tariffs, but remains well within control. Our forex reserves are around USD 700 billion and the banking system is strong. India’s digital payments infrastructure is among the fastest globally. These fundamentals cushion us against global volatility.
Read More: Will RBI cut rate in the next policy? Governor Sanjay Malhotra in conversation with Anil Singhvi
Q10. What role will the RBI play as India moves towards a USD 5-trillion economy?
Ans. Our job is to make sure the economy has a stable foundation to grow on. India can reach the USD 5-trillion mark only if its financial system remains strong through that journey. That means keeping banks and NBFCs well-capitalised, maintaining financial stability and ensuring that services — from basic savings accounts to large corporate lending — work smoothly for every user. RBI’s focus over the next two years will be simple but critical: keep the system safe, keep growth steady and make day-to-day banking easier and more reliable for 140 crore Indians. A resilient financial sector is the backbone of long-term growth. Our effort is to strengthen that backbone every single day.
Q11. What message would you give borrowers and consumers?
Ans. Those who take loans must repay responsibly. Protecting customer data is a top priority for the RBI. We will continue to work on improving service standards across banks and financial institutions.
Business
India’s $5 Trillion Economy Push Explained: Why Modi Govt Wants To Merge 12 Banks Into 4 Mega ‘World-Class’ Lending Giants
India’s Public Sector Banks Merger: The Centre is mulling over consolidating public-sector banks, and officials involved in the process say the long-term plan could eventually bring down the number of state-owned lenders from 12 to possibly just 4. The goal is to build a banking system that is large enough in scale, has deeper capital strength and is prepared to meet the credit needs of a fast-growing economy.
The minister explained that bigger banks are better equipped to support large-scale lending and long-term projects. “The country’s economy is moving rapidly toward the $5 trillion mark. The government is active in building bigger banks that can meet rising requirements,” she said.
Why India Wants Larger Banks
Sitharaman recently confirmed that the government and the Reserve Bank of India have already begun detailed conversations on another round of mergers. She said the focus is on creating “world-class” banks that can support India’s expanding industries, rising infrastructure investments and overall credit demand.
She clarified that this is not only about merging institutions. The government and RBI are working on strengthening the entire banking ecosystem so that banks grow naturally and operate in a stable environment.
According to her, the core aim is to build stronger, more efficient and globally competitive banks that can help sustain India’s growth momentum.
At present, the country has a total of 12 public sector banks: the State Bank of India (SBI), the Punjab National Bank (PNB), the Bank of Baroda, the Canara Bank, the Union Bank of India, the Bank of India, the Indian Bank, the Central Bank of India, the Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) and the UCO Bank.
What Happens To Employees After Merger?
Whenever bank mergers are discussed, employees become anxious. A merger does not only combine balance sheets; it also brings together different work cultures, internal systems and employee expectations.
In the 1990s and early 2000s, several mergers caused discomfort among staff, including dissatisfaction over new roles, delayed promotions and uncertainty about reporting structures. Some officers who were promoted before mergers found their seniority diluted afterward, which created further frustration.
The finance minister addressed the concerns, saying that the government and the RBI are working together on the merger plan. She stressed that earlier rounds of consolidation had been successful. She added that the country now needs large, global-quality banks “where every customer issue can be resolved”. The focus, she said, is firmly on building world-class institutions.
‘No Layoffs, No Branch Closures’
She made one point unambiguous: no employee will lose their job due to the upcoming merger phase. She said that mergers are part of a natural process of strengthening banks, and this will not affect job security.
She also assured that no branches will be closed and no bank will be shut down as part of the consolidation exercise.
India last carried out a major consolidation drive in 2019-20, reducing the number of public-sector banks from 21 to 12. That round improved the financial health of many lenders.
With the government preparing for the next phase, the goal is clear. India wants large and reliable banks that can support a rapidly growing economy and meet the needs of a country expanding faster than ever.
Business
Stock market holidays in December: When will NSE, BSE remain closed? Check details – The Times of India
Stock market holidays for December: As November comes to a close and the final month of the year begins, investors will want to know on which days trading sessions will be there and on which days stock markets are closed. are likely keeping a close eye on year-end portfolio adjustments, global cues, and corporate earnings.For this year, the only major, away from normal scheduled market holidays in December is Christmas, observed on Thursday, December 25. On this day, Indian stock markets, including the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE), will remain closed across equity, derivatives, and securities lending and borrowing (SLB) segments. Trading in currency and interest rate derivatives segments will continue as usual.Markets are expected to reopen on Friday, December 26, as investors return to monitor global developments and finalize year-end positioning. Apart from weekends, Christmas is the only scheduled market holiday this month, making December relatively quiet compared with other festive months, with regards to stock markets.The last trading session in November, which was November 28 (next two days being the weekend) ended flat. BSE Sensex slipped 13.71 points, or 0.02 per cent, to settle at 85,706.67, after hitting an intra-day high of 85,969.89 and a low of 85,577.82, a swing of 392.07 points. Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty fell 12.60 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 26,202.95, halting its two-day rally.
Business
A Silent Threat Looms Over India’s Big Industries – Is Growth In Danger?
New Delhi: As Indian exporters were already dealing with the heavy impact of tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump, a new threat has come the fore. A report by global consulting firm BCG warns that India’s industries linked to exports and bound by international rules are now at risk from climate change. The most vulnerable sectors include aluminium, iron, and steel, which could face big losses in profits, disruptions in operations and long-term challenges to their sustainability if prompt action is not taken.
BCG Managing Director and Senior Partner Sumit Gupta, who is also Asia-Pacific leader for climate & sustainability, told PTI that according to the Climate Risk Index 2026, India ranks among the top 10 countries most exposed to extreme weather conditions.
“The cost of ignoring climate change for India could be enormous,” he said, referring to the findings released at COP30.
Citing data from the Reserve Bank of India and the World Economic Forum 2024, he explained that by 2030, extreme climate events could threaten 4.5% of India’s GDP, and by the end of the century, losses could range between 6.4% and more than 10% of national income if climate risks are not addressed.
Direct Impact On Companies
Gupta highlighted how the climate threats directly affect businesses. Extreme weather can destroy physical infrastructure such as roads and bridges, reduce workers’ hours and hamper overall productivity.
Regions with higher climate vulnerability may experience delays in project execution, and investment potential could decline as uncertainty grows.
Earnings Under Threat
BCG’s estimates suggest that globally, climate-related risks could put 5% to 25% of companies’ EBITDA at risk by 2050. Indian businesses are increasingly recognising the severity of the challenge, understanding that climate change threatens not only profits but also the long-term stability of their operations.
If India wants to protect its economy and exports, he advised, taking action on climate change is urgent and necessary.
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